IN past weeks it’s been all about Dunfermline and on Saturday it was Swansea who were key to a what I hoped would be a profitable day.
They were my 4pts Super Single at 11-10 away to Sunderland and also featured on a 13-2 Top Treble with Hearts and QPR.
However, they let me down by being held 1-1 although I’d advised a 1pt cover on the draw at 4-1 when the Swans were leading so the Super Single tally survives without damage been done. Hearts and QPR kept up their side of the bargain so it was close to being a nice win.
Middlesbrough and Portsmouth beat the homes and it was two out of three on the both to score treble that was surprisingly let down by Aberdeen v Dundee with the away side coming up short. So lots of close calls but no cigars.
On Sunday Man City travel to Everton and Chelsea go to West Brom looking for their first win of the season while in Scotland the televised Rangers v Hibs clash is a 52,000 sell-out and should be a cracker with plenty of goals and maybe a red card.
La Liga kicked off on Friday night but it really gets going on Sunday with Barcelona at an Athletic Bilbao side who beat them 5-1 on aggregate in the Spanish Super Cup and Real Madrid heading to Sporting Gijon. Serie A also sparks to life with champions Juventus while game of the day is Fiorentina v AC Milan.
Last night I put up a double at just under 2-1. I can’t see past Rangers against Hibs and the way City have started they should win at Everton. It’s good to see a difference of opinion about this tip and that’s how it should be – everyone should believe in themselves.
Like Greg Browning I reckon Chelsea will win but I’m not confident enough to put them up until they get that first three points under their belts and see Pedro in action. He’s a superb signing in my book.
The other Premier League game is Watford v Southampton and while I can see a shock home win the price has gone so my tip is Odion Ighalo to score at 5-2 with Betway.
Greg speaks a lot of sense and he’s right to advise caution when considering teams playing their first or second league match. Look at the results yesterday – Schalke’s surprise draw with Darmstadt and Bayern’s struggle at Hoffenheim … Atletico just beating Las Palmas.
Barca should get it tough at Bilbao where they lost 4-0 in the cup but that was three days after beating Sevilla after extra time in Tbilisi in the UEFA Super Cup.
Both have scored in five of the last six meetings in Bilbao and that looks the best bet here while Real should get off to a flier at promoted Sporting Gijon. Real should win by at least two and to start the treble I’m taking them -2AH.
Add Serie A champs Juventus who start at home to Udinese and Ajax at NEC. Juve have won their last four at home to the Udine visitors, conceding just one goal.
I’m slightly wary about teams who played Europa League football on Thursday but Ajax visit a venue where they’ve won five in a row – and look at the scorelines … 3-0, 6-1, 3-0, 2-1 and 4-1.
NEC lost 3-0 at Heracles last week while Ajax have started the league season with two 3-0 wins.
I’ve been mulling over a Super Single for a few hours and I considered Sergio Aguero to score, Robbie Keane to score for LA Galaxy against New York City tonight, Celta Vigo at Levante and St Etienne at Lorient.
Aguero could be beaten to the punch by the likes of Yaya Toure aand David Silva while Everton’s Romelu Lukaku can also be considered.
In the end I’ve decided to play it safe with my first SS of the season that’s not a single. I don’t post many accumulators paying evens or under but they have their fans and you have the staking power it’s a great way to beat the bookies.
So the Super Single is a variation of part of the treble and is Juventus to win and Real Madrid -1. I’m aiming for double or nothing on the monthly profit.
4pts Super Single
Real Madrid -1
3pts Daily Double
Man City (4pm)
1pt Top Treble
Real Madrid -2 AH (7.30pm)
(9-2, BetVictor, McBookie)
1pt both to score treble
Watford v Southampton (4pm)
Palermo v Genoa (7.45pm)
Ath Bilbao v Barcelona (5.30pm)
August Super Single record
25 bets (12 winners, 12 losers, 1 void)
37 bets (11 winners, 26 losers)
Remember to check out our friends at WeLoveBetting for their weekend tips and previews.