OCT 22: JOHNB’S RACING TIPS AND CHAT

RacingTips_WH

JOHNB made it two great days in a row thanks to two singles and a double.

Prize Money won in the afternoon and later Fly finished fast to make it a double on the date made famous by one Mr McFly. So that’s a 9.13pt profit after a 10pt win on Tuesday.

October is now a 14.78pt loss – much better than it was two days. Well done everyone who kept the faith.

If you’ve made enough Prize Money go out and buy a Delorean.

Johnb’s Thursday Tips

Ludlow 3.10
Arzal 11-8 NAP/NB Bet365

Chelmsford 7.25
Mezzotint 5/2 Bet365

Double
Arzal & Mezzotint 7.31-1 Bet365

102 Comments
  1. Dariusz 1 year ago

    Timeform comments:

    Arzal (5 out of 5 stars): Useful 2m novice hurdler for this yard last season. Runner-up twice over fences in France prior to that and potentially on a good mark back chasing after a break. Hard to beat.
    Form: 136P1-8
    Race commentary: chase, 1m 7f 212y. This sharp test should be ideal for ARZAL and Harry Whittington’s charge, who had experience of chasing in France, is expected to take plenty of pegging back on his return to action. The emphasis on speed might not be quite so suitable for Murrayana, but he was steadily progressive over hurdles last season and might still be the one to chase the selection home.

    Mezzotint (5 out of 5 stars): C&D winner. Latest win here 12 days ago. Creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (7/2) at Wolverhampton (7.2f) 3 days later, needing stronger gallop. Has good chance on form.
    Form: 048014
    Race commentary: flat, 1m. MEZZOTINT saw off bang in-form course specialist Kalon Brama over C&D 12 days ago and was unlucky not to finish much closer at Wolverhampton 3 days later, so needs treating as though still at the top of his game. He therefore can confirm placings with that rival, with Use Your Filbert another to note back from a short break on AW debut.

  2. Dariusz 1 year ago

    What a great finish from Fly & Tylicki. Thanks JohnB.

  3. johnb 1 year ago

    9.13 point profit today
    October now a 14.78 loss
    It’s getting a bit better with a 19.13 point profit in two days

  4. Bertie 1 year ago

    The fly flies in ! Looked beaten but what a turn of foot well done johnb on today’s double !

  5. johnb 1 year ago

    Thanks again everyone I know you have had to be patient but that’s part of gambling

  6. Big gee 1 year ago

    Well done johnb credit where it’s due with a good couple of days.. keep it up fella.

  7. davyb 1 year ago

    lyric street 3.10 lud
    ascotdeux nellierie 3.45 lud
    ben cee pee m 3.35 south
    stamp of authority 7.55 ch

  8. Rookie 1 year ago

    Nice one johnb. I didnt bother with singles today as i was so confident with the double!

  9. Bertie 1 year ago

    Johnb it’s all about patience discipline and thinking long term that’s the key well done !

  10. johnb 1 year ago

    I am keeping the 5/2 on Mezzotint for my stats but just to let people know that 3/1 is available with hills paddy power betvictor coral betway betfred skybet

  11. Rubyhardie 1 year ago

    Well done Johnb. Not been on your last few winners but delighted you’ve had a change of luck. Well played

  12. Alex 1 year ago

    JohnB-You can still get 7.8/1 at Betfair for the double tomorrow and 3/1 for Mezzotint. Feel free to update those numbers.

  13. johnb 1 year ago

    Alex just mentioned about 3/1 in a comment but as I say, I will keep the 5/2 for stats

    It was because Arzal kept shortening that I just posted bet365 odds
    6/4 was available at ladbrokes when I posted but knew that would be gone before I posted

  14. johnb 1 year ago

    Alex thanks for pointing that out to everyone

  15. Rookie 1 year ago

    Couldnt resist an acca of all of richard johnson’s rides and mezzotint tomorrow. 50p returns £612

  16. cooldude 1 year ago

    nice one JB

  17. Jimron12 1 year ago

    Western Miller 2.20 nap just gone into 10/11
    Red hammer 2.10 NB 10/11 aswell

    Also the first two favs at thurles should win aim bet the nap though

    Good luck all

    Also got two small ew fancies for tomorrow

    The pier 4.05 9/1 well treated first run new trainer

    The conker club 3.50 13/2 back over hurdles been in good form.

  18. winnerallright 1 year ago

    Sir johnb you are a great man. Delighted things have turned around for ya. A great tipster always shows his true class. Well done mate. Very interested to see how Idaho runs in leopardstown on Sunday. I think il have a small little investment at 25’s

  19. johnb 1 year ago

    Johnb
    6 hrs, 49 mins ago

    After having a 33/1 winner the last two years, TAGHROODA 2014 Oaks &
    GOLDEN HORN 2015 Derby

    It’s time for my Derby pick for 2016
    I normally like to wait till early next season to see how horses come through the winter but because I can see this horses odds being cut a lot before next year, I am going to tip him now

    He isn’t 33/1 like Taghrooda & Golden Horn but at 25/1 it’s not far off

    IDAHO (Ire)
    Age: 2 (Foaled March 14th, 2013)
    Sex: Bay Colt
    Breeding: Galileo (Ire) – Hveger (Aus)
    Trainer: A P O’Brien
    Owner: Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

    One run so far and one win at the Curragh over 1 mile, beating Jim Bolger’s Theodorico by 3 1/2 lengths
    That was over one mile but this horse is bred to be a 1m 4f horse
    He races again on the 25th but there is also another horse in the race that I had on my shortlist who needs to improve but should improve
    He is called A YEAR TO REMEMBER so will be good to see them race each other but I have to back Idaho now

    2016 Epsom Derby

    IDAHO 25/1 Skybet Ladbrokes William Hill Boylesports Betfred

  20. johnb 1 year ago

    Winnerallright Foundation is favourite for the Derby but my opinion is there is no chance of him getting the distance
    I also want to see how Emotionless comes back from injury but at the moment Idaho is the one to be on but if A Year To Remember also runs at weekend then it’s going to be a very informative clash
    The Dosage Index helps and I use it but I also use what I see visually when a horse runs

  21. johnb 1 year ago

    For anyone that doesn’t know what the Dosage Index is its a system that uses figures from a horses breeding to give us an idea of what speed and stamina a horse should have.
    It’s the only system that I would ever use but I also use what I see personally when a horse runs

    Just like Sectional timing is big in America so is the Dosage Index but not enough people in this country use them

    On a horses breeding there are five numbers
    These five numbers have the names in this order

    Brilliant
    Intermediate
    Class
    Solid
    Professional

    It is said that a perfect Derby horse will have a

    Dosage Index (DI) figure of 1.0

    And a

    Centre of distribution (CD) figure of 0

    It’s not 100% but it’s a good guide

    Golden Horn had a (DI) 1.38 & (CD) 0.29

    Australia (DI) 1.0 & (CD) 0.13

    Ruler of the World (DI) 1.05 & (CD) 0.26

    Workforce (DI) 1.00 & ((CD) 0.23

    Some of next years horses

    Idaho (DI) 1.20 & (CD) 0.27

    A Year To Remember (DI) 0.93 & (CD) 0.12

    Foundation (DI) 2.60 & (CD) 0.67

    Foundation is the favourite for next years Derby but those figures say he can’t win

    I will try and explain it all in better detail

  22. johnb 1 year ago

    Also meant to say if only the connections of Frankel had been brave enough to run him in the Derby

    Frankel (DI) 0.94 & (CD) 0.10

  23. Liam 1 year ago

    on yesterdays double nice one johnb. keep up the good work, appreciated.

  24. Rookie 1 year ago

    16.05 So The pier 12/1
    16.35 So Bilzic 4/1
    17.55 Ch Nietzsche 9/2
    15.50 Th The Conker club 13/2

    E/w fancy
    16.25 Ca Dutch canyon 20/1

  25. Haigh 1 year ago

    Interesting read on the dosage index something I wasn’t aware of great to learn new things cheers johnb

  26. cooldude 1 year ago

    john thats great info. is there a site i can read up more on dosage index?

  27. cooldude 1 year ago

    dosage index

  28. Luke A 1 year ago

    Johnb, well done the last couple days. All the best of luck with turning that deficit around into profit. I have a feeling you may well pull it off!!
    One thing I do have to say though, is quit doing yourself out of extra points. If the price you quote is the price available at the exact time you posted your comment, then keep those for your stats. If it shortens within the next 10 minutes so be it. It’s the odds that are available when you post that are the ones that should count (unless of course the SP ends up greater). Otherwise, you should now change your Mezzotint odds to 3/1, and change the odds for double too. Cos at the moment, you’re losing out on points in two ways. I personally think your odds should just be whatever they are when you quote (or SP if bigger) regardless whether they get cut immediately or not

  29. Luke A 1 year ago

    You lost out on two points the other day with Caulfields Venture, as you changed your quoted odds to 5/1, even though 6/1 was briefly available after you posted

  30. Haigh 1 year ago

    Can anyone tell me how I go about getting a profile pick or is it called a avatar lol

  31. maxi 1 year ago

    great tip with the fly and the gadolphin horse i follow appelby and bin suroor loyaly and your tip just put the icing on the very big cake

  32. maxi 1 year ago

    gadolphin will run riot at chelmsford tmoz all there horses look the part

  33. Haigh 1 year ago

    Cheers Mr fixit

  34. Garfo 1 year ago

    Cheers dav dog ew thief for your comment yesterday.was out pm so did not c till am today.

  35. Alanm 1 year ago

    Nap Nietzsche 3/1 5.55 Chelmsford
    NB Amuse Me 3/1 4.25 Carlisle

  36. Billy 1 year ago

    I was the guy yesterday talking about having my new baby well what can I say I put JohnB tips into my own tip and wow so happy your odds no offence were for posh people I don’t have £100 to put on a horse to win £200 back so I put fly’prize money and my own tip I studied Southdown lad at 9/1 for a triple and got around 40/1 can’t remember exact so £10 ew won around £460 plus a £25 ew on Southdown lad by the stats loved gs and did so won £350 so £800 can’t believe off to buy £300 worth of nappies lol all enjoy your beers :)
    My figures my not be exact for critics it was over £800 and not looked today but will only £20 today tho :)thanks JohnB solid tips

  37. Duncan Poundcake 1 year ago

    In the hope that he is. Bennys Well 4..55.Carlisle

  38. jimron12 1 year ago

    Johnb dont you feel a year to remember is a guinaes horse maybe irish 2000? Ivehesrd there pretty sweet on him and wouldnt be suprised to see himbeat idaho over what i feel is his better distance?

  39. jimron12 1 year ago

    Rookie

    just noticed you have gone for my two little ew bets let hope were both right!

  40. tony maxwell 1 year ago

    Looking at Carlisle Richard Johnson could have a good day anyone any thoughts

  41. mig 1 year ago

    Agree with the godolphin horses tonight think theyll have a good night odds are getting very short already though.

    couple from me

    14.00 southwell shantou tiger 5/1
    14.30 southwell Going nowhere fast 7/4
    20.55 chelm ershaadaat 2/1
    17.25 chelm galvanise 13/8

    gl

  42. robbo 1 year ago

    NAP DON PADEJA EW 7-1

  43. Garfo 1 year ago

    JOHNSON LOOKS LIKE SOME GOOD RIDES TODAY AT CARLISLE….POSSIBLE.. LUCKY 31?5 RIDES….NOT A GREAT FAN BUT COMING INTO THR GROOVE RIGHT NOW.CHOW

  44. Ew thief 1 year ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    MOLKO JACK 2.30S
    BIGINDIE 3.25C
    NAUTICAL WIT 3.35S
    PEKANHEIM 4.55C
    GL ALL

  45. robbo 1 year ago

    SLIPPER SATIN IN THE 4-25 CARLISLE 9-1

  46. Johny Banker 1 year ago

    THU 2 BANKER BETS Ludlow 4.15 No 5 Buttergrove King Max Nap Carlisle 3.55 No 5 Courtown Oscar Max double

  47. robbo 1 year ago

    HELLBEREMBERED 4-20 THURLES WON THIS RACE LAST YEAR 11-2

  48. andy 1 year ago

    court town oscar 15.55 7/4
    hadfield 3.25 11/8

    double

  49. andy 1 year ago

    4.55 carlisle bennys well 4/1 could be a great bet?

  50. Recoba 1 year ago

    Testies

  51. Big T 1 year ago

    Hello all.

    Naughty Molly ew 4.50 Thurles 12/1

  52. HELEN 1 year ago

    Forty crown 425 carl ew
    Gluk all today…
    Good last two days johnb.hope it continues sir.

  53. trickytjm 1 year ago

    Small investment in SHANTOU TIGER 14:00 STH – seems good value at 7/1 with the chasing experience

  54. jules 1 year ago

    Well done again jimron glad i ignored red hammer

  55. Carter 1 year ago

    Silk hall 2.50 8/1

  56. -a-n-d-y- 1 year ago

    1st Arzal 😀

    Cheers Johnb!

  57. Alex 1 year ago

    Nice one John B should have been your Nap of the century!!

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 1 year ago

      Alex, 3 days ago people were calling for Johnb’s head – just as we didn’t listen.
      All tipsters have good and bad runs but Johnb always bounces back.

      • Alex 1 year ago

        Mr F- the way I see it is that it’s my money and I choose to place the bet. If it looses then I have only myself to blame irrespective of the tip. I think we all need to asses the strength of any tip if you are playing for decent money rather than just following blind. I think it’s slightly different if you are playing to level stakes as JohnB will win you that money back and it is less of a liability. I am sure we have always had that really strong feeling that a tip will win before placing a bet. I just wish I only always backed those tips as I would be filthy rich.

  58. Paul Durcan 1 year ago

    great tip johnb thanks.

  59. Carter 1 year ago

    3.25 shear rock

  60. Ryan H 1 year ago

    Fantastic John B

  61. robbo 1 year ago

    well done johnb did your double again come on mezzotint

  62. Recoba 1 year ago

    Wee Ee Trixie for intrest next 3 races..
    JIGSAW FINANCIAL..3.35 15/2
    ANGUS GLEN…3.40 7/4
    TEOLEENA…13/2

  63. Recoba 1 year ago

    Cheers Johnb…glad i got on early last night 😉

  64. Stevie 1 year ago

    John b is back in town!!! ARZAL Great stuff

    Tried to post this morning

  65. Stevie 1 year ago

    Now only posting half my comment grrr
    4:25 Carlisle AMUSE ME was 9/4 now 2/1

    Gl all

  66. robbo 1 year ago

    test

  67. OriaZ 1 year ago

    Johnb! Never in doubt! Great stuff.

  68. Martin 1 year ago

    Johny Banker well played mate nice two winners, didn’t take them as singles or a double on their own myself, but have them tied into accas

  69. robbo 1 year ago

    Hell,beremembered get in there boooooooooooooooooooooom

  70. The Rat 1 year ago

    Cheers AlanM, that was a lovely ride

  71. Rich11133 1 year ago

    Classy from RJ there. Not he easiest of rides considering what he had under him.

    Cheers Alanm

  72. DENZEL 1 year ago

    Well done Jb!!! My Nap / NB for tonight is emirates comfort 1/1 8:25 £€$£€$£€ money coming 😉

  73. Centrecircle 1 year ago

    ALANM…cheers for your NB mate

  74. Centrecircle 1 year ago

    As i said last week all tippsters have bad/good runs and it was only a matter of time before Johnb returned to winners,hes stiil points down for the month however but still time to return to profit

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 1 year ago

      Centrecircle, anyone who just starting backing him won’t worry too much about that – they’ll think he’s a genius.

  75. swfc 1 year ago

    Great stuff JohnB. Thank you

  76. The Postman 1 year ago

    i have gone for the four Godolphin horses at Chelmsford City tonight.

    5:55 – Gameplay @ 4/1
    6:55 – Great Example @ 5/5
    8:25 – Emirates Comfort @ 10/11
    8:55 – Ershaadaat @ 2/1

  77. Duncan Poundcake 1 year ago

    Any Bold Predictions for tonight ?

  78. winnerallright 1 year ago

    Well done johnb with arzal & Gluk later. John that’s great info about the dosage index & how breeding certain type horses & what distances suits them can be calculated etc. For example, Does Golden Horns (DI) figure of 1.38 give reason as to why he was so good at a mile & upwards to the 1m4f Derby distance, due to his great turn of foot speed?

  79. Rich11133 1 year ago

    Jassur smashed Alan’s Naps race. Cheers for Nb, would have been. Beautiful double.

    Johns double to come in now

  80. Rookie 1 year ago

    Well done all on what looks like a tough day. Absolute pants for me today.
    Although i did manage to get on greatrex at 15/2 and it romped home at 11s! I couldnt post it as i dont have wi fi at work and i still cant post when using mobile data. I do hope this changes with the new site!??
    I wonder if dougie had a dabble too.

  81. Rookie 1 year ago

    I dont think ruth carr has sent james sullivan and ellal to wolves in the last tomorrow for the fun of it. Could be a decent e/w gooj.

  82. Twyman9 1 year ago

    Any early picks for Cheltenham tomorrow John B I see drumlee sunset getting backed already?

  83. Mig 1 year ago

    Crap day so far except for johnbs done a double of emirates comfort and ershadaatt and hopefully Johns second comes in. Gl all

  84. johnb 1 year ago

    Winnerallright Golden Horns figures said he would be a 1m to 1m2f horse because 1.38 is a bit high for 1m 4f
    You don’t really want a figure above 1.20 but as with Golden Horn I& Frankel it’s all about the horse, I could see Golden Horn would get 1m 4f because of the way he ran
    As for Frankel his figures said he was a Derby horse

  85. Eye on the prize 1 year ago

    Big drift in mezzotint as the cash pours on royal attitude !!!!

  86. johnb 1 year ago

    Friday’s Tips

    Newbury
    1:50
    Mutarajjil 15/8 NAP/NB hills betvictor

    Cheltenham
    3:55
    Vintage Vinnie 7/2 bet365

    Double
    Mutatajjil & Vintage Vinnie 11.46/1 hills betvictor

  87. Eye on the prize 1 year ago

    The money spoke there , never in doubt off the turn

  88. Dariusz 1 year ago

    Timeform comments:

    Mutarajjil (4 out of 5 stars): Foaled April 8. 105,000 gns yearling, Acclamation colt. Half-brother to several winners, including useful winner up to 5f Light The Fire and useful 7f winner Cadley Road. Dam 6f winner
    Form: no history.
    Race commentary: flat, 6f 110y. BEDROCK looked very promising when fourth on debut at this venue last month, and though he didn’t build on that in sales company at Newmarket, he’s well worth another chance back in calmer waters. Take The Helm is open to progress after one start, while Mutarajjil is a likely newcomer.

    Vintage Vinnie (5 out of 5 stars): Irish point/bumper winner who left hurdles form well behind when easy winner of Worcester maiden on chase bow last month, making all and jumping superbly, Likely to go well.
    Form: 35243-1
    Race commentary: chase, 3m 80y. VINTAGE VINNIE made a very good impression when slamming a subsequent winner on chase bow at Worcester last month, jumping superbly from the front, and can make his presence felt in this stronger grade. Ballykan and A Good Skin have also looked chasers to follow and need considering, too.

  89. robbo 1 year ago

    think the draw beat him johnb what you think

  90. cooldude 1 year ago

    John, why is it US jockeys have a completely different riding style compared to their Ireland and england counterparts?
    If you watch most US jockeys in a finish, it looks like they are barely applying pressure.

    Compare this to a professional english or Irish jockey who can be clearly seen physically lifting their mounts over the finish line.

    That is not to say the US jockeys riding style is any worse or better in the long run.

  91. Jimron12 1 year ago

    6/6 for my naps got a lovely little bank balance starting to grow.

    Johnb brilliant again glad I got on last night when you posted! Have noticed a year from now is also entered on Saturday aswell!? Could be interesting if he keeps them both in

  92. Jimron12 1 year ago

    Have a shortlist of 4 tomo as My nap will post later…..

  93. winnerallright 1 year ago

    Thanks johnb for the feedback. Interesting stuff is that dosage index. Cheers mate & goodluck 2moro

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