Apr 26: Johnb’s Racing Tips & Chat

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JOHNB ended Tuesday empty-handed with his most fancied pick Melon finishing second.

Thanks to everyone who posted a winner and let’s get the Wednesday thread started with all your picks and chat.

Johnb’s Wednesday Tips

Punchestown 5.30
Djakadam 10-3 bet365

Willie Mullins Irish Trainers Championship 11-4 NAP/NB coral (double stake)

Antepost Tips

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58 Comments
  1. Profile photo of peter daryll
    peter daryll 2 months ago

    Wednesday looks a competitive card, going smaller stakes ew on the following selections apart from the nap which is win only ,

    Innocent touch -9/1 -Nb
    3.50 Epsom e/w

    Ventura secret 16/1-
    4.00 Catterick – e/w

    Diore lia 16/1
    4.25 Epsom – e/w

    Presenting Percy 11/4-Nap
    4.55 Punchestown

  2. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 2 months ago

    Opinions would be appreciated please.
    6.05 punchestown – Someday.
    beaten half length on debut last April by Cilaos Emery, in a similar event to this. Cilaos Emery has subsequently ran well ever since, including triumph over Melon yesterday. Someday has only run once since debut, in which it won well at leopardstown back in February. The race last year was run on good/yielding, same as today’s going.
    Am I right in thinking Someday has a very good chance in turning over both of the Elliott charges?
    Thanks in advance

    • Profile photo of duncanpoundcake
      duncanpoundcake 2 months ago

      Stable in great form and always do well at this meeting GL.

    • Profile photo of leando
      leando 2 months ago

      Jamie Codd has ridden both Elliot horses and obviously thinks Fayonagh is the best and its got
      7 pound less to carry so can see why it’s Fav

    • Profile photo of errryesno
      errryesno 2 months ago

      I was on fayonagh anti-post, the standard of opposition they have faced is very different. And at the odds! i’ve cashed out ? for a wee punt and sf on somechine, given its punch festival form also. GL all

  3. Profile photo of fraser51
    fraser51 2 months ago

    2:45 Epsom – Crackman
    5:30 Punchestown – Sizing John

    5/2 double

  4. Profile photo of luke a
    luke a 2 months ago

    Thank you for your replies Duncan and DC. glad you both approve.
    Not been as up to date with the thread the last few days, but I did see that there were a few nice priced winners yesterday. Well done to all who contributed, especially DC who I think I saw posted 2 winners at 14/1+. Top stuff.
    here are my selections for punchestown today
    3.40 Daweran 20/1
    4.20 Minella Til Dawn 11/4
    4.55 Presenting Percy 11/4
    5.30 Sizing John 1/1
    6.05 Someday 7/2
    6.40 Rightdownthemiddle 13/2
    7.15 Minutestomidnight 11/4

    Good luck all today

  5. Profile photo of alanm
    alanm 2 months ago

    Nap Ballymore Castle 5/2. 4.35 Catterick
    Nb New Rich 5/1. 5.50 Lingfield
    NNB Arnason 6/1 4.25 Epsom. Gl

  6. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 2 months ago

    Punchestown Day 2

    3.40 Drumcliff 7/1 ew ans Shamiran 25/1 ew
    Harry Fry sends Drumcliff across the pond in the JP colours and the fact JP sponsers the race i doubt hes here for the fresh air. Harry is also 2-6 at the track and his stable is also flying at present.
    Shamiran has won the race for the past 2 years and although not getting any younger i wouldnt be suprised if he was there at the finish again

    4.20 Drumconner Lad 14/1 ew
    Just cant have Battleford at the odds. Minella till dawn could be the answer but took a heavy fall lto so i will go for DL as he lost his maiden tag lto stepping up to 20f for the first time and had a 126 rated horse 15L behind in 3rd. Hopefully theres more to come.

    4.55 Al Boum Photo 10/1 ew
    Im purely taking this one as the first 3 in the betting have had hard seasons and could take its toll

    5.30 No Bet
    But i do give Djakadam a chance over this distance and no cheltenham hill to contend with

    6.05 Someday
    Luke a has done a very good write up on this one.
    But at 9/1 pp i cant resist an ew on Carter Mckay too as im suprised hes Mullins only runner particularily when hes going for the trainers title and maybe hes happy with what hes seen.

    6.40
    Cant make my mind up so will probably make a decision closer to the off

    7.15 The Princetonian 8/1 small ew
    Full sister to Rock on Ruby. Be interesting to see how she gets on and bookies not taking any chances

    Enjoy the racing
    BOL

  7. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 2 months ago

    335p – A Good Skin 7/2
    350e – Innocent Touch 8/1
    425e – Anarson 9/2
    715p – Minutestomidnight 11/4

    0.25 L15 (3.75pts)

    Couple of singles to come (lucky you)

  8. Profile photo of double carpet
    double carpet 2 months ago

    Also sorry to hear the news that SANDRA HUGHES is to retire. I suppose it was only a matter of time with the big owners pulling their horses but still sad to see.

  9. Profile photo of harryjw
    harryjw 2 months ago

    Morning all,

    I was disappointed with the run of Capolavoro yesterday as he could only manage 5th. I am hoping to get back on track today on what looks a great day of racing.

    14.10 Epsom – Lathom 4/1 & Place 10/11

    This ex super sprint winner has dropped down to a very useful mark (89) after failing to score last year. I strongly fancied him to win a Goodwood last season and I am certain that this horse has the potential to be a horse rated in the 100’s. Ryan Moore is an eye-catching booking for O’Meara and hopefully he can get the day off to a good start (1 point win @ 4/1 & 1 point on a place @ 10/11).

    15.05 Perth – Robbin’hannon 3/1

    Robbin’hannon went into my notebook when beating Fortified Bay last time at Warwick. That took him to 2/2 in his career (inc P2P), the way he stayed on late was impressive given that I wasn’t sure the heavy ground suited (won his Point on good). While this is a trappy race Robbin’hannon looks worthy of a small investment (1 point win @ 3/1).

    15.15 Epsom – Sindarban 8/1 EW

    Sindarban ran well on seasonal reappearance when I put him up at Musselburgh, he was just pipped by a nose from 4th but was staying on all the while. Spencer looks like the ideal jockey for this horse and hopefully he can swoop late today at Epsom. I am sure this horse has a handicap like this in his locker and he boasts some smart form from last season (Beat Fastnet Tempest in a maiden, won a decent Carlisle handicap and finished close third behind Nietzsche at Ayr). Conditions today should be fine and he looks a decent each way punt (1.5 points each way @ 8/1).

    16.20 Punchestown – C’est Jersey 8/1 EW (1/4 odds 365)

    This horse was outclassed in the Albert Bartlett last time but returned to calmer waters he can return to form. He has recorded some smart form all season and looks to be value at 8/1 (1 point each way @8/1).

    16.55 Punchestown – Al Boum Photo 9/1 EW

    Al Boum Photo swerved Cheltenham and was rewarded with an easy Grade 2 last time. He was very impressive that day and I think there is more to come from this 5yo gelding. At the prices he is clearly the each way play (0.75 points each way).

    17.10 Perth – Great Fighter 9/4

    Great Fighter looks capable of completing a quick-fire double today at Perth. Last Friday he won a competitive handicap at Ayr’s National meeting by 5 lengths (leaving the useful Azzuri trailing in his wake). Jim Goldie will be wanting to strike again while the iron is hot and with this race looking less competitive I think he can overcome a 7lb penalty (3 point win @9/4).

    18.05 Punchestown – Fayonagh 2/1 & Someday 7/2

    Fayonagh produced one of the best performances of the festival when she won the Champion bumper. She was last at halfway but laughed at her rivals as she powered past all of them up the hill. The form has been standing up well in recent races (2nd won since) and she could easily land the ‘big bumper double’ (4 point win @ 2/1). Someday was a horse that I strongly fancied for the champion bumper after backing it the time before. He looks the biggest danger (1 point win @ 7/2) + 0.25 point reverse forecast.

    18.40 Punchestown – Jetstream Jack 9/1 EW (4 places available)

    With conditions to suit Jetstream Jack (who has been highly tried this year) can go well in this and looks value at 8/1 (0.75 points each way @ 9/1).

    Other bets:

    1 points double – Great Fighter & Fayonagh 8/1.

    Many thanks and GL to all

    April: -13.39
    Overall: +162.44

    • Profile photo of harryjw
      harryjw 2 months ago

      While a few of these have been selected using a few of my systems. I am using Jetstream Jack to test a new one.

      • Profile photo of errryesno
        errryesno 2 months ago

        Very interested to hear your system’s Harry ?
        I loved course form and horse’s that act well around that time of year or at certain course’s. specialist track’s like fakenham, plumpton, flat track & undulating for the right gee gee’s.
        extreme going and long distanced chase’s and races in high grade and big money on offer.
        Also horse’s saved after showing good form or their rival’s acting up the form [handi-capper’s job is relative to tracks and times of the year, thus lending a big advantage in ignoring prep runs and forgiving horse’s to back at the right odds.
        Can’t beat horse’s that have been running against top guns, like sizing john and fox nortan, and switch to calmer water or different distance’s?

        The flat and genetic, toff’s & buff’s, make my skin crawl.
        Tv presenter’s are paid to make it sound like, the’ll all finish in a line or talk up favs and grade one’s.

        • Profile photo of errryesno
          errryesno 2 months ago

          A runt can quickly become the alpha, when swapping condition’s.
          Scientific fact!!
          The rich use the good blood debate to control.
          Genetics factor’s is a very small percentage of the end outcome of environment and nurture.

          Sandra Hughes is another recent example, showing that money talks and the rich are ruing racing ! Not keeping it afloat. Much like capitalism has done since the 70’s, the future of horse racing is an elite one ?! where the money doesn’t filter down and the poor man suffer’s.

          on the plus side, future arm chair fans, will get better high class racing. [Hmm reminds me of a banksy poem

          • Profile photo of harryjw
            harryjw 2 months ago

            Intresting errryesno! I agree with a lot of what you said. I use a number of different systems that all have been tried and tested. For example great fighter today qualified for my “won a handicap by 4 lengths or more and races again within 10 days”- very profitable over the jumps as it gets horses who are ahead of their mark.

            BOL in the future

      • Profile photo of azzthewigan
        azzthewigan 2 months ago

        well done Harry

    • Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Nice shout harry C’est jersey

    • Profile photo of trotters
      trotters 2 months ago

      Thanks for the winners harry

  10. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 2 months ago

    Friend heard word for this from a source I am not privy too, he is at Epsom today however.

    210e – Majestic Hero 4/1 2pts

    He gave me phosphorence yesterday, it drifted to 4s and I decided not to share just in case, he went on to win at something like 7/4.

    • Profile photo of juicin
      juicin 2 months ago

      No mentions for

      Star Glitter 325 Catt, 1pt @ 3/1

      Adding to my bets, 6.75 staked.

      • Profile photo of juicin
        juicin 2 months ago

        Thought star glitter had it for a second there, cruised on by nicely, seems like it was a trial run after a 265 day break on its handicap debut, sorry to any followers but it is definitely one to keep tabs on as he was eased down early.

    • Profile photo of theplug
      theplug 2 months ago

      JUICIN THANKS FOR SHARING

    • Profile photo of buckiejag
      buckiejag 2 months ago

      Justin, I logged on too late, but it was a nice bit o info, well done

    • Profile photo of double carpet
      double carpet 2 months ago

      Nice one juicin

      • Profile photo of juicin
        juicin 2 months ago

        Cheers guys, you have both been good to me in the past so hopefully can start repaying. Been a poor first week of tipping here from me, so I don’t expect people to have much faith yet but hopefully some of you were on.

        As I have said before, follow all my tips with a 100pt bank and I am sure you will see profit. BOL for the day.

  11. Profile photo of jimron12
    jimron12 2 months ago

    Great day at ludlow with the two horses i went there to bet won !

    Other two not so good a place at 12/1 and second by a head we move on ….

    Today I’m a bit rough so just punchestown

    3.40 – Close Shave
    4.55 – Penhill
    6.05 – Poli Roi

    Good luck all 👍🤢🤢🤢

  12. Profile photo of errryesno
    errryesno 2 months ago

    3.40 shimarian nap ew and tellthenutting

    6.40 irish cavieler jiont nap, and rightdownthemiddle [due to irish’s busy season].

    adding support for presening percy,
    baden the odds,
    small bet ew felmenstar[ nostalgia bet, given it’s best froms at 3m lexus chase].
    and someday.
    Cheer’s for that 14t1 shot DC, GL all today.

  13. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    miss maiden over 2.35 aimez maiden over 2.55 gaybury 3.05 galapiat 3.15 win l15 havelock ew single well done all winners yesterday

  14. Profile photo of azzthewigan
    azzthewigan 2 months ago

    aimez la vire 2.55 bleeding spell checker

  15. Profile photo of ew thief
    ew thief 2 months ago

    Morning all well done winners yesterday
    Searanger 1.50c 8/1
    Pixeleen 2.10e 10/1
    Thames knight 3.15e 10/1
    Russian royale 3.25c 12/1
    Faithful creek 3.50e 7/1
    Madroos 4.35c 8/1
    Ew singles & ew lucky63🍀Gl all

  16. Profile photo of theplug
    theplug 2 months ago

    3-40 punch shamiran 20/1 ew nap
    4-20 punch milsean 14/1
    4-55 punch penhill 11/4 nb
    6-40 fayonagh 2/1
    7-15 bluegrass princess 6/1
    lucky 31 gl

  17. Profile photo of de niro
    de niro 2 months ago

    3-15 Epsom
    Whining Willie. 25/1
    2 points win

  18. Profile photo of secret agent
    secret agent 2 months ago

    I have been given some positive information for Explain 4-35 Catterick
    GL
    SA

  19. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    Been a bit busy so late with these

    Punchestown
    5:30
    Djakadam 10/3 bet365

    Willie Mullins Irish Trainers Championship 11/4 NAP/NB coral (double stake)

  20. Profile photo of jono5000
    jono5000 2 months ago

    Punchestown 3.40 Blast of koeman
    Lingfield 6.55 Takatul

    singles and win double
    excellent work yesterday jimron was on thank you
    thanks to all the regualr tipsters and past ones you never forgotten
    KTF

  21. Profile photo of u2me413
    u2me413 2 months ago

    Well John what did you think of tartini and cracks man missed the race. Have we anything to worry about with regard to churchill

    • Profile photo of Johnb
      Johnb 2 months ago

      Tartini is going to improve with distance and has always been on my shortlist for the St Leger, Cracksman isn’t going to be good enough even with a step up in distance

  22. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    Paddy power now 13/8 for Team Mullins

  23. Profile photo of juicin
    juicin 2 months ago

    The lucky 15 selections were quite poor today with two bad runs from a good skin and arnason. The money came for my 8/1 selection as it started fav at 4s, a decent run but no cigar. We have one left to run to recoup a bit of the outlay.

    One of my single selections lost after a 250 day break but looked worth keeping tabs on for sure – star glitter. Luckily profit for the day was secured when my 2 pt 4/1 section came in securing us 8 pts, although with bog it was 9/2, I wont claim the extra point :D. A bit gutted I neglected emenem who won at 8/1 as I mentioned him lto when he didn’t perform well.

    Don’t like claiming points for tips given an hour in advanced but going to chuck a point on SDS in the 1925 at Lingfield, angel of darkness 13/2.

    Looked like a few people had a good day, well done harry, consistent as ever.

    • Profile photo of juicin
      juicin 2 months ago

      Minutestomidnight just obliged at 11/4 to scrape a little back from the L15, my 1925 selection came from 13/2 into 3s but SDS could only manage a head 2nd, yet again the thin margins between being in the red or black continue.

      We put some points back in the bank and end the day on -17.41. Onwards.

    • Profile photo of buckiejag
      buckiejag 2 months ago

      Juicin, unlucky we Angel of Darkness led everywhere just pipped on the line, hit the bar, had it singled and doubled we the last winner at Punchestown,

      • Profile photo of juicin
        juicin 2 months ago

        Gross mate, apologies! SDS pushed the button too early for me, had control of things and was pushing on the bend, could’ve held them up a bit longer, so that the eventual winner wouldn’t have been able to get up that head of steam, easily said in hindsight but he slightly disappointing. hopefully no damage done to your bankroll.

        • Profile photo of buckiejag
          buckiejag 2 months ago

          Juicin, no need to apoligies, the horse was an out and out trier, as you said looks like SDS pushed the button too quick, I had Minutesto midnight singled so all was not lost, keep your fancies comimg, as i could not pick my nose, best o luck

  24. Profile photo of Johnb
    Johnb 2 months ago

    Massive day for Willie Mullins today, it was always going to be his worst day on paper so to lose just €17,000 on Elliott is a good day at the office,
    The difference is now €276,780 and with several good chances tomorrow Mullins could conceivably go odds on with Nichols Canyon and Great Field in big money races
    #teammullins

    • Profile photo of harryjw
      harryjw 2 months ago

      Johnb why do you want Mullins to win it so much?

      • Profile photo of recoba
        recoba 2 months ago

        Not to answer for John but hes backed them by the looks of it at 11/4. Maybe more to it Harry but it’s as good a reason as any.

      • Profile photo of Johnb
        Johnb 2 months ago

        Because of the men ruining Irish racing, the O’Leary brothers, they are just flooding races with mediocre horses “mediocre for the races they go for” like the Irish National where I think at least seven of their horses must have been 100/1 or more at antepost odds, even on the day I think nine were 33/1 or more

        Also in the last 12 months Mullins has had 682 runners & 30% strike rate whereas Elliott has had 1522 runners and 15% strike rate

        I just think Mullins deserves it more

  25. Profile photo of snurky2
    snurky2 2 months ago

    March +61.4
    April now – 5.38

    I have a rule betting each month that If I get to -10 I take the month as a loss and end it there .

    Punchestown is boom or bust for me Thursday

    16:15 trully east 5/1 1.62 win

    18:40 great field 11/10 3pt win

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