STOP PRESS: Check comments section for chance to win £25 tonight and Gomez doesn't start.
Euro 2012 quarter-final, Gdansk, Friday, 7.45pm
GERMANY were my trophy tips from day one – and I'm not about to desert them now.
Joachim Low's side have looked as sweet as any, winning their three group games for the first time.
It's not been easy, however, with three one-goal wins in the Group of Death that claimed Holland as a victim.
Germans probably thought Greece would be debt free before they faced them in the Euros but I'm sure they won't take Fernando Santos's men for granted.
Greece are in the quarter-finals on merit thanks to their shock romp against Russia but I can't see them going one better in Gdansk tonight.
Last night we were all on Cristiano Ronaldo and one of the most popular bets tonight is likely to be Mario Gomez at 7-2 with BetVictor to bag the opener. But he's not starting is he!!!!!
The Golden Boot favourite netted Germany's first three goals of the tournament against Portugal and Holland before missing out against Denmark. He is 1-1 with Stan James to score at any time and 7-4 (various) favourite to win the Golden Boot.
I'm taking a punt on Bastian Schweinsteiger at 14-1 (various). The midfielder has been one of the players of the tournament so far but has yet to break his goal duck.
Greece don't score many – one in each of their group games – but don't concede loads either and are likely to deploy the same defensive tactics that took them all the way at Euro 2008 so it could take class act Gomez to make the breakthrough.
Russia had around 30 shots on goal but were beaten 1-0 so don't underestimate the Greeks' battling qualities.
Skipper Giorgios Karagounis's absence will be a blow while left-back Jose Holebas is also suspended so Santos will be forced to make changes to a back four already without the injured Avraam Papadopoulos.
So I'm backing the Germans, who haven't lost any of their eight meetings with Greece, to wear their opponents down and I can see a 2-0 victory that pays 6-1 at Ladbrokes. To win to nil Germany are 11-10 at Betfred.
Georgios Samaras hasn't threatened a goal yet but played a starring role in the defeat of Russia with his link-up play to the lone striker. The Celtic star, who has missed the target with all four of his attempts on goal, is 18-1 at unibet to break his duck with a goal.
Germany are 4-7 with William Hill on the race to two goals, a market Greece would need 180 minutes to bring up.
Germany to win to nil