MY 11-2 Scottish both to score treble got me out of jail on a tough Saturday.
Loads of hot favourites such as Chelsea, Man United, Huddersfield, Bolton and Rangers flopped to allow not much in the way of accumulator wins.
All of my bets were beaten but an 11-2 treble thanks to games at Inverness, Partick Thistle and Annan gave me a small profit on the accumulators.
My Super Single lost as Stirling Albion's run of six wins in a row was stopped as Forfar ended their poor spell but later I put up a winning double of Roma -1 and btts at Monaco v PSG but not for points.
There was no joy for Desmond, Jordan and Greg but Scott Allot landed a European both to score treble for the fourth week running. All his games ended 1-1 and the treble paid 5-1.
He's put another treble for today and incredibly without knowing what mine was he's gone for the three same games.
Today Celtic aim to win the league at Hearts and I've posted a separate preview. In England the big game is Arsenal v Man City and I can't see past both to score and I expect Swansea to beat Middlesbrough at other end of the table.
Oxford are favourites to beat League One rivals Coventry in the EFL Trophy Final and goals could again be the way to go with two league meetings seeing both score.
There are big games all over Europe including Napoli v Juventus and and I'll check team news in the morning before putting up the rest of the top tips with a btts treble featuring Napoli posted first.
For the Top Treble I'm starting with AC Milan at a Pescara side who have lost four in a row and heading down. Add Oxford to lift the cup as opposed to the riskier of bet of winning in 90 minutes and complete with Nice not to lose at home to Bordeaux. They should win but have drawn three of their last six so let's keep the stalemate with us.
I've been mulling over the Super Single all morning but in the end I'm going with Swansea to beat Middlesbrough. It's a huge game at the bottom of the table and I feel the home men have enough quality to get the job done.
Swansea remain in the drop fight after back-to-back away defeats to Bournemouth and Hull but before that they defeated Burnley and Leicester in front of their own fans.
Boro's lack of goals cost Aitor Karanka his job and there's always a worry about a bounce when a new man comes in but caretaker boss Steve Agnew faces a tough task.
Meanwhile, having won my World Cup of Bookies last week let's bet365 responded well to complaints from people who backed Hamilton at 21-10 at against nine-man Saints but were paid out at 4-11.
I spoke to bet365 this morning and were told they were now paying out. Good service from our World Cup of Bookies winners.
If anyone feels they have lost out email me at mrfixit@dailyrecord.co.uk.
Remember to check out Welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
And if you're having your first bet with 888sport you'll get treble the odds.
2.1pts Super Single
Swansea (1.30pm)
(10-11, Betfred)
2pts Top Treble
Oxford to lift trophy (2.30pm)
AC Milan (7.45pm)
Nice not to lose (7.45pm)
(12-5, bet365)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Arsenal v Man City (4pm)
Napoli v Juventus (7.45pm)
Nice v Bordeaux (8pm)
(15-4, bet365)
April Super Singles Total
Profit: -2pts (1 bet, 0 winners)
April Advised Accas Total
Profit: +0.25pts (5 bets, 1 winner)
One of the best sign-up offers around at the moment is that from 888Sport where you can get TREBLE the odds on your first bet giving you chance to boost your winnings no matter what you're betting on. Click on the button below to claim your opening offer from 888Sport today.
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North & Central America
USA MLS 13:30
Houston Dynamo vs New York Red Bulls – over 2.5 MG’s
Houston Dynamo vs New York Red Bulls – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Mexico Liga de Ascenso Clausura 02:00
Oaxaca vs Dorados – over 2.5 MG’s
Treble 5.2/1 Bet365
Good luck all
Sorry the time for the MLS part is 01:30
pre game bank builder
bet 2: €127.26 returns €283.60
6.00 arouca game over 1.5 mgs
7.45 napoli game over 1.5 mgs
7.45 barcelona to score 1st half
ARSENAL VS. CITY:
DRAW…13/5
??
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4
?
BTTS BOTH HALVES…17/2
?
Well in hull can’t understand the draw really as it does no team any good but there you go.
In play
Uni catolica over 1.5 team goals 1.83
20mins left
Won
Minnesota v real salt lake
Next goal scored before 70mins 1.83
Won
Over 0.5 fhgls
In Pachuca match and tigre match
double pays 3.00
pachuca and tigre to score 1.80
over 0.5fhgl double lostbutboth home sides shoud score lookingat stats. off for a few more zs
North & Central America
USA MLS 01:30
Houston Dynamo vs New York Red Bulls – over 2.5 MG’s (won)
Houston Dynamo vs New York Red Bulls – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (won)
Mexico Liga de Ascenso Clausura 02:00
Oaxaca vs Dorados – over 2.5 MG’s (won)
Treble 5.2/1 Bet365 WON
?
nice one
Well done again bullseye
Your on a good run just now, missed this one but will be on look out for next one, like these goals & corner combos
Cheers guys
Decent enough day for me yesterday, here’s hoping I can get two solid days for the start of the month.
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix:
Victory have been solid all season, although were quite poor last round, given they were missing a ton of key players. All those players return now from international duty, with Berisha, Rojas, Troisi, Mahazi and Ingham back. With a full side, Victory will be keen to maintain their positive form into the finals.
Phoenix recorded a surprise 5-0 win over the Jets in their last game, which surprised many (including myself), given they were missing quite a few players as well. Moss, Doyle, Krishna, Durante, Smeltz and McGlinchey are back now to boost the side. Phoenix need wins heading into the final 3 rounds, as they seek to close the gap for a finals side, currently sitting adrift of Glory by 7 points.
I expect a fiery game here, as Phoenix must do absolutely everything to win and cannot afford to sit back. Whilst Victory can afford to pick them off time and again. Should be goals.
Brisbane Roar v Central Coast Mariners:
Roar still have everything to do, as they are trying to stave off Wanderers and Perth from a top 4 position heading into the finals. They are missing Oar, McKay and Theo heading into this, but have enough depth in their side to cover these losses.
They will be happy to be facing a Mariners side, who after a mini revival, have well and truly slumped once more. They are winless in their last 5 games, with their defense giving up 3 goals in 3 of those 5 games. I’ve mentioned before about the huge influence that Montgomery has on this side, and he is absent today (as is Poscoliero), so I expect a straightforward win from the hosts.
Tips:
Victory -1 asian handicap @ 1.88 (2PT)
Victory – 1st goal before 30th min @ 1.83 (2PT)
Roar – 1st goal before 30th min @ 1.83 (2PT)
Roar – to score a penalty @ 5.00 (1PT)
Roar – to score in both halves @ 1.80 (2PT)
Now what were the odds on Wellington to win 3-0? ??
7.0 to win… and 51.0 to win 3-0. Looking like a hellish night of bets from me, as equally unlikely Mariners are beating Roar.
Arsenal v Man City
Man City to win at 11/8 (NAP)
Man city to win -1.5 asian handicap at 4.150 (NB)
Had to rub my eyes when i seen the prices on city to win this game arsenal are in free fall at the moment and simply are not in the right place to take anything from this game.They were absolutely anihalated by west brom and today i reckon they will take another hammering unless they put the work rate in and there is only one arsenal player where you can guaruntee that and thats Sanchez but for me this won’t be enough for Arsenal, City need the points as do Arsenal but only one winner here for me and a comfortable one at that and thats Man City.
torino v udinese btts and over 2.00
palermo v cagliari over 2.5 1.90
lorient v caen over 2.5 1.75
lucerne and young boys 1.5 team goal double 1.83
top 2won
swiss bet a let down
hopefully lorient v caen delivers
Yesterday’s bet was let down by now goals in Southampton game. Plenty of games again which should see goals but picking the right ones is hard bit
Arsenal
Nantes
Jagiellonia
Over 1.5mgs 11/10
Will probably stick some other bets up later
Good luck
Arsenal vs Man City
Btts o2.54/5
CELTIC VS HEARTS
With Dembele and Griffiths out Celtic may need to rely on a set piece for a goal. How about Sviatchenko? He’s surely due a goal. He’s huge at 50/1 first and 18/1 anytime with Betfred.
Recommended Bets:
SVIATCHENKO FIRST GOALSCORER @ 50/1
SVIATCHENKO ANYTIME GOALSCORER @ 18/1
Both prices with Betfred
Good luck
czech juniors starting shortly should see goals
Slavia Praha U19 vs. Zbrojovka Brno U19 12. 30
over 2.5
3\5
Dukla Praha U21 vs. Zbrojovka Brno U21 09 .15
over 3.5 inplay
Gona try some Czech youths, nev r done before but often see tips on these games & looks good for goals
Bohemians u21
Hradec kralove u21
Slavia Prague u19
Over 2.5mgs treble 5/2
Dukla Praha U21 vs. Zbrojovka Brno U21 09 .15
over 3.5 inplay
WON before halftime :)
can someone please explain why shanghai shenuha are 3/1 to win today? te team they are playing are in poor form themselves????
Both Sporting Lisbon & Sporting Lisbon B are in action today and they both sit top of their respective leagues match goal averages. Hopefully today continues that trend
Arouca v Sporting Lisbon
Home side are in terrible form and have lost 6 on the bounce and are without a clean sheet in 14 league outings. BTTS has landed in 8 of their last 11 including 4 of their last 5 home games.
The away side are good form with 6 wins in 8 games. BTTS has also landed in 8 of their last 11 league outings including 5 of their last 6 aways.
BTTS 21/20
Sporting Lisbon B v Olahanense
Quite simply these sides here like too concede goals and they sit in the top 2 in goals per match average in this league. Sporting B have conceded in 28 of 33 league games while Olhanense have conceded in 30 of their 33 matches. Both sides have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 9. Should be more goals today with both defences being breached.
BTTS 5/6
I’ll throw a couple of quid at both Lisbon teams too win and BTTS double
Sporting Lisbon win & BTTS 12/5
Sporting Lisbon B win & BTTS 2/1
9/1 dbl
Aguero A/T, sinclair A/T, Oxford WIN and shanghai shenhua WIN £10 returns £340
A penalty awarded in the Napoli match is a tempting 3/1 skybet there tend to be a few pens in the
Italian Serie A.
Aguero A/T, sinclair A/T, Oxford WIN and shanghai shenhua WIN £10 returns £340
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Also going to do the same bet with De Buryne instead of aguero as he is due a goal its bee a long wait and he enjoys the big games. Will also add salzburg to win away to both on seperate bets.
It was a fine Saturday with 10 out of 13 winners posted from the BTTS market (5 out of 6) and 4 from 4 on the home wins, including impressive late home wins (and score predictions from Hull and Koln and It’s another cracking day of action across Europe with some really interesting looking fixtures taking place.
Here now are the best my best bets for Sunday.
13:30 Hearts v Celtic
Prediction 1.2
Best Bets – BTTS, Over 2.5 goals @21/20
Key Facts
* 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS
* Each of the last 4 meetings in Edinburgh have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored
*Hearts have scored in 30 of their last 34 home league fixtures
*Celtic have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 7 away league fixtures
Celtic will clinch their 6th successive league title with victory here
14:00 Pescara vs AC Milan
Prediction – 1.3
Best Bets – Milan to win and BTTS @13/8
Key Facts
Pescara have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 home league fixtures
Pescara have seen BTTS and lost in 4 of their last 5 home league fixtures
Despite their poor form this season, Pescara have managed to bring up BTTS in home fixtures with Lazio, Inter, Fiorentina and Napoli
Pescara have scored in 9 of their last 12 league fixtures
Pescara have lost 10 of their last 11 league fixtures. 7 of those also saw BTTS (Milan to win and BTTS @13/8)
Milan have kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 11 away league fixtures
Milan are in good form, winning 4 of their last 5 league fixtures with just 1 loss in their last 7 (at Juventus)
16:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City
Prediction 2.2
Best Bets – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21
Key Facts
5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides has seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 8 of the last 10 meetings between these two sides
15 goals have been scored in the last 4 meetings between these two sides. All 4 matches saw BTTS and over 2.5 goals
Arsenal have lost only 1 of their last 8 meetings with Man City while they are unbeaten in their last 5 home contests with the Manchester side
Arsenal have scored in each of their last 18 matches in the league
70% of Arsenal’s league matches this seasons saw over 2.5 goals scored
Arsenal have scored in 92% of their home matches this season.
19:45 Napoli vs Juventus
Prediction 2.1
Best Bets – BTTS @4/5
Key Facts
Juventus have won won only 1 of their last 11 games at Napoli since 2000
5 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals scored. Juve won 5 of those 6 contests
Juventus have kept clean-sheets in 7 of their last 10 league fixtures
However, it is 20 years (13 matches) since they last kept a clean-sheet at Napoli
Napoli won last season’s corresponding fixture 2.1 in Naples
Napoli currently 3rd, trail Juventus by 10 points in the league with a win here essential if they are to keep alive their slim title chances
16:30 Bayer Leverkusen vs Wolfsburg
Prediction 1.2
Best Bets – Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11, BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 21/20
Key Facts
11 of the last 12 meetings between these two sides have seen BTTS
16 of the last 17 meetings have also gone over 2.5 goals!
Indeed, only 2 of their last 21 meetings since 2006 have gone under 2.5 goals
31 goals have been shared in their last 7 meetings since 2013
Only 1 of the last 18 meetings between these two sides finished in a draw
Leverkusen have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 7 of their last 10 home league fixtures. 5 of those 7 also went over 2.5 goals
Leverkusen have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 9 home league fixtures
Leverkusen have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 home league fixtures
Wolfsburg have scored in 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures, failing to find the net in games at Bayern Munich (1st), Dortmund (3rd) and Koln (6th)
Leverkusen have not won any of their last 6 matches in all competitions (4 l, 2 d)
Leverkusen have picked up just 1 point in their last 4 league fixtures.
Final verdict
Both sides have under-achieved this season and relegation remains a real threat for both with the visitors just 2 points clear of safety and the hosts a further 2 in front but is Wolfsburg that come into this fixture in better form, but I fancy goals as historically, this is a fixture that never disappoints with previous meetings between these sides almost always going over 2.5 goals (16 of the last 17).
Wolfsburg are unbeaten under their new manager Jonker with 2 wins and a draw from his first 3 matches in charge and they will be confident of taking something here against an out of sorts Leverkusen who have yet to win under new boss Tayfun Korkut.
I’ll take a chance on this one going over 2.5 goals again @8/11 with BTTS also having every chance so the double could be the way to go @21/20 odds.
14:00 Palermo vs Cagliari
Prediction 1.1
Best Bets – BTTS @4/5
Key Facts
Palermo have kept only 1 clean-sheet at home this season
Cagliari have not kept a clean sheet away from home season
6 of the last 8 meetings have seen BTTS
4 of the last 6 meetings in Palermo saw BTTS
Palermo have the worst home record in Serie A with just 5 points collected from 14 matches this season and only 7 goals scored
Final Verdict
It’s a local derby between two sides who don’t do clean-sheets and while I don’t expect the goals to flow freely, BTTS looks to have a chance @4/5 odds.
Palermo have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 26 at home and with Cagliari only keeping 1 clean sheet in their last 25 on the road, logic dictates that both should score here and while it isn’t my strongest pick of the weekend, it is worth a shot on one of my small accas.
Sunday Best Bets
Napoli v Juventus – BTTS @4/5
Arsenal v Man City – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @5/6
Hearts v Celtic – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @21/20
Leverkusen v Wolfsburg – Over 2.5 goals @8/11
Leverkusen v Wolfsburg – BTTS and over 2.5 goals @21/20
Pescara v Milan – Milan to win and BTTS @13/8
Palermo v Cagliari – BTTS @4/5
Cheers Bob after reading your tips I put the Arsenal Palermo and Leverkusen on as a BTTS treble saved the day for me
Cheers Bob after reading your tips I put the Arsenal Palermo and Leverkusen on as a BTTS treble saved the day for me
Other 2 romped it.
F#@k knows how many times Sevilla have let me done over last few months. Never again Sean. Pis$! ?
P
Good Evening guys
Chinese super league
Beijing Guoan v Shanghai Shenhua Over1.5 Mgs
Tianjin Teda v Chongqing Lifan Over 1.5 Mgs
Double = 1.68@bet365
MY PREDICTIONS FOR TODAY
1. NAPOLI VS JUVE =>BTTS
2.ARS VS M.CITY => BTTS
3. R.MADRID TO SCORE BOTH HALVES
4. YOUNG BOYS SCORE 2+
5.HEARTS VS CELTIC => BTTS
Perm 1,2,3,4.. Then combine with 5..Goodluck all
Been gong for BTTS accas recently and keep just missing by 1 or 2 teams. Went for a different tactic last night and put the MLS and A-League into an O1.5mg acca that paid around 2-1. Just waiting on the Brisbane match to bring that one home.
The following games today all look good for BTTS and/or O2.5. I am therefore playing safe and doing an over 1.5mg acca on the following 12 (max allowed by 888 which has the best odds currently):
Sevilla
Hearts
Young Boys
Pescara
Coventry
Viborg
Real Madrid
Twente
Lorient
Nantes
Gent
Brondby
Pays nearly 12-1.
5 more games earmarked for after 5pm:
Valencia
Arouca
Lierse
Granada
Nice
Ben Yedder to score anytime for Sevilla
Portugal Primeira Liga 16:00
Belenenses vs Feirense – over 2.5 MG’s
Portugal Segunda Liga 16:00
Benfica B vs Uniao Madeira – BTTS
Double 2.77/1 Bet365 **NAP**
————————————————–
Sweden Allsvenskan 16:30
IFK Norrkoping vs Hammarby – IFK Norrkoping win
IFK Norrkoping vs Hammarby – ovr 5.0 first half Asian corners
Double 9/4 Bet365 **NB**
Mixed 6-fold
Swansea vs Middlesbrough – Swansea team performance over 60 pts
Chievo vs Crotone – Chievo win
Sevilla vs Sporting Gijon – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Lugo vs Reus Deportiu – Lugo goal before 56:00
Falkenbergs FF vs Osters IF – Falkenbergs FF win
Benfica B vs Uniao Madeira – BTTS
49/1 Bet365
Good luck all
Three Chilean games later on and all look pretty damn good for goals:
1. IQUIQUO VS. COLO COLO (16.00 KO)
2. HUACHIPATO VS. SAN LUIS QUILLOTA (19.30 KO)
3. AUDAX ITALIANO VS. O’ HIGGINS (22.00 KO)
OVER 2.5 MGS TREBLE…3.56/1
??
I’ll be on BTTS 1ST HALF for each game paying: 3/1 ?, 11/4 ? and 11/4 ? respectively.
BTTS 1ST HALF TREBLE PAYS 55/1
?
Beast of luck!
amazing tipping hull today
made a few quid doing the last 10pm ohiggins game as both to score first half and then a double over 2.5goals on it also added in limon over 2.5goals against santos de guapiles
money back from a bad saturday thanks to you
night all
*health your wealth*
Boom boom hullshake the room
Torino – Udinese
Bet: Torino win @ 1.80
————————————————–
Although both teams are in the middle of the table and have nothing to play for, some Torino players like Falque and Belotti will be looking to put on a good performance to get better contracts if they do transfer to another team next season. Furthermore, Torino has a fairly fit team while Udinese is missing their first-choice keeper, Orestis Karnezis and their best goalscorer, Cyril Théréau. A few other Udinese key players are also out tonight’s match. I believe that the Torino players will be more motivated to get three points from an unfit Udinese side.
Good luck
Was thinking between overs or a straight torino win before i placed the bet. went for torino win and disappointed.
sorry to those who chose the bet
Morning gents
Yesterday was disappointed but like a few others I was quick to get on Hamilton to beat us at 21/10 and thanks to Mr F, it’s looking like the bet will be paid out now!
Heading to Seria A today
Fiorentina v Bologne
Pescara v AC Milan
It’s hard to look passed Fiorentina and Milan! Both playing struggling a sides and have their own European qualification to focus on! Pescara are all but doomed whilst Bologn are without a win in 3 and have lost their last 4 trips to Florence
Back Fiorentina / Milan double
Pays 13/10 (Ladbrokes) (NAP)
im on this and adding Napoli BTTS.
Trebble pays just over 3/1
Bologna Wont be easy game for fiorentina
Looked at that myself Greg so on your head be it then . ?
GL
Torino RT7 corners 7/5
Poor day yesterday – couple of goal scorers for today
Carlos Bacca ATGS 5/6
Sergio Aguero ATGS 5/6
Bacca is back after a ban and has 4 in his last 3. As Greg has highlighted Pescara looked doomed drop to the second tier next season whilst AC are chasing Inter for European football. Pescara have conceded 2 or more in 10 of their last 11 games. As many do fancy both teams to score at the Emirates with BTTS and Overs coming in in the last 4 H2Hs
Arsenal v City BTTS, AC Milan > 1.5 TGS 1.1/1
GL all today!
Hi all, I am going to see the Danish 1.div game Næstved vs Nykøbing. I will give a couple of inplays from the game. So keep your eyes peeled.
A big game for both teams trying to get out/stay out of the drop zone. To add spice this is a derby and Næstved have been giving out free tickets to get the support they need to do the impossible with 9 games left. The new manager effect could play it’s part for Naestved. I hope so. Without a win they will get relegated.
Let’s see!
IN-PLAY
Norway Club Friendly
Follo vs Alta – over 2.5 MG’s 1/1
Bet365
inplay 0_0 at ht
torino v udinese
over 1.5mgls 4/5
won. now just needing a torino goal for the btts and overs bet. looks likely
theres the torino goal.
they should get a 2nd over 1.5 torino goals pays evens
Nice 1 mate
no no its thankyou torino :)
torino 1.5team goals won
Doing two singles and a double. red card and a pen at Napoli and Swansea 149/1 skybet
I tried to do a trixie by adding the game at Hearts but sky would not allow it .
No joy on the double hoping for a single in the Napoli game
HOBRO to WIN 8/11.
FREDERICIA over 1.5 TGS 5/6.
YOUNG BOYS over 2.5 TGS 4/5.
Good luck all with bets today ?
Started brightly.
Over 1 Goal @ 7/4
1st Half Total Goals
Hearts 0 v 0 Celtic
Won 0-2 before the half hour. ?
Gona try some Czech youths, nev r done before but often see tips on these games & looks good for goals
Bohemians u21
Hradec kralove u21
Slavia Prague u19
Over 2.5mgs treble 5/2 **WON**
Torino RT7 corners 7/5 ?
——–
Sinclair to score a hattrick 2/1
Best tips for today
Montpellier -Tolouse Montpelier DNB very good
Lorient – Caen 1x / Lorient or draw
Beleneses – Feirense 1x / Belenenses DNB
IN-PLAY
Norway Club Friendly
Follo vs Alta – over 2.5 MG’s 1/1 LOST
Sinclair to score a hattrick 2/1 ?
Lyon -1 @ 10/11
Rennes down to 10 in the first 5 minutes. Floodgates comes to mind but ill stick -1
Lost. Glad i didnt go heavy into that one. ?
inplay
fiorentina v bologna
over 1.5 match goals 4/5
over 2.5 match goals 5/2
Man from Azerbaijan says back the top 2 for wins as they should stroll it against teams with little or nothing to play for with both chasing the title. Taking them with Lyon in play pays..
1.82/1 bet365
Trying to figure why the Qabala n Qarabaq double odds keep getting longer to near Evens(0.96/1) but there is obviously little information available but stats say 2x home wins…that is all.
3.30 kick offs n GL if you bother. ?
It’s not the best standard of soccer to rely on admittedly the auld Azerbaijan league but Qabala beat the top dogs 2-0 away to get themselves right in about a title challenge then can’t defeat a n also ran at home? :/
Onwards…
Like the look of William Hill‘s request a bet below:
At Least 1 Goal In Each Half & Each Team At Least 1 Card In Each Half @ 6/1
Expect an open game with a few goals and can see cards with plenty of counter attacking from both teams.
That looks like a cracking bet. Heard it mentioned on ‘in play’ yesterday and fprgot about it. ?
@mr-fixit and everyone else. What do you think are the best stats for highlighting BTTS games?
I am experimenting with a system that looks at each teams:
1) Last 6 games BTTS %
2) Last 6 games >2.5 %
3) Last 6 Home/Away (whichever they are in the fixture) BTTS %
4) Last 6 Home/Away >2.5 %
5) Last 6 Historical results (H2H between the two teams) BTTS %
6) Last 6 Historical results >2.5 %
I’m not sure what other data I should try and plug in to the system or how I can fine tune it anymore. I try and keep it automated so it can look through 10’s-100’s of matches then when it churns out a few results I can manually check them myself. Thanks.
For me I look at last 6 games results and then h2h.
I also check team news in case a key striker is missing.
Also consider recent schedule and who they’re playing next.
Good Evening guys
Chinese super league
Beijing Guoan v Shanghai Shenhua Over1.5 Mgs
Tianjin Teda v Chongqing Lifan Over 1.5 Mgs
Double = 1.68@bet365
****WON********
inplay
fiorentina v bologna
over 1.5 match goals 4/5
over 2.5 match goals 5/2
LOST
Yesterday’s bet was let down by now goals in Southampton game. Plenty of games again which should see goals but picking the right ones is hard bit
Arsenal
Nantes
Jagiellonia
Over 1.5mgs 11/10 **LOST** just 1 goal in polish game
Plenty games coming up tho so hopefully pick up a winner
Arsenal vs man c
Btts o2.5
Won
2 out of 2 this weekend after French final last nite
You’ve just got to love an early goal ?
ARSENAL VS. CITY…BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4
?
****WON***
****************************
IQUIQUO VS. COLO COLO (16.00 KO):
BTTS 1ST HALF…3/1
?
***WON***
Means the 17/2 and 55/1 are still in play too ?
Hull you the man ????????
Cheers inter!
inplay
varzim v penafiel over 1.5 match goals 6/4
Brondby over 2.5mgs
Gent btts
Double returns 2.3/1
Gambling is killin me! I can’t win anything?
£350 down since Friday. Need to play save with this last £50. It all started with Venlo failing to score and then Chelsea and Southampton smashed a big hole in the rest. Very bad weekend.
Chin up… try to recoup £20 per day over 2 to 3 weeks.
Leg 1 of the Chilean Goals Treble home and hosed and the 17/2 BTTS BOTH HALVES in the Prem game can be coveted with no City 3rd ?
Like the look of William Hill‘s request a bet below:
At Least 1 Goal In Each Half & Each Team At Least 1 Card In Each Half @ 6/1
Expect an open game with a few goals and can see cards with plenty of counter attacking from both teams.
* Winner
On the next two Chilean games hull pal
ARSENAL VS. CITY:
DRAW…13/5
??
***WON***
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4
?
***WON***
BTTS BOTH HALVES…17/2
?…Crossbar and a City goal short
Well done hull
Unlucky on the 17/2 shot
Cheers DC – City’s failure to get a 2nd half goal meant the 17/2 lost but 13/5 draw was a winner so happy either way (so long as Arsenal didn’t get a 3rd ?)
Well in hull just out of interest what was the reason you tipped the draw??
Evening Macca – I rarely, if ever, bet on WDW but their are certain games that scream ‘the draw’ to me especially in the EPL.
Most often, they are the big games and I’ll strip out all recent stats – how often do you see disparative scorelines between the top 5 EPL when they compete against one another? Very rarely.
The 365 offer is a case in point – it is usually these big games that are featured…how often do 365 offer games (EPL) end in a draw…lots.
Sometimes, but not often, a lifetime playing and following football throws up gut feelings that just feel right.
I know it’s not a ‘statistically correct’ reasoning but it is what it is!
Take care pal.
The draw gave me 3 draws in Saturday’s Record – the others being at Ipswich and Inverness.
Didn’t post them here though because I didn’t have points attached.
I simply thought they’d cancel each other out.
Great stuff Mr F!
City bottled it imo a draw is no good to any of them especially arsenal,i lost on the game but its all good for my team both teams are bottlers especially in big games.
inplay
varzim v penafiel over 1.5 match goals 6/4
WON
Brondby over 2.5mgs
Gent btts
Double returns 2.3/1 **WON**
Sorted DC ?
Woi what the he’ll happened In the wolfsburg game they were 2 nil dwn 5 mins ago. Now 3-2 to wolfsburg! ??
Gomez just scored a hatrick too in the space of 7 mins
3-3 now!!
Done well on horses and footy today so dafty bet time with small stakes. 2 singles and a double.
Level stakes needs 1 winner.
Granada v Barcelona
Both Teams To Score In 1st Half
Yes @ 100/30
Napoli v Juventus
Both Teams To Score In 2nd Half:
Yes @ 9/4
Double is 13/1
LOST. got the barca match the wrong half. Well done all winners for today. ?
tonite
nice, Napoli o1.5mgs 7/10
add lierse o2.5mgs 2/1
anytime goal scorer
balotelli, mertens, neymar fonte, dost 10x£2 trebles returns £186.42
couple of nice wins there Kaiser/hull……………
nice one too dc……………..
Cheers crane
How was the wedding?
A game just about to kick off hoping it might see a few goals & at a nice price
Enippi over 2.5mgs 5/4
Lost ended 2-0, thought was on after an early goal
Nice
Napoli
Btts double returns 5/2
Also will take cranes over 1.5mgs double 7/10
Portugal Primeira Liga 16:00
Belenenses vs Feirense – over 2.5 MG’s (won)
Portugal Segunda Liga 16:00
Benfica B vs Uniao Madeira – BTTS (lost)
Double 2.77/1 Bet365 **NAP** LOST
————————————————–
Sweden Allsvenskan 16:30
IFK Norrkoping vs Hammarby – IFK Norrkoping win (won)
IFK Norrkoping vs Hammarby – ovr 5.0 first half Asian corners (void)
Double 9/4 Bet365 **NB** WON at 4/7
Mixed 6-fold
Swansea vs Middlesbrough – Swansea team performance over 60 pts
Chievo vs Crotone – Chievo win
Sevilla vs Sporting Gijon – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Lugo vs Reus Deportiu – Lugo goal before 56:00
Falkenbergs FF vs Osters IF – Falkenbergs FF win
Benfica B vs Uniao Madeira – BTTS
49/1 Bet365 LOST
Benfica B’s failure to score ended their run of 11 consecutive BTTS results and killed off the NAP while I only got a reduced payout on the NB due to Norrkoping’s corners voiding so slightly frustrating. Well done all winners
was great dc too much bevvy again but didn’t get in till 4am and flight home today was at 11.25am just a tad delicate this evening to say the least…………… will take a fortnite to dry out again
Hullshaker – loving the Chilean tip and loving the Chilean commentary even more, fingers crossed it comes in for you!
2nd leg in @hullshaker ?????????
UNBELIEVABLE TIPPING HULLSHAKER 2ND GAME BTTS UP IN 10 MINS GENIUS.
Very good hull.
HUACHIPATO VS. SAN LUIS QUILLOTA (19.30 KO):
Goals on ‘4, ’12 and ’22 ?
That brings in Leg 2 of the Chilean OVER 2.5 MGS Treble and also Leg 2 of the BTTS 1ST HALF Treble.
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4
?
***WON***
Fingers crossed for Leg 3 and the 55/1
Nice one. Anyone on mine or Scott’s btts treble can cover.
I’m advising 0.5pt on no to btts at Napoli at 9-4 with 10bet.
the one night i do a 2-3 goalsbet on ladbrokes and website and app has been comprimised and there is a glitch and nobetting available for football.
called themup and got threw and guy said there is 1000 calls still pending.. hope to get a free bet out of this, markets all suspended and only showing top 3 games now inplay about 30mins to late,
Fonte (braga) ags 6/4
**WON**
going to cover over 1.5 mgs in napoli game
€20 under 1.5 mgs @ 5/2
Night owl
Portland over 3.5mgs 11/8
Valeri ags 6/4
Also fancy Portland over 2.5tgs 2/1
But will make leave it & still over 3.5mgs as expect New England to score
Nice
Napoli
Btts double returns 5/2 **WON**
Also will take cranes over 1.5mgs double 7/10 **WON**
Been a decent day
Well done all winners
Scott Allot on the ball yet again ??
Great stuff Scott/Mr F ??
Also nice work from Crane, DC too – magic lads!
Cheers but I’m not having Scott copy me every day!
It’s been a better finish to the day than the start.
The btts treble win was welcome as was the 3 draws I picked for the paper.
Ace’s golf tip Fowler finished third for a place as did my pick Luke List at 100-1.
He says the drinks are on me so I better go to the pub.
pre game bank builder
bet 2: €127.26 returns €283.60 (€263.60 after cover bet)
6.00 arouca game over 1.5 mgs ✔️
7.45 napoli game over 1.5 mgs ✔️
7.45 barcelona to score 1st half ✔️
On it again like last night Kelly,D nice one. ?
In play
Fluminese to score 13/8
**WON**
Portland’s Adi ATGS
@ 2.00
There’s the O’ Higgins goal on ’24 so it’s 20 minutes for an Audax goal to bring in the 55/1…
YESSSSSSSSSS
“Shoot man shoot!”
An mid type there it is Hull Shaker!
Nice darts that and it brings my bet in as well. ??
Bluemoonashaka!!!
Hull ur my favourite person of the year nominee & it’s only April!!! Lol
Well done cracking stuff mate!!! ???
Bolivia….
Universitiario De Sucre v The Strongest…BTTS
Missed kick off there but still 0-0 n now 11/10
Absolutely epic mate @hullshaker!!! ? ????wish I had put more than a fiver on the 55/1 now lol
I at least got on late to get your last BTTS first half Chile tip – Thanks @ Hullshaker
Take a bow hull
Smashed it 55/1 & now the overs treble landed aswell
Absolute class
magic….sir hullshaker..hats off
nice one hull take a bow.
Superb hull. Missed the lot ?
?
HULLSHAKER UR AN ABSOLUTE STAR.
Epic that Hull take a bow, just wish i’d followed. Here’s me falling a match goal short on what feels like every double/treble I’ve placed this weekend, trying to play ‘safe’ etc when I should’ve just stuck a tenner on that! ?
There she blows ?
Three Chilean games later on and all look pretty damn good for goals:
1. IQUIQUO VS. COLO COLO (16.00 KO)
BTTS 1ST HALF…3/1 ?
***WON***
2. HUACHIPATO VS. SAN LUIS QUILLOTA (19.30 KO)
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4 ?
***WON***
3. AUDAX ITALIANO VS. O’ HIGGINS (22.00 KO)
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4 ?
***WON***
OVER 2.5 MGS TREBLE…3.56/1
??
***WON***
BTTS 1ST HALF TREBLE PAYS 55/1
?
****************************
ARSENAL VS. CITY:
BTTS 1ST HALF…11/4
?
***WON***
DRAW…13/5
??
***WON***
****************************
City scoring in the 2nd half would’ve brought in the 17/2 for BTTS BOTH HALVES but no complaints from me and the day sees well over 75 Points profit
??
Missed the ***WIN*** off the 55/1 ?
Just in from work, so wasn’t on the 55/1. Can only applaud all the same.
Was that the goalkeeper hitting and going close with a FK for The Strongest? ?
Only in the South of Americas!
take a bow sir
Brilliant day for you – and invite to Kenya to boot.
Hullshaker u just paid my rent for this month man. Your tips are absolutely top notch.I wish we can meet I buy you a gift man.Too bad am in Kenya in Africa and may be you are in England.i really appreciate
Thanks hullshaker. Follow a lot of your bets tho I pick more of your losers than your winners. Absolute belter tonight. Now if I can find a bit of discipline from somewhere and not give it all back to the nice man at 365. Cheers
not the best of days for you then hull ha ha…………… top notch me ol fruit WD
Thanks for the comments lads!
tonite
nice, Napoli o1.5mgs 7/10 WON
add lierse o2.5mgs 2/1 LOST
anytime goal scorer
balotelli, mertens, neymar fonte, dost 10x£2 trebles returns £186.42 returned £18.70 with 3 from 5
WD all with winners onto the late ones now………………….
nite owls
sol de America overs 4/5
millonarios o1.5tgs 6/4
treble add Portland o3.5mgs 13/1
GL all on a late one……………….
sorry treble is 10/1 rather
In play…
Santos Laguna v Querataro(Mexican Clasursa) bt to bust the net.. 5/4.