FEB 28: RACING TIPS AND CHAT

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IT was another good day for Milesey whose outsider won at a big price for the second day running.

Maybe he should start calling them his naps. Anyway here are his thoughts and tips for today.

Ludlow 4.0
BIG SOCIETY 3.0

Interesting horse, been doing well in novice company and takes the step up to a handicap. Always performs well and looks like it has been slipped into handicap company in a field were it is capable of making a winning handicap debut.

Taunton 2.10
NO TO TRIDENT 4.7

Last run-out after a lengthy lay-off would have done this horse wonders, performed so well on his return, and can keep that upward spiral going as I expect this horse just to get better and better.

Taunton 2.40
GARRYLEIGH 2.68

Taunton 3.40
JUPITER REX? 1.33 (nap)

Question mark as it was only out on Monday. Same reasons as then and it won that day with a novice on board, Aidan Coleman. Going for a five-timer.

Taunton 4.10
THUNDERSTORM 1.52 (nap)

Everyone who reads my selections should know all about this one, last time out AP won on it so easy without even pushing it, just had a glance round, lit his cigar and sat back and cruised it. This horse has not been needed to be driven out but should it need to happen the McCoy drive will pull this one clear.

Southwell 2.20
KABBAAS

Based on the last run, and only a slight weight rise for that win, expect this one to get the better of APACHE RISING.

1ST KABBAAS 1.43
2ND APACHE RISING 4.8

Southwell 3.20

This is an interesting race, I wanted to side with Lucies Diamond 2.2, won well last April in its first race, but has been off track since. Looked a really nice horse that day with plenty of potential, have no idea why it has been out for so long, and over 5f it has to be at its best for any rustiness and this horse is going to get blown off the track. La Slyphe is another who was a great horse at Southwell but at other tracks while Southwell was under water has seemed to have lost all form.

So for this race i am siding with MIAKO 2.26, Trainer is seven out of seven at Southwell and this horse has plenty of potential and with its best days ahead. I fully expect it to take the win.

Thurles 2.55
LAMBRO 1.78

Thurles 3.55
TOUCH THE EDEN 2.2

Two in Ireland for Walsh and Mullins and it’s hard to quite know what to do with these. Back to lay in running is a possibility. Is it a winning double? Are they both lays for nothing to do with horse form, trainer etc … just not sure how they are going to be ridden so it’s maybe a case of watch the market and try to work out the best way to play.

MEYDAN PICKS

The 3.20 is a competitive sprint with a couple dropping in grade but Justineo looks the interesting one now he is back at 6f. He’s clearly not the easiest to win with having just the maiden success to his name but spent much of his career punching above his weight so perhaps that shouldn’t be held against him.

His best run last year came over this trip when third to Eton Rifles in a listed contest at Doncaster and while arguably on a stiff enough mark as a result of that run he has shaped as though he can close off it in two starts at Meydan this year.

Both those runs came at 7f, doing too much too soon on each occasion, but travelled better than most when fifth to Time Prisoner last time and from a good draw in stall 2 will hopefully be in the perfect position throughout.

Sajjhaa franked the form of the Cape Verdi when landing the Balanchine last week but Amanee could easily have beaten her in the former had she had some luck and Mike de Kock’s charge can atone for that defeat in the 4.30.

Amanee was a Group 2 winner last year and, like so many from the yard, built significantly on her reappearance when second to Sajjhaa last time, beaten to a gap at a crucial stage by the winner and having little time to recover. It would come as no surprise if she were to go on again from that and assuming she handles this different surface she should take plenty of beating.

Dhruba Selveratnam is good for producing at least one big-priced winner each Carnival and hopefully his Jaasoos can do the business in the 5.40. It’s been a lean season for Selveratnam with just four wins to his name but two of those came at Jebel Ali last weekend and the stable as a whole do seem in much better form.

Jaasoos typified that with a promising effort last time, only eighth to Time Prisoner but he was badly hampered in a messy race and could easily have threatened the first four had he got a clean run through.

He’s slowly edging back down the weights and it was only 12 months ago he was finishing second to Delegator off a mark of 110 and wouldn’t need to replicate that fully to make an impact here.

Back Justineo in the 3:20
Back Amanee in the 4:30
Back Jaasoos win and place in the 5:40

Milesey

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95 Comments
  1. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    THE SAINT DOUBLE
    ITS ON !

  2. Milesey 4 years ago

    VIEWS from Gordon Elliott on his thursday Runners
    ————————————————–

    14:55 Thurles – Mount Benbulben

    I am really looking forward to the horse’s new jockey Danny Mullins taking the ride for the first time here after he was recently retained by the owner Barry Connell. In his last race he gave away ground at Leopardstown due to his tendancy to jump out to the right at his fences there, and I think he would have finished a lot closer to the winner, Texas Jack, had this not been the case as he was only beaten 2 ¼ lengths at the finish .

    The right handed nature of the track at Thurles will suit him better for sure, and it will help his jumping. I think he has a very good chance, he’ll appreciate the soft ground and trip of 2m2f, although he does face some stiff competition in the shape of Willie Mullins’ Lambro. I’m hopeful of a good run here, with the long term target being the Powers Gold Cup at Fairyhouse on the 31st March.

    15:25 Thurles – Dont Back Down

    We were quite disappointed with his last run to be honest where he finished a well beaten seventh of 11 runners behind the same owner’s, Gigginstown House Stud, other horse Panther Claw at Punchestown in January. The heavy ground didnt really suit him that day so I think we can put a line through that effort, and with conditions looking like they might be better at Thurles I’d be hopeful of a better run here. He hasn’t shown his best form on the track of late. However he’s been in good form and he’s been working well at home, so I think he has a good each way chance in a competitive looking contest.

    15:55 Thurles – Shrapnel, Mala Beach

    Shrapnel was quite disappointing last time, where he finished fifth of seven runners behind Willie Mullins’ Inis Island at Clonmel. I’d like to think that it was just an off day for him and that he can bounce back from that effort here. All of the horses have been in great form at home and he’s no different, he’s been working well so i’m just hoping he can put that last race behind him and come on from that run here.

    Mala Beach is a horse that I really like, he was unlucky at Leopardstown in December when he was badly hampered and ran out through the rail. However he made up for that back at the same track in January, beating a nice horse of Ted Walsh’s, Foxrock, by four lengths in the end. I was pleased with that effort and I think he’s improved since then. Whatever he does over hurdles will be a big bonus, as I think he could be even better once he goes over fences.

    Both of them have entries at Cheltenham, but we’ll sit down with the owners after this race and discuss where we go next.

    17:25 Thurles – Vicky Miller

    We were very happy with her first run, where she finished fifth of 13 to Railway Zira beaten 18 ½ lengths in the end at Fairyhouse, in what looked like a nice bumper. It was a nice introductory run for her, and I’d like to think that she has improved since then. I think she comes here with good each way chance, Davy O’Leary who rode her last time takes the ride again and with conditions set to suit I hope she can run well with that experience under her belt.

    After his run in behind Annie Power and Defy Logic at Naas, we get an update from Gordon on one of his stable stars, Don Cossack.

    He came out of the race at Naas on Sunday in good shape, and he’s been doing well since then. He was beaten by two improving horses on the day, and the winner looks an exceptional mare. In regards to future plans, Cheltenham is now off the agenda and we will look at bringing him to Fairyhouse or Punchestown instead, as there are some nice races there for him too.

    —————————————————–

    KEMPTON DOUBLE

    7.00 RUSSIAN ICE 6.6

    8.00 NAPINDA 5.8

    —————————————

    LUDLOW 4.00
    BIG SOCIETY 3.00
    Interesting horse, been doing well in novice company and takes the step up today to a handicap. Always performs very well, and looks like it has been slipped into handicap company today in a field were it is very capable of making a winning handicap debut.

    TAUNTON 2.10
    NO TO TRIDENT 4.7
    Last run out after a lengthy lay off would have done this horse wonders, performed so well on his return, and can keep that upward spiral going today, as i expect this horse just to get better and better.

    TAUNTON 2.40
    GARRYLEIGH 2.68

    TAUNTON 3.40
    JUPITER REX ? 1.33 ( NAP )
    Question mark for was only out on monday. Same reasons as then and it won that day with a novice on board, AIDAN COLEMAN on board today. Going for a 5 timer today.

    TAUNTON 4.10
    THUNDERSTORM 1.52 ( NAP )
    Everyone that reads my selections should know all about this one, last time out AP won on it so easy without even pushing it, just had a glance round, lit his cigar and just sat back and cruised it. This horse has not been needed to be driven out, but should it need to happen then the McCoy drive will pull this one clear.

    SOUTHWELL 2.20
    KABBAAS
    Based on the last run, and only a slight weight rise today for that win, expect this one today to get the better of APACHE RISING.
    1ST KABBAAS 1.43
    2ND APACHE RISING 4.8

    SOUTHWELL 3.20
    This is a very interesting race, i wanted to side with Lucies Diamond 2.2, won well last April in it’s first race, but has been off track since, looked a really nice horse that day with plenty of potential, have no idea why it has been off track so long, and today over 5f it has to be at it’s very best for any rustiness and this horse is just going to get blown off the track. La Slyphe is another who was a great horse at Southwell, but at other tracks while Southwell was under water has seemed to have lost all form.
    So for this race i am siding with MIAKO 2.26, Trainer is 7 out of 7 at southwell, and this horse has plenty of potential and it’s best days are ahead, so i fully expect it to take the win today.

    THURLES 2.55
    LAMBRO 1.78

    THURLES 3.55
    TOUCH THE EDEN 2.2

    Two in Ireland today for WALSH and MULLINS hard to quite know what to do with these, Back to Lay in running is a possibility. Trying to work out how to play these runners today, Is it a winning Double ? are they both lays for today, nothing to do with horse form, trainer etc… Just not sure how they are going to be riden today, maybe a case of watch the market and try to work out the best way to play.

    ————————————–
    MEYDAN PICKS

    The 15:20 is a competitive sprint with a couple dropping in grade but Justineo looks the interesting one now he is back at 6f. He’s clearly not the easiest to win with having just the maiden success to his name, but he’s spent much of his career punching above his weight so perhaps that shouldn’t be held against him. His best run last year came over this trip when third to Eton Rifles in a listed contest at Doncaster and whilst arguably on a stiff enough mark as a result of that run, he has shaped as though he can close off it in two starts at Meydan this year. Both those runs came at 7f, doing too much too soon on each occasion, but he travelled better than most when fifth to Time Prisoner last time and from a good draw in stall 2, he will hopefully be in the perfect position throughout.

    Sajjhaa franked the form of the Cape Verdi when landing the Balanchine last week but Amanee could easily have beaten her in the former had she had some luck and Mike de Kock’s charge can atone for that defeat in the 16:30. Amanee was a Group 2 winner last year and, like so many from the yard, built significantly on her reappearance when second to Sajjhaa last time, beaten to a gap at a crucial stage by the winner and having little time to recover. It would come as no surprise if she were to go on again from that and assuming she handles this different surface, she should take plenty of beating.

    Dhruba Selveratnam is good for producing at least one big-priced winner each Carnival and hopefully his Jaasoos can do the business in the 17:40. It’s been a lean season for Selveratnam with just four wins to his name, but two of those came at Jebel Ali last weekend and the stable as a whole do seem in much better form. Jaasoos typified that with a promising effort last time, only eighth to Time Prisoner but he was badly hampered in a messy race and could easily have threatened the first four had he got a clean run through. He’s slowly edging back down the weights and it was only 12 months ago he was finishing second to Delegator off a mark of 110, and he wouldn’t need to replicate that fully to make an impact here.

    Back Justineo in the 15:20
    Back Amanee in the 16:30
    Back Jaasoos win and place in the 17:40
    —————————————-

    Milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      The Group 3 UAE Oaks staged at Meydan on Thursday…

      Lovely Pass continues to go the right way, beating several of these when landing the UAE 1000 Guineas here last time. Should stay this far and every reason to expect another bold show.

      Emotif made just the one start in South Africa last year, winning a minor event by over 4 lengths. Still green and in need of run behind Lovely Pass here last time and no surprise if she can reverse form.

      My Special J’s finished runner-up first 2 starts before showing much improved form when winning Debutante Stakes at the Curragh last year. Looks flattered by that and well behind several of these last time.

      Music Chart won 2 of her first 3 starts, and far from disgraced when third to Lovely Pass here last time, forced very wide off home turn. Likely to stay this far and no surprise if she reverses form.

      Go Angellica won 2 of her first 3 starts last year, including a 4-runner listed race at Salisbury. Below form in better events subsequently and well beaten in UAE 1000 Guineas last time so best watched.

      More Than Sotka was consistent for a different yard in France last year, and again gave her running when third to Music Chart on reappearance. Too keen behind Lovely Pass last time and this trip is a concern.

      Mar Mar took a while to get off the mark, reacting positively to visor when winning at Doncaster in November. Blinkered when seeming to improve behind Lovely Pass latest but was able to dictate.

      Shuruq won her maiden at Kempton last year and has shown much improved form when second to Music Chart and Lovely Pass in 2 starts this campaign. Claims again if staying this far.

      Pure Excellence was kept busy last year but improved with her racing, winning 3 times in total including a listed race at Newmarket. Has disappointed in both the UAE 1000 and 2000 Guineas this year, however.

      Verdict: Several of these ran in the UAE 1000 Guineas last time, Lovely Pass coming out on top, but it could be worth chancing that Emotif improves significantly for her reappearance, as most from the yard continue to do, and she was an easy winner of her sole start last year. Music Chart could easily reverse form with Lovely Pass having had a poor run through last time and is feared most.

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        Michael Appleby is surely delighted that Southwell has reopened following the course’s problems over the winter, firing in an extraordinary seven winners from as many runners on the fibresand, and the three-year-old Miako can add to that tally in the 15:20. A fair maiden on the Polytrack, it would be little surprise to see Miako take his form to a whole new level on this first attempt on the fibresand, considering he is bred to be effective on the surface and will be ideally suited to a strongly-run five furlongs.

        Cool Friend may have only made a low-key start to her Point-to-Point career recently, but she was a fairly useful handicapper at her best and looks to have been found a good opportunity in the 16:30 at Ludlow. She was the best of these under Rules and, at ten-years-old, it is possible that she still retains a fair level of ability; in fact, she ran right up to her best on her penultimate start last year, beating Aldertune at Sandown, having previously chased home the ultra-progressive Hunt Ball at Kempton, and she has solid claims at this level.

        Jumpers’ bumpers certainly aren’t to everyone’s taste, but you would imagine Charles Egerton is fond of them given the success his Dr Livingstone (19:30 Kempton) has enjoyed. A dual-winner in that sphere, Dr Livingstone really impressed with his latest success in particular, bounding clear in the closing stages, crossing the line with loads in hand. This contest, which also takes place over two miles, is likely to place more emphasis on stamina than a jumpers’ bumper, which are traditionally slowly-run affairs, but he is well treated based on the pick of his old form and can register another victory.

        Back Miako @ 2.88 in the 15:20 at Southwell
        Back Cool Friend @ 3.3 in the 16:30 at Ludlow
        Back Dr Livingstone @ 4.1 in the 19:30 at Kempton

        • Milesey 4 years ago

          the best bet of the day may well come at Southwell, where Hellbender (16:50) looks to have outstanding claims at the weights in a 6f handicap big on numbers, but decidedly lacking in depth. An improved performer since switching to the Worksop yard of Shaun Harris and tried in a tongue tie, Hellbender has also been given a real chance by the handicapper before his new mark kicks in.

          A winner over 7f here earlier in the month, he improved again to go down narrowly to the well-handicapped Light Burst over the same distance, showing an excellent attitude to rally after being passed by the winner. That was all the more meritorious, as he was 3 lb out of the weights, and was unable to get an easy time at the head of affairs. He’s been reassessed for that run, but is able to race of his old mark here, so is effectively 3 lb lower than for that effort, and 5 lb “well in” based on his future mark.

          A draw in the widest stall of all (Upper Lambourn, due to race from 14 is a non runner) is nothing like the disadvantage it’s perceived to be over 6f at Southwell, and Hellbender has the early speed to sit handy, and crucially avoid kickback. If doing so, he looks much the likeliest winner, and the presence of the mercurial Michael Murphy on his back is another positive, with the rider having a 3 from 7 record for the often-underestimated Harris yard.

          The danger on form is Nant Saeson, but he is untried on the surface, which is always a concern. As a son of Elusive City, he ought to take to the surface, but that’s still something of a gamble. One who may be overpriced on form is Steel City Boy, who will be ridden as usual by Ann Stokell, and won’t attract the cash as a result, but he’s been running well despite the rider’s limitations of late, and could prove a threat if Stokell can negotiate a path from the inside berth.

          One trainer who is enjoying a great time of things since Southwell was passed fit for racing again is Mick Appleby, of whom I’ve been a big fan for some time. His record with fibresand runners in 2013 is an amazing 7 wins from 7 runs, and he’ll be looking to add a couple more today / Our Ivor (17:20).

          BOTH AT SOUTHWELL

          Back Hellbender in the 16:50 @ 5.1
          Back Oyr Ivor in the 17:20 @ 2.14

  3. Guido 4 years ago

    AAh…Kabbass n Thunderstorm…they’ll do for me 2moro. Hope Kabbass dunt swallow a mouthful of sand Milesey!!! :-)…what kinda price is he?? be better than 1/14 :-)

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      KABBAAS , well i can see a nice 5/6 on pp, 4/6 bet365.

      Thunderstorm 4/6 across the board 😉

      Milesey

  4. Arnie 4 years ago

    Going for the fourfold with Thunderstorm, Kabbaas, Jupiter Rex and Hidden Coin
    what do you think Milesey?

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      HIDDEN COIN on the fibre sand in this field, isn’t going to win, the rest of your picks look fine to me, but i really don’t think HIDDEN COIN will win, and i back this horse alday long most of the time, just not today for me.

      Milesey

  5. Arnie 4 years ago

    ok, will make it a treble.
    thanks

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      If Hidden Coin was at Wolverhampton against this field then i’d be on it all day long, but on fibre sand, i would be in favour of Hillbilly boy, everything in this race just looks like it stacks up in his favour. Hidden Coin last 2 wins were at wolvs over 5f, today for this race been pushed upto the 7f distance. Hillbilly boy, won at a 8f and a 7f last 2 trips out, finds himself coming of a really nice mark here, i can see some danger coming from Krupskaya, Bix you can most probably count out.

      Milesey

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        2.50 SOUTHWELL

        1st HILLBILLY BOY
        2nd HIDDON COIN
        3rd KRUPSKAYA

        that’s how i see it, and how i have worked it out.

        Milesey

  6. Striker 4 years ago

    Gonna go for miako/thunderstorm double

  7. gunner 4 years ago

    my man RICHARD HUGHES is back love him he defo the best flat jockey by far far far i met him 4 times

  8. Andy G 4 years ago

    Don’t really do the horses but went fur the same treble as Arnie. Just for an interest while at shitty work. Keep up the good work Milesey

  9. Marco 4 years ago

    Mr.fixit what’s ur lucky 15 for today thanks

  10. suzie 4 years ago

    Milesy,you got any tips for honda classic golf??

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      I am personally looking at these three :

      Charl Schwartzel @ 17.0
      Branden Grace @ 110.0
      Charlie Beljan @ 240.0

      Milesey
      ——————————————-

      GOLF – HONDA CLASSIC
      PGA National Champion Course, Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

      Live on Sky all four days, from 8.00pm on Thursday and Friday and 6.00pm on Saturday and Sunday

      Market Leaders
      Nike Boys, Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy, fresh from their first round defeats at the WGC Accenture Match Play, are first and second in the betting. Currently ranked one and two in the world, the pair finished 1-2 in this event twelve months ago but at the prices, neither makes any appeal this time around.

      Given his proximity to the venue, it was surprising that Tiger waited until last year to make his debut – perhaps he didn’t fancy it much, or hadn’t play well here in practice? Anyway, if he turns up in the mood he was at Torrey Pines he may get into the shake-up again this year but he’s plenty short enough to do so. He was never actually really involved last year and owed his tied 2nd to a final round 62 from off the pace.

      Rory’s at least in double-figures but considering he’s only played three rounds of golf with his new clubs this year, it would take a very brave person to back him to defend.

      Third best is Charl Schwartzel who makes his third appearance in the event. On debut two years ago, he started fast but finished poorly, and then last year he started slowly but finished fast. He has a decent record in Florida and is in great form, maybe he can start well and finish well this year and if he does, he’ll be a formidable opponent.

      Honda Classic Pre-Event Selections:
      Charl Schwartzel @ 17.0
      Branden Grace @ 110.0
      **Charlie Beljan @ 240.0**
      Graham DeLaet @ 440.0
      Patrick Reed @ 610.0

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        Graham DeLaet @ 440.0
        Leads the way in the HONDA CLASSIC on -5 1 shot ahead of the field.

        • Milesey 4 years ago

          GOLF HONDA CLASSIC UPDATE

          Charl Schwartzel @ 17.0 E thru 17 holes
          Branden Grace @ 110.0 -2 thru 15 holes
          Charlie Beljan @ 240.0 +1 thru 17 holes

          ——————————————

          Milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      HONDA CLASSIC GOLF
      ——————

      Back Charlie Beljan @ 240.0

      On his sole PGA Tour start in Florida to date he won the Children’s Miracle Classic in November last year and the last time we saw him out, two weeks ago at Riviera in the Northern Trust Open, he bravely made birdie on the tough 18th to get into a playoff. Although John Merrick beat him in extra holes, Beljan topped the Greens In Regulation stats for the week and given that all bar one winner at this week’s venue has ranked inside the top-10 for that stat, he looks very much over-priced at 240.0.

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        http://espn.go.com/golf/leaderboard

        For anyone who wants to keep track of the golf 😉

        Milesey

      • Guido 4 years ago

        Milesy Charlie Beljan in golf..big price of course/great if he came in. Im finding my feet a wee bit on Betfair exchnange, going by ur advice back big/lay small etc I get. Would ur strategy be here to hope he comes good in early round/gets into some kind of contention and then lay him at much reduced odds? Great if he wins of course..just looking for some common sense guidance here make sure Im not barking up wrong trees early on!!! 😉

        • Milesey 4 years ago

          Stick to your minimum £2 stakes, and just play with the markets, your looking for big prices that you think will come in, so yes if Charlie was leading after round 1, then his 240.0 that i backed him at, might be as low as 12’s on the exchange, then i could lay him at the lower market price. SIMPLES 😉 😉

          Milesey

          • Milesey 4 years ago

            play your £2 BACK BIG / LAY SMALL, vice versa, £2 on at 8.6 , comes into 2.4 then you put your lay in at the smaller price, and make money regardless of the result, if your making 20p off your £2 stakes then thats great, keep doing it till you understand the markets when to play them etc…. if you can keep making 20p all the time, and do this for a long period, then look at raising your stakes. Just watch the markets, if you see it going the other way get out, DON’T CASH OUT, put your lay in, you may lose 20p, 40p that time off your £2 but if you cash it out you may only get 20p back. Keep on your toes, play one market at a time, and just watch the way it’s going, a good way for a novice, buy a racing post at 6am when the shop opens, get backs on their tips, for they will always crash to a nice price to get in a nice small lay.

            Milesey

            • Guido 4 years ago

              Thanks Milesey…good advice

              • Milesey 4 years ago

                All you looking at is the market, your not looking for winners / losers, thats a bonus if it comes in, you looking to play the market like you would a stock exchange, your looking at high odds that you think are going to get hammered in, BACK BIG / LAY SMALL, if you have a lay in and it doesn’t win then thats an added bonus, just like the other way round, favourites that drift, you have a back in and it wins. Your not looking at though, your looking at it as a stock exchange and you want to put your backs in and then hope that crashes so then you get your lay in, the result is regardless.

                Milesey

  11. FATHEAD 4 years ago

    MORNING MILESEY
    WHAT WOULD BE YOUR CHOICE FOR A LUCKY 15 TODAY

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Taunton 3.40
      JUPITER REX

      Taunton 4.10
      THUNDERSTORM

      Southwell 2.20
      KABBAAS

      Thurles 2.55
      LAMBRO

      WELL…………. everything i seem to be doing today is based around these 4 horses.

      Milesey

      • FATHEAD 4 years ago

        THANX MILESEY
        THEMS THE 4 FOR ME
        GONNA DO MIAKO AS WELL
        GOOD LUCK TODAY

  12. GrantH 4 years ago

    Milesey, what is the outsider tip of the day?

  13. GrantH 4 years ago

    Milesey, what is the outsider tip of the day?

    Southwell 2.20 KABBAAS
    Taunton 2.40 FOX RUN
    Taunton 3.40 JUPITER REX
    Taunton 4.10 THUNDERSTORM

  14. Milesey 4 years ago

    OUTSIDER OF THE DAY
    ——————–

    No Duffer in the 16.00 at Ludlow currently trading at 9.4

    This is the one i wanted to go for, but to win it would have to oppose BIG SOCIETY, one of my picks for this race. Looking on form etc…. NO DUFFER is due a big race and at 9.4 can’t be ignored in the market. Just looking through to see if i can find anything else today.

    Milesey

  15. Milesey 4 years ago

    LUDLOW 2.00
    3 places

    Taking the top 2 out of the market 1.88 and 2.86, the next best is at 30.0

    PANACHE 20-1 / Betfair 30.0
    Just maybe worth taking an e/w punt in this race, been out for along time and was a really nice horse on the flat….the top in the market should be 1 and 2, so looking for that 3rd place, but anything can happen and could just sqeeze a 2nd in here.

    PANACHE 30.0
    TAKE THE MIKE 30.0
    EUROTRASH 60.0
    All merit an e/w punt.

    Milesey

  16. Milesey 4 years ago

    Todays MARKET MOVERS
    ——————–

    Taunton

    14:10
    Get It On 3.65 in to 3.05
    No To Trident 10 in to 5.5

    14:40
    Fox Run 1.94 in to 1.74
    Garryleigh 2.64 out to 3.85

    15:10
    Grams And Ounces 7 in to 5.3
    Sublime Talent 8 in to 5.3

    15:40
    Jupiter Rex 1.52 out to 1.81
    Toby Lerone 6.2 in to 4.8
    Decimus 14.5 in to 7.6

    16:40
    Cave Hill 3.7 in to 3.45
    Benedictus 9.2 in to 6

    17:10
    Lady Bridget 3.6 out to 5.3
    Come on Annie 3.86 out to 5.7
    Scales 10.71 in to 6
    Posh Emily 9 in to 6.2

    Ludlow

    14:00
    Bullet Street 2.3 in to 1.9
    Whos Cross 3.25 in to 2.8

    14:30
    Arthurs Pass 2.02 out to 2.34

    15:00
    Matrows Lady 2.6 out to 3.9
    Floral Spinner 5.8 in to 4.8
    Thedeboftheyear 9.2 in to 5.8

    15:30
    Pearlysteps 5.4 out to 6.2
    Requin 14 in to 9.6

    16:00
    No Duffer 9.8 in to 6.8

    Southwell

    14:20
    Kabbaas 1.55 out to 1.73
    Apache Rising 6.25 in to 4.8

    15:20
    Miako 3.65 in to 2.94
    Lucies Diamond 4.5 out to 6.8

    16:20
    Ascendant 4.8 in to 4.1

    16:50
    Hellbender 2.66 out to 5
    Colourbearer 12.99 in to 8.8

    17:20
    Our Ivor 1.88 out to 2.1
    Berlusca 13.5 in to 8

    Milesey

  17. Arnie 4 years ago

    Milesey old mate, can I have your expertise for the 3.30 Ludlow and 5.10 Taunton

  18. Milesey 4 years ago

    You pick out some very hard races don’t you 😉

    3.30 Ludlow
    Looks to be a very competative race, i like ” THE CHAZER ” but the market doesn’t curenlt trading at 18.5, COOTEHILL another i like but again the market doesn’t 14.5. COOTEHILL last time out looked like it needed the 3m race, what it has today, it’s a 3m point winner, so this step back up to 3m today will suit this one. Politeo has a weight rise, but could be there at the finish. BALLYOLIVER for Venetia Williams should go well also. PEARLYSTEPS is nearly top weight for this race, oldest horse in the race, gets pulled up alot for doesn’t make the 3m trip, but the market is in favour for this horse 6.4.

    You can tell just how close it is when the market has PEALYSTEPS a favourite, and THE CHAZER an outsider at 18.5.

    For me :

    BUCK MULLIGAN
    COOTEHILL
    THE CHAZER

    It’s a take your pick race, all are capable of winning this.

    5.10

    Scales
    Posh Emily

    I would probably just about side more with POSH EMILY in this one if i am honest with you

    Milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Reasoning:

      POSH EMILY has a terrific record over C&D and i expect it to notch up another win today.

      Milesey

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        LUDLOW 3.30

        Zarrafakt produced a smart performance when landing a 25f Wincanton handicap 13 months ago. Jumped poorly/looked none too keen both subsequent outings and something to prove after another break.

        Pearlysteps took his form to a new level when second in a 3m Haydock handicap in January 2012. Shaped well on belated reappearance at Exeter recently, and enters calculations if building on that.

        Buck Mulligan jumped soundly when deservedly resuming winning ways at Sedgefield (2½m) in November. No problem with longer trip and capable fresh, but revised mark just about sums him up.

        Cootehill has largely run respectably since last win over shorter here in April. Just about stays this far, but rare poor effort on return visit here last time leaves him with questions to answer.

        The Chazer was good as ever when getting back on the scoresheet at Doncaster (19f) this month, but up in the weights as a result, and stamina/well being to prove following his recent Haydock fall.

        Grove Pride was fortunate to make a winning chase bow at Exeter (3m) in November (left clear last), but plenty to prove following a couple of lesser efforts since, shaping as if amiss at Kempton in December.

        Politeo cashed in off a sliding mark in good style at Wincanton (21f) in January. Stays this far, and very much of interest again, despite subsequent 8 lb rise.

        Ballyoliver is a consistent sort who has been in the grip of the assessor since last win at Newbury (3¼m) in December. Not as fluent as usual last time, though, and this hardly any easier.

        Requin has shown signs that he was getting back on track when fourth at Stratford (21f) in October, but quickly back in the doldrums after a break in cheekpieces in December, and yet to prove he stays this far.

  19. Arnie 4 years ago

    Hahahaa that’s the the mark of a true punter. You can’t have easy races all the time.
    Thanks will go for buck Mulligan and posh Emily EW. They were my original picks just needed another point of view

    Thanks milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Indeed but stay away from races like this is you want to make yourself some profit for today, and just stick to JUPITER REX and THUNDERSTORM and hope lucks on your side today 😉 😉

      Milesey

  20. Milesey 4 years ago

    Any fellow BETFAIR punters out there….. always remember the golden rule :

    BACK BIG

    LAY SMALL

    not talking stakes, talking market prices, can make money just playing the markets like a stock exchange regardless of the result in the end. If you getter a winner then it’s a bonus…… but always remember when playing the betfair market

    BACK BIG

    LAY SMALL

    You ever forget this golden rule, then your in trouble !

    Milesey

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Two ways of playing the market, your always looking for what you think is a big price and will cut in, therefore back it BIG , then wait for the price to come in and lay SMALL.

      Or vice versa, look for a red hot favourite, but you think the money is going to go elsewhere, so you lay SMALL, then you want it to drift, then you back BIG, keep your slips open and wait for it to go the other way, will go green then it’s time to play !

      Milesey

    • Guido 4 years ago

      Mr Milesey comes up with moresound advice..is there no end to this mans talets? :-) I’ll be backing yer 4 main pick one…no moothfuls of sand halting progress hopefully

      • Milesey 4 years ago

        Lets hope not 😉

        Lets hope we can get off to a cracking start with a KABBAAS win in the 2.20. 😉 Goodluck to all my fellow punters today, lets hope it’s a good one. Armed with all the info, now lets hope it all goes to plan 😉 😉

        Milesey

  21. Arnie 4 years ago

    Trading on betfair is fun. Especially laying the false favourites for small stakes and getting a windfall back when they lose.

    Need to explore backing big, problem with that is time.

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Does take alot of time, best is to take just 10 races a day if your starting out, at least 20 minutes apart to give you time, normally when i see the market open i’ll get in and back what i think will cut right in the next day, then i leave it, and then will explore it the next day and hope that i am right and they have come right in, or just wait till 5 minutes before the off in the hope more punters are backing, so i get in with the lay at hopefully the right time when the market is at it’s smallest.

      Milesey

  22. john 4 years ago

    Does anyone else just love the Scottish accent from that woman on SIS?

  23. AL (Phd) 4 years ago

    Gone for a small stakes multiple, trebles & up

    2.10 TAUNTON NO TO TRIDENT 4.5
    4.00 LUDLOW IFYOUSAYSO 4.0
    4.50 SOUTHWELL GEORGE FENTON 5.0
    5.05 MEYDEN EMOTIF 3.5
    7.00 KEMPTON RUSSIAN ICE 5.0

    £10 total stake

    £45 min return off a treble, £375 min if 4 win & £1990 if all 5 romp home!

  24. robbie 4 years ago

    how sure r u about kaabas mate? Cheers

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Based on last run should win it, but no horse ever comes out the same, has scope for improvement, so hope it’s on an upward spiral and will just get better with each race 😉

      Milesey

  25. Arnie 4 years ago

    Wow

    Now am laying all the remaining favourites today

    Wat happened there

  26. Milesey 4 years ago

    14:00 Ludlow

    1st Who’s Cross
    2nd Bullet Street
    3rd Who’s Jeff 80-1

    i put 3 in for an e/w place and didn’t see this front runner staying on so gamely as it did. Nevermind.
    ———————

    14:10 Taunton

    1st Bellflower Boy
    2nd Helium
    3rd No To Trident

    ———————

    f**king donkey jockey, what the hell was he doing ?
    Drive it out for the line for f**k sake, what was that ?

    14:20 Southwell

    1st Mixed Message
    2nd Kabbaas
    3rd Apache Rising

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      Someone put the max of £4 on mixed message in running at 665, happy days for that punter. Weren’t you Guido was it playing around with the exchanges ?

      Milesey

  27. AC 4 years ago

    If you want to recoup some of that money lads get on KASSIANO in the 2.45 … @ Evens

  28. cheeky number 4 years ago

    kassiano what race?

  29. cheeky number 4 years ago

    MODUN 2.45 mr fallon to bring it home i hope

  30. Milesey 4 years ago

    2.45 KASSIANO , NICE ONE 😉 😉

    Milesey

  31. cheeky number 4 years ago

    MODUN boxed in badly in that race, luckyly i had some $’s on kassiano

  32. Guido 4 years ago

    Did it Milesey/AC :-)

  33. Milesey 4 years ago

    2.50 SOUTHWELL

    1st HIDDON COIN
    2nd HILLBILLY BOY
    3rd KRUPSKAYA

    All going t*ts up today, always back HIDDON COIN, just didn’t see it winning on the fibre sand, and it bolted up.

    Milesey

  34. Arnie 4 years ago

    He won milesey, he won

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      I know but i didn’t back him, and i always do, just didn’t see it today on the fibre sand, and he has proven me wrong though, shame i didn’t have nothing on at 7/4.

      Milesey

  35. Arnie 4 years ago

    Today is such a good laying day. The way favourites are losing left right and centre. Its a goldmine out there.
    Who knows what the forecast for cheltenham is

  36. Striker 4 years ago

    3.20 Miako *WINNER* 9/4

    Get in!! Just need Thunderstorm for my double…

  37. Milesey 4 years ago

    TAUNTON 3.40
    JUPITER REX * W I N N E R *

    5 TIMER

    Milesey

  38. Guido 4 years ago

    On golf thread Milesey…keep an eye on a young fella called Bud Cauley..rookie last season .5ft 7in hits the ball a long way…had a number of top ten finishes last season…might be one for your back n lay…I put him on the Honda tourney this week..170

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

      THUNDERSTORM

      lovely ride again by AP.

      HORSE RACING TIPS

      THURSDAY 28TH FEBRUARY 2013
      —————————-

      LUDLOW 4.00
      BIG SOCIETY 3.00 *2ND*

      TAUNTON 2.10
      NO TO TRIDENT 5.72 *3RD*

      TAUNTON 2.40
      GARRYLEIGH 6.0 *2ND*

      TAUNTON 3.40
      JUPITER REX 1.33 ( NAP ) *WIN*

      TAUNTON 4.10
      THUNDERSTORM 1.52 ( NAP ) *WIN*

      SOUTHWELL 2.20
      1 KABBAAS 1.8 *2ND*
      2 APACHE RISING 3.58 *3RD*

      SOUTHWELL 3.20
      MIAKO 3.1 *WIN*

      THURLES 2.55
      LAMBRO 2.08 *6TH*

      THURLES 3.55
      TOUCH THE EDEN 2.2 *4TH*

      • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
        Mr Fixit 4 years ago

        Milesey, can’t argue with that. Good day for you again. Right I’m off to take the dug a walk and kick a ball with the boy for a while then down to some serious work tonight. Thinks I’ll do the Lens, PAOK, Bruges treble for a wee bit of interest and maybe PAOK/Bruges double.

  39. Marco 4 years ago

    Lucky 15 2 winners 4/6 and 4/5 for £1 what the return milesey thanks

  40. AC 4 years ago

    Marco … Around £6ish

  41. Arnie 4 years ago

    Meanwhile Mr F and Milesey where are the dart tips for tonite . need a nice treble

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 4 years ago

      Arnie, Milesey put some up yesterday and has just sent them again. I was golfing today so never got a chance to do any. Darts isn’t my sport anyway but I’ve been trying to get something done.

  42. Striker 4 years ago

    Woohoo Thunderstorm.

    Thanks Milesey

  43. Arnie 4 years ago

    Ooooopps I didn’t add please.

    Pleaseee

  44. Milesey 4 years ago

    THURSDAY PREMIER LEAGUE DARTS
    —————————–

    Back Thornton to win
    Back MVG to win
    Back Taylor to win
    Back Newton-Lewis draw
    Back a van Barneveld v Whitlock draw

    Milesey

  45. Milesey 4 years ago

    THURSDAY 28TH FEBRUARY 2013
    —————————-

    KEMPTON DOUBLE

    7.00 RUSSIAN ICE 6.6

    8.00 NAPINDA 5.8

    ———————–

    BOTH AT SOUTHWELL

    Back Hellbender in the 16:50 @ 5.1
    Back Oyr Ivor in the 17:20 @ 2.14

    —————————————

    Milesey

  46. Milesey 4 years ago

    HORSE RACING TIPS

    APRIL FOOOOOOOOOOOOOLS DAY
    —————————
    —————————

    LINGFIELD 2.30
    FLAMBOROUGH BREEZE 1.8
    In outstanding form at the moment, going for a 4 timer today, looks like the one to beat in this race despite the rise from it’s recent wins.

    DONCASTER 3.20
    CALL ME A STAR ( NAP ) 1.69
    Been running very well of late and this step up today to 2m3f should suit this trip and will prove the one that the rest have to beat.

    NEWBURY 3.30
    SIR FRANK 6.2
    Saw this one personally last thursday at Huntingdon, and was only beaten by 1/2 a length by Denali Highway, looked that day like it could do with a step up in trip that it has today, upto 2m 6f, and looks like the one to beat, is a very well treated horse coming off a mark of 115.

    LINGFIELD 4.15
    JIMMY THE SNOOZE ( NAP ) 2.06
    Trainer is in really good form at all weather tracks and has a really good strike rate. Horse opened their account last time out at the 3rd time over C&D and is now off a mark of 69 on handicap debut.

    NEWBURY 4.35
    REGINALDINHO 4.8
    Last time out was moved up in distance to 3m, and just didn’t suit this horse at all, back to a nice trip today 2m4f, and the last run can be put aside for 3m was never for this horse, was just a test to see how it would go, but dropped back today, and this improving horse will be in the frame today.

    LINGFIELD 4.50
    ALS MEMORY 6.6
    Should get back to winning ways today and is given the best chance to do so with the booking of KIRBY on board today. A couple of the big players in the field find themselves up in weight for this trip while ALS MEMORY meets them all today off a good mark.

    GOODLUCK today with your selections

    Milesey
    ————————————–
    ————————————–

  47. cheeky number 4 years ago

    any thoughts on 6.00 at kempton?

    • Milesey 4 years ago

      BRANDY SNAPPING
      but you can make claims for alot of horses in there, some are being dropped back and some are going up in trip, It’s a class 7 so anything that is progressive can take this and all coming off low marks, so nothing really leaps out at me. BRANDY SNAPPING purely on it’s last run when coming second, should come on from that, but it’s a should.

      Milesey

  48. Milesey 4 years ago

    GOLF HONDA CLASSIC UPDATE

    Honda Classic Selections:
    Charl Schwartzel @ 17.0 *E*
    Branden Grace @ 110.0 *-5 LEADS THE WAY !*
    Charlie Beljan @ 240.0 *+1*
    Graham DeLaet @ 440.0 *-4*
    Patrick Reed @ 610.0 ( still to tee off )

    Milesey

  49. Milesey 4 years ago

    Honda Classic Selections:
    Charl Schwartzel @ 17.0 *E*
    Branden Grace @ 110.0 * -5 JOINT LEADER *
    Charlie Beljan @ 240.0 *+1*
    Graham DeLaet @ 440.0 * -5 JOINT LEADER *

    Patrick Reed @ 610.0 ( still to tee off )

    Milesey

  50. Arnie 4 years ago

    Thanks milesey for the darts tips

  51. Milesey 4 years ago

    HORSE RACING TIPS

    FRIDAY 1ST MARCH 2013

    Cheltenham just round the corner.
    —————————
    —————————

    LINGFIELD 2.30
    FLAMBOROUGH BREEZE 1.8
    In outstanding form at the moment, going for a 4 timer today, looks like the one to beat in this race despite the rise from it’s recent wins.

    DONCASTER 3.20
    CALL ME A STAR ( NAP ) 1.69
    Been running very well of late and this step up today to 2m3f should suit this trip and will prove the one that the rest have to beat.

    NEWBURY 3.30
    SIR FRANK 6.2
    Saw this one personally last thursday at Huntingdon, and was only beaten by 1/2 a length by Denali Highway, looked that day like it could do with a step up in trip that it has today, upto 2m 6f, and looks like the one to beat, is a very well treated horse coming off a mark of 115.

    LINGFIELD 4.15
    JIMMY THE SNOOZE ( NAP ) 2.06
    Trainer is in really good form at all weather tracks and has a really good strike rate. Horse opened their account last time out at the 3rd time over C&D and is now off a mark of 69 on handicap debut.

    NEWBURY 4.35
    REGINALDINHO 4.8
    Last time out was moved up in distance to 3m, and just didn’t suit this horse at all, back to a nice trip today 2m4f, and the last run can be put aside for 3m was never for this horse, was just a test to see how it would go, but dropped back today, and this improving horse will be in the frame today.

    LINGFIELD 4.50
    ALS MEMORY 6.6
    Should get back to winning ways today and is given the best chance to do so with the booking of KIRBY on board today. A couple of the big players in the field find themselves up in weight for this trip while ALS MEMORY meets them all today off a good mark.

    GOODLUCK today with your selections

    Milesey
    ————————————–
    ————————————–

  52. 1plus2 4 years ago

    Just watched the Kabbaas race there useless feckin Donkey let me down for a treble

  53. Striker 4 years ago

    Woohoo, took PAOK in play at 5/6 after half time

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  55. Danny 4 years ago

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