I SHOULD have stuck with a goals treble on Monday. The two games I picked finished 2-2 and 3-2 but I added Hacken to win and they let me down on the Top Treble.
Hacked off? Indeed I was but not as frustrated as the Middlesbrough fans who saw their Premier League hopes blown away by a lightning start by Norwich at Wembley.
Initially I was going to back the Canaries but the main thing that put me off was Middlesbrough doing a league double to nil over their rivals.
I suggested Cameron Jerome as first scorer but decided the final was too close to call and lost 2pts on the Super Single stats.
Carrow Road boss Alex Neil showed he has the potential to be a top boss by being tactically superior to the more experienced Aitor Karanka – not bad for a 33-year-old who only quit playing in January.
Neil faces a huge test now and I hope Norwich stand by him in tougher times unlike most promoted sides who panic and wield the axe at the first sign of trouble.
The Scot has enjoyed two years of unprecedented success and back-to-back promotions with Hamilton and Norwich so it will be interesting to see how handles it when the chips are down as they are likely to be at some point in the Premier League next season.
Bookies believe Norwich will survive with bet365 offering 4-7 they stay up and 5-4 to be relegated. Champions Bournemouth are 10-11 to go down and 8-11 to finish above the bottom three with runners-up Watford 4-5 and 10-11 respectively.
None of the trio to be relegated pays 7-1 and all three is 14-1. Norwich are 6-4 with bet365 to finish above the pair in the top promoted club market with Middlesbrough quoted at 11-1 favourites to win the Championship title next season ahead of 12-1 QPR, 14-1 Burnley and 16-1 Bolton.
It’s pretty quiet on Tuesday with the usual scattering of games across the continent including Serie B and Hungarian play-offs and some Scandinavian league matches.
On Wednesday we have the Europa League Final between Sevilla and Dnipro and I’ll post a separate preview on that one as well as the first leg of the Championship play-off final featuring Rangers and Motherwell on Thursday.
I said I’d only put up tips if something came up during my research and I’ve looked closely at games including Perugia v Pescara, Spezia v Avellion, Degerfors v Sirius, Stjarnan v FH, MTK Budapest v Debrecen, Levski Sofia v Marek and Dinamo Tbilisi v Samtredia.
Degerfors should beat Sirius in Sweden and Stjarnan v seems a both to score job. MTK are 3-1 down from the first leg of their Hungarian Cup clash and over 2.5 goals has a chance with eight of the 11 last meetings going that way.
Raaljaca has already tipped Levski on the handicaps and the stats and form point to a big win but the Bulgarians will be resting about half their team for a meaningless league match ahead of a more important cup encounter against Cherno More on Saturday.
In the Georgian Cup Dinamo tempt at about 1-2 against a Samtredia side they’ve beaten 10 times in a row and 15 out of 16. However, without team news I’m not including them in a double or treble so if anyone has news of their line-up they could add a comment.
The Serie B play-off quarter-final first leg between Perugia v Pescara looks an overs games going by stats. Both league games between the sides finished 2-2 and while Pescara finished the season poorly and changed coach they were the league’s top scorers with 69.
Former Italy defender Massimo Oddo was promoted to Under-19 coach just last week and guided his side into the play-offs with a 3-0 win against Livorno.
Perugia though are favourites to qualify and having lost just one home game all season they’ll be out to build up a decent first-half lead. With Pescara scoring in their last seven on the road there should be plenty of goals and the only thing stopping me from putting more points on the Super Single is the fact it’s a first-leg affair.
3pts Super Single
Perugia v Pescara over 2.5 goals (5.30pm)
May Super Single record
30 bets (10 winners, 20 losers)
May Top Treble record
22 bets (8 winners, 14 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
|Paddy Power||2 Up - You win! Paddy Power will pay you as a winner straight away if your team goes 2 goals up at any stage in the game. Ends Jan 9th.||CLAIM OFFER|
|Racebets||Use code WELCOME for up to £50 matched bonus when you join Racebets.||CLAIM OFFER|
|Marathonbet||Get a £20 matched bonus when you open a new account at Marathonbet. Use code TV20||CLAIM OFFER|
|Coral||Opt in to Coral's Bet & Get Club and receive a free £5 bet each week.||CLAIM OFFER|
|BetVictor||Bet £10 Get £60 when you open a new account at BetVictor.||CLAIM OFFER|