IT was a strange day in the world of the top tips. Anyone doing the full 10pts I suggested would have been in profit – but anyone doing just the Super Single will have lost 5pts.
While the Super Single was a disappointment my goals single, Daily Double and Top Treble all won – at 1-1, 6-4 and 9-1.
For the Super Single I put my faith in Bradford not to lose their FA Cup replay at Reading but the Championship men started strongly, got their tactics right and put on a show that belied their league struggles.
The Top Treble came in thanks to Liverpool, Lazio and Fiorentina while Top Oss and NEC brought up an early Dutch Daily Double. I had time to study the Jupiler League games and took over 3.5 goals at Emmen v Eindhoven for the goals single.
Tuesday’s card is packed with Champions League, virtually a full set of Football League fixtures and games in Scotland too. Football League midweek matches often mean trouble and I’d advise caution.
I’ve posted a separate Champions League preview covering the Atletico Madrid-Bayer Leverkusen and Monaco-Arsenal matches.
In Scotland Hearts can continue their match to the Championship title by winning at Raith and are 2-5 with Coral. Rangers have drawn three in a row but can end that sequence by beating bogey side Alloa. Stuart McCall’s had time to find his feet and now it’s time for a win. His side are backable at 4-11 with Coral.
Earlier I put up a Super Single shortlist and suggested I liked Watford at Wigan. I backed the Hornets at 29-20 and decided to put it up as the Super Single last night before the price dropped further from 7-5.
Wigan are still without a home since last August and will be without banned top scorer James McClean. Grant Holt is also out but Leon Clarke is fit and on-loan Jerome Sinclair is in line to make his debut. Watford have defender Tommy Hoban back and striker Odion Ighalo could return from injury. Fernando Forestieri is tipped for a start after replacing crocked Almen Abdi at the weekend and putting on a good show.
As you know the Super Single needs a lift and with the betting bank in a healthy state I’m going with a maximum 10pts. It’s up to anyone who follows to decide if they match it. I’m not chasing losses because overall the top tips are in good shape but I’m keen to see the -16.3pts reduced big style.
Ten points is my maximum risk each day so anything else I do today will be in shops with spare cash – for that reason there are no suggested points on the other tips.
After yesterday’s 9-1 Top Treble success I’m going with Ipswich to get back on track at home to a Bolton side making changes ahead of an even more important weekend meeting with Wigan. Mick McCarthy’s men haven’t won in four but face an outfit who have lost three in a row away.
Add Wolves at home to Sheffield Wednesday. Wolves lie three points outside the play-off places so must take advantage of their matches at Molineux. The Owls have picked up but lost at home to Wolves earlier in the season and on their last two visits there.
And complete the treble with Atletico Madrid at home to Bayer Leverkusen – and for reasoning on that one see the Champions League preview.
I’m putting up an aways line with Watford and adding Norwich at Huddersfield who have some injury problems. Striker Harry Bunn joins fellow forward Nakhi Wells in the treatment room and defender Jack Robinson is out after being injured against Birmingham.
Norwich have won four in a row on the road while suffering a couple of wobbles at home and I expect them to pick up the points.
Like Wigan struggling Millwall can’t buy a home win. It was October when they last treated their fans to a New Den success and they haven’t won any of their last 12 at home. Brighton are tonight’s visitors and while their form could be better they’ve won three of their last six on the road and their last two at the New Den.
Complete a fourfold with Sheffield Utd who visit Walsall side likely to rest players ahead of Sunday’s JP Trophy final against Sheffield Utd. Walsall have little to play for in the league so a Wembley visit will be their season’s highlight and inconsistent Blades can take advantage to stay in the play-off chase.
My next would be Bournemouth at Cardiff but before their last away win at Fulham they’d lost to Nottm Forest and Brentford so there are enough doubts for me to leave them out.
10pts Super Single
Perm any 3 and all 4 (5 bets)
Fourfold pays 24-1 bet365, Betfred
Super Single March record
17 bets (5 winners, 10 losers, 2 void)
March goals record
14 bets (7 winners, 7 losers)
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