RAFA NADAL'S recent revival faces the acid test today as the Spaniard goes into battle against Stan Wawrinka in the Shanghai Masters quarter-finals.
Nadal made the Beijing final last week but didn't beat any top-quality opponent on the way and although he's accounted for Milos Raonic and Ivo Karlovic this week Wawrinka is a big step up in class.
The world No.4 – fresh from his title triumph in Tokyo last week – has won the last two meetings with Nadal and can make it three in a row today at 5-4 with Paddy Power.
My treble was let down yesterday by Richard Gasquet and his conqueror Bernie Tomic now tackles world No.1 Novak Djokovic.
I fancy Kevin Anderson's match with Jo-Wilfried Tsonga to go to three sets and Andy Murray to rack up a third straight win this year over Tomas Berdych.
British women's No.1 Heather Watson bids to reach the Hong Kong Open last four and is 5-2 underdog with Marathonbet who make her opponent Samantha Stosur 7-19.
Elsewhere today there's the likes of Test cricket – England and Pakistan's drudge match in Abu Dhabi – plus Pro12 rugby union so let's hear all your sporting tips and thoughts and good luck with your bets.
Scott's tennis double
Wawrinka
Murray
(2.1-1, Ladbrokes)
Although Nadal is way far from his form, but I think he’s gradually getting back to the Old self, I’d pick the game to stretch over 3 sets as well. My top Tips for tennis today:
Nadal vs Wawrinka — 3 sets
Djokovic
Murray
Tsonga
WTA
Kerber
Jankovic
Pliskova
Radwanska
Brown
Brands
Harry-Fritz
£100 returns £483 – WON
IN PLAY
Brown 2-0
Millot
£140 returns £283 – WON
Anderson
Nadal
£100 returns £333.40
Falcons -4.5
£130 returns £305.90
IN PLAY
Falcons to win 1st half (losing 7-0)
£100 returns £250
Falcons to win the match (losing 14-0)
£100 returns £300
Djokovic uner 12.5 games 4/7 @paddy power looks a steal.
Djokovic under 12.5 games 4/7
Murray 4/9
IN PLAY
Eguchi 2-0
Hozumi 2-0
91 returns 308
@SAM
Why are u posting selections with WON next to it when you have not posted it before hand
Falcons, WOW! Haha!
Freeman is some back.
Jordan/thechief thanks boys just seen Bress easily covered his passing yds and Freeman easily covered his rushing yds. Gutted I didn’t see the ingrem/freeman double td at a lovely price.
TNF – Falcons @ Saints (Friday Morning)
Drew Brees (Saints) Over 300.5 Passing Yards @ 5/6 @ Bet-Fair – 3 points **WIN** 312
Devonta Freeman (Falcons) Over 140.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards @ 10/11 @ Ladbrokes – 1.1 point **WIN** 156
Jacksonator tell your mrs you don’t win money in your sleep (even though I would have it I slept through the game) :D
Oh meant to be on the old thread haha, cheers dave. I didn’t even think of the TD double to be honest but in hindsight would have been a great bet.
Jordan
U
Rock bro
Jordan, thanks for last nights NFL tips. Great work yet again. Only just started betting on the NFL this season after seeing some of your comments on the football thread about how profitable you found it.
NHL
Lightening (60 mins) @ 1.95 *lost*
Blues (money line) @ 1.64 *won*
Double @ 3.4 (1pt) *lost*
Anytime scorer
Plekanec (Canadiens) @ 7.5 (0.25pt) *won*
The free bet also lost.
Plekanec goal left me half a point up for the night.
1 out of 2 in this mornings Nfl with Brandin Cooks only getting 41 yards
Just a pity Atlanta were a td short
Jordan what bookie so you find best for NFL. The 365 yards for brees were crap and they didn’t even offer a market on the other. It was OK as I took rushing and passing as separate bets which both won but still
Tennis
INPLAY
Heather watson vs Samantha Stotsur
Handicap
Heather +4.5 – 4/5- 3 points
Good stuff, Anderson is out… That’s the last of the serve-bots. Should have some decent Tennis for Semi-Finals now!
Football
French Nacional league
Amiens v Lucon 7:30pm
OVER 2.5 goals 6/4 paddy power
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 21/20 coral
Last two games between these sides have finished 2-1 3-2
Amiens last five games have finished 2-2 3-1 2-2 3-0 3-1
Lucon last 7 games 3-2 3-2 0-1 0-0 3-1 3-2 2-1
Going by stats the play has to be over 2.5 goals at 6/4 & both to score at 21/20
which 1 is your fave Serve Bot Attila?
I don’t mind Isner. Can’t stand Raonic.
Btw – shocking 1st set from Wawrinka, broken twice by Nadal.
Rafael Nadal on fire in 1st set.. but wavarinka will win second set @6/4
Anyone got any feelings on the Blues v Canucks in the NHL tonight??
Accidentally took the Blues ML in tonight’s game instead of yesterday in a fourfold and its the last to come in.
Cover options work out as
Small cover = 1pt profit for Canucks win or 7pts for Blues
Medium = 3pts for Canucks win or 4.5 for Blues
Big = 7pts Canucks win or 2pts for Blues
Head says medium for best profit regardless but heart says Canucks as they’ve won the last 6 meetings between the two but would appreciate anyone’s thoughts.
What the hell is wrong with Wawrinka???
Various Tennis 4 fold
Istomin..mens
Krunic..womens
Allertova..womens
Taylor Fritz..mens
12/1 coral
@Jordan, thx for the Brees tip, took him at over 305.5 and still got in :)
tennis match fixing everywhere
Anyone think the djokovic game can go over 18.5 games?
My favourite is Cilic because he plays a bit of tennis.
Wawrinka should be embarrassed. He threw the towel as soon as he got broke in the 2nd.
Tell me how the bookies knew that Wawrinka wouldn’t show up tonight??? Any other day and Nadal would not have been priced as favourite…
Shotty – defo mate! Tomic has awesome record against Djokovic on hard.
Overs is with a decent stake!
As is a small punt on Tomic 2-1 @ $26.00
attila i thought you were retired from tennis m8 :D
Today/tonight’s NAP:
cleverly v fonfara over 9.5 rounds
Kohei Kono V koki kameda over 9.5 rounds
just under Evens
Cleverly v fonfara to go to the scorecards 8/15
Cleverly to win on points 3/1 (small stakes)
Cheers Attila just stuck on over 18.5 and a small stake on Tomic win
Lets be honest guys Tomic wont win the overs bet might be a shout but.
Cheers Jordan for the Brees tip. My own bet on Willie snead was 1 or 2 receptions shy. Ben Watsons mammoth game with 10 reps killed my bet! Anyways a small profit, cheers mate
No matter how hard tomic wants to show he’s trying for one week of the year there’s still zero to like about the guy
Your not fit to lace up Djokovic’s shoes
Tomic’s in with a chance here…only player to take more than 3 games off Djokovic all month. Overs is pretty much in already Shotty!
Cattack I think the game could be a close one but I would edge it to Canucks because they’ve had two days rest.
Djokovic/Tomic OVERS is a winner. That was easy huh Shotty ;-)
Jankovic and Murray above evens double.
What’s shocking day on the tennis court! I’m only going to post again when I’ve actually had a chance to watch people- an increase in my work schedule seems to be taking its toll on my betting!
Get in Attila mate looks like he’s collapsed now but did well in the 1st set
That second set was over quickly. Never in doubt that it would go unders after that first
Any thoughts in the Murray game
Wawrinka has been the worst today Ad.He will never admit it but he didn’t care which for me is the height of laziness.
Friedsam to win against Gasparyan is on its way Thank F**k.
Why was Gasparyan even favourite. Friedsam beats her comfortably every time
Quarter-final time tomorrow in the Rugby and after a quick look at the markets I like the look of team with highest scoring half to NZ at 8/11. Appears to be a mistake by the bookies in my opinion cause all previews have the All Blacks smashing the French.
We all know what the French can do on their day (Just ask the Kiwi’s) but they don’t appear to have that same flair and I do expect the All Blacks to come through easily. That’s just my early thoughts but loving the look of this bet!
The 1 time actaully decide to find some value and back djok he lets me down
Djok under 12.5 games 4/7
Murray 4/9
Lost
Wawrinka goes onto the black list due to lack of caring…that’s what screws us bettors over, the lack of fight and care to come back and win.
Attila, the umpire even had to intervene in the second set because Stan wasn’t trying. Shocking stuff from him.
Felix I saw the mistake and placed the finances on Friedsam.
Darts
Rowby john rodriguez 4/6
Max hopp 6/5
David pallett 8/13
Add caven 1/4 for a small stake 4fold – 6.25/1
Flipkens or Allertova?
I have a trixie with Allertova to win as the last and unsettled bet.
Larsson to bash Brengle Evens.Yes please.
Larsson to bash Brengle Evens.Yes please.(WOn)
Blues vank
It is nice game to go over tonight
Allertova it might be all over.
Loss :(.
Various Tennis 4 fold
Istomin..mens
Krunic..womens
Allertova..womens
Taylor Fritz..mens
12/1 Coral…LOST
I do still fancy Krunic tho at 2/1 playing great lately.
Krunic 2/1 Coral
NHL
Red Wings (60mins) @ 1.9 (1.5pt)
Sharks (60mins) @ 2.1 (1pt)
Anytime scorer
Parise (Wild) @ 2.75 (0.5pt)
Hertl (Sharks) @ 5.0 (0.25pt)
Thornton (Sharks) @ 5.5 (0.25pt)
Dazzler, I take it you do singles opposed to doubles, trebles on the NHL? Any chance you could give me an idea how your bank currently sits? Is it + or -? I’m tempted to get into the NHL game and follow your lead. Cheers
Merv if you go into yesterday’s thread their a brake down of my progress so far (not including yesterday’s bets). I’m new to the NHL so I’m only doing small stakes.
Looks like a good success rate to me! I’m on board and I’ll try to follow your lead as much as I can. Do you double up your singles?
Cheers Dazzler. Input much appreciated. Ended up using 6 of my 10 point budget to cover and split the rest over the following;
2pt Fourfold;
Sharks
Wings
Ducks
Wilds +1.5
@5.62/1
1pt Fivefold;
add Jets
@9.5/1
1pt Sixfold
add Leafs v Jackets o5.5mg
@17.76/1
Here’s hoping for a nice surprise to wake up to :D
Hi Jordan, have u got any MLS tips tonight? Tried to get on the football thread but phone won’t let me.
Merv I’ve done a couple of doubles but mainly singles.
Good luck Cattack. Ducks are a worry for me but their luck has got to change sometime though.
How do you guys cover when a tennis underdog goes up a set? I even thought he didn’t play exactly very well but he managed to win in the tie-break which is always a lottery in my eyes.
Crazy play from last nights UCLA/Stanford game http://espn.go.com/video/clip?id=espn:13899270
And he’s a break down in his first serving game in the second set….
Gastao Elias you piece of ****, why did I not just cash out on him, 4-0 down already
yeah I was gonna just leave the Ducks alone but I thought seeing as they’re at home and Colorado are conceding for fun, tonight’s as good a night as any for them to get their act together.
Surely they can’t stay this bad for ever? lol.
Any fancies for the Cleverley fight tonight Picksix or anyone?
@juan i did a preview on the fight in yesterdays thread m8.
starts in 20 mins or so if anyones interested
I see it now mlac but over 10.5 rounds is only 4/11….any other suggestions? Fonfara points is 11/8
ive got cleverly on points for 3/1 small stakes, for interest, i expect fonfara to stop him late tho..hope im wrong.