IT was buying money backing Portugal and Germany in the first two quarter-finals – but bookies are bound to recoup their losses from the remaining last-eight ties.
First up we have Spain v France and it's a tough one to call.
The Spanish deserve respect as world and European champions – but their only convincing win in Group C came against whipping boys Ireland and in general Vicente del Bosque’s men have lacked the X factor that took them to triumphs in Holland and South Africa.
David Villa does have that something special and his absence has taken has hit Spain hard.
However, you can’t write off a side containing players such as Andres Iniesta, David Silva and Xavi and although I’m sticking with Germany to win the tournament I reckon Spain will reach the semis.
It won’t be easy against a resolute France side but Laurent Blanc’s men have disappointed in two of three outings – against England and Sweden – so 17-20 at BetVictor on Spain to win in 90 minutes looks fair.
The French are big outsiders at 4-1 at Betfred with the draw 13-5 at Skybet. Karim Benzema is yet to break his duck but like Cristiano Ronaldo could he finally come good.
Spain have had three different opening scorers – Cesc Fabregas, Fernando Torres and Jesus Navas – so picking a possible opening marksman isn’t easy.
Torres is likely to lead the line again ahead of the likes of Fernando Llorente and Alvaro Negredo and he is 5-1 at bet365 to break the deadlock. Bet365 have rejuvenated Chelsea star Torres (13-5) to outscore Benzema.
Spain to win by one
Iniesta to score