IT’S the last day of the month and it’s been another one full of ups and downs.
The Super Single will finish in profit after my main tip of 1.5pts on Arsenal to score 2+ won at 8-5. I later added a double on PSG and Barca to score 2+ but PSG were a goal short as they lost a domestic game for the first time this season.
Two poor days on the advised accas mean I’ll show a small loss but anyone who does accumulators knows the risks and if have the staking power to stick to singles all the better.
I tipped Man City to lift the Capital One Cup but should have advised draw or a penalty bet as my gut feeling was it would go down to the wire.
Tonight there is one game in the UK ahead of a busy week with Brighton expected to beat Leeds in the English Championship.
There are two big games in Serie A with Lazio facing Sassuolo and Fiorentina taking on Napoli. In Portugal it’s Benfica v Madeira and Guimaraes v Sporting while Fenerbahce take on Besiktas in Turkey.
For the Super Single I thought about goals at Fiorentina but have simply decided to back Napoli to win. The Naples side are four points behind leaders Juventus and now they’re out of the Europa League can fully focus on a title battle.
Fiorentina are also out of Europe and didn’t impress as they crashed 4-1 to a Spurs side who made changed in both legs.
Napoli have a superb record in Florence winning four and drawing twice on their last six visits and that stat has played a crucial role in going for the away win.
Two of the wins were by 1-0 and the two draws were 1-1 – despite that it still has the look of an overs rather than unders game with Napoli deadly on the counter against a side who won’t sit back. Gonzalo Higuain is the most likely first scorer at 9-2 with Paddy Power.
In the other Serie A game it’s a tough one for Lazio against a stuffy Sassuolo side who have scored in their last seven away games. With the stat take Sassuolo to score at a best 7-10 with boylesports to start the Top Treble.
Add Brighton who are back on form after a mid-season blip with five wins in seven. They lost heavily at Cardiff two games but that was with a weakened side and bounce back to win 4-0 at Bristol City.
Leeds have been treading water and despite giving it everything under Steve Evans they’ve won one league game in 10 which isn’t good enough for hard-to-please fans.
Complete the treble with over 2.5 goals at Guimaraes v Sporting. Sporting have netted 13 goals in three away games but have won just twice in six visits to Vitoria.
Guimares matches have totalled 22 in five outings including two 3-3 draws and a 2-2. They were hammered 5-1 away to Sporting earlier in the season and I expect another win for the title chasers but Vitoria are no mugs and both teams could score.
I’m aiming for a win that ends the month in profit but go with the stake you fell comfortable with.
Greg and Jordan have posted goals tips for tonight so have a look and tomorrow make sure you log in for big news for member and non-members as we go Mad in March.
Remember to check We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
1.48pts Top Treble
Sassuolo to score (6pm)
Guimaraes v Sporting over 2.5 goals (8pm)
February Super Single Total
30 bets (16 winners)
February Advised Accas Total
47 bets (9 winners)