Italy v Ireland, Poznan, Monday, 7.45pm
Spain v Croatia, Gdansk, Monday, 7.45pm

ONE half of the last-eight line-up has been decided and we can look forward to Germany v Greece and Portugal v Czech Republic later in the week.

Another two spots will go to two from three of Spain, Croatia and Italy tonight – and it promises to be a fascinating 90 minutes of football.

I'm pretty sure Italy will take care of whipping boys Ireland but they must fear the prospect of a 2-2 draw or higher that would put Spain and Croatia through no matter what Cesare Prandelli's side do.

So until I see the teams and maybe how the game starts, the only bets I'll be having on Spain v Croatia is both to score and maybe over 3.5 goals (just in case it's 2-2).

A 2-2 draw by the way pays no bigger than 13-2 at BetvIctor when you'd normally see 12-1.

Ireland boss Giovanni Trapattoni has endured a miserable campaign and it can only get worse in crisis.

The Irish have posed little threat up front, made defensive mistakes and conceded early goals. Are they Scotland in disguise?

Italy are unbeaten after two draws but in 2004 a 2-2 draw between Sweden and Denmark ensured the Italians were eliminated from the European Championship.

An identical scoreline would leave the three sides on five points with head-to-head results between the trio being the first deciding factor. A 2-2 would put Spain and Croatia through on more goals scored.

Italy's best bet is to go out and try to win by as many as they can and a side featuring the likes of Andrea Pirlo, Antonio di Natale and Antonio Cassano are certainly capable of finding the net.

Every bet I had on Spain against the Irish came up and I'm hoping to repeat that success with the Italians. Those punts will include Italy -1 (4-5, BetVictor), Italy -2 (9-4, Paddy Power), Italy HT/FT, Italy to win to nil (11-10, Ladbrokes) and Italy to win both halves (15-8, Skybet, Paddy Power).

Just to win Italy are no bigger than 2-7 at Coral and to qualify they are 5-6 with William Hill – the same as the Croats.

To win Ireland are as big as 10-1 with Stan James to notch the points and 5-1 at William Hill to get one point on the board.

Mario Ballotelli has been a big disappointment so far and he's set to be replaced by Di Natale who is 9-2 (various) to bag the opener.

Spain are just 3-4 (various) to beat the Croats but any draw will put them through ahead of their opponents. A stalemate pays 21-10 at Blue Square.

Will they settle for a stalemate or go for victory? Hopefully Spain will go for it and to have a chance of netting two the Croats will need the ball.

Spain's possession against Ireland was an incredible 78 per cent and to have a chance of scoring against them you need much more of the ball. Unibet go 8-11 for Spain to have more than 58.5 per cent possession and that looks likely.

Del Bosque could ring with the changes with the likes of Fernando Llorente, Alvaro Negredo, Juan Mata, Pedro and Jesus Navas seeing little or no action so far.

Mario Mandzukic and Nikica Jelavic have hit all four of Croatia's goals between them and to score again you can have either Mandzukic or Jelavic at 4-1 with Paddy Power.

Recommendations

Italy -1 (4-5, BetVictor)

Italy to win both halves (15-8, Skybet, Paddy Power)

Di Natale to score first (9-2, various)

Spain v Croatia over 3.5 goals (15-8, Paddy Power)

75 Comments
  1. Steve B 8 years ago

    4/6 on Spain is enough to temp me in, Also going Torres first and Torres anytime ( if he starts )

  2. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Italy to Ron both halves out to 21/10 with paddy power

  3. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Got my bets on quickly as I’m assuming the prices will change.

    £100 on Di Natale first goal @ 5/1 with Paddy Power (refunded if there are 4 or more goals).

    £20 on Di Natale last goal @ 5/1 with Paddy Power (refunded if there are 4 or more goals).

    £100 on Italy to win both halves @ 21/10 with Paddy Power.

    Good luck to everyone. Particularly myself.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I’m all over Italy as well. I hope they don’t take it easy and consider the 1-0 option.

  4. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Have you ever tryed to change your bets chris in of going for 1st goal scorer all the time! Maybe try something that you will get 90mins for instead of being over in the 1st 5mins! Just asking!

  5. Chris Guy 8 years ago

    I know Alex I see your point but it’s one of my fave bets and if you back strikers all the time you do get a good few winners. All you need is one in 4 to be honest to make profit. But i think im going to take Mr Fixit’s advice and stop betting last scorer.

    By the way 2-2 in Spain game is 10/1 with Ladbrokes online and a wee birdie tells me its 14/1 on the coupon in the shop. Can anyone check in a ladbrokes shop. Dont ask at the counter, just check the coupon.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, coupon could well say 14-1 but I’m pretty sure it will be cut in shops now as well.

  6. Sways bet today 8 years ago

    Had a nice winner yesterday on podolski fgs when I seen it was his 100th cap I backed him,players always seem to raise there game when they reach a landmark of caps.im going to go for goals in the Spain -Croatia game I reckon it will be pretty open game and as for Ireland sad to say but I can’t see them troubling Italy at all they done well to get to the euros but haven’t enough quality so I will have a lump sum on Italy -1

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      When I saw the teams yesterday Podolski was in my thoughts as was van der Vaart but didn’t back either in the end. Would have been a nice double. If you like backing players reaching landmarks I take you’ll be on Damien Duff who captains Ireland tonight as he wins his 100th cap.

  7. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Thanks for that chris. But if i was betting that much i would go for btts at least you are getting the whole game for your money. Or a good handicap bet like i had last wk with spain! Just look out for them cause they are there if you look! Good luck tonite mate!

  8. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Going for iniesta and pirlo both to score tonite. 5to2 and 7to2 in ladbrokes! iniesta due a goal and pirlo takes pens and great with free kicks!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Alex, they’re two guys I always have a look at. Both have a chance.

  9. Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Alex what about Pirlo to score in an italy win 9/2 at hills?

  10. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Just looked at that chris. iniesta and a spain win is 100to30. Not a bad double. Plus chris if both are on the park you get 90mins for your money!

  11. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Im goin for spain and italy-1. Dont think spain will take a chance and go for win the same as germans. Think if negredo and di natale start i’ll have a wee touch on them fgs and anytime dble.

  12. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Looks like the bookies have wisened up to spain
    Best i can see now is 8/15.

  13. Ciaran 8 years ago

    Looks like the bookies have wisened up to spain
    Best i can see now is 8/15.

  14. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Haha long cox :)

    Looking like di natale and torres starting tonight from what im hearing.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, Di Natale’s a cert for Balotelli and wouldn’t be surprised if he kept Torres in there. What’s everyone’s thoughts about the potential 2-2 carve-up?

  15. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Not If one of the players gets injured or sent off Alex ;-)

  16. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Chris you can say that about nearly ever bet that you can put on!

  17. Terry N 8 years ago

    Spain 2-0 Italy 3-0 Torres to score 1st 3 x £5 dbls & a £5 treble,bring it on.

  18. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Alex a first scorer bet could also last you 90 mins

  19. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul the bookies don’t seem to think so. Most bookies now offering 10/1

  20. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Terry you only have 2 doubles there. 2-0 Spain and 3-0 Italy is one double, Torres first and italy 3-0 is your second double. You can’t have a double of 2-0 Spain and Torres. This will be treated as a scorecast which is generally a good bit shorter. Same as you don’t have a treble. Your £5 treble will go on 2-0 Spain Torres first goal scorecast with Italy 3-0.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, good advice for Terry, hope he hasn’t placed it wrongly.

  21. Jonathan Grieve 8 years ago

    I’m looking at Jelavic anytime @ 9/2. Torres 1st @ 9/2. And Torres/Jelavic anytime double @ 10/1. Also Di Natale 1st scorer. Do I wait 2 see the teams and risk the odds shortening or just go for it?

  22. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul starting to mworry about Italy to win both halves. Paddy Power out to 12/5!! Wish u hadn’t staked my £100 yet. I’d like to cancel then place the bet again

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I don’t know why it’s going out. Surely all the money will be on Italy.

    • Marc Currie 8 years ago

      Paul, Chris, I checked Italy -1 price this morning and it was evens, when I went to put the bet on 2 hours later I got 11/10. I found this odd as I thought they would be cut if anything as all the money would be on them.

  23. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    I think Di Natales odds will shorten as Bolatelli def not starting

  24. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Not in this tourney it wont! Only 6 games that both teams havent scored. cant see both scoring in the italy game tonite but can in the spain game!

  25. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Maybe they know something we don’t or perhaps as you suggested they could settle for 1-0

  26. Jonathan Grieve 8 years ago

    Spot on Chris,Di Natale changed to 9/2 from 5/1 already

  27. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Im getting 11/8 on 888 for italy spain dble only evens on skybet and theyre sayin thats enhanced. Thats where my moneys goin. Cant see spain risking a carve up paul. Maybe thot about it if just a draw needed but a 2-2 draw? Just cant see it.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, I hope there is no carve-up but it’s happened before.

  28. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Just put my bets on. My main bet is spain and italy double which has came in to 5/4. Di natale and iniesta anytime dble @ evens and 12/5. Same amount of goals in both games @ 4/1. Just got a wee feeling the spain game could be very tactical and pretty tight and iniesta could be the man breaking from midfield. Good luck everyone :)

  29. Nobby 8 years ago

    I reckon Ireland will get something tonight boys, I can see a lot of money being lost on Italy.

    Big call but I’d be shocked if Italy -1 comes in.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Nobby, why would u be surprised after Ireland’s first two performances?

  30. Steve B 8 years ago

    I’ve gone with —
    Spain single 4/6
    Torres anytime 4/5 and first 9/2
    Couple of side bets —
    Spain win and xavi score /Italy win and de natale score , double
    De natale

  31. Jamie Smith 8 years ago

    had a poor euros so far gonna try spain 3-1 italy 1-0

  32. Steve B 8 years ago

    .. De Natalie and Italy 2-0

  33. Andy H 8 years ago

    Gone Iniesta and Silva 1st goalscorer in Ladbrokes at 8/1 each, refunded if Torres scores first or last.

  34. Nobby 8 years ago

    They’ve conceded 7 goals so far, 4 of them after three mins gone 1st half and 2nd half, there better than that I think.

    Italy dont usually beat teams by much so I think it will be tight. Ireland have nothing to lose at this stage so I think they’ll put up a big fight

  35. Tommo 8 years ago

    The Irish must be piling money on their own country as Italy have went from 1/4 to a best price of 4/9

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Tommo, it’s very strange.

  36. Ciaran 8 years ago

    18 years ago today. Ireland 1-0 Italy. Come on The Irish

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Ciaran, I’d be amazed with only pride to play for.

  37. Tommo 8 years ago

    Now the price has went in, i’m glad i haven’t stuck any bets on. Just going to put all my eggs in one basket and go for a straight single on the Italians.

  38. joe knotts 8 years ago

    888 just sent me text sayin bet a tenner on coupled fgs get tenner free bet. I took torres or iniesta @ 12/5.

  39. Alex walker 8 years ago

    I think the spain v croatia game could be a cracker of a game! Croatia are no mugs!

  40. david paterson 8 years ago

    Went a Bit crazy enight. Bets:

    Torres/Di Natale First Scorer £5 Double

    Spain 2-1/Italy 2-0 £2.50 Double

    Mandzukic/Di Natale Anytime £5 Double

    Di Natale First Scorer 1-20mins/Torres first Scorer 21-45mins £2 double

    Mandzukic/Cassano Last Goalscorer £2 Double

    Scorecast Double Torres 2-1/Cassano 2-1 £1

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      David, it’s easy to do. I’ve stuck with singles on Iniesta, Di Natale and Pirlo as well as all my bets on Italy.

  41. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Just in from work….

    Di natale/Torres Double and singles

    Di natale Italy win

    Good luck

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Peter, nearly had your di Natale goal there but Irish have started well.

  42. RPB 8 years ago

    Didnt make any pre-match bets. Any thoughts on in-play Paul? Italy -1 and Spain pays almost 2/1. Yay or Nay? Thanks,

    Thinking both teams have to go for it to avoid whoever finishes top on England’s group!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      I’m watching Italy and think they’ll score again. Good last 15 minutes and hopefully won’t settle for a risky 1-0. Haven’t seen any of the Spain game so wouldn’t like to make an unrunning prediction. However, 0-0 is no use to Croatia so surely they’ll have to go for it and that might play into Spain’s hands.

  43. joe knotts 8 years ago

    I really wanna see spain win. Not just for my double tonight i put a good few quid on the other day on a germany spain final and if spain dont win group then theyll meet in the semis.

  44. Gary 8 years ago

    In-play looks far too hard to call at the moment.

    Under 1.5 goals Spain v Croatia/Over 1.5 Italy v Ireland is only paying 1.33/1.

    Might keep the account credit for tomorrow night

  45. Jonathan Grieve 8 years ago

    Fancy anything in-play in the Italy game Paul? Di Natale next goal? He looks Sharp

  46. Andy W 8 years ago

    After losing £330 in 3 days… i’ve decided to play a safer approach tonight and slowly build funds up

    Italy HT FT

    ITA vs IRE over 2.50 goals

    Spain/ Italy win double

    Di Natale ANYTIME scorer

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Andy, hopefully Italy will do it for us. Di Natale looked good first half without scoring.

  47. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Anyone fancy Croatia to nick this?? 8/1 in play

  48. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Paul croatia had a great chance to go 1 up 5mins ago. Spain are poor. Torres off and no one up front again!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Draw will do them but if Croatia score they’re out. Surely they won’t do a Russia. Italy wobbling a bit too.

  49. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Stuck a fiver on Croatia 9/1….games wide open!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Peter, got it on now and it’s end to end so you’re right to take a wee chance on 9-1.

  50. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Phew thank feck for that! Wish iniesta had stuck it in himself tho!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Yeah, better if Iniesta scored but all the Italy bets up thanks to bad bay Balotelli.

  51. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Nice one paul. I made a few quid tonight on italy spain double and spain germany final still good chance. Not too shabby night for me and good few peeps on italy -1 and to win both halves so not too bad all round :)

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, i took a chance on Italy at least winning by two and it paid off in the end but fair play to the Irish because they were much better and unlucky not to score.

  52. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul Joe Hart man of the match 40/1 @ Bet365. Surely worth £10? What you think. 25/1 elsewhere and as short as 18/1.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, don’t know about Hart especially if England are on top and Shevchenko is out.

  53. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    What about Rooney to score in an England win at 4/1?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, you’ll see my tips in the morning. That would be more like it but do you think he’ll be sharp enough straight away. Could take some time to get up and running or maybe hit it off right away. If Welbeck starts I might look at him for first scorer.

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