IT’S fair to say Dunfermline cost me a few quid and some winning lines on Saturday.
I’ve have no regrets backing the Pars to score 2+ or putting them on the aways – and they also beat the both teams to score treble.
A few people had a moan about losing on the Fifers but no one was more disappointed than me. Every stat pointed to them netting and Saints conceding – even if the Paisley men are in a higher league. My other Super Single was a winner with Peterborough away to Swindon.
Saturday was a cracking day for Greg Browning and Desmond was a goal short on his 2+ double.
It was a day for goals on Saturday and well done to everyone who picked winners – and I noticed another red card for Willie Collum in the Italy game (correctly shown) but didn’t clock he was the ref.
Anyway only three more days of Euro qualifiers to go and we can get back to normal. Tonight’s game include Poland v Ireland, Greece v Hungary and Serbia v Portugal and I’ve posted a full preview on the Group D matches.
My Super Single is Hungary at a toiling Greece who have scored just three goals in their nine qualifiers and were well beaten 3-1 in Belfast last time out.
Hungary have clinched a play-off spot but need a win to have any chance of pipping Romania to second spot. They’ve nothing to lose so should go out and pick up the win.
Romania head to the Faroes needing three points after their dismal home draw with Finland. They should claim the win they need to finish second but the Faroes haven’t been hammered by anyone and only lost 2-1 in Hungary last week. It should be close with the Romanians possibly winning by one.
The final Group F game sees Northern Ireland travelling to Finland for a party although it’s worth noting they need a point to clinch top spot. I don’t see them losing but best bet could be Kyle Lafferty to score at 29-10 with boylesports after missing the Greece win through suspension.
He has seven goals in qualification, including two against Finland in Belfast, and I’m risking a 1pt Super Single on him to score first tonight.
The other matches tonight are in Group I and while there is nothing to play for between Serbia and Portugal that’s not the case for Albania in Armenia. After fierce rivals Serbia denied them a chance to celebrate their first finals spot the Albanians can seal the deal with a win in Yerevan.
Armenia have picked up just two points in a desperately disappointing campaign while Albania haven’t conceded a goal on the road – picking up seven points. A draw or defeat will send them into the play-offs but I’m on Albania to pick up the points they need to push Denmark into the play-offs.
Albania are 13-10 at Ladbrokes and Coral and not to lose are a best 1-3 with Coral. The latter kicks off the Top Treble with Germany -2 and both to score at Poland v Ireland.
Having read Portugal released Cristiano Ronaldo, Tiago and Ricardo Carvalho I’m tempte dby Serbia at 31-20 with bet365 and BetVictor. It’s obvious group winners Portugal have switched off to this one and Serbia should be switched on at the end of a disastrous campaign. They have a batch of quality players and will be looking to put on a show for their hard-to-please fans.
Instead of backing Serbia though take Serbia draw no bet in a double with Plymouth to score. Derek Adams’s side have failed to net just once this season and should be on target at Notts County.
Talking of both to score I wouldn’t put anyone off backing that market in the League One clash between Notts County and Plymouth. I hadn’t planned to put up any more bets but hopefully they all have a chance as long as Lafferty and the Irish boys – like someone suggested – haven’t been on the lash. That should wait until they’ve clinched top spot.
The Poles are decent going forward but showed defensive deficiencies in drawing 2-2 with Scotland twice. Ireland must avoid defeat and score at least twice to qualify automatically and they might as well have a go with a play-off spot secured.
Poland of course have Robert Lewandowski so both to score looks value at 11-10 with Coral.
2pts Super Single
1pt Super Single
Lafferty to score first (5pm)
2pts Top Treble
Albania not to lose (5pm)
Germany -2 (7.45pm)
Poland v Ireland btts (7.45pm)
2pts Daily Double
Serbia draw no bet (5pm)
Plymouth to score (2.30pm)
(11-10, William Hill)
October Super Single stats
10 bets (4 winners)
16 bets (3 winners)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and previews.