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IT was another good day for Milesey whose outsider won at a big price for the second day running.
Maybe he should start calling them his naps. Anyway here are his thoughts and tips for today.
BIG SOCIETY 3.0
Interesting horse, been doing well in novice company and takes the step up to a handicap. Always performs well and looks like it has been slipped into handicap company in a field were it is capable of making a winning handicap debut.
NO TO TRIDENT 4.7
Last run-out after a lengthy lay-off would have done this horse wonders, performed so well on his return, and can keep that upward spiral going as I expect this horse just to get better and better.
JUPITER REX? 1.33 (nap)
Question mark as it was only out on Monday. Same reasons as then and it won that day with a novice on board, Aidan Coleman. Going for a five-timer.
THUNDERSTORM 1.52 (nap)
Everyone who reads my selections should know all about this one, last time out AP won on it so easy without even pushing it, just had a glance round, lit his cigar and sat back and cruised it. This horse has not been needed to be driven out but should it need to happen the McCoy drive will pull this one clear.
Based on the last run, and only a slight weight rise for that win, expect this one to get the better of APACHE RISING.
1ST KABBAAS 1.43
2ND APACHE RISING 4.8
This is an interesting race, I wanted to side with Lucies Diamond 2.2, won well last April in its first race, but has been off track since. Looked a really nice horse that day with plenty of potential, have no idea why it has been out for so long, and over 5f it has to be at its best for any rustiness and this horse is going to get blown off the track. La Slyphe is another who was a great horse at Southwell but at other tracks while Southwell was under water has seemed to have lost all form.
So for this race i am siding with MIAKO 2.26, Trainer is seven out of seven at Southwell and this horse has plenty of potential and with its best days ahead. I fully expect it to take the win.
TOUCH THE EDEN 2.2
Two in Ireland for Walsh and Mullins and it’s hard to quite know what to do with these. Back to lay in running is a possibility. Is it a winning double? Are they both lays for nothing to do with horse form, trainer etc … just not sure how they are going to be ridden so it’s maybe a case of watch the market and try to work out the best way to play.
The 3.20 is a competitive sprint with a couple dropping in grade but Justineo looks the interesting one now he is back at 6f. He’s clearly not the easiest to win with having just the maiden success to his name but spent much of his career punching above his weight so perhaps that shouldn’t be held against him.
His best run last year came over this trip when third to Eton Rifles in a listed contest at Doncaster and while arguably on a stiff enough mark as a result of that run he has shaped as though he can close off it in two starts at Meydan this year.
Both those runs came at 7f, doing too much too soon on each occasion, but travelled better than most when fifth to Time Prisoner last time and from a good draw in stall 2 will hopefully be in the perfect position throughout.
Sajjhaa franked the form of the Cape Verdi when landing the Balanchine last week but Amanee could easily have beaten her in the former had she had some luck and Mike de Kock’s charge can atone for that defeat in the 4.30.
Amanee was a Group 2 winner last year and, like so many from the yard, built significantly on her reappearance when second to Sajjhaa last time, beaten to a gap at a crucial stage by the winner and having little time to recover. It would come as no surprise if she were to go on again from that and assuming she handles this different surface she should take plenty of beating.
Dhruba Selveratnam is good for producing at least one big-priced winner each Carnival and hopefully his Jaasoos can do the business in the 5.40. It’s been a lean season for Selveratnam with just four wins to his name but two of those came at Jebel Ali last weekend and the stable as a whole do seem in much better form.
Jaasoos typified that with a promising effort last time, only eighth to Time Prisoner but he was badly hampered in a messy race and could easily have threatened the first four had he got a clean run through.
He’s slowly edging back down the weights and it was only 12 months ago he was finishing second to Delegator off a mark of 110 and wouldn’t need to replicate that fully to make an impact here.
Back Justineo in the 3:20
Back Amanee in the 4:30
Back Jaasoos win and place in the 5:40
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