WE'RE back in business tonight with a good selection of games to look at.
In the Scottish Premiership it's Hearts v Aberdeen and I've posted a separate preview while Hull entertain Everton in the Premier League.
The Toffees are evens with Betway. A 2-0 victory at Leicester will have lifted spirits and while Hull gave Man City a good game on Saturday they struggle to score. Everton aren't the easiest team to trust on the road but should get the job done.
Hull have picked up just five points from 42 and at evens with Ladbrokes I'm willing to take a chance on the Toffees with Romelu Lukaku likely to score at 13-10 with Coral.
The top three teams in the Championship are in action at home. Leaders Brighton face Cardiff, second-placed Newcastle tackle Nottingham Forest and Reading face Fulham.
I strongly fancy Brighton and Newcastle – the double pays 13-10 at Marathonbet – while Reading v Fulham should be good for goals. The other game sees Ipswich take on Bristol City.
There are seven games in League One and League Two and Jordan has already tipped goals at Port Vale v Chesterfield. I'm tempted by Millwall at home to Gillingham, Rochdale at home to Shrewsbury and Portmsouth at Yeovil.
In League Two Wycombe look overpriced at Cheltenham but they had a tough game at Plymouth on Monday where they battled back from 3-1 down to draw 3-3. Gareth Ainsworth's side had won their previous seven and are battering teams at the moment.
Cheltenham have lost five out of six and a best price of 29-20 on Wycombe is tempting. Scott Kashkent has netted seven in five outings and is 19-10 at Ladbrokes to score again.
For a Top Treble I can't resist Brighton and Newcastle and I'm adding third-place Reading not to lose at home to Fulham. Reading were my Super Single against Norwich and I said they shouldn't have been underdogs and again they look too big at 2-1 with bet365. Fulham are in decent form but surely they shouldn't be favourites at a best 6-4 with McBookie.
I've checked latest team news as well as stats and added a goals treble – both to score at Reading and Aberdeen tonight and at Liverpool v Man City on Saturday night.
Last night my only bet was both to score in the two Championship games at Aston Villa and Rotherham and a 3-1 win gave me a 2pts profit as I covered the stake when Leeds scored.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
Everton (8pm)
(1-1, Ladbrokes)
1pt Super Single
Wycombe (7.45pm)
(29-20, boylesports, Betfair)
2pts Top Treble
Brighton (7,45pm)
Newcastle (7.45pm)
Reading not to lose (7.45pm)
(5-2, Betway)
2pts Both to Score Treble
Hearts v Aberdeen (7.45pm)
Reading v Fulham (8pm)
Liverpool v Man City (Sat, 5.30pm)
(31-10, 10Bet)
December Super Singles Total
- Profit: 12 pts (24 bets, 12 winners)
December Advised Accas Total
- Profit: -9.8pts (50 bets, 10 winners)
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Today…
Main bet
•Everton draw no bet
•Newcastle over 1.5 team goals
•Reading vs Fulham Both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
2 units at odds of — 4.04
———————————-
Longshot
•Everton Win
•Newcastle over 1.5 team goals
•Reading vs Fulham both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
• Hearts vs Aberdeen both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
0.5 units at odds of — 11.83
7.67 points profit from the last two days and that’s with a goal away from my Longshot (rangers) Wednesday and a goal either way in Bari vs Spal to land my main bet yesterday and another 6 points profit… Anyway will post updates again tonight and continuously until end of Jan for anyone who may wish to start following?
Good luck all today?
There’s a few favourites that on paper look solid tomorrow, but there’s always a danger of the odd freak result when fixtures are thick and fast. Brighton, however, are usually as reliable as it gets at home and they should have enough to see a fairly average, fairly inconsistent Cardiff side. It was hard to decide what to double up with them, but @Hullshaker has summed up my opinions perfectly. Forest have pretty much conceded to everybody and Newcastle should be looking to bounce back, both from their defeat at the hands of Forest, and their recent defeat to Wednesday.
Elsewhere if goals are to come between Bala and Rhyl as they did the other day, the price for Rhyl to contribute with Coral is very generous. Rhyl do more conceding than scoring but they notched at Bala and have scored against the likes of TNS and Connahs Quay at home this season.
Finally I’m taking the favourites for some small stakes doubles and a treble. All should come in if things go to form so it’s worth taking a punt at respectable prices if the card goes in favour of the punters.
Brighton (Win)
Newcastle O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 13/10 (Boyles)
_______________________________________________
Rhyl v Bala Town BTTS + O2.5 Match Goals @ 5/6 (Coral)
_______________________________________________
Small stakes:
Brighton
Newcastle
Rochdale
Win and O1.5 Match Goals [Doubles and Trebles] (Betstars)
Doubles @ 47/20, 47/20 and 3/1
Treble @ 57/10
Good luck all! :)
Wycombe @13/8 away to struggling Cheltenham are a cracking price. Won 8 of last 9 and came from 1-3 down to draw at top of table Plymouth on boxing day. In play off place while Cheltenham are 2nd bottom.
Evening gents – didn’t post today but well done to Mr F – Hullshaker and all the other winners
13 UK games to get stuck into tomorrow + a full Seria B card
Initial thoughts are bookings in the Hearts v Aberdeen game
Been 51 cards in the last 9 meetings ( 5.6 per match ) – there’s no love lost between these two and it should be another firey affair under the floodlights at a sold out Tyncastle
Everton also look good to build on their Boxing Day win at Leicester, will either be to win or two score 2
Will post in the mor
Bookings could be a good shout – although Collum’s not been as card happy this season averaging three yellows a game but he’s shown five reds.
Cheers, will put up your post before calling it a night.
Hearts v Aberdeen – Willie Collum
Penalty awarded 10/3 WH
Red Card in the match 16/5 PP
Great shout for a live game alves when Wullie “look at me” Collum is the ref. Live games seem to bring out the worst in him
Just spent ages trying to reply to Greg’s post on the previous thread and made a right hash of it – deleted the bloody lot so will try again now and re-post thoughts for today whilst I’m at it before phone goes through the fecking window ?
Morning gents,
It’s been a great few days for the site – I’ve a bit of time off at the
minute and seems like every time I check in there is someone posting winners…long may it continue into the New Year!
Friday brings a fairly decent card although I’d assume some of the lower league and lesser protected grounds may suffer from ‘pitchus frozenari’ (made that up ?) as my NPL game did last night.
Let’s start in Wales. I’m not going to write in-depth (though I have looked in detail) for the very reason that it’ll be a bloody waste of time if called off – so apologies for lack of reasoning!
All 3 games look to have goals:
DRUIDS VS. TNS
CONNAHS QUAY VS. AIRBUS
RHYL VS. BALA
OVER 2.5 MGS TREBLE…1.91/1
****************************
I’ve had a really good think about Everton’s visit to Hull and seems to be a lot of pundits tipping the BTTS out there but having watched them play City, I just can’t see them being broken down easily and also – as mentioned – cannot see whose going to tuck their goal(s) away.
For that reason, I’m leaving it and urge others to keep stakes low unless they know something I don’t.
****************************
TEAM GOALS TREBLE:
NEWCASTLE
PORTSMOUTH
ROCHDALE
Newcastle ought to be hitting a minimum of 2 against Forest – plenty of teams have done so already and an element of retribution for their 2-1 reverse must feature; Portsmouth love a goal or 3 on their travels and god have mercy on my soul for backing ‘Dale but they are on a canny run and are scoring for fun of late!
OVER 1.5 TGS TREBLE…4.16/1
****************************
Morning Greg sir – hope you are well!
Looking at your Hearts write-up and can’t help but think that there may be some mileage in a ‘card points double’ with Hull’s game ?
As mentioned in my post and having watched The Tigers host Man City, I think its a tough call re goals and even outcome BUT…
One thing is for sure though, (Hull) City will fight for every ball, challenge every tackle/decision and make it difficult for The Toffee Men to even get a shot off without some form of intervention.
It’s what they did so well against Man City – the fact that everything was so perfectly timed, kept the ref’s notebook fairly unused but at least a dozen tackles and infringements were split second timings away from yellows and potentiallly reds.
With that in mind, its well worth noting that the pitch was very heavily watered for at least 1 hour prior to kick off – the idea being that such an unbelievably slick surface would make it difficult for City to pass so accurately…same pre-match drenching scheduled for tomorrow according to groundsman’s son who works for me.
The adverse affect of this is that it hugely lessens the level of control that any player can offer when committing to a tackle – like I said, it was admirable against City but several were borderline cards, only missing out as Silva, Toure et al ‘rode’ the challenges and received the advantage.
Highly likely that the 22 players involved in this game won’t have the guile and agility to play through such challenge and woll actively look for dead ball oppotunities!
HULL VS. EVERTON OVER 3.5 CARD PTS…8/13
???
HEARTS VS. ABERDEEN OVER 4.5 CARD PTS…EVENS
???
CARD POINT DOUBLE…2.23/1
Best of luck with all bets ?
It’s been a good week but as I said to a poor bookie yesterday it’s all about results.
No matter what’s tipped most people back the favourites and this week most of the favourites have won.
Italy – Serie B – 7.30pm
Latina v Avellino
2-3 Match Goals
1.95 (Bet365)
***********************
December Profit/Loss: +6.44 pts
Italy – Lega Pro Group A – 3.30pm
Pontedera v Como
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Italy – Serie B – 7.30pm
Benevento v Pisa
Benevento Draw No Bet
Northern Ireland – NIFL Premiership – 7.45pm
Glenavon v Cliftonville
Over 1.5 Match Goals
2.16 (Coral)
Italy – Lega Pro Group A – 3.30pm
Pontedera v Como
Over 2.5 Match Goals
2.15 (Bet Victor)
???another fine spot mate
Inter cheers mate was surprised to see it odds against last night
Hull v Everton KO 8pm
When you look back over Evertons fixtures through Nov and Dec you can be forgiven for thinking the computer had something against them! In that time, they’ve faced Chelsea, Man U, Arsenal, Liverpool
and also had trips to Southampton and Leicester! They got a confidance boosting win on Boxing Day and with Lakaku back amoung the goals this on paper is a much easier assignment than they have had over the last few months! Hull managed to keep Man City at bay until the last quarter on Boxing Day and goals is where they have struggled having scored in just one of their last 5 matches! Everton should be too strong here and will
Be looking to kick on from their boxing day win! It’s tough at the bottom of the Legaue but I don’t see Hull rectifying that here
Back Everton 1/1 (Skybet)
Over 1.5 Everton team goals 11/10
****************************
Hearts v Aberdeen KO 7.45pm
4th host 3rd in what should be a tight encounter at a sold out Tyncastle! I’ve looked at cards for this match as from memory it always seems to be firey affair and having looked into it that’s certainly the case over the last few seasons! There’s been 51 cards in the last 9 meetings ( 5.6 per game ) and with this being at Tyncastle, under the floodlights, during the holidays, there will be a terrific atmosphere and hopefully the players show the same passion the fans will and if they do we should see another high card count! Wullie Collum is the referee, he’s not as card happy as he used to be but I don’t think that will matter here / with both sides entering the book! 4 of the last 5 meetings have seen over 4.5 cards – – good chance of that being 5 from 6
Back over 4.5 bookings 5/6
*****************************
11 league matches tomorrow in England – and a full Seria B card, will post in the morning if I see any goal opportunities
I agree you about Everton but just tip – don’t preach.
Morning Mr F – just seen this…not sure if it was directed at my post?
It is even money for over 4.5 bookings bet365.
And 11/10 skybet
Sydney v Brisbane btts n o 2.5gls
Brighton score 2+ tgs
Newcastle score 2+tgs
Hearts gm btts
Reading gm over 2.5 GLS
15 RTS 241.76
Best of luck all ?
All to win
Newcastle
Brighton
Rochdale
Wycombe
Portsmouth
16/1@boylesports
Kuwait v Jahra over 2.5 goals
Villa v Leeds over 1.5 goals
Rotherham v Burton over 1.5 goals
1.52/1 Treble
*WON*
Will look more closely at Friday fixtures later in the day.
Australia 850
2 of the form sides clash in oz this morn in what if recent h2h are anything to go by could be a cracker for goals. There’s been 20 in the last 5 meetings between these 2, even though 1 of the games was 0-0. Home advantage should work in Sydney’s favour here, but I can see the men from Brisbane nicking a goal. With that in mind I fancy
Btts/over 2.5 6/5
Sydney and over 2.5 8.5
Sydney over 1.5 tgs 8/11
All priced at bet365
Also I’m waiting on Sydney win/btts for a 46/1 treble, and as usual with skybet there isn’t a cashout option. Been thinking of ways to cover but I think there’s too many variables, the best I can come up with is wait until ht and see if there’s been any goals. Thoughts anyone?
Sean your best to let it run!! As you said its not an easy bet to cover there are so many possible outcomes like brisbane win, draw, sydney win to nil
best cover i can see is brisbane double chance 23/20 and sydney win to nil 2/1
Good luck tho
Cheers nate left it as I decided I wasn’t covering a 5r bet. Red card killed the game, Sydney shut up shop and the roar couldn’t break them down.
1/3 tips up
After yesterdays success im going to try another wato special
Ternana vs Ascoli
Latina vs Avellino
Brighton vs Forest
All matches 2-3 goals
Treble pays 8.0 (betfair)
Very nice odds on Alex Brosque to score anytime for Sydney FC. The captain has been in imperious form this season and as the top goalscorer for Sydney this season, is a very generous 3.20 @ bet365 to net anytime. He only has 7 goals in 12 matches… but definitely worth a punt.
Won nice & early. Hope folks were on.
Better like card today but more choice means more pitfalls
Couple of bets for today
Brighton
Newcastle
Rochdale
Over 1.5tgs treble returns 16/5
Reading
Hearts
Rhyl
Over 2.5mgs treble returns 7/2
Good luck today all
Sydney vs Brisbane
Tough game to call as Brisbane or though not consistently winning they are still up there in the league. Sydney have been excellent this season so if I was to pick a winner I would edge towards Sydney. it’s been a goal crazy Xmas so far with every game seeing over 3.5 mtgs.
I’m going with btts 3/4
Anytime goalscorer
Alex Brosque 11/5
Jamie Maclaren 13/8
I like the look of this 4 fold
TNS win both halves 11/10
Everton over 1.5 gls 11/10
Rochdale ht/ft 31/20
Bala win bits 31/20
28.6/1
1 x4 fold and 4 x trebles
Good morning folks,
Here’s what I’ve got for tonight;
20:00 – Reading vs Fulham
Prediction 2.1
Key Facts
* Reading have won 5 in a row at home in the league while they have lost only 1 of their last 12 at home
* Reading have won 8 of their last 10 league fixtures, helping them to rise to 3rd in the table
* Reading have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 7 at home including each of the last 3
* 5 of Reading’s last 6 home league fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals. 4 of those also saw BTTS
* Reading have seen 7 of their last 8 Championship matches going over 2.5 goals
* Reading have scored in 13 of their last 14 home league fixtures
* Reading have scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 5 home league fixtures (all wins)
* Fulham are unbeaten in their last 5 league fixtures while they have lost only 1 of their last 9 in the league and only 2 of their last 11 on the road
* Fulham have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 league fixtures
* Fulham have also seen over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of their last 6 league games. 25 goals were scored in those 6 games
* Fulham have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 7 away league games
* Each of the last 7 meetings between these two sides have seen over 2.5 goals scored. 5 of those games also saw BTTS
* Fulham smashed Reading 5.0 just 4 weeks ago in the reverse fixture in the league
* Fulham have scored 15 goals in their last 5 league fixtures
* Fulham have scored 13 goals in their last 6 away league fixtures
Final Verdict
Over 2.5 goals looks the pick here as 3rd placed Reading welcome an on form Fulham side in what could be the best of the games on offer from the Championship this evening.
Reading will be desperate for some revenge with a 5.0 hammering at Fulham earlier this month still fresh in the memory and while I don’t expect a repeat outcome in terms of the final score-line, I do expect this fixture to produce goals with recent form and historical meetings between these two sides the basis for my goals selections here.
Reading have won 5 in a row at home while Fulham are unbeaten in their last 5 and I expect good things from these two sides tonight. Goals should be shared but one way or another I expect this one to go over 2.5 goals at least. The visitors are strong and quick on the break while Reading will look to assert their home authority and I expect a high quality affair with goals in the offing.
This fixture has been something of a belter in the last 4 years with each of the last 7 meetings between these two sides going over 2.5 goals with 6 of those games actually seeing more than 3.5 goals! 5 of those games also saw BTTS and when you look at both sides recent form in the league and their recent form in the goals markets, particularly the over 2.5 selection, it becomes apparent that backing over 2.5 goals @7/10 is the best choice for this match. BTTS is short at 4/7 but seems likely so I will be trying the combination selection as well here.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals @7/10
BTTS and over 2.5 goals @20/21
19:45 Brighton vs Cardiff
Prediction 2.1
Key Facts
* Brighton are in tremendous form, unbeaten in 17 in the league with 9 wins from their last 11 fixtures
* Brighton have scored 2 goals or more in 6 of their last 8 home league fixtures and in 5 of their 6 most recent league fixtures
* Brighton have lost only 1 of their last 23 home league fixtures
* Brighton have won 5 of their last 6 home league fixtures
* Brighton have kept clean-sheets in 8 of their 12 home fixtures this season
* Brighton have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 7 league fixtures and in 2 of their last 5 at home
* Cardiff have conceded 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 10 away league fixtures
* Cardiff have seen BTTS in 7 of their last 8 league games and in each of their last 5 away league fixtures
* Cardiff have scored in 8 of their last 10 away league fixtures. The Bluebirds managed 13 goals in those 8 games.
* Cardiff have scored 2 goals or more in their last 3 league fixtures
* 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides have finished in draws
* Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 6 away visits to Brighton in all competitions.
Final Verdict
Brighton sit proudly at the top of the Championship and I expect them to continue their fine recent form by picking up the points at home to struggling Cardiff this evening. I’m taking the hosts to score 2 or more @8/11 odds with recent form on both sides suggesting this to be quite a likely outcome.
Brighton are strong defensively, and it takes a brave man to back them to concede but Cardiff have scored a few lately, especially on their travels with BTTS coming up in each of their last 5 on the road. BTTS is big at 11/10 and while it is not my favourite pick in this match, it could be worth a shout although Brighton’s strong defensive record, especially at home, makes that selection, somewhat optimistic.
Yet it is Cardiff’s defensive frailties that have lead me to my selection of Brighton to score 2 or more here @8/11 odds. The Welsh side often concede 2 or more in the road (7 of their last 10) while Brighton’s own recent form (2 or more in 5 of their last 6) suggests they should be capable of bringing up my selection here in what should be another home win for the league leaders.
Best Bets
Brighton to score 2 or more @8/11
BTTS @11/10
Sydney over 1.5 tgs win.. @1.7
Next up.. Italian league
looking back over several matches ive decided to have a flutter on Brisbane Roar goal before 76minutes@5/6 NAP
Think Brighton will feature heavily in most accas. They are top of the table and have an excellent home record. They should put a few past Cardiff who have conceded in their last 5 away games.
One man I’m on is Glen Murray who has scored in all 5 of Brighton last home games…he has actually massed 7 goals in the last 5 home matches scoring an impressive hatrick against Norwich in that run too. He usually has spot kick duties which makes odds of 6/5 anytime look ripe for the picking!
Like the look of a Brighton scoring a penalty in this game aswell as I think Cardiff will struggle to cotain Brighton.
Murray anytime goalscorer 6/5 b365
Penalty awarded 5/2 paddypower
final preview for Friday:
Hearts v Aberdeen
Prediction – 1.2
Key Facts
* Hearts are unbeaten in their last 9 home league fixtures
* The Jambos have scored 22 goals in those 9 unbeaten games at home
* Hearts have managed 5 clean-sheets in their last 7 home league fixtures
* 5 of Hearts last 10 league games have finished in goal-scoring draws
* Hearts have scored in 33 of their last 35 home Premier league fixtures since 2014
* Hearts have been hit by the long term injury loss of Scottish International Callum Patterson
* Hearts have only won 3 of their last 11 league fixtures
* New boss Cathro acheived his first win in 4 attempts as Hearts thrashed Kilmarnock 4.0 in their last outing on Tuesday
* 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides in Edinburgh have seen BTTS
* Aberdeen have won 5 of their last 8 away league games.
* Aberdeen have seen over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 away league fixtures
* Abeedeen have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals in each of their last 5 away league fixtures
* Going back even further, 14 of Aberdeen’s last 19 away in the league have seen BTTS and over 2.5 goals. That’s 73% of all fixtures
* Aberdeen have kept just 2 clean-sheets in their last 15 away league fixtures
* However the Dons usually score on the road, having done so in 26 of their last 30 away league fixtures since the start of last season.
Final Verdict
Both sides are not without their flaws but both also like to attack and I expect BTTS @7/10 here while the stats also suggest this one is more likely than not, to go over 2.5 goals. Try the double @6/5 if you’re feeling brave but play it safe with the BTTS selection.
I fancy the Dons to maybe steal this one but BTTS seems the safest play here.
Best Bets
BTTS @7/10
Inplay…
Sydney vs Brisbane
Both teams to score
2 units at odds of — 21/20
** LOST **
Somehow!!
Update totals tonight?
2 GL Rhyl, Connah’s Quay, Druids v TNS > 2.5 MGS Evens
Connah’s Quay, Bala Town > 1.5 TGS, TNS > 2.5 TGS 2/1
Wycombe > 1.5 TGS 11/8
Reading v Fulham BTTS and Overs 20/21
Lukaku ATGS 21/20
Highlighted the rationale for the Wales games yesterday – and the bets are mainly based on the reverse Boxing Day fixtures. I like Wycombe who are in great form to get a couple at struggling Cheltenham Town – was surprised to see this at 11/8 especially when they managed 3 against Plymouth on Boxing Day. Fulham put 5 past Reading a month ago – but the red card definitely had an impact. I hope we will see goals from two sides scoring a few at present and pushing for promotion at the Madejski. Finally will take Lukaku to net against Hull who have conceded twice in 5 of their last 7 home games. He has 3 goals in the last 4 games and 7/10 in total have been scored away from Goodison Park. Good luck all!!
Hi folks, due to Warrington postponement my double yest turned into a 0.4/1 single but was a winner at least! Today I’m on a treble and a single along with tips from the usual suspects – plenty of winners again yesterday on a tough card, thanks in particular for the Kuwait tips (can’t remember who).
Treble pays 1.57/1:
Aberdeen no clean sheet
Newcastle to score in 2nd half
Cefn vs TNS O1.5 2nd half goals
Double @ 1.15 / 1 :
Newcastle v Forest O1.5 2nd half goals (pays 5/6 as a single)
Rhyl v Bala O2.0 agl
@hullshaker did you notice O4.0 asian cards is 1.95 for the Everton game, worth a go as a single along with the double:
Everton v Hull O4.0 Asian cards @ 1.95
GL folks
Cheltenham v Wycombe
Cheltenham go into their second game in a week looking to bounce back from a disappointing boxing day when they take on wycombe,the two clubs havent met since april 2015 when wycombe won 2-1 at adams park and the robins havent won their last three games against the buckinghamshire side.Wycombe are the form side losing one league game in the last ten, so back the Chairboys tonight at Whaddon Road.
SS WYCOMBE SS
Gameweek 19 Selections:
Chelsea to win & BTTS 11/5
Man Utd to win & BTTS 10/3
Tottenham to win & BTTS 29/10
Arsenal to win & BTTS 2/1
0.5pt Yankee @ Betfair
Total Stake: 5.5pts
Totals:
Staked 55pts, Returned 23.8pts
Profit/Loss -31.2pts
Italy Serie B 19:30
Trapani vs Brescia
Brescia Double chance 10/11 (Bet365) 2pts
English League 2 19:45
Cheltenham vs Wycombe
Wycombe DNB 13/20 (William Hill) 2pts
total staked; 4points.
Good luck gents.
At the risk of overstretching myself in Kuwait I’ll have another trip there…caution advised here but just some thoughts on games at 1530 and 1600
It seems that the top teams hammer the lesser teams and I’d advise a closer look at these two:
Yarmouk v kazma 1600 hrs
Kazma sit 3rd and yarmouk 13th
Last two h2h are 3-1 and 4-1 kazma. Kazma recent away goals scored are 3 2 4 3 2 7 5 …
.I’ll have a go at o 3.5 mgs 27-20 also btts and kazma win is 9-5
Also second placed al qadsia take on al fahaheel who are second bottom at 1530hrs. H2h is 3-0 3-1 4-0 4-1 6-0…again o3.5 is worth considering at 5-4
Don’t anyone drop your pot on these it’s just stats and a gut feeling but may be worth a go as singles doubles or adding to.your accas..good luck all…
@thetoe thanks for the Kuwait tips yest, great stuff. I like the look of an O2.5 mgls double on these @ 13/10
Been looking at Kuwait myself after few decent wins yest. Who are you getting markets for btts win?
See it now on Paddy P
It was coral but the kazma game seems to have been taken down?
Bet Victor also have it I see ..Should be most places?
From what I’ve seen so far this season, especially in the run up to the new year – the cluttered fixture list, I am confident that Brighton will deliver a win, maybe its just me, but I can’t help but smile every time a side being managed by Neil Warnock gets beaten. Brighton have consistently improved over the last 2 years or so. They’re a shadow of their former selves. I still think about the season that Derby slapped them down twice in the league and twice more in the playoffs. Of late, I’ve kinda bunched them all in with such teams as Ipswich/Reading/Sheff Wed and Derby who should be there or there about come the playoffs. However, they’re standing on the top rung of the ladder and they must be loving it. Newcastle aside from right at the start of the season have spent much of this season looking down on the rest of the league. well, going back to my army days, I used to see all the smarmy b*stards standing a rung or two above me whilst I used to quietly think to myself ” you might be above me, but when I look upwards, all I see is ars*holes ” ( I said that to a WO1 just days before I signed off ). Still makes me laugh.
Anyway, back on the script of footie, it was you guys who lumped on Newcastle when I pointed out that Florist had the capability and mentality ( and goals ) to spoil the party – they did. They left it late, Florist missed a penalty, played against 10 men from around 30 mins in, then Newcastle down to nine men midway through the 2nd half. 2 late goals gave the tree-huggers the points and duly slapped down the toon army. Didn’t Preston then go and beat Newcastle 1 nil?
Florist have been THE team to back to produce goals and BTTS, although they failed to net against Derby and I think 1 other game, but Brit ” Notscoringanylongga ” was out injured for that spell that saw their weekly goal tally hit. He’s back, I gave you guys the heads up just before xmas. I am not confident on Newcastle win, the pressure is on them to catch Brighton. Maybe just maybe, this game could be laden with cards?? I’d be far far more confident on a Newcastle/Florist btts at around 10/11 though, especially since the Florist star striker is back in the starting 11. ( wonder if they’ve paid Peterborough the final instalment on his fee yet ?? )
Reading have also upped their game on the past 2 seasons, but Fulham can score goals. When Derby played them at Fulham, McClarens post match interview said we dominated the first half. Yes, we led the game only for them to score once just before the break and then 15 mins in. Derby equalised from a corner. I’m thinking McClaren must of been watching a different game to me. Fulham were all over us for most of the match and Derby were 2nd best. I also think Reading/Fulham will be another btts – again, more confident on that than any of the WDW markets.
I shall be having a slice of Brighton at a meesly 4/7. It’s on my £10, 58/1 – 7 way acca. 2 have already come in.
Sydney Fc 7/10 WON
Burton btts 4/6 WON
to play:
Derby win to nil 11/8
Brighton win 4/7
Newcastle/Florist btts 10/11
Sheff Utd win 1/2
Fleetwood win 20/21
point to note, Derby have the 2nd tightest defence in the league behind Brighton I believe, BUT here’s the worrying thing….. 4th lowest YES LOWEST scoring team in the league. Can somebody put me in touch with a hitman to deal with the idiot that sent Chris Martin on a season long loan to Fulham?? I think Ince is on 8, Bent on 4 and then there’s odds and sods all through the team…… A bit Bournmouth was my quote about Derby, it seems the goal stats back it up.
Can’t see past Derby and Brighton. I think Newcastle beat Preston 2-1 though.
Forest stole that game and haven’t won since. Newcastle will get their revenge tonight.
Florest, tree huggers how old are you about 10? Also you would love to have Britt in your side… Are you that thick that if he is out injured that he can’t score he has the best goal to appearance record in the league. Other than that I agree with your write up….??
Its called good old fashioned banter between rivals. I’m 45, I call him “notscoringanylongga” from his time that he was your new blue eyed boy, only to see him sidelined for much of that 1st season ( the one where Florist got hit with a 2nd transfer embargo from the FA over financial irregularities – ie: paying Peterborough the final instalment. I do rate him, if you read my write up it quite clearly states that when he was sidelined for what ( a month ? ) including the Derby match, Florist dropped 2 or 3 games in terms of goals scored.
As for would we have him in our squad?? Personally no. Would the rams faithfully want him – probably not. I suspect that the reason McClaren is sticking with Bent is that it was during his reign in the January transfer window, we took him on loan to run his contract down so we could have him for nothing. I am convinced Bent is there just because McClaren wants to prove that he was right all along to bring him in. Sadly, it means Anya/Vydra and Blackman have either been used in rotation or drop down the pecking order – so lack of regular football.
We used to rely on our width from our wingbacks – they’re both out, so a reshape at the back has been brought in. Its not as freeflowing as was before BUT we’re letting in less goals than we have done this past 4 or 5 seasons. If 1 nils is all that comes our way come may, then it ought to be enough to be somewhere near the top. I’d take that.
Read somewhere that Martin is not in Fulham squad tonight as he wants to end loan spell immediately to return to derby
McClaren wants him back, I heard a rumour that Martin wants to come back because of a lack of football, but, there’s some sort of fineprint stating that ALL parties must agree. That means handing back some loan fee ( no big problem ) BUT I suspect Fulham want to keep him. If that stays the same, then all parties can’t agree and so he stays at Fulham. Shame, he’s a 20-25 goal tally striker given a fair run of matches, I’d love to have him back, he works a lot harder than Bent. But Fulham are doing ok goals wise than with him. So why would they keep him?? Cover maybe.
Hull not to lose
Brighton draw
Newcastle to win
Reading not to lose
Toon, Forest, Hearts, Dons, not bad recent stats for scoring/conceding in the first half (barring Toon 0-1 on Boxing Day) and I’m hoping the form will run on tonight. Once I safely reach half time I am very comfortable that the second half will bring the pot I need in this market.
Double : A Goal Scored In Both Halves (7.45pm)
Newcastle v N Forest
Hearts v Aberdeen
(7/4 Coral)
Hi all
Reading btts no draw 7/4
Everton win over 1.5 goals. 11/8
Brighton win over 1.5 goals. 1/1
3 doubles and a treble .
Also hearts v dons btts no draw
Ipswich btts overs pays .
Newcastle win over 2 goals pays 149/1 . GL .sml stakes on Acca
Zlatan ibrahimovic needs 2 goals tomorrow to end the calender year 1 ahead of messi as top goalscorer in Europes top lgs all comps, currently stands on 50 just 1 behind Messi,I’ll be on the look out for any bookies specials on him grabbing 2+ tomorrow,best prices on offer at present 9/2 William Hill and 10/3 Boylesports small stakes only.Good Luck.
Italy – Lega Pro Group A – 3.30pm
Pontedera v Como
Over 2.5 Match Goals
2.15 (Bet Victor)
***WON*** (2-1 Half Time)
Yarmouk look to be on top in play against kama sc in Kuwait. Gona have coupla quid on them to win and btts 16/1.
Yes mate. Sorry about the overs it’s goif disastrously so far…no goals any where? And kazma man sent off!!
Sure it’s worth a punt for small stakes after all the goals yesterday. Can’t see Kazma scoring now down to 10 so might just take Yarmouk to win at 13/5 and put it in a treble with couple of other matches.
Finished 1-0 to Yarmouk.
Good call mate very nice. …
VERONA . BENEVENTO. WYCOMBE to score 3/1 bet365
last nite garbage, tonite
everton to score, brighton and Newcastle o1.5tgs 2/1
mk dons, hearts o2.5mgs, Cheltenham, Ipswich o1.5mgs 5/1
GL all with a bet on……………
Quick question Mr F why do SS not feature in ur dbl/treb selections. is it simply not to duplicate bets in case they lose and jeopardise other bets
No not really – just different bets.
SS tends to be evens or above and the accumulators have shorter priced teams in there.
Goalscorer bets:
Scott Kashnet Wycombe Wanderers 19/10
Glenn Murray Brighton 6/5
Aiden O’Brien Millwall 13/8
Dean Bowditch MK Dons 2/1
Is this 1st goal or anytime scorer mate ??
Anytime mate – Brighton game called off
Bowditch didn’t play
Kashnet ***WON***
O’Brien didn’t score
1 out of 2 won at odds of 19/10 so profit at least
Seeing it is just after Christmas and almost a New Year i am going for a bit of a Hail Mary, penalties to be awarded in the Hearts / Brighton / Newcastle /Hull games £ 2.00 Yankee . Acca alone pays 305/1 William Hill
Gubbed.
Brighton over 1.5 team goals 4/5 bet 365
Brighton have brought this up 6 of their last 8 home matches
Reading v Fulham btts/o2.5
Rochdale over 1.5 tgs
Port vale over 2.5 mgs
Hearts over 10.5 match corners
9.37/1
Saw bet365 having Everton now at 11/10 to win the match, that from 19/20 this morning… At the same time right now they are priced at 4/5 to win which is obviously a big difference…
Anyone know any team news??
4/5 at laddies***
BRIGHTON v CARDIFF
over 2.5 mgs 21/20.
BTTS 1/1.
CARDIFF goal before 79 mins 5/6.
CARDIFF over 1.5 TGS 7/2.
Summary:
CARDIFF gave me a full house last time out against Brentford ( 4/4 ), sadly that profit was washed away by NORTH FERRIBY ineptness in front of goal! Anyhow tonight Cardiff travel to league leaders Brighton, looking to continue a very good run of scoring goals on away days! Recently they’ve notched at Newcastle and Villa, and a Welsh goal before 79 mins looks reasonable value. Obviously it’s going to be a tough ask to come away with a result, especially considering Brighton’s form, but being top of the table comes with pressure, and with both teams very capable of scoring goals, and Cardiff’s inability to record clean sheets, goals look likely! If anyone’s going to upset tonight’s card, Warnock is as likely as anyone, that’s why I’ve added over 1.5 TGS for Cardiff!
Hope u lose as i am taking brighton to win … sorry for that
@xbets,lol, I never backed CARDIFF to win, I was only interested in goals ?
Brighton game off
A bit sad there hoping someone loses their money..Glad games off ,save any bad feeling ?
Treble for tonight
Brighton o1.5 tgs
Rochdale o1.5tgs
Wycombe win
6.2/1
Good luck with your bets
Brighton game off due to fog
Brighton v Cardiff match postponed!
EVERTON TO BEAT HULL!
11/10 MANY FIRMS!
NAP/NB
(20 POINTS)
LUMP
Evening all
Everton score 2+ tgs
Tns o 2.5 tgs
Rhyl v bala over 2.5 MG’s
Reading btts an over 2.5 MG’s
30 returns 231
Best of luck folks ?
€50 – €2000 challenge
bet 1: €50 returns €75
ismaily sc game over 2.5 mgs
I’ve just seen Winner have a boost for the Old Firm tomorrow of BTTS and either team win at 7/5. Surely in a game that’s going to be open, that is a steal of a price. I still fancy a Celtic win but you never know in the Old Firm and despite looking quite impotent against St Johnstone I still fancy Rangers to bag at least a goal.
Nap for tomorrow – Celtic vs Rangers BTTS and either team win at 7/5 (Winner price boost)
ROCHDALE h/t 1/1.
ROCHDALE goal before 38 mins 5/6.
ROCHDALE over 2.5 mgs 4/5.
Summary: ROCHDALE have to date an impressive win ratio at half time on home soil, and Shrewsbury like conceding first half goals!
Cracker Walk ?
*Wark ?
@hullshaker, thanks pal! You don’t miss much, I believe you read each and every post on this site! For me, it’s high time they gave you your own blog. Just saying pal!?
Cheers Wark – I’m happy just doing what I’m doing pal ?
“Double : A Goal Scored In Both Halves (7.45pm)
Newcastle v N Forest
Hearts v Aberdeen
(7/4 Coral)” – knackered by HT.
In play
Hearts over 12 match corners 7/4
Taking a chance here as don’t often do corner bets
Neee another 6 comers in game to land
**WON**
Reading game postponed due yk adverse weather
Reading abandoned
Italy – Serie B – 7.30pm
Latina v Avellino
2-3 Match Goals
1.95 (Bet365)
***LOST***
***********************
December Profit/Loss: +5.44 pts
Brighton (Win)
Newcastle O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 13/10 (Boyles) ///WIN/// *(Only pays 9/20 following Brighton being void)
_______________________________________________
Rhyl v Bala Town BTTS + O2.5 Match Goals @ 5/6 (Coral) ///LOST///
_______________________________________________
Small stakes:
Brighton VOID
Newcastle
Rochdale
Win and O1.5 Match Goals [Doubles and Trebles] (Betstars)
Revised Odds due to void:
Singles @ 1/1 and 4/6 ///WIN///
Doubles @ 47/20 and 47/20 ///WIN///
A shocking night from Bala summed up by a penalty blazed over the bar late on. BTTS and Overs really should’ve come in there but instead it denies a (sort of) full house. Otherwise, happy days. A shame to see the Brighton came called off as I was most confident about them. But the favourites did the business (mostly) so I can’t complain!
Italy – Lega Pro Group A – 3.30pm
Pontedera v Como
Over 1.5 Match Goals
Italy – Serie B – 7.30pm
Benevento v Pisa
Benevento Draw No Bet
Northern Ireland – NIFL Premiership – 7.45pm
Glenavon v Cliftonville
Over 1.5 Match Goals
2.16 (Coral)
***WON***
Better like card today but more choice means more pitfalls
Couple of bets for today
Brighton
Newcastle
Rochdale
Over 1.5tgs treble returns 16/5 **WON** returned 7/5 with Brighton game off will take any win tho
Reading
Hearts
Rhyl
Over 2.5mgs treble returns 7/2 **LOST** very poor
Well done all winners
I went big there on ovr 4.5 bookings hearts game.hearts are absolutely gutlesss also done me fr btts.
Aberdeen totally deserve victory in wots been a woeful nite.
Had a price boost of all league 1 teams to win tonight at 14/1 I didn’t fancy Port Vale so stuck a tenner on Everton to win instead oh dear
VERONA . BENEVENTO. WYCOMBE to score 3/1 bet365 . WIN
Excellent stuff mate
thanks micky was on this after a LONG day in newry with wife and son, also had a bet of verona straight win from Toals at 5/6 thought that was very generous, been a good night, got some money back thanks to the wife spending mine in primark and poundland lol ;)
Well done to all/any winners tonight!
Close but no cigar on mine – 1 Hearts/Aberdeen booking short for the single and double though the Hull v Everton points came in
HULL VS. EVERTON OVER 3.5 CARD PTS…8/13
???
***WON***
TNS goal and a missed penalty saw off the Welsh treble whilst the English team goal treble saw Newcastle and Rochdale follow the script but Portsmouth didn’t turn up!
Credit Hull City again – fighting away at the bottom and unlucky not to take all 3 points.
Recap Today…
Main bet
•Everton draw no bet (refund)
•Newcastle over 1.5 team goals (Won)
•Reading vs Fulham Both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals (Void)
2 units at odds of — 4.04
** WON **
– well a 4/9 single!!
———————————-
Longshot
•Everton Win
•Newcastle over 1.5 team goals
•Reading vs Fulham both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals (Void)
• Hearts vs Aberdeen both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
0.5 units at odds of — 11.83
** LOST **
– Nowhere near!!
——————————————–
Inplay…
Sydney vs Brisbane both teams to score
2 units at odd of — 21/20
** LOST **
——————————————
MONTH TOTALS;
Main bets = + 4.37 units (3 bets, 2 winners, 1 loser)
Long Shots = -1 unit (2 bets, 2 losers)
Inplays = + 2.69 units (3 bets, 2 winners, 1 loser)
Worst day in a while for me, ended about 1.5 units down but onto tomorrow! Well done to all winners
Can anybody shed any light on the QPR ‘no defence tomorrow ‘ situation? Apparently Ollie has stated he has no defensive players to call upon against goal scoring Wolves!?
All I can see @wark is onuoha suspended, that said on recent form wolves O1.5 team goals looks a great price at 5/6 and will probably be a selection of mine tomorrow?
Betting prospects for the old firm game folks ?????????
Hull not to lose (won)
Brighton draw (void)
Newcastle to win (won)
Reading not to lose (void)
Treble for tonight
Brighton o1.5 tgs
Rochdale o1.5tgs
Wycombe win
6.2/1
Good luck with your bets
Winner !!
Ended up being a double with the Brighton game off but ill take it anyway.
Well done if you managed a win today
GL
Celtic 3-0
U think Nazalus ? only 1 winner at 3/4 for the win ?
Wato ?
celts1888,betting a scoreline is as tough as any bet.Im going a small stake on 3-0,but im deffo going double figures in cash for Celtic over 2.5 Team Goals @ 9/4 with Ladbrokes.I know its gonna be a tough game,but im still confident.
Away before 8am tomorrow for old firm game so sticking this up just now
Swansea
Leicester
Clyde
Over 2.5mgs treble returns 4/1
Particle thistle
Wolves
Over 1.5tgs double returns 2.36/1
Not expecting much from gers tomorrow so any result will be a bonus & will be happy as long as the team turns up & puts a shift in
Best of luck all & all the best for the new year when it comes in case I’m in no for state to post tomorrow night
Nazalus I’m caught between straight win or Celtic 2+ , goin b a big stake , when I finally decide !
Play safe,2+ even IF the blues win or draw ( by a small miracle) you still win ?????
Like ur style ? Miracle n al that
Italy Serie B 19:30
Trapani vs Brescia
Brescia Double chance 10/11 (Bet365) 2pts ✅
English League 2 19:45
Cheltenham vs Wycombe
Wycombe DNB 13/20 (William Hill) 2pts ✅
total staked; 4points.
Good luck gents.
top bet @jerryt looked at this earlier when in newry whilst i saw @micky-belfast post, which i had of added in brescia double chance at that amazing price after seen table and position and more importantly the LACK of goals that trapani have scored
good bet and deserve that…
Lansbury to Derby get on it! Betvoctor
How confident are you on that one?
Tomorrow…
Really fancy FIVE things tomorrow! So toyed around with selections into various doubles/trebles…
Main bet(s)
• Rangers vs Celtic both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
• Huddersfield 2+ team goals
2 units pays 7.56 units
——————————–
• Huddersfield 2+ team goals
• Sheff Utd 2+ team goals
1 unit pays 2.83 units
——————————–
• Wolves 2+ team goals
• Fleetwood 2+ team goals
1 unit pays 3.85 units
———————————
• Huddersfield 2+ team goals
• Fleetwood 2+ team goals
2 units pays 7.56 units
——————————-
• Huddersfield 2+ team goals
• Sheff Utd 2+ team goals
• Fleetwood 2+ team goals
1.5 units pays 8.91 units
——————————-
Long Shots
• Huddersfield 2+ team goals
• Sheff Utd 2+ team goals
• Wolves 2+ team goals
• Fleetwood 2+ team goals
1 unit pays 10.93 units
—————————–
Above Longshot but ADD…
• Rangers vs Celtic both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals
0.5 units pays 10.93 units
*** Could either work massively in favour or be catastrophic but it’s end of year so let’s go?
last nite garbage, tonite
everton to score, brighton and Newcastle o1.5tgs 2/1 PAID 7/10 ISH
mk dons, hearts o2.5mgs, Cheltenham, Ipswich o1.5mgs 5/1 LOST
WD all with winners……………