Day six of the 2024 French Open kicks off third-round matches in both the men's and women's singles. Key contenders such as Carlos Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek, and Jannik Sinner will take centre stage in these exciting matchups. Read on for our Swiatek vs Bouzkova prediction and betting tips.
World No. 1 and two-time defending champion Iga Swiatek squares off against Marie Bouzkova in the third-round draw, following a tense encounter against four-time major champion Naomi Osaka in the previous round.
Swiatek has maintained a 38-4 win-loss record in 2024 so far. She has won titles in Doha, Indian Wells, Madrid, and Rome, and also led Poland to the finals of the United Cup in January.
Throughout the European clay court season, she has suffered only one defeat, falling to Elena Rybakina in a deciding set during the semi-finals of the Stuttgart WTA 500 in April.
Marie Bouzkova, on the other hand, advanced to the third round after defeating Jana Fett with a score of 6-2, 6-2. She has a fantastic serve and solid footwork, and after Swiatek’s narrow escape in the second round, Bouzkova might have just enough confidence to take on the world No. 1.
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How the Bookies View It: Swiatek All the Way
Bookmaker bet365 is unapologetically inclined towards Swiatek in this matchup, making her the favourite at 1/25, while Marie Bouzkova stands far behind at 12/1. Set betting suggests a 2-0 victory for Swiatek, with this result paying 1/5.
Recent Head-to-Head: First Meeting
Swiatek and Bouzkova are set to face each other for the first time in the third round of the French Open.
Anything Else Catch the Eye?
Swiatek seemed on the verge of getting eliminated in the last round.
Osaka took a lead in the third set, evening holding a match point at one stage. However, Swiatek elevated her game under pressure, capitalising on her opponent's fatigue to overcome a significant challenge.
Her first-serve win rate was 65 percent, slightly lower than Osaka's 73 percent. Swiatek amassed a total of 109 points compared to Osaka's 114. The odds were completely against Swiatek, but she managed to rally back for a resounding victory.
World No. 42 Marie Bouzkova is known for her tenacious baseline play, which can trouble even top players on faster surfaces.
However, facing the determined Swiatek in their first-ever encounter, she is bound to struggle. Bouzkova has only conceded 10 games this week, but Swiatek will be keen to assert her dominance once again on Philippe-Chatrier.
Swiatek vs Bouzkova Betting Tips & Predictions
We expect this one to be over quickly, with Swiatek bouncing back from her match against Osaka. Bouzkova's prospects against the world No. 1 are slim. Our prediction is firmly in favour of Swiatek, and it could get messy..
- Swiatek -7.5 handicap @ 11/10
- Total games under 17.5 @ 8/11
Swiatek and Bouzkova will play on Court Philippe-Chatrier on Friday, May 31st. While you wait, make sure to check out our overall women’s singles predictions for the French Open 2024.