IT was back to league action on Saturday but results weren’t much better in the previous.
Maybe the English Premier League is the place to look these days as favourites such as Liverpool, Man Utd, Stoke, Spurs and Sunderland all won.
My Chelsea v Man City preview ended with me tipping a draw – and a score draw – but elsewhere my tips crumbled. I strongly believed in Falkirk and Hibs but both drew to beat the Super Single, Top Treble and homes.
Falkirk -1 was the Super Single and while they were held 3-3 by Dumbarton I’m not sure whether a Falkirk fan saying his side should have scored nine eased the pain or not.
January’s been a tough month but it often is. There are winter breaks, cup matches, bad weather and players on international duty so more factors than normal to consider. My tips are based on sound reasoning looking at team news, form and stats – and when form goes out the window I’ll always struggle and that’s the way it seemed in January.
I’m pleased to see the back of it with the Super Single down 19.85 with 10 winners and 17 losers. That looks worse than it is and all I needed was two or three losers to be winners to be level.
Also I’m not personally 19.85pts down because I’ve been able to cover several of the losers – not the last two though. There’s been much debate on the site about covering bets and I stand by my belief it must be a tactic that’s used when covering is cheap and the right thing to do.
For that reason my February Super Single profit/loss figure will take into account cover bets but only if I’ve advised them on the site and of course I won’t always be able to do that.
It’s a big day on Sunday and having written and talked so much about the Celtic v Rangers League Cup semi-final I’m making Celtic -1 my Super Single. Best price is 10-11 at Ladbrokes although it was bigger and for reasoning check out the separate preview on the big game.
I’m sticking with Celtic to win on the Top Treble and adding Southampton and home to Swansea and Juventus at Udinese. Southampton have won three and drawn three of their last six against the Swans and I’m backing them to bounce back from last week’s FA Cup defeat at home to Crystal Palace.
Swansea also lost in the FA Cup to Blackburn and their only win ins six was against Tranmere. They have struggles since losing Wilfried Bony and are without Gylfi Sigurdsson (suspended), Kyle Bartley (suspended), Wayne Routledge (injured) and Ki Sung-yeung (Asian Cup duty).
Serie A leaders Juventus have won their last five and three of their last four away to Udinese.
Arsenal will be well backed against Aston Villa but are extremely short and will be without Alexei Sanchez while in League One I expect home wins for Bristol City and Walsall against Fleetwood and Gillingham respectively.
In the late Italian game I fancy AC Milan at home to Parma after they went shopping and bought Mattia Destro from Roma, Alessio Cerci from Atletico Madrid and Suso from Liverpool and signed Spartak Moscow’s Italian defender Salvatore Bocchetti on loan.
All have points to prove especially Destro and out-of-form Milan should see off the basement boys.
A lot has been said about Lyon’s price – they are 14-5 at bet365 at Monaco – and while it looks big they are without star striker Alexandre Lacazette.
He has netted 21 goals in 22 league games and this is the first match he’s missed. Lyon are not a one-man team but surely they’ll feel the effect of Lacazette’s absence and remember Monaco are in fine form too having won five out of six and not conceded in that spell. Lyon draw no bet could be the better shout at 13-8 with bet365 and Betfred.
5pts Super Single
Celtic -1 (1.30pm)
3pts Top Treble
Both teams to score
Sassuolo v Inter (11.30am)
Vitesse v Ajax (1.30pm)
Cesena v Lazio (2pm)
Ivory Coast v Algeria (7.30pm)
Perm any 3 and all 4 (5 bets)
Fourfold pays 12-1, bet365
Super Single January record: 30 bets
(10 winners, 17 losers, 3 void)
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