THE Super Single remains in profit in 2015 but it’s at breaking point after Gateshead were held 0-0 at home to Woking.
I put it up as a 3.25pts pick and added a 4pt double that was beaten by Preston who lost at home to Walsall in the JP Trophy Northern Final first leg.
So that’s two losing nights in a row with results not quite going as planned.
On Thursday much of the focus will be on the Spanish Cup clash between Barcelona and Elche with the Catalan giants in a bit of turmoil.
They had won 10 matches of 11 matches heading into last Sunday’s trip to Real Sociedad but went down 1-0 to cap a miserable week that also saw them lose their appeal against FIFA’s transfer ban.
On Monday Barca – who take on reigning champions Atletico in the league at the weekend – sacked director of sport Andoni Zubizarreta sacked and saw his assistant Carles Puyol also leave the club.
And to make matters worse Lionel Messi, who had been benched for the Sociedad game, called off sick for training with reports suggesting he and coach Luis Enrique were at loggerheads.
Reports suggest Messi won’t start against Elche but I don’t know for sure. However, even with the difficulties they’re experiencing this should be a routine win for Barca against La Liga’s basement side and one who have never scored against the Catalans.
It’s been 3-0, 3-0 and 4-0 in the last three meetings so while Barca are extremely short at a best 1-11 at BetVictor you can get 8-11 at Ladbrokes for them to win by three or more which they should manage.
Before losing to Socieded it had been 21 goals in their last four homes and while they’re better with Messi without the likes of Neymar, Luis Suarez and Pedro can fill the void.
If Messi does get the nod he’ll be out to make a point and I’d back him at 12-5 with bet365 to score first but if he’s not in the line-up choose Pedro who has netted six in seven games. He is 9-2 at bet365 and Paddy Power.
Elche have won once on the road in La Liga but put on a better display when they held Villarreal 2-2 at home after trailing 2-0.
Tonight’s other tie sees Sevilla travel to Granada and while Sevilla tempt at 1-1 with Betfred team news suggests they’ll rest five or six key players. Granada have won just once in 15 so have been dragged into a drop battle and they too are likely to rotate.
Sevilla spanked Granada 5-1 at the end of October and have lost just one of the last eight meetings. If team news is wrong and they field a strong side I’d go with them so it’s one to watch.
There is one match in England with promotion rivals Luton taking on Shrewsbury. Luton went to Cambridge 2-1 in the FA Cup last weekend but boss John Still has five players back who missed that match – Nathan Doyle, Scott Griffiths, Steve McNulty, Shaun Whalley and Luke Rooney. New signing Jayden Stockley is available.
Shrewsbury have doubts over striker Andy Mangan but midfielder Dave McAllister could feature after returning from a loan spell with Stevenage and James Wesolowski is fit again.
The Shrews have stuttered recently with a 1-0 defeat to Burton and 0-0 league draw at Wycombe. Their 10-goal tally on the road is the lowest of any of the top 16 teams and home advantage could give Luton, who are 21-10 at bet365, the edge.
I’ve had a good look at games this morning and decided to risk my 2pts profit on Luton draw no bet against the Shrews. Team news favours Luton as does the fact they’ve netted in their last nine home games.
For title favourites Shrewsbury’s away record is poor – just three wins – and the key stat for is that none of them have been against any of the current top 15. Luton are a biggest 19-10 at Skybet to win but I’m happy to try to double my money with DNB at 1-1 with Betfred.
I’ve picked Luton ahead of Maritimo who face Nacional in the Portuguese Cup. Maritimo have lost just once at home in the league and 16 of their 19 points have been gathered in front of their home fans while Nacional are without a victory on the road.
They beat Braga at home last time out but did, however, lose 3-0 at Nacional in the league in December so that’s a concern. But if Maritimo play a full-strength side home form suggests they’ll win and are a biggest 11-10 at bet365.
Add Barcelona -2 for reasons stated and while Sevilla should win team news leads me to play safer with Sevilla draw no bet – the treble pays just under 4-1 if it comes in.
2pts Super Single
Luton DNB (7.45pm)
1pt Top Treble
Sevilla DNB (7pm)
Barcelona -2 (9pm)
Super Single 2015 record: 5 bets
(2 winners, 3 losers, 1 void)
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