Nov 6: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB is 13.5pts down for November but isn’t desperate yet – even though as a punter he wants Donald Trump elected.

Let’s hope Johnb plays his trump card on Sunday with his singles and double.

Johnb’s Sunday Tips

Sandown 2.50
Royal Irish Hussar 5-2 NAP/NB Coral (double stake)

Cork 3.15
Wrath Of Titans 10-1 bet365

0.5pt eachway double 34.75-1 bet365

Antepost Tips

1000 Guineas 2017

PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 betfred

2000 Guineas 2017

CHURCHILL 20-1 (now 8-1) bet365

2017 Derby

CHURCHILL 33-1 (now 20-1) racebets

2000 Guineas 2017

BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets

Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

45 Comments
  1. Profile photo of davyb
    davyb 1 month ago

    Braavos12.30 San
    Southport 12.50 ffos
    More bucks 1.05 San
    DE plotting shed 1.45 nas
    Gl

  2. Profile photo of elvis parsley
    elvis parsley 1 month ago

    3 years ago royal Irish hussar would have been 4-7 to win this as he was running well in class 1 company.
    Recently he has not been setting the world alight in class 3 company.
    John, any reasoning behind this tip ?.

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      Yeah ran well last time at Plumpton against better horses at his favourite distance which he does again on Sunday, ground will be ok,
      He did carry his head to one side at Plumpton which didn’t help his jumping and that probably cost him 20 lengths in stamina,
      The good thing about this race is that because the other horses aren’t that strong Royal Irish Hussar doesn’t need to improve from his last two runs

  3. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 1 month ago

    vivaldincollonges 1/1 sandown 2-15
    more bucks 13/8 sandown 1-05
    globalisation 2/1 ffos las 2-30
    westerner lady 6/4 cork 2-40
    lucky 15
    NAP NEW KID IN TOWN 3-15 CORK NATIONAL 9/2

  4. Profile photo of tommy400
    tommy400 1 month ago

    I managed to get a patent on the jolly boys for Xmas no1 8s
    mcmullin for president 500
    And honey g 12s from 25s to win xfactor with ladbrokes I know the honey g bet is weird but if we populate Facebook for her to win surely that would help the jolly boys win xmas no1 as quite a lot of people can’t stand her any thoughts on this jb

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 1 month ago

      Sorry tried answering your comment but won’t let me as nothing appears when I post it

      • Profile photo of tommy400
        tommy400 4 weeks ago

        Think I wasn’t on site properly jb did the extra email subscription now ta anyway

  5. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 4 weeks ago

    missed Alanms 9/2 and 9/4, but with his Nap Growl,2/1 was great to see Gold star stuff.No time today,but I’ll pass on PW, extra..Pleased as Punch.3.50 Cork
    gl today everyone

  6. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 4 weeks ago

    Will go for De Bromhead double today

    1.10 ALISIER DIRLANDE
    2.20 ATTRIBUTION

    Best of luck to all

  7. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 4 weeks ago

    Morning all ..no bet yesterday

    Sandown

    14.50 PADDYS RUNNER .. 11/2 .. *

    15.25 OPENING BATSMAN .. 7/2 .. ** nb **

    Ffos las

    14.30 HOLLOW BLUE SKY .. 3/1 .. **

    15.05 HERBERT PARK .. 6/1 .. *

    16.15 VERYGOODVERYGOOD .. 9/2 .. *** NAP ***

    gl all

  8. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 4 weeks ago

    Didnt come on yesterday but just took a quick look

    ALANM well done especially for a Saturday

    gl

  9. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    Morning all,

    After a wonderful day yesterday which resulted in a ££££ profit, its over to Ireland today for my fancies. As I said yesterday winning money is impossible everyday and it’s vital you go large on your strong fanices, but for a bit of fun I’ve picked out 3 bets for today (only small).

    1.45 Naas- Ivanovic Gorbatov NAP.

    Not an original pick here but the 5/4 available looks a great price for a horse whom won the triumph hurdle at the festival. The step up to 2 1/2 miles looks sure to suit and if he is revved up it should be a penalty kick for him today. De plotting shed does rate a danger but on my tissue the prices should be: 4/7 ivan and 3/1 de plotting shed.

    2.40 Cork- Jetstream Jack 4/1

    Jetstream jack looks overpriced for this competitive race. I witnessed him win his bumper a few years back at fairyhouse and have followed this horse ever since. He has the potential to make a lovely chaser in the long run. I think 4/1 looks overpriced for a horse who impressed over the larger obsticals last time and he is worth a small investment- albeit he is up against some very decent animals today.

    3.15 Cork- Forever Gold 8/1 Nb

    Forever gold has a great chance in the 3.15, he was disappointing last time at gowran park but the pipe opener will ensure he is fit and ready to go today. He always tries his best and is equally as good over fences as hurdles. His second at the tail end of last season over 3m 6f looks the stand out form today and I am expecting a big run from forever gold today and he will hopefully make the places.

    I’ve also done a small each way trixie on my 3 picks.

    Gl to all, bash those bookies!

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 weeks ago

      Just curious, what percentage chance of a horse winnng would you say is a strong fancy

      • Profile photo of harryjw
        harryjw 4 weeks ago

        Johnb, I tend to work to tick boxes (unless receiving information) if all my boxes are ticked (price, distance, draw, ground ect) I will increase my bet.

        Cheers and GL today

        • Profile photo of harryjw
          harryjw 4 weeks ago

          It has to be ALL boxes otherwise my system doesn’t work. As you know you have to keep to strict rules to be profitable.

          • Profile photo of Johnb
            Johnb 4 weeks ago

            I was only asking because you mentioned you thought Ivanovich should be 4/7
            That means he would have a 63.6% chance of winning which is a big chance as the bookies have him at a 44.4% chance of winning, which was why I was wondering what the winning chance percentage has to be to be a strong fancy

            My double stake horse today ticks 30 out of the 40 boxes with another 4 boxes as a maybe and a 40%ish chance of winning and I see that as a really strong fancy.

            Before some people start having a go it’s just a question out of curiosity, nothing else

            • Profile photo of harryjw
              harryjw 4 weeks ago

              Yes, I like to price up the races myself before checking the prices online- this then feeds into my own box system. Obviously some horses will tick more boxes than others and I will tend to have a small bet on those ones but I only increase my bet when 100% of my boxes are ticket (growl did this yesterday) that’s obviously not to say it’s got a 100% chance of winning but over the past 4 years my system has worked well for me.

              I appreciate the question though. Intresting to discuss systems, as everyone has one of their own!

              Ivanovich- was terribly disappointingthought he should come on for that run but should have ran better than that- thankfully he missed a few of my boxes!

  10. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 4 weeks ago

    NAP Voix D’Eau 9/4 2.15 Sandown
    NB Rocky Creek 7/2 3.25 Chepstow
    Also Red Robin 14/1 2.05 Cork GL

  11. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 4 weeks ago

    Braavos 11/4 – 12.30 sandown – nap

    Avant tout 11/4 – 1.10
    Naas – nb

    Aspen Colorado 5/2 -2.55
    Naas

  12. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 4 weeks ago

    what a performance by ireland to turn over the mighty all blacks

  13. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 4 weeks ago

    Ballyboley 10/1!!! Illhave some of that value !

  14. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 4 weeks ago

    Nap ran like a donkey
    Avant tout pulled up pretty much immediately, mare of a day

    Hopefully johnb and alanm do the bizz

    Good luck all

  15. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    I talk about value all the time and value can come at any price,

    As they say “one punters 3/1 is another punters 5/1″

    Take my joint NAP/NB today Royal Irish Hussar advised at 5/2 which means he has a 28.6% chance of winning,
    Now for me to tip him and especially double stake I have to believe myself that he has a greater chance of winning than 28.6%
    When I had studied the race I gave him a chance of winning of between 38% and 42% which means I thought the true odds should be between 13/8 and 11/8

    This of course is only my opinion and as i said earlier one punters 3/1 is another punters 5/1 meaning we all have different views,
    But the way I do it I see 5/2 on Royal Irish Hussar as value

  16. Profile photo of jamiea1991
    jamiea1991 4 weeks ago

    Well good value

    • Profile photo of -wato-
      -wato- 4 weeks ago

      Like your comment – not!

      • Profile photo of rale
        rale 4 weeks ago

        Wato, JohnB doesn’t need your protection. Trust me on that. You sound pathetic popping up here every time someone says anything against his picks. Not everybody is agreeing with his views and I am sure he accept that and so should you.

        • Profile photo of -wato-
          -wato- 4 weeks ago

          Rale, don’t worry I trust you and I’m not “protecting” him or anyone else. It’s posts like that that doesn’t help this thread. Yes plenty question his tips and challenge them before the race which is fair enough everyone has different opinions and backs different horses. I will also add this person didn’t question the tip until it lost. If someone slagged off a tip you gave and that’s what I took that post to be I would have said the same thing. There’s just no need for it when a host of guys are providing excellent tips on a daily basis. How you can have a go at my post and not the one in question is beyond me but we aren’t getting into a slagging match on here cause this thread is like a kids play ground at times

  17. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 4 weeks ago

    Value tonight in NFL is

    Buffalo +7
    Dallas -7
    Miami +7

    Treble

  18. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    Charlotte wells 4.25 nap

  19. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 4 weeks ago

    Very late shout for Filatore 4.15

  20. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 4 weeks ago

    Great treble yesterday mate Alanm

  21. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 4 weeks ago

    great Nap busstop.. thanks..

  22. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 4 weeks ago

    Oops sorry lads

  23. Profile photo of stevecee
    stevecee 4 weeks ago

    cheers bus nice end to a mediocre day

  24. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 4 weeks ago

    Just when you think you can stop following NTD…… Nice nap Busstop
    Well Done all who posted winners GL

  25. Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
    duncanpoundcake 4 weeks ago

    Just heard Vatour has had to be put down after breaking a foreleg at home , sad ,smashing big horse

  26. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    November 17.5pts down

    Mondays Tips

    Kempton
    1:30
    Roberts Star 5/2 NAP betvictor

    3:40
    Camping Ground 6/4 NB betvictor

    Double 7.75/1 betvictor

    • Profile photo of jimron12
      jimron12 4 weeks ago

      Nice double there jb

      Add Jimmy two times 12.50 nap

      And

      Top tug 1.00 NB

      Fornthe yankee

  27. Profile photo of tommy400
    tommy400 4 weeks ago

    Honey g is into 8s to win xfactor from 25s 3 days ago wtf

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 weeks ago

      Matt and Emily are miles ahead of anyone else every week on votes

      Site Still not letting me post that comment

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