I WAS pleased to land another Super Single winner as St Johnstone came from behind to beat Morton in the League Cup and cover the -1 handicap.
It was a 2.1pts winner rather than 2.4 because I advised cover near the end and three out of four on the goals bet resulted in a 0.5pt loss thanks to Arsenal failing to even score.
I’d love to return the Super Single to profit tonight after a good comeback over the last week and that explains the bet I’ve chosen.
With cup games dominating again tonight it promises to be tricky but there are also eight Serie A matches to consider and home wins for top two Roma and Napoli pays 4-5 at Coral.
That double could have been the SS but instead I’m going for both teams to score 2+ at slightly higher odds of evens. Both doubles should land and I’m especially confident about Roma who have netted two or more goals in their last seven meetings at home to Udinese and 20 in their last six matches. None of those six have resulted in a clean sheet so Roma and both to score is worth a look at 11-5 with William Hill.
Both Roma and Napoli have won three and drawn one at home this season scoring 12 and 11 goals respectively. Napoli won 1-0 at Chievo at the weekend but previous to that scored 14 in five. They’ve netted exactly three in their last two at home to Palermo so again they should win and score 2+.
Take your pick – Napoli and Roma to win or Napoli and Roma to score 2+. The points on the bet is simply because I only need a small win to return to profit and that’s the main aim with four daysof the month remaining.
Elsewhere in Italy champions Juventus, unbeaten in five, should win at Sassuolo as they return to form and I’d expect Milan to edge out Chievo but they’re maybe a little short at 8-11.
I’ve posted a separate preview on the Hearts v Celtic League Cup quarter-final while in England the Capital One Cup games again are best left alone until line-ups are revealed.
Man City are putting out a strong side against Middlesbrough and whie Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp will be keen to notch his first win at the fourth attempt against Bournemouth he’s playing some youngsters.
Man United tackle Crystal Palace and if Southampton don’t make too many changes they’ll be a decent bet against managerless Aston Villa but Ronald Koeman could rotate.
I’d rather go for goals and I’m taking Hearts v Celtic for reasons stated in the preview. Add Verona v Fiorentina with both sides bringing up the market in four out of five and the last two meetings ending 3-5 and 1-2. Might as well complete the treble with Roma v Udinese.
Other contenders included Feyenoord v Ajax, Schalke v Moenchengladbach, Standard Liege v Mechelen and Liverpool v Bournemouth.
The advised accas losses, including long shots, is just under 20pts which is better than it was a week ago. I’m not going to chase it over the next four days but I’m prepared to lose another four or five points in a bid to improve the tally so I’m putting up one long shot. Don’t back if you don’t like it – if you do it’s a 1pt bet max.
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2pts Super Single
Roma to score 2+ (7.45pm)
Napoli to score 2+ (7.45pm)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Roma v Udinese
Hearts v Celtic (7.45pm)
Verona v Fiorentina (7.45pm)
(51-10, 10bet, 888sport)
1pt Long Shot
Roma to score 3+
Schalke v M’gladbach btts (7.30pm)
Juventus -1 AH (7.45pm)
Standard Liege v Mechelen btts (7.30pm)
Man Utd v Middlesbrough under 2.5 goals (8pm)
(30-1, 888sport, 28-1 bet365)
October Super Single stats
26 bets (11 winners)
51 bets (8 winners)
*Includes long shots
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.
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