Italy v Ireland, Poznan, Monday, 7.45pm
Spain v Croatia, Gdansk, Monday, 7.45pm
ONE half of the last-eight line-up has been decided and we can look forward to Germany v Greece and Portugal v Czech Republic later in the week.
Another two spots will go to two from three of Spain, Croatia and Italy tonight – and it promises to be a fascinating 90 minutes of football.
I'm pretty sure Italy will take care of whipping boys Ireland but they must fear the prospect of a 2-2 draw or higher that would put Spain and Croatia through no matter what Cesare Prandelli's side do.
So until I see the teams and maybe how the game starts, the only bets I'll be having on Spain v Croatia is both to score and maybe over 3.5 goals (just in case it's 2-2).
A 2-2 draw by the way pays no bigger than 13-2 at BetvIctor when you'd normally see 12-1.
Ireland boss Giovanni Trapattoni has endured a miserable campaign and it can only get worse in crisis.
The Irish have posed little threat up front, made defensive mistakes and conceded early goals. Are they Scotland in disguise?
Italy are unbeaten after two draws but in 2004 a 2-2 draw between Sweden and Denmark ensured the Italians were eliminated from the European Championship.
An identical scoreline would leave the three sides on five points with head-to-head results between the trio being the first deciding factor. A 2-2 would put Spain and Croatia through on more goals scored.
Italy's best bet is to go out and try to win by as many as they can and a side featuring the likes of Andrea Pirlo, Antonio di Natale and Antonio Cassano are certainly capable of finding the net.
Every bet I had on Spain against the Irish came up and I'm hoping to repeat that success with the Italians. Those punts will include Italy -1 (4-5, BetVictor), Italy -2 (9-4, Paddy Power), Italy HT/FT, Italy to win to nil (11-10, Ladbrokes) and Italy to win both halves (15-8, Skybet, Paddy Power).
Just to win Italy are no bigger than 2-7 at Coral and to qualify they are 5-6 with William Hill – the same as the Croats.
To win Ireland are as big as 10-1 with Stan James to notch the points and 5-1 at William Hill to get one point on the board.
Mario Ballotelli has been a big disappointment so far and he's set to be replaced by Di Natale who is 9-2 (various) to bag the opener.
Spain are just 3-4 (various) to beat the Croats but any draw will put them through ahead of their opponents. A stalemate pays 21-10 at Blue Square.
Will they settle for a stalemate or go for victory? Hopefully Spain will go for it and to have a chance of netting two the Croats will need the ball.
Spain's possession against Ireland was an incredible 78 per cent and to have a chance of scoring against them you need much more of the ball. Unibet go 8-11 for Spain to have more than 58.5 per cent possession and that looks likely.
Del Bosque could ring with the changes with the likes of Fernando Llorente, Alvaro Negredo, Juan Mata, Pedro and Jesus Navas seeing little or no action so far.
Mario Mandzukic and Nikica Jelavic have hit all four of Croatia's goals between them and to score again you can have either Mandzukic or Jelavic at 4-1 with Paddy Power.
Italy -1 (4-5, BetVictor)
Italy to win both halves (15-8, Skybet, Paddy Power)
Di Natale to score first (9-2, various)
Spain v Croatia over 3.5 goals (15-8, Paddy Power)