Nov 16: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

Racing_WilliamHill

JOHNB got back to winning ways on Tuesday with his Nap taking the honours at 9-2.

That banked a 2.5pt profit for the day and our man is now 30.84pts down for November, with a double-stake tip advised for Wednesday.

Johnb’s Wednesday Tips

Kempton 6:40
Sovereign Debt 3-1 NAP/NB paddy power(double stake)

Antepost Tips

1000 Guineas 2017

PROMISE TO BE TRUE 20-1 betfred

2000 Guineas 2017

CHURCHILL 20-1 (now 8-1) bet365

2017 Derby

CHURCHILL 33-1 (now 20-1) racebets

2000 Guineas 2017

BLUE POINT 14-1 racebets

Johnb says: “I have already advised Churchill for next year’s 2000 Guineas & Derby – he has been really impressive this season and my view is he will get even better next year.

“Blue Point on the other hand is harder to call for how he will progress next year. If he trains on then in my view it’s a straight fight between Blue Point & Churchill but in the Derby Churchill is the only horse for me – he gives me the same excitement as Golden Horn did.

“But to answer my question earlier the most impressive horse I have seen this year is BLUE POINT with Churchill and Annie Power a close second and third.”

72 Comments
  1. Profile photo of leando
    leando 4 weeks ago

    4.10 kempton
    Top Diktat 5/1

  2. Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
    jazzerbhoy 4 weeks ago

    Top diktat for me also 4.10 Kempton 9/2 nap.
    Trainer has won the race last two years .
    Imperial city 4.40 Kempton 7/2 nb

  3. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    Not a bad Monday for this ladbrokes punter

    http://news.ladbrokes.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Racing-Betslip.jpg

    • Profile photo of harryjw
      harryjw 4 weeks ago

      Wow what a win!

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 weeks ago

      FOUR BIG WINNERS FROM A £4 STAKE NETS THIS RACING FAN A SHEDLOAD

      Incredible Acca lands almighty prize

      Who knew Mondays at Musselburgh could be so lucrative? One racing fan did and it wasn’t just the Scottish track that offered big returns with our latest #BookieBashing hero taking us to the cleaners from both sides of the border.

      A mega £4 each-way four-fold came in and duly delivered a whopping £19,570.40 with selections from three race tracks doing the business.

      The bet was struck just in the nick of time too with only two minutes to go until the first winner was off.

      That honour went to Quick Decisson in the 15:20 at Musselburgh with the 15/2 shot getting up by a neck to ensure a winning start.

      A mad dash to Newcastle followed where the Richard Fahey-trained Young John managed to get the better of the jolly to complete a quick-fire double in the 15:30.

      And if our punter was beginning to think that their luck was in then they surely would’ve been starting to sniff an almighty payday once 12/1 outsider The Mighty Don held on to score at Plumpton.

      As it was, a trip back to Musselburgh was on the agenda 10 minutes later with the big prize now firmly in sight.

      James Moffatt’s Smart Ruler had been running fairly well throughout the summer without ever really threatening. In fact, the 10-year-old veteran hadn’t won a race in two years.

      However, that was set to change when Brian Hughes moved his charge into position and promptly hit the front two out in the 15:50.

      The rest took care of itself and we can only imagine the scenes when he scored by half a length.

      there’s certainly been worse ways to spend a Monday and winning the best part of 20 grand in little over half an hour will be pretty tough to top.

    • Profile photo of champyr
      champyr 4 weeks ago

      What was Denero’s four fold early this year, 4000/1 I think and would have been 17000/1 if the 5th came in. Just goes to show.

  4. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    Johnb I am having an issue posting an comment. Can you help?

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 weeks ago

      I can’t do anything but when admin see you are having trouble they can do something, I sometimes have trouble myself

  5. Profile photo of davyb
    davyb 4 weeks ago

    Kayf charmer 3.oo ch
    Court king 4.05 ch
    Richard pankhurst 6.40 kem
    Giantstepsahead 7.40 kem
    Gl

  6. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 4 weeks ago

    NAP WHITBERS CHOICE 9/4 1.45 fairyhouse

  7. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 4 weeks ago

    Nap which one is which 1.35 5/2
    NB garo du Juliey 12.50 11./10

    Double

    Also city never sleeps 12.30 25/1

    Ew single

    Small win treble just incase

    Good luck all

  8. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    Evening,

    I am have an issue posting my tips for tomorrow are (all for small stakes):

    12.30 Warwick – Asum 11/10
    2.15 Fairyhouse – Emma Beag 8/1 EW
    6.10 Kempton – Qatar Man 11/8
    7.10 Kempton – Steve Rogers 7/1

    Will try to post me write up as soon as possible.

    Thanks and GL all

  9. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    Evening everyone,

    Tomorrow’s racing looks tricky but I did come close to having two strong bets.

    12.30 Warwick – Asum 11/10

    I had a very strong word for asum on his debut last season and he really should have won- bugger (harry Skelton got it wrong). The winner of that race has come out this season and while he was pulled up (something not right) he was very well backed. I have a feeling asum has a very good chance of making up for that defeat tomorrow on his hurdles debut for the red hot yard. Nevertheless he is up against a few very talented horses and while he opened around the 5/2 2/1 mark I simply cannot have a large bet at a price I don’t rate as value (11/10 is much shorter than my tissue price) so only a small bet for me.

    2.15 Fairyhouse – Emma Beag 8/1 EW

    A chance is taken on Emma Beag back on softer ground tomorrow. After a number of consistent showings she broke her maiden tag by 31 lengths back in august on heavy going. Yet, last time on better ground she disappointed, while she did travel ok into the race she found little for pressure and faded into 8th. With ground more to her liking, in a mares only race and the aid of promising jockey JJ selvin taking a handy 7lb of her back, I think she has a good chance of putting up a bold showing.

    6.10 Kempton – Qatar Man 11/8

    Qatar man is a horse that I have been waiting for after a string of impressive performances. I noted down he is crying out for a mile and he gets this trip tomorrow in the 6.10. In his last race at Chelmsford he looked better as the race went on and he was only narrowly denied by 3/4 of a length at the finish, he only needed a few more yards and he would have grabbed the winner. Everything looks set for a big run tomorrow (he even has the aid of Luke Morris in the saddle) only problem is I can’t recommend him for a larger stake bet coming from draw 12. Widely drawn horses have a very poor record over a mile and kempton and while K think he may be good enough to overcome that I will only be playing small- but small fish can be sweet!

    7.10 Kempton – Steve Rogers 7/1 EW

    Steve Rogers was terribly disappointing last time at musselburgh finishing only 5th but I am happy to take a chance on him again today returned after an absence. The goal for him will be making into the long distance final on all weather champions day, and he can kick that off tomorrow. Already proven on the allweather (over c&d) his second at ascot two starts back looks rock solid form and for a horse who has been highly tried this season this race looks slightly weaker than some he has run in. He has a good record fresh and there is every chance of a big run.

    Thanks and GL all

    • Profile photo of jimron12
      jimron12 4 weeks ago

      Like Qatar horse but Morris is on an awful run isn’t he and a bad draw at 11/8 all adds up to me as a no bet but like you say he is a horse I’ve been keeping an eye on in future….

      • Profile photo of harryjw
        harryjw 4 weeks ago

        Jimron,

        You are right Morris isn’t hitting the back of the net at the moment but as the allweather gets into full swing and other jockeys go abroad his class will shine through. 11/8 is short he is 6/4 this morning but I’m just taking a small risk that his quality will see him through from the draw but I don’t blame you for taking a watching brief.

        Any bets today?

        GL

        Harry

        • Profile photo of jimron12
          jimron12 4 weeks ago

          Yea my bets are above nothing major today not the most inspiring of days but then they usually turn out the best!!

  10. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    A small word on yesterday:

    My strong fancy churchtown champ jumped superbly to win by an eased down 8 lenghts! He is one to watch for this season for sure. Incase anyone was wondering my gambling style is to keep stakes very low untill I spot a horse that ticks all of my required boxes then increase my stake. Like yesterday.

    Thanks

  11. Profile photo of Alves
    Alves 4 weeks ago

    Anyone watch tge 1st race at Lingfield earlier roday?? I had the 2 MJ horses plus Kevin Ryans in a 50p EW trixie, 1st one was unlucky not to win never mind get placed as couple feet after line it was ahead of everyone but could only come 4th at 10/1, 9/2 & 13/2 winners(KR’s actually went off 9/4 from 13/2) but £22 could have easily been £354 :(
    One to watch ‘Addicted To You’. Made up about 10 lenghts in final furlong

  12. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    Would be good to see this matchup but can’t see it happening

    Willie Mullins big guns still in frame for Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown

    Annie Power, Faugheen and Vroum Vroum Mag still feature among 10 entries in Sunday’s StanJames.com Morgiana Hurdle at Punchestown.

    The star trio all run in the colours of Rich Ricci and are multiple Grade One winners in their own right, with Annie Power the reigning champion hurdler.

    Faugheen will be coming back from an injury break if he lines up in the Grade One feature, with trainer Willie Mullins also having the choice of Ivan Grozny, Sempre Medici, Simenon and Nichols Canyon.

    The latter is the only horse to have ever beaten Faugheen after winning this race at his expense last year.

    Ex-Mullins inmate Apple’s Jade, who is now with Gordon Elliott, might bid to bounce back from a shock defeat at Down Royal earlier this month, while the Joseph O’Brien-trained Ivanovich Gorbatov is also on a retrieval mission after finishing only third on his return at Naas.

    The Gavin Cromwell-trained Jer’s Girl, a dual Grade One winner, rounds out the possibles after a skin allergy forced her to miss an intended run at Navan last Sunday.

    Mullins will not decide until later in the week which horses will run but is aiming to be well represented in a race he has won for the last five years.

    “I expect to have a few runners in the race as it is an important race and a nice time of year,” said the Closutton handler.

    “We will decide on more definite plans after the horses work this week but it is a race we are looking forward to.”

  13. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    Christmas Number One

    It’s finally here, the full video for The King Lot featuring The Jolly Boys singing Wings
    Let’s get this to the Christmas number One, all in aid of Multiple Sclerosis

    Available for preorder now, so come on everyone Order, Share and have a bet because with everyone’s help it can be done

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 4 weeks ago

      Currently number two on Amazons best sellers

    • Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
      jazzerbhoy 4 weeks ago

      Great charity but the song is pish. Sorry not to my liking for a Xmas number 1.
      Now the pogues and Kirsty McColl that’s a Christmas song Fairytale of New York.

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 4 weeks ago

        The days of a true Christmas song are over because they don’t sell, since the last one which was Band Aid 12 years ago we have had 3 charity songs, Rage Against the Machine and 7 X factor songs

        You can’t make people like a song, I didn’t like the Military Wives song but still bought it, I didn’t like Rage Against the Machine but still bought it and promoted it and backed it for Number One but I must admit I do like this one, maybe because I like Tyketto and if it does get number one MS Society will get my winnings

        • Profile photo of jazzerbhoy
          jazzerbhoy 3 weeks ago

          I hope your song makes it, but dunno why anyone wanted race against the machine as a Xmas number 1 man that song was murder. Better with X factor any day 😉
          Well done to all the winners today mines bombed as usual,ew thief terrific m8 33/1.
          Peter hope your on the mend get well soon.

  14. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 4 weeks ago

    NAP Bindon Mill 4/1 1.55 Chepstow
    NB Double Scores 7/1 2.30Fairyhouse GL

  15. Profile photo of ciaran1988
    ciaran1988 4 weeks ago

    6.40 Kempton – Ennaadd 5/2
    7.40 Kempton – Timekeeping 2/1

  16. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 4 weeks ago

    Harry.. great write up as usual…

  17. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 4 weeks ago

    Morning all

    some nice winners yesterday well done johnb, Harry ,jimron,boz,and all the other winners

    one winner myself 4/1 which paid for the day.

  18. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 4 weeks ago

    today

    Warwick

    14.40 ROYAL PLAZA .. 5/2 .. NAP

    15.15 WATER WAGTAIL .. 5/1 ..

    Chepstow

    13.55 VERYGOODVERYGOOD ..2/1.. NB

    15.00 PRESENT TREND .. 5/1 ..

    15.35 WILTON MILAN .. 5/1 ..

    gl all

  19. Profile photo of punterpounder
    punterpounder 4 weeks ago

    small stakes e/w acca

    12.30 wawrick- asum 5/6

    12.40 fairyhouse- asthuria 8/11

    1.35 wawrick – which one is which 5/2

    1.45 fairyhouse – whitbers choice 2/1

    4.10 Kempton – top dikat 9/2

    6.10 Kempton- quatar man 5/4

    6.40 Kempton- sovereign debt 7/4

    (£1.58) 0.79p e/w returns £902.99 if all win at stanjames

  20. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 4 weeks ago

    Adding one more

    MOUNTAINS OF MOURNE 20/1 ew 2.25 chep.
    Won a hurdle race on this card last year from just 2lbs lower after a break of 8 months off the track. His only other win also came after a break of 7 months so clearly goes best when fresh. Today he runs after a break of 8 months and if hes going to be competitive then i suggest today is the day.

    Best of luck to all

  21. Profile photo of cwhiting
    cwhiting 4 weeks ago

    Verygoodverygood 1.55 Chepstow 2/1 skybet
    Top dikat 4.10. Kempton 5/1. Skybet

  22. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    coco de champs 1.00 nb financial climate 2.25 nap billy my boy 2.40 true self 3.45 ew l15 win singles well done all winners yesterday

  23. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 4 weeks ago

    Been off with Noro virus. Horrible stuff. Well done all winners lately. B back at it soon !

  24. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 4 weeks ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Solveigs song 4.10k 25/1
    Moonstone rock 4.40l 22/1
    Havre de paix 6.40k 20/1
    Percy veer 7.10k 16/1
    Red orator 7.40k 40/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky31🍀GL all

  25. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 4 weeks ago

    ew patent today.
    Paddy The Deejay..2.25
    Azeret De Cour. .3.35
    One Cool Scorpion..4.05 all Chepstow.
    Gl

  26. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 4 weeks ago

    last try number..12 in 2.25, 7 in the 3.35. and 3 in the 4.05 Chepstow

  27. Profile photo of cavaggio
    cavaggio 4 weeks ago

    SHES OTTO 12.40 huge eyecatcher on debut, bolted up next time.. Very well regarded by connections..Could be top drawer. 3/1 Nap

  28. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 4 weeks ago

    Asum was all the rage but jumped very poorly and was untimely disappointing. He will have to improve to live upto his billing. Thankfully he offered no value at all so I only played small- hopefully no one had their fingers burnt.

    GL

  29. Profile photo of rafe
    rafe 4 weeks ago

    Hi guys been away for a while but back intermittently for AW tips over the winter.

    6.40 Kempton – Ennaadd @ 13/8

    gl all

  30. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 4 weeks ago

    Just to remind people that chart rules state that just one purchase per company is allowed to go towards the official xmas sales unless you are gifting them

    https://www.amazon.co.uk/Wings-feat-Jollyboys-King-Lot/dp/B01N8PLK1D/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1479134561&sr=8-1&keywords=the+king+lot+wings

  31. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 4 weeks ago

    Terrible from my three there

    Going for an ew double on loghloder 2.25 and long John 3.35

  32. Profile photo of bigpika
    bigpika 4 weeks ago

    couldn’t see very good very good winning that. hard ride most of the race

  33. Profile photo of dont give a donald
    dont give a donald 4 weeks ago

    BUSSTOP great start again

    cheers

    BIGPIKA it went to 5/1 in running

  34. Profile photo of dont give a donald
    dont give a donald 4 weeks ago

    BUSSTOP great nap how easy was that nap and nb both won

    off for a pint hope the others win

    cheers

  35. Profile photo of kev
    kev 4 weeks ago

    Great stuff bustop with the nap and NB!

  36. Profile photo of uksevern
    uksevern 4 weeks ago

    Busstop.. VG VG didn`t like the going but what guts the horse showed.. well done..

  37. Profile photo of kev
    kev 4 weeks ago

    Great shout e/w thief – wow

  38. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 4 weeks ago

    ewt does it again superb matey 33-1

  39. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 4 weeks ago

    Well done ew thief that’s what I like big price winners cheers well done all winners today ilsithey

  40. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 4 weeks ago

    Nice with the 33/1 ew 👍

  41. Profile photo of cavaggio
    cavaggio 4 weeks ago

    ESPIRIT DES CORPS 5.40 Kempton Not knocked about on debut, stables debutants always in need of run.. Fancied strongly today.

    11/4

  42. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 3 weeks ago

    Busstop and ew thief great tipping guys 33/1 booom

  43. Profile photo of ciaran1988
    ciaran1988 3 weeks ago

    Nice winner with Ennaadd winning at 5/2. Other horse still to run. Tomorrow’s horse are
    12.50 Newcastle – Kananee 7/4
    1.25 Newcastle – Spanish City 13/8
    4.40 Chelmsford – Geraldine 9/2

  44. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 3 weeks ago

    Evening,

    Not a bad day today, Qatar man showed his class to win from the wide draw 11/8 with Steve rogers 14/1 and emma beag 8/1 finishing 2nd for eachway money. Unfortunately asum dissapointed providing my only loss of the day.

    Well done to all the winners, and a special mention to ewthief for his 33/1 shout!!

    Get studying for tomorrow

    Thanks and GL all

  45. Profile photo of gengar
    gengar 3 weeks ago

    JB I was wondering if it would be possible if you’d start listing your shortlist of horses for the day along with you actual tips again purely because it helps when cross referencing you know your stuff and if I’ve also liked the look more likely to bet it was quite profitable in the past just wondering if you’d mind doing it again from now on ?

  46. Profile photo of dougiec
    dougiec 3 weeks ago

    Some reason been unable to post.18 winners in so many days some record Busstop,ewthief delivers as usual,an good post Harry
    Did mention V Williams handicap chasers this month .On we go well done everyone who posts

  47. Profile photo of busstop
    busstop 3 weeks ago

    evening all just got in thanks for comments

    well done harry nice couple of e/w placed horses , dougie with a nice 9/2

    and a great 33/1 ew thief

    back tomorrow

    gl all

  48. Profile photo of spurs55
    spurs55 3 weeks ago

    think CLIFF FACE was so obvious looking back at the card….on we go

  49. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 3 weeks ago

    Could be nothing could be something

    Dartnell has one running and so does Llewelyn at wincanton tomo

    25/1 and 16/1 both
    Trainer I do like to folllow and usually have more than one runner per meeting.

    My nap tomorrow is the yank 2.15 3/1 courtesy of My tracker sharp track and good ground this horse wins …..

  50. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 3 weeks ago

    Evening all,

    After a good day yesterday I’m off in the search of value again tomorrow. With the racing looking tough I will be playing small again.

    1.35 Clonmel – Missypet 20/1 EW

    A chance is taken on missypet at clonmel tomorrow. She has never looked a natural over fences, returning to hurdles tomorrow off a handy mark she looks overpriced at 20/1. Back in 2014 she was tried in a listed bumper before landing back to back hurdle wins at fairyhouse in an impressive manor, after rising in the weights she was sent chasing and while she posted some respectable efforts and maybe would have won if not unseating at the last 2 starts back she failed to record a sound round of jumping. Running off basement weight on her season reappearance I can’t resist a few quid each way.

    2.25 Newcastle – Galilee Chapel 11/1 EW NB

    It’s about time the consistent Galilee Chapel was given a crack over a mile and a half. I have always had him down as wanting further, even when winning over 10f 2 starts back he required every yard of the trip. I was surprised to see him over a mile last time at Newcastle and after some trouble in running 4f out he was switched wide and came home like a train to grab 3rd. While his handicap mark has been sneaking up this season Garry Whillans takes over in the saddle taking 5lb off his back and I feel he is open to further improvement over this new trip, hopefully leading to a big run tomorrow.

    3.00 Newcastle – Maulesden May 4/1 EW

    Maulesden May has improved for the switch to the all weather on her last two starts. Running respectably on her surface debut finishing a close 4 she then improved again last time running an odds on southern raider within a length (front two well clear). She travelled well into her race that day and off the same mark today I am hopeful of her getting her head in front for a second time. Due to the competitive nature of this race I will be playing each way.

    3.10 Market Rasen – I Just Know 9/4 NAP

    I Just Know went straight into my note book on chasing debut last time at Hexham. The 6yo scopey gelding left his hurdle form behind jumping superbly upfront (barring a mistake when idling at the last) quickening away to win by 10 lengths. He has been raised 9lb for that victory but this still could well be in his reach if building on that success for his in form yard. 9/4 looks a good value price and I would expect him to go off shorter tomorrow.

    Thanks and GL all

  51. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 3 weeks ago

    NAP/NB 12-35 CLONMEL 8/1

  52. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 3 weeks ago

    November 32.84pts down

    Thursday’s Tips

    Market Rasen
    3:10
    Amiral Collonges 9/2 NAP bet365

    Newcastle
    3:35
    Royal Normandy 28/1 NB skybet

    0.5pt eachway double 145/1 skybet

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