MAN UNITED were rotten last night – but Zlatan Ibrahimovic was magnificent.
I backed the Swede at 14-5 to score first and banked a nice profit of 11.2pts. So in two days I've won 22.2pts on two Super Singles and will make an attempt to clear the monthly losses.
If that happens it will be the greatest recovery since some bloke called Lazarus turned up his mate's house for a surprise party.
Talking of miracles that was a great shout from Chris Guy who tipped Zlatan to score with a header at 8-1.
Well done to everyone who landed winners and also to Dundalk for their fabulous success at home to Maccabi Tel Aviv.
I really hate Europa League nights and lost three points on two trebles but I could afford that after winners earlier in the week.
There are a few big games to look at tonight and I've posted a separate preview on Motherwell v Hearts in the Premiership.
There's also Friday night football in the Premier League as Everton host Crystal Palace. Everton have gone off the boil with two defeats after a great start to the season while Palace will be lifted by their dramatic weekend win at Sunderland.
Palace are unbeaten in three trips to Goodison – including two 3-2 wins – and are as big as 9-2 at Betfred. Like Motherwell, who are 3-1 at home to Hearts, they could be considered on the draw no bet market at 29-10 with 888sport or not to lose at 16-13.
Red Bull Leipzig host Augsburg in the Bundesliga and let's hope there's another start for Scotland attacker Oliver Burke who netted within five minutes of his first start at Cologne last week.
Newcomers Leipzig have started well with two wins and three draws but won't find it easy against an Augsburg side who have won two and lost two of their first. Don't see RB losing but it could be a draw and they look a little short at odds on.
Real Sociedad have lost just two of 10 meetings with Real Betis and beat Las Palmas 4-1 at home last time out. Betis have had a mixed start and could lose out here. The last four meetings have seen both to score so that could be the shout at 5-6 with Betfred.
In France Rennes face Guingamp defending a 100 per cent home record – three wins from three with seven scored. Guingamp sit one point above them after a decent start and have won on three of their last four visits to Normandy. I'd favour Rennes at 11-10 with Ladbrokes and McBookie but the h2h stats worry me.
PEC Zwolle v Den Haag in Holland looks to favour overs. The last four meetings have seen both to score and over 2.5 goals with an average of five a game. Five out of Den Haag's last six have gone over 2.5 goals but PEC's last two at home have produced exactly two. Over 2.5 goals pays 14-19 at 888sport.
Tondela managed to escape the drop last season but have started poorly with two points from six games including no goals in three home outings.
Tonight their visitors are Pacos Ferreira who have won their last two and will be eyeing up a hat-trick. They won here 2-0 last season and are 15-8 with bet365 and Coral and a Super Single contender.
I've only had time to look at the big games with it being a Friday but there are the usual Dutch lower league games to look at for goals and Greg is likely to post tips on French Ligue 2 so keep an eye out for them.
Possibly I've been overthinking things today as I'm keen for Super Single redemption. I considered fit-again Romelu Lukaka to score for Everton but in the end I'm on Pacos Ferreira draw no bet at Tondela. Wish me luck!
My only other bet tonight is a Top Treble on both to score at PEC v Den Haag, Augsburg not to lose and Motherwell not to lose.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
1.2pts Super Single
Pacos Ferreira draw no bet (8.30pm)
(1-1, Ladbrokes)
1pt Top Treble
PEC Zwolle v Den Haag btts (7pm)
Augsburg not to lose (7.30pm)
Motherwell not to lose (7.45pm)
(6-1, 188Bet)
September Super Singles Total
Loss: 2.3pts
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Just had a quick scan at the championship matches this Saturday, its going to be one hell of an ask to find a winner in amongst those matches.
Not getting ahead of myself after Derby turned their performance on match day into quite a solid 2 nil away win, but I have never made a secret that Derby always hit a purple patch in October and November. Tomorrow is the 1st October so the historic stats are there – but – Reading stuffed us 3 nil in the last game of the season before last when all we needed was a draw. This fixture last year saw us grab a 1 nil away to them and a 1-1 at the Ipro.
Reading have some impressive scalps this past few months, but come into this game on the back of a wretched 4-1 defeat away to Brentford.
With former derby player ( Chris Powell ) – assistant to Pearson running the show until Mel Morris decides what he’s going to do with Pearson, we’ve renewed belief that we can turn the season around because Powell went straight back to the 4-3-3 that the team/fans have been screaming out for.
One thing is for certain: If Powell nails that formation back into our match-day plans, the team absolutely MUST deliver with it. If we don’t make it work, Pearson will one smug git. I hope we don’t give him the satisfaction.
Although I missed all of the match commentary on the last outing, I have watched the highlights. I was impressed. we chased everything down, the team looked much more purposeful and I think that the formation change and backroom staff juggle was the drastic changes I mentioned needed to occur for us to get something out of that match. This solitary win in 7 matches is only our 2nd of 10 matches and unless we can put down another solid performance away from home and back that last match result up with another 3 points, the Cardiff win will mean very little. It’s a big ask for Derby to get a win at the Madjeiski stadium, we’re 17/10 for the win and Reading are 19/10 – given Readings past 7 matches ( ignoring the last loss they had ) the Reading win price looks too big to me.
Pre-match and Derby would take a point, Reading MUST be thinking they can get all three, but with a 4-1 away loss on their backs, Reading need a reaction.
Derby also poached their star player in January – Nick Blackman. It appears he’s now taking up Martins role as penalty taker and is starting to get some match time.
The story of returning players to past employers is always on my mind.
As soon as I have more info on the Pearson saga, I shall share.
Trying to pick my Saturday selections just now and it looks a really tough card all rounf.
What about Barnsley away to Leeds. With Barnsley already swinging the axe at their manager in the aftermath of this bungs fiasco, Barnsley’s heads could drop and be ripe for the taking by Leeds.
Barnsley are on a poor run but will be up for the derby.
It’s the assistant manager who has been sacked not the manager.
Belgium First Division A (19:30)
KV Oostende vs Sint-Truidense – KV Oostende win
England Premier League (20:00)
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 10 match corners
double 9/5 **NAP**
Mixed 5-fold
KV Oostende vs Sint-Truidense – KV Oostende win
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 2.5 MG’s
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 10 match corners
Real Sociedad vs Real Betis – over 1.5 MG’s
Southampton U23 vs Bristol City U23 – over 2.5 MG’s
8.59/1
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
IN PLAY
MACCABI BNEI currently 1-2
OVER 4.5 1.90
GOOD LUCK
WON WON WON
The closest I’ve ever come to having a cocktail was when I dropped a pork scratching into my pint of mild a few weeks ago by mistake.
But after getting a taste for it on Wednesday, I’m having another Singapore Sling this luchtime…
HOME UNITED VS. YOUNG LIONS (12.30 KO):
Young Lions scored 3 in a 7 goal epic the other day and I was right in the middle of the goals so this one stood out straight away on the daytime card when I dpotted it.
Both teams are involved in high scorers but are invariably on the losing side – of Home Utd’s last 9 games, 4 have seen 4 or more whilst Young Lions last 12 have seen 9 games at or over the magic mark!
A quick look at recent H2H’s
confirms my thinking with 2 games this year: a 2-2 draw and a 4-1 win for Home Utd.
Other information of note is that both games saw only 7 and 8 corners – which rules out a combo bet – and the second halves saw a combined total of 5 goals which interests me.
Four selections to consider with the first being the main stake:
OVER 3.5 MGS…4/5
OVER 4.5 MGS…13/8
BTTS 2ND HALF…13/8
BTTS BOTH HALVES…9/1
Good luck ?
Brilliant Hullshaker,got on Over 3.5mg pre kick off.
Then when that came in,got inplay :
Ov 4.5
Ov 5.5 & at the death Ov 6.5…….Magical stuff,,cheers.
Nice HullShaker, I like the Singapore league and your tips cemented it. Went for BTTS in Both Halves (got it at 10/1) and also Over 3.5 MGS. Cheers!
Kufstein vs Eugendorf – over 2.5
Eindhoven FC vs Jong Ajax – over 2.5
Volendam vs Breda – over 2.5
Druids vs Rhyl – over 2.5
Early banker…
Home United vs young lions
Over 2.5 match goals
Albirex Nigata DNB
DOUBLE ODDS 0.56/1
nurnberg v union btts & overs 1.80
burgstaller anytime 2.60
oostende v sint t overs 1.80
houston v nyc btts & overs 1.83
tijuana v atlas 1.5 tijuana goals 1.72
latter 2 during the early hours
How’s tricks Hampy old bean – be back over next week to see my mam…keep trying to coincide it with a game but we’re away after the Scunthorpe game this Saturday for a few matches…might have to make the Bury/Bolton derby mind – will be a cracker ?
alls good pal. must say shakers forms been abit of a shock not how this season was expected to be. bury and bolton should be a cracker. Good to see your over night bets still going well got on a couple night.
EVERTON v CRSYTAL PALACE:
Like Mr F has already said, a bright period seems to have come to an abrupt halt for an Everton side who, having won 5 on the trot, were given a shot in the arm by Norwich in the Cup and then more notably Bournmouth in the EPL.
Palace are playing out a bit of role-reversal here and after a couple of losses, they now sit on the cusp of a 5th unbeaten EPL game with one draw and three cracking back to back wins…note that all of these 4 games have seen both teams scoring.
On the same vein, Palace’s last three visits to Goodison have featured ‘BTTS yes’ and they have come away with the points on each occassion…two of these were 3-2 scorelines!
Scott Dann will be a big loss for Palace but they have enough threat offensively with the likes of Towsnsend and Benteke to trouble an Everton side without the likes of McCarthy and most likely Leighton Baines.
With an Everton win taking them into 2nd place and a Palace win seeing them a dizzying joint 3rd, this one should be a cracker!
Two selections:
BTTS…3/4
OVER 3.5 MGS…2/1
Best of luck with all bets ?
First glance of the fixtures…minefield.
Goal bets all the way.
IN PLAY
Warriors FC v Albirex Niigata – Under 3.5 goals
Home United v Young Lions – Goal Line Over 4.0
2.75
£15 returns £41.25
**WON** :)
Good stuff Alex!
inplay sun pegasus currently 1-0 in fh am holding out for over 1.5fhgls only 1.66 at moment. want 1.72 upwards
won penalty equalizer
? nice one Hampy!
:) AWOOOOOOGA
Afternoon gents. First of all well done to Chris Guy on the Zlatan header. Was some shout.
I was right about one thing last night, unfortunately it didn’t land the needed goals. I said Dundalk were no pushovers and while they proved that, they probably proved a bit too much keeping Tel Aviv out and getting their three points. Tonight I go to Sweden where with games running out, two teams are still playing for something with Helsingborg hosting Hammarby. Helsingborg are in a relegation battle, with Hammerby around mid table but relegation still not out of the question. A few more points would all but seal survival. Helsingborg are very much an overs side at home with 9 of their 12 going over 2.5 this season. They have conceded in every single home game this season and will likely today with Hammarby’s recent away form. Though with relegation a possibility, I think they’ll have a goal in them. They’ve scored in their last seven at home against this side and only failed to score twice at home all season.
Helsingborg/Hammarby BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals @ 20/21 @ 365 – 2.1 points
___________________________________________________________________________________________
September Totals
Bets 27
Points Staked 67.8
Points Returned 86.67
Profit/Loss +18.87
Sorry, not with it today.
September Totals
Bets 28
Points Staked 69.8
Points Returned 86.67
Profit/Loss +16.87
HOME UTD v YOUNG LIONS:
Main bet OVER 3.5 MGS…4/5
**WON**
?
3-2 and that’ll be the Full House ?
The closest I’ve ever come to having a cocktail was when I dropped a pork scratching into my pint of mild a few weeks ago by mistake.
But after getting a taste for it on Wednesday, I’m having another Singapore Sling this luchtime…
HOME UNITED VS. YOUNG LIONS (12.30 KO):
Young Lions scored 3 in a 7 goal epic the other day and I was right in the middle of the goals so this one stood out straight away on the daytime card when I dpotted it.
Both teams are involved in high scorers but are invariably on the losing side – of Home Utd’s last 9 games, 4 have seen 4 or more whilst Young Lions last 12 have seen 9 games at or over the magic mark!
A quick look at recent H2H’s
confirms my thinking with 2 games this year: a 2-2 draw and a 4-1 win for Home Utd.
Other information of note is that both games saw only 7 and 8 corners – which rules out a combo bet – and the second halves saw a combined total of 5 goals which interests me.
Four selections to consider with the first being the main stake:
OVER 3.5 MGS…4/5…**WON**
OVER 4.5 MGS…13/8…**WON**
BTTS 2ND HALF…13/8…**WON**
BTTS BOTH HALVES…9/1
**WON**
??
Cracking stuff hull ?
Gutted I missed this
This is top stuff sire @hullshaker
Cheers hull was on all apart from over 4.5! Dunno why I missed doing that one!
Lovely BTTS both half and 2nd half ??? waiting to get paid out on the last one.
Nice one – pork scratchings and a pint of mild. Two things Scots hate.
We’re more a Bellini and bruschetta nation.
?
Thanks Hull I was covering your bets (loose change) only got 8/1 on btts both halves with bet365 but the winnings should cover tonights bets
kedah v pdrm inplay
over 2.5mgls 1.66
(waiting for higher odds)
probably should of just took 1.66 haha
This is top stuff sire… Weldone
Everton btts
Real sociedad btts
Rennes over 1.5mgs
Leipzig over 1.5mgs
Returns a decent 5/1
Will probably have a flutter on Dutch & French league 2 games
Good luck all
Nurnberg v Union Berlin BTTS and Overs 4/5
RKC v PSV BTTS and Overs, Gibraltor v Red Imps > 2.5 MGS 1.3/1
SV Kapfenberg, LASK Linz > 2.5 MGS Double 1.6/1
Nimes, AC Ajaccio > 1.5 MGS Double 0.9/1
19+ goals needed hopefully spread nicely across these games – GL all today !
ATGS Guido Burgstaller 8/5 Nuremburg – cant say I remember him at Cardiff a couple of seasons ago – he only played a handful of times. The Austrian seems happier at Nuremburg with 5 in 7 this season and 3 in the last 2 games. Also netted against Union Berlin last season
muktidodda inplay (bangladesh) over 1.5 fhgls 1.72
sigma olomouc over 2.5 mgls 1.83
about to kick off
zvedva 2005 (w) over 2.5 mgls 1.72 currently ht
1 out of 3 at mo. looks like inplay runs come to an end today. Good luck tonight lads
Belgian Proximus league
Union Sint-Gillis v Tubeke
Union Sint-Gillis play against Tubeke in the Belgian second tier tonight. These teams average more than 3 goals a game (3,28 and 4,14).Union scored and conceded in every home game this season, Tubeke scored in all their away games this season. Both teams have 5 games out of 7 which saw BTTS and overs.
Nicolas Rajsel of Union Sint-Gillis is top of the goalscorers list with 8 goals in 7 games. He only failed to score in 1 game this season and also scored in the reverse fixture in the first game of the season (2-2). Tubeke have the worst defence in the league conceding 18 goals in 7 games. That is enough for me to back him to score tonight.
BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 with WH
Nicolas Rajsel to score anytime @ 2.18 with 888 / Unibet
jong psv to win?
Mr F what put you off Lukaku to score at Everton if you don’t mind me asking?
I think he will score today, 4 out of the last 3 games against palace he has scored and I think he will today against a vulnerable palace defence.
10/11 to score anytime seems a decent shout
will have a smaller punt on him first goalscorer at 10/3
Nothing really – but today I’m only taking one Super Single.
Glad I went for him first goal and anytime! ?
mr fix tips good afternoon were is ur super single….
In the usual place.
Bit of Croatian action for this afternoon…
ISTRA 1961 VS. RIJEKA (17.00 KO):
Top side Rijeka visit an Istra outfit who are well worth keeping on-side for a goal having netted in all of their most recent six games.
But it’s Rijeka who ought to have the upper hand with 4-2-0-5-3-2 team goals in an undefeated run of six games.
Two bets to consider:
OVER 2.5 MGS…13/10
OVER 2.5 RIJEKA TGS…11/4
?
Over 2.5 MGS looks a steal at 13-10! Only downer is that 4 of the last 5 between the two have gone under 2.5 but their kid recent two months ago finished 4-1. I’m on it plus Rijeka win & BTTS
Jong PSV are a massive price tonight! They currently top the Dutch she be division and are unbeaten in 8 games, winning 6. Their opponent have won 2 and lost 2 at home so far therefore it’s hardly their fortress!
Jong PSV DNB @ 3/2 NAP
Jong PSV win @ 12/5 NB
Jong PSV & BTTS @ 9/2 NNB
Their top scorer Sam Lammers was called up to play for PSV first team last weekend … may be the same this week with their mid week CL game in Russia and firs team playing Hereenveen tomorrow – possibly other players called up as well??
Lammers wasn’t in Russia. He will be in the squad tonight. They have added De Wijs, Jurjus and Poulsen from the first team.
Quick and dirty from me today as I’ve got a library to inhabit.
Den Bosch v Telstar O2.5 Match Goals
Graafschap v Dordrecht O1.5 Match Goals
Double @ 4/5 (BoyleSports)
–
Rennes v Guingamp
CA Bastia v Les Herbiers
O1.5 Match Goals Double @ Evens (Betstars)
Good luck tonight lads. Looking forward to getting stuck into tomorrow’s card.
“Quick and dirty from me as I’ve got a library to inhabit…”
Leroy sir – you’re not selling yourself in a good light there pal – what are you…a flasher, peeping -tom or just a general pervert ?
Funnily enough neither, @hullshaker! Unfortunately I’m buried in books with a dissertation to write. The above is just the result of my, as I’m often told, ‘way with words’. ;)
Haha – fair enough Leroy ?
well today i’m really struggling to find a reason to stop me backing over 2.5 on most of the dutch jupiler league games tonight, i’ve looked and looked and looked and all the stats seem to suggest that at least seven games will go over 3 goals, so i’m having it!! i’m thinking that the games at rkc, de graafschap and volendam appear less likely. so i’m going to do a seven fold at almost 16/1 with skybet, and a ten fold at 62/1
also liking the austrian erste division and can see goals in the games at neustadt linz and lustenau
similarly stats point to goals in belgium at oostende and Union St.-Gilloise, so i’ll make it a lucky 15 fold! a heady 1031/1 with bet victor!
1-1 in linz inside eight minutes and one at neustadt on six!
two safely over in austria, need tow more in lustenau game who were huge favourites to win and the smallest price over 2.5 on my coupon at 1/2, aint it always those games that mess you up??
the dream is over, ended 1-1, 15 to on corners but that third goal just wouldnt come, over to you then holland!
Rijeka go 2-0 up on 20 minutes…loads of cover for the over 2.5 mgs and over 2.5 tgs but I’ll be letting it run ?
Can’t believe there was no 3rd goal…and the home team should have had a penalty for a hand ball in added time. I took the cover so still made some money but it’s a shocker that there was no 3rd goal.
Aye, stood to make a ptetty penny as well…teach me not to cover!
Afternoon gents
It’s not a great card tonight, was struggling to find a NAP so not posting a NAP
A double and a treble from my from my usual French and Dutch leagues
Lens v Red Star
Reims v Auxerre
Lens / Reims double 7/4
Achilles v VVV
De Graafschap v Dordrecht
Den Bosch v Telstar
Over 2.5 goals treble pays 5/2
Ibrahimovic will start on Saturday at home to Stoke. Anyone fancy him to score another header anytime @ 9/1. I know I do. If you agree get straight over to 888sport. Fantastic price once again. This guy scores heeders for fun.
Recommended Bet
Man Utd vs Stoke
IBRAHIMOVIC TO SCORE A HEADER ANYTIME @ 9/1 (888sport)
On It again ??
Finally settled on this Dutch overs 4 fold
Den Bosch
Oss
RKC
Volendam
Al over 2.5mgs 4/1
inplay
union berlin double chance 13./8
there down 0-1
but nuernberg down to 10 men
3rd bottom plays 2nd top
They are both down to ten mate
on one of my fun weekend accas again
everton
Chelsea
Newcastle
hibearnian
Dortmund
psv
Bayern
juventus
man united
ajax
arsenal
barca
£5 returns the devil (£666) at 888sport
Unreal in Croatia – 1 goal needed in 80 minutes to bring in both bets…loads of cover…didn’t take it – 13/10 and 11/4…lost ?
Can you believe that the Sun newspaper are operating as a bookie now?
Evening Chris – can’t stand the Sun or anything to do with it but it doesn’t surprise me.
Great work with the Ibrahimovich bets pal…love it.
I’ll be staying well away.
Hope they go bust!
Not exactly but I know what you mean.
Decided my bets tonight were absolute crap and all lost (even at HT in Holland and France)!
Thinking same about my Dutch bets
Something a bit different from me
Fancy method of 1st goal on Everton game to be a header 15/4
Probably end up being a 35yd screamer now tho lol
Ive done exactly the same bet haha great minds. Got 4/1 on Unibet
**LOST** some free kick
There’s your screamer. Not too bothered as had £40 on a 1st half goal and Lukaku is in my dream team
Ffs there is the header thought would be one in game pity wasn’t 1st goal at least btts in now
Had a good return yesterday on team corners in the europa league so going for crystal palace team corners. Over 4.5 at 5/6. I think its a great price and has every chance of coming in
Cover available for Jong PSV…they just went 1 up
Aargh – Lukaku!
10/3 was a steal for first goal scorer! I impulse betted just before kick off…not my usual style but it paid off literally!
Den Bosch
Oss
RKC
Volendam
Al over 2.5mgs 4/1 **LOST**
insane night in Holland! only seven goals in jupiler league at ht, but 22 in the second half!
Motherwell disallowed goal!!! FFS had this shit last night
Goal Palace!
BTTS…3/4
**WON**
Took BTTS and over 2.5 goals @hullshaker
Thought it was a between bet for BTTS and over 3.5 goals.
So one more!! Shame one was disallowed when it was onside
Unlucky pal – thought we might’ve had a grandstand finish but not to be…over 3.5 lost.
Really pissed off after spotting that Lukaku/Benteke double @11/2 on ladbrokes today, always gonna come in
In play
Everton over 3.5mgs
Rennes to score
Returns 5/1
Worth a try
Lost
goal chalked off in Everton game just after bet placed
If goal stood bet probably would have came in both teams have it a go
Well done Mr Fixit with Callum Paterson. Managed to get him 4/1 anytime @ Betfred. Why is a defender only 11/1 for first goal and 4/1 anytime? I get Tavernier for Rangers is short for first and anytime but didn’t expect that short from a Hearts player. Oh well I’m glad I only opted for anytime.
Cheers but Paterson is that short because he scores plenty.
Mr Fixit you gave me the Callum Paterson winner so the winner I choose for you is an Ibrahimovic header @ 9/1 on Sun.
Celtic vs Dundee tomorrow.
Kieran Tierney is 40/1 first goal and 14/1 anytime @ Betfred. I’ll be on him as well as Lustig first 30/1 and 10/1 anytime with 888sport.
Loads of corners in everton match.
Crystal palace corners comes in. Over 4.5 corners was great value.
Got 2 lined up for tomorrow
Granada over 5.5 team corners 1.90
Lazio over 4.5 team corners and lazio to score over 0.5 goals double. 2.14.
Looking at game in Ecuador about to kick off with Fuerza at home to Emelec. Emelec are the stronger team but had mixed season so far from what i have seen. Therefore, its goals that interest me. Last 2 h2h have seen 2-1 scoreline with Emelec winning both. Last 4 games for Emelec have seen o2.5gls and Fuerza score and arent adverse to conceding either. Ill be on the following
o2,5gls EVENS
BTTS EVENS
Epic fail! Sorry if anyone got on this
22.00 KO’S…
CLUB SANDO
GENERAL DIAZ
OVER 2.5 MGS DOUBLE…1.45/1
Good luck ?
On it hull
Everton btts
Real sociedad btts
Rennes over 1.5mgs
Leipzig over 1.5mgs
Returns a decent 5/1 **LOST**
Poor night fortunately kept stakes low tonight
Thete’s your Pacos Ferreira equaliser Senor F ?
On way back on train to Groningen from the zwolle game cracking nite with the locals only bet was zwolle win btts went with the local “blauwvingers”they would though ……… f*ck the eagles…….. ha ha ha gallus arnhem game v groningen tomorrow another one am lookin forward tae if am sober enough tae catch the train south again……… magic stuff :D
Wee dabble on
Houston o3.5mgs 11/8
Btts in 1st half 9/4
Follow at yer peril burst………
Having a wee attempt at a night owl bet myself
Paraguay Division Profesional
Libertad vs Deportivo Capiata 00:10
The H2H record for this game shows a fairly strong trend towards goals when Libertad are at home. The scores have been 4-2, 3-3, 3-1, 2-1, 0-0, 2-1, 2-1
Libertad have seen 4 of their past 5 home league games over 2.5ftg and Capiata have also seen 4 of their past 5 away league games beat this goal line
I’m going to slightly increase the risk behind the natural over 2.5ftg and go for
Over 3 ftg @ 2.30
Ecuador Primera A
Barcelona Guayaquil vs El Nacional 1:45am
The home side do their Spanish namesakes proud with their home record being unbeaten in their last 20 home games and they’ve won 17 of these 20 including their last 9 in a row. They have cleared a one goal handicap in all 9 of these games
El Nacional are no mugs but have lost 3-0 on their last two visits to Barcelona
Barcelona Guayaquil -1.5AH @ 2.35
Mexico Liga MX
Tijuana vs Atlas 3am
H2H shows Tijuana have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of the last 6 when at home but have managed at least two goals on 4 of these occasions, including 6 in their last 2.
Tijuana currently sit top of the table with a 100% home record after 5 games scoring 11 and conceding just once and only failing to score at least twice on one occasion
Atlas have taken just two points from 5 away games, conceding 11 goals in the process and after getting a 0-0 in their first away game of the season, they’ve lost at least two goals in every other away game despite not playing anyone currently higher than 6th
Tijuana over 1.5tg @ 1.66
Treble pays 9.00
Like it Richard thanks.
I’m going to add New York City to score 2 at 2.40 to make it a Yankee (no pun intended). NYC have the second best away record in the MLS against a team struggling near the bottom. NYC also have the incentive to win to go top after Toronto’s draw midweek.
Belgium First Division A (19:30)
KV Oostende vs Sint-Truidense – KV Oostende win
England Premier League (20:00)
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 10 match corners
double 9/5 **NAP** LOST
Mixed 5-fold
KV Oostende vs Sint-Truidense – KV Oostende win
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 2.5 MG’s
Everton vs Crystal Palace – over 10 match corners
Real Sociedad vs Real Betis – over 1.5 MG’s
Southampton U23 vs Bristol City U23 – over 2.5 MG’s
8.59/1 LOST
Certainly didn’t go to plan today :( well done all with winners. Hopefully with a full weekend of football, darts, boxing and UFC I’ll scheme a nice comeback.
I have been on your NAPS mate.. cracking stuff past few days with decent odds
Was thinking about cashing out when Oostende went 2-1 up but I thought they will hold on
Cheers @garry I literally just got in from work to find it had lost, it seems today unfortunately Sint-Truidense decided to raise their game. Usually Oostende are quite a tough nut to crack at home seeing off the likes of Gent and Anderlecht regularly but today it just seems like Sint-Truidense started the process of halting their rot, onwards.
Evening gents. It was a no show in Sweden with only Hammarby getting their goal. 2.1 points lost but ends September in profit which is never bad.
I’m starting October in Mexico with Tijuana hosting Atlas. The home side lead the Apertura with a few games remaining but still haven’t sealed first place for the playoff stage. They have won all five of their home games, and with Atlas losing three of five on the road conceding twice or more in four, they should concede a few tonight. However, prices are fairly short so I’m taking a goalscorer which I’ve taken before and he’s done the job. Dayro Moreno has nine goals in eleven games and has scored in four of Tijuanas’ five home games. He is on penalty duty and if I’m not mistaken will attempt the free kicks too. A good price for his season form.
Dayro Moreno (Tijuana) Anytime @ 11/10 @ 365 – 2.5 points – Mexico – 3:00AM
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Final September Totals
Bets 29
Points Staked 71.9
Points Returned 86.67
Profit/Loss +14.77
Profit Percentage +20.54%