I DIDN’T do too much on Sunday but anything I looked at lacked goals – the both to score treble, Napoli and Gonzalo Higuain.
My shortlist was fairly big and while some won and some lost I confidently napped Napoli at injury-hit Genoa but the Italian title challengers and their star striker went to sleep in front of goal.
So not the best start to the month but there’s no stopping Greg Browning who posted a superb nap with over 2.5 goals at Everton and was unlucky with his two corner tips on the Hibs-Rangers game.
Building up to a busy midweek we have Spurs v Aston Villa in the Premier League tonight and Chievo v Sampdoria and Palermo v Empoli in Serie A. It’s difficult to see past on-form Spurs against a Villa side who have suffered six defeats in a row but are set to name Remi Garde as boss.
Villa won at White Hart Lane last season but lost three in a row to nil and by at least two goals before that.
Spurs will be super confident after battering Bournemouth 5-1 last time out and Harry Kane will be looking to go on a goals run after hitting a hat-trick. Spurs are no bigger than 4-9 to win at bet365 while Kane is 10-11 to score and 10-3 at bet365 and William Hill to net first.
Villa have conceded eight in four games so another bet to consider is over 1.5 Spurs goals at 8-15 with bet365, Ladbrokes and William Hill.
The Italian games are tough to call but Palermo could edge out Empoli while all but one of Sampdoria’s points have come at home so I’d look at Chievo or possibly Chievo to score 2+.
And in Portugal stats suggest goals at Pacos v Guimaraes with the last five playings of the game seeing over 2.5 goals and both to score. Pacos could be worth backing to win at 11-10 against a side who have lost and drawn one under new boss Sergio Conceicao.
Those are the main matches but there are a lot of others to consider in lesser or lower league throughout the continent and there is also a Scottish Cup tie between Highland League leaders Cove Rangers, 13 wins out of 13 and 36 goals, at second-bottom Fort William with two wins in 14 and 45 goals conceded.
As a guide Cove have netted 53 in their last 10 meetings with Fort William and 28 on their last five visits to the side situated in the shadow of Ben Nevis. Only once in 13 meetings have Cove scored fewer than four and the last seven meetings have totalled 45 goals.
Fort’s form has been a bit better this season but they’ve still conceded 33 in their last eight Highland League outings so going by form and stats I have to recommend over 3.5 Cover goals at 4-5 with Paddy Power and over 4.5 match goals at 15-8 with Paddy Power and Betfred.
Team news reports a full-strength Cove side and three or four missing for Fort. I don’t know enough about the Highland League to say if these are key men but the home side don’t have a big squad.
I’m putting up both bets as Super Singles based on the stats as well as 1pt on over 5.5 match goals. That might seem like putting a lot of eggs in one basket but if the first comes up it will be break even if the other two lose – so it’s one I’ve thought about carefully.
One other single I’m adding is Spurs to win and Kane to score – the wincast pays 7-4 at 10bet and is worth one point.
I know it’s a quiet night but having done a lot of research this morning I’m adding a both to score treble starting with Lens v Nancy. Twelve of the last 14 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals and Lens last three have been both to score and over 2.5.
Add Hyde v Skelmersdale in the FA Trophy replay. It was 3-3 in the original tie and while Hyde are a shade of odds on to beat their Premier League rivals the best bet could be goals with 15 in Hyde’s last three games and 26 in Skelmersdale’s last five.
Complete the treble with Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg. This is a big derby taking place in Innsbruck for the first time in 10 years and there seems to be a buzz about the game.
It’s top v second bottom so the home men should win but they’ve lost their last two so I’m focusing on goals. When they met in Salzburg in August Wacker won 4-3 and the away side’s last seven matches have featured 29 goals including 5-1 defeats to St Polten and in the cup to Rapid Vienna.
And remember the new site is close now so watch out for the post giving full details on how to join.
3pts Fort William v Cove (8pm) over 3.5 goals
(4-5, Paddy Power)
1.4pts Fort v Cove over 4.5 goals
(15-8, Paddy Power, Betfred)
1pt Fort v Cove over 5.5 goals
1pt Spurs to win and Kane to score (8pm)
1pt Both to Score Treble
Wacker Innsbruck v Austria Salzburg (5.30pm)
Lens v Nancy (7.30pm)
Hyde v Skelmersdale (7.45pm)
November Super Single total
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