IT was a pretty decent Tuesday night even if it could have been better.
My Super Single of Ross County draw no bet was a 19-20 winner and having toyed with the taking Motherwell I’d have been less than chuffed if they hadn’t beaten St Johnstone.
I took Well on a 12-1 Trixie with Bristol City and Malaga so two correct made a small profit. The over 2.5 goals treble went down at the first hurdle as Wolfsburg only beat Freiburg 1-0 in the German Cup.
For my Daily Record column on Wednesday I’ve once again focused on the Scottish Premiership and I’m tempted by Dundee at home to Dundee United. November 5, 2004 was the last time Dundee won this derby – and it’s been eight damaging defeats and two draws since. But tonight they’ll believe this is their best chance of setting the record straight against a side who have suffered seven defeats in nine.
Saturday’s loss at home to Ross County was the latest damp squib for Jackie McNamara’s men and the boss is caught up in an ugly row with fans about his cut of transfer fees. It’s business as usual for Dundee who are eyeing a top-six slot after two defeats in 12 and if Dee believe it they can win this. I’m taking a chance on them at a best 7-4 at Betfred.
United are 7-4 at Coral so bookies can’t split the pair while the draw pays 5-2 at McBookie and BetVictor. There have been 14 goals in three meetings this season so stats suggest over 2.5 at 17-20 with McBookie.
Celtic should march on towards the title with a straightforward win against Partick Thistle. The Hoops are no bigger than 1-5 so for some value consider Celtic minus one at 1-2 with sportingbet.
Aberdeen dropped two more points at home to Partick at the weekend and have another test in the shape of Inverness and a draw is possible between two off-form sides.
In the Championship back Hearts to be stung by criticism of their display against Rangers and beat Alloa. They are short again at 3-10 so try the Jambos minus two Asian Handicap at 5-4 with bet365. That’s the Super Single – stake back if they win by two. Allao will be on a low after their 4-0 Challenge Cup Final defeat to Livingston and they’ve lost 4-1, 2-0 and 1-0 to the Jambos this season.
I like Raith at home to Cowdenbeath and Hibs must beat Dumbarton after three defeats in a row I’m not touching them at 4-7 with bet365 and Paddy Power.
Big game in England is the FA Cup quarter-final replay between Blackburn and Liverpool and I’d rather look at a goals bet than the Anfield men at 4-6 with William Hill.
On the continent it could be all about goals. Barcelona entertain an Almeria side – now with ex-Nou Camp ace Sergi in charge – whose squad is decimated after five red cards in five games. Five defenders are sidelines including first-choice Verza and Mauro dos Santos.
Almeria have conceded 13 in their last six on the road and it’s fair to assume Barca could run riot days after Real Madrid hit nine past Granada. Barca are as short as 1-33 with Coral so I’m going for them to score 3.5 plus at 11-17 with 888sport.
Cristiano Ronaldo netted five against Granada – not scoring first though – so it’s tough to ignore him to net at Rayo even if he is just 9-20 at Ladbrokes. Real beat Rayo 5-1 at home earlier in the season and 3-2 away last campaign so there should be plenty of goals if they’re in the mood.
Complete a goals-based treble with both to score at Napoli v Lazio. This semi-final is finely poised after a 1-1 draw in Rome but Lazio look in decent shape after a run of four wins in a row – scoring 11. Napoli have been struggling of late but in three of their last four at home to the Romans they have netted at least three times.
For those with staking power I’d recommend Celtic and Real to win, Barca -1 and Borussia Moenchengladbach in their German Cup at second tier Arminia.
Bayern Munich should beat Bayer Leverkusen away in the other tie but the home men have conceded one goal in six games and that was away to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League.
PSG are no bigger than 4-9 to beat St Etienne in the French Cup and should do so if they put out a full-strength side. They’ve beaten Saints three times this season – 5-0 and two 1-0s.
4pts Super Single
Hearts -2 AH
2pts Top Treble
Barca 3+ (7pm)
Ronaldo to score (7pm)
Napoli v Lazio btts (7.45pm)
4pts Big Hitters Acca
Super Single April record
6 bets (3 losers, 3 winners)
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