EFE AMBROSE – how could you? My valiant attempt to wipe out January’s losses was beaten by one man.
Celtic’s defeat to Ross County in the League Cup sunk my Super Sevenfold and cost me 17 points.
It looked so good when they scored inside 30 seconds but red cards change everything and Ambrose conceded a penalty, was sent off when maybe a booking would have been the right decision and saw County level from the spot before going on to claim a deserved win.
With a Nice goal beating my 13-2 both to score treble and Valencia downing the Top Treble it was a day of near misses but that’s the risks when doing accumulators.
Gary Neville will be under severe pressure ahead of this week’s Spanish Cup semi-final with Barcelona but insisted last night his side’s display in the 1-0 home defeat to Sporting Gijon was the best of his reign. Unfortunately the likes of Alvaro Negredo were misfiring and that doesn’t make me feel much better.
My Super Single was an all or nothing on Callum McGregor to score first at 8-1 so I finish all square for month.
The day started well for me when my 10pts antepost top Novak Djokovic won the Australian Open and I also flagged bets such as Jonas to score first for Benfica at 3-1 and Benfica and btts at Betfred.
So that’s January out of the way and while I won’t be changing much in the way of top tips I may be more cautious with fewer selections and more days with no bets. I’m not under pressure every day to post a bet but with it being a tipping site I feel I’m maybe cheating readers a bit when there is nothing up.
Also I might start putting up tips a bit later in the day because recently I’ve spotted late team news that would affected the bets posted. There’s no point me rushing up selections in the morning when games kick off at night although I’ll do so if prices look like they’re changing.
Today in La Liga it’s Deportivo v Rayo and there should be goals with Vallecano conceding a league high 29 on the road. They drew 2-2 last time out at Valencia but are missing a few players.
Deportivo are sitting mid-table and while they’ve lost just two in front of their home fans they’ve drawn five and netted just 15. They could edge a win at 10-11 but I’d prefer to go draw no bet at 2-5 with BetVictor.
Belenenses are in better form than Maritimo for their trip to Madeira but just one point separates the strugglers. Again it’s not an easy one to call but having netted nine in five games I’d take Belenenses to score at 1-2. They have bagged five in three visits to the island, scored one a game this season on the road and conceded 27.
That’s a lot and if it wasn’t for the fact Maritimo have drawn three blanks in four I’d go for btts. The other match was a 5-1 win against Moreirense so they’re certainly inconsistent.
We have two Jupiler League games in Holland with Jong PSV facing RKC and Fortuna Sittard taking on Helmond. We always look at goals in this league but interestingly only one of the last eight meetings between Fortuna and Helmond has gone over 2.5 goals.
There have been three previous meetings between Jong PSV and RKC and all have seen both scoring and over 2.5 goals so that’s the better option.
So while I hinted at a no-bet day I’m doing a 1pt Super Single that is in fact a double. And it will become a single if Deportivo draw.
Remember to check out all the tips and previews from our friends at We Love Betting.
1pt Super Single
Deportivo draw no bet (7.30pm)
Belenenses to score (8pm)
31 bets (11 winners, 2 void)
January Advised Accas Total
53 bets (7 winners)