Racing Tips: Mama knows best at Southwell

newcastle racing

IT was one each-way winner on Saturday with the other missing out by a place.

So it was a 1.8pt loss on the day and October is now 5.56pts down, Well done all winners on Saturday and good luck today.

Southwell 1.30

Jay Kay has won his last two races at Ayr from marks of 71 & 76 but runs today from a mark of 74. He won with more in hand both times, those last two wins were in much stronger races, class 3 & class 4 handicaps whereas today’s race is a class 5. That means he has to give weight to all bar one horse but is running from a 2lb lower mark than his last run.

Jay Kay has also won at Southwell before and his form on soft and heavy ground is good so the surface isn’t a problem. All in all there doesn’t seem to be a negative so Jay Kay really should be winning this.

Southwell 2.30

Mama Africa is 21 runs into her career but has yet to taste success. This is a weak race and she is the top-rated horse here so is well in at the weights. She hasn’t run on this surface yet but looks to me like she will like the fibresand with her high knee action.

Although she hasn’t won yet her form stands out and it’s only last year she ran 11th out of 30 in a class 1 at the Curragh. That was a €148,000 to the winner race and she was only beaten four lengths. Her best runs come in testing conditions so that is another positive for this course and I really can’t see her getting beat here.

Johnb’s Sunday Tips

Johnb’s Antepost Tips Update

  • 1000 Guineas
  • CLEMMIE advised at 25-1
  • Now 7-2 betfred best price and as low as 5/2 betway
  • The Oaks
  • MAGICAL advised at 33-1
  • Now 14-1 best price and as low as 8-1 boylesports

 

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    27 Comments
    1. Profile photo of tipsultan
      tipsultan 9 months ago

      Leopardstown
      3.30- Bye Bye baby- 6/4- (NAP/NB)- 3 points

    2. Profile photo of chilleden
      chilleden 9 months ago

      Custard The Dragon 3.05 Southwell.

      Great course form. You have tipped him before John B. At 4s looks a good each way bet to nothing.

    3. Profile photo of thehawk
      thehawk 9 months ago

      Know the truth 2.30 southwell
      Piazon 4.40 southwell
      Serenity now 5.10 southwell

      good luck folks

    4. Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 9 months ago

      NAP CANNONBALL 6/4 4.00 leop
      NB THE LITTLE INDIAN 7/2 5.00 leop

      BOL

    5. Profile photo of
      9 months ago

      2.30 South – Bo Selecta
      3.05 South – Lady Perignon
      3.40 South – Very First Blade

      Good Luck

    6. Profile photo of
      9 months ago

      Afternnon all . Well done yesterdays winners. Managed 2 myself 11/4 and 7/2 bit of profit for a change.

      KEMPTON

      14.40. .SAINT CONTEST. . 15/2

      16.50. . FLIGHT COMMANDER. . 9/2

      just 2 small stakes

      The rest of the meeting P NICHOLS has 6 horses out nothing clever picking these but i have done various multiple bets on them.Might be worth a look.

      Of for my usual Sunday few games of snooker watch the football and racing and a few beers.
      so

      gl all

    7. Profile photo of jimron12
      jimron12 9 months ago

      Bound over in Ireland 4.00 11/2 small bet on it don’t fancy anything else today

    8. Profile photo of spurs55
      spurs55 9 months ago

      on that already jimron great minds!!

    9. Profile photo of thehawk
      thehawk 9 months ago

      Jay Kay 6/4 out to 11/4 tailed off any stewards enquiry ????

    10. Profile photo of database
      database 9 months ago

      230 s EPONINA 7/2
      255 l DRGON GIRL 6/1
      510 s SERENITY NOW 10/3

    11. Profile photo of azzthewigan
      azzthewigan 9 months ago

      free stone hill 2.40 very first blade 3.40 ayresome angel 4.40 treble strike 5.10 ew l15 ew singles well done all winners yesterday

    12. Profile photo of wn
      wn 9 months ago

      Supreme horse racing knowledge John B, thanks for Mama Afria, great drift.

      What happened with Jay Kay?

      • Profile photo of Johnb Author
        Johnb 9 months ago

        Southwell, 22 Oct 17

        Race 1 – 1:30pm
        THE BRAMLEY APPLE HANDICAP STAKES (CLASS 5)

        The performance of JAY KAY, which finished unplaced, was considered. K. R. Burke could offer no explanation for the gelding’s performance. The Veterinary Officer reported that a post-race examination of JAY KAY during routine testing failed to reveal any abnormalities.

        My own view is that for all the movement onboard the horse it all looked a bit false as the horse was showing signs of wanting to do more, I thought connections might have said the horse couldn’t dominate from the front as they would have liked but I see it as the jockey could have done more to dominate the pace of the race but after saying that, I may be wrong and there might be a valid reason for that well below par performance

        On the plus side the bookie that has done me out of 17k “IBAS still investigating it” has just been taken for six figures by one Johnb Racing Club member with their bet on Mama Africa

    13. Profile photo of de niro
      de niro 9 months ago

      2-55
      Magic of the Sea 7/1
      Air of Nobility 7/1

      10 points win on each
      20 points total

      October minus 98 points after just 3 days ☹️

      • Profile photo of Mr Fixit
        Mr Fixit 9 months ago

        Here’s a better idea – go and count your toys instead.
        No one’s impressed.

    14. Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 9 months ago

      Great NAP johnb

    15. Profile photo of wn
      wn 9 months ago

      JohnB what did you think of Kenya there at Leopardstown?

      • Profile photo of Johnb Author
        Johnb 9 months ago

        He did it well enough with a little left in the tank but it wasn’t the strongest of races

    16. Profile photo of spurs55
      spurs55 9 months ago

      well done jimron and spurs55
      great minds !!

    17. Profile photo of Johnb Author
      Johnb 9 months ago

      Johnb’s Monday Tips

      Pontefract
      4:20
      Aristo Du Plessis 9/1 bet365

      Pontefract
      4:50
      Minotaur 11/10 NAP/NB bet365 (double stake)

      Double 20/1

    18. Profile photo of jimron12
      jimron12 9 months ago

      Well done jb had a small double on ours today £10 double went along way today 👍

    19. Profile photo of jimron12
      jimron12 9 months ago

      Busy tomorrow two for me are

      Sir roderic 9/1 3.10

      And

      Tuff rock 11/2 3.20

      For a quick fire ew double

    20. Profile photo of
      9 months ago

      well done johnb
      went a bit too heavy on jay kay
      and left mama africa out
      had a good treble on and cashed out b4 kenya
      aagh

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