Euro 2012, Group D, Friday, Kiev, 7.45pm

ENGLAND played better than most people expected against France and Roy Hodgson seems to be getting the most out of his squad.

As he always does, Hodgson has made his side hard to beat and one goal conceded in three games tells its own story.

After a 1-1 draw with France, it's a clash against the Swedes and this is one England can win if they keep Zlatan Ibrahimovic quiet.

A victory and a draw against Sweden and Ukraine should put England in the last eight – but what order will these results be achieved?

Sweden have a fabulous record against the English – never losing in seven competitive meetings – but rely heavily on Ibrahimovic who netter their goals in an opening 2-1 defeat to Ukraine.

Defence is Hodgson's strong suit so there is every chance the likes of John Terry and Joleon Lescott will keep the big man quiet.

Sweden scored in all of their qualifiers but his looks a low-scoring draw or a 1-0 England win – and I'm sticking my neck out and taking the latter.

The 1-0 pays 6-1 (various) while England are a biggest 23-20 at Paddy Power to pick up three points in Kiev.

Sweden are 3-1 at Stan James with Ibrahmovic 8-1 with Ladbrokes, William Hill and Paddy Power to break the deadlock.

Lescott was a surprise scorer in the opener but this time it could be set up for Ashley Young who is 11-1 at unibet to net. And I might have a little speculative bet on Terry to score at any time. He'll be looking to emulate Lescott and is 10-1 at sportingbet to net and 25-1 (Ladbrokes) to score first.

There is talk Andy Carroll might start and if this is case consider him to score first at 7-1 with Ladbrokes and Paddy Power and take advantage of possible weakness in the Swedish central defence. He is 5-2 at Paddy Power to net at any time.

Most games have seen both teams score and plenty of goals but on this I'm targeting under 2.25 at 19-20 with bet365.

I've had a bit of success on the first player to be booked market – notably Mario Balotelli against Spain – and the favourite tonight of course is tough-tackling Scott Parker at 8-1 (various).

However, it might be worth taking a chance on Olof Mellberg. The centre-half is 34 now and struggled against the Ukrainians. He is 14-1 at Ladbrokes to be shown the first card.

Tipping the opener in Ireland v Spain to be inside 27 minutes was buying money at 11-10 but this one could be a slow burner. Take time of first goal after 31 minutes at 21-20 with William Hill.

Recommendations

England
(23-20, Paddy Power)

Young to score first
(11-1, unibet)

First goal after 31 minutes
(21-20, William Hill)

Mellberg first card
(14-1, Ladbrokes)

110 Comments
  1. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Im intetested in ur terry bet. Just heard on talksport that 6 outta last 7 goals sweden conceded have been headers directly from set pieces. Terry or carroll have to be considered.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, England are decent in the air as Lescott showed. I think Terry’s worth a little gamble and Carroll definitely a decent bet if it’s confirmed he’s starting.

  2. Jonathan Grieve 8 years ago

    Exactly wot I had been thinking Joe. Carroll being tipped 2 start as well

  3. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul I’ve gone for Gerrard man of the match 15/2 with Victor Chandler and a wee side bet on fav Ibrahimovic at 6/1. What about your man Hart? He is a stand out price of 28/1 with Bet 365.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, I tend to look at keepers if I think they’re going to be particularly busy. For example, for Ireland to have got anything from Spain last night Shay Given would have had to be brilliant for starters. Not sure how much the Swedes will test Hart but it’s a decent price.

  4. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul Mellberg 14/1 @ Ladbrokes mate

  5. joe knotts 8 years ago

    From what i hear (again on talksport) wellbeck and carroll will start and young will be pushed left replacing oxlade-chamberlain. I think this means they will be more attacking but also looking to get balls in the box from wide areas. Dunno if this will suit young cutting in from the wing but not gonna be playing off a main striker so maybe not as favourable to score. Ive went benzema/ibrahimovic and benzema/carroll 1st goal dble with a single on terry ew.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, if Carroll starts might be worth a little punt on him as Sweden’s central defence looks vulnerable.

  6. Sways play today 8 years ago

    First goal after 31 minutes looks a really good bet to me I can’t see either team going gung ho from the start especially boring England .

  7. Marc Currie 8 years ago

    Taking France and England, singles and double. Both need to win after their opening draw coupled with Ukraine’s victory and crucially both possess more quality than their opponents.

  8. Badham 8 years ago

    Not alot of use are English are you haha?

  9. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    1-0 13/2 in Lads shop

  10. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Looks like another £50 goin on Carroll

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Looks like another £50 goin on Carroll

  11. Dave Black 8 years ago

    Can get a double at 5/8 with SkyBet on France to win or draw & England to win or draw.

    Can’t see either losing but could see a draw in England game. tempted to lump it on at that price.

  12. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    That’s quite good dave

  13. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Thats rubbish dave. Sweden have not lost to england in there last 7 games! 5to8 would have to put a lot on that to get a good return!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Alex, I’m not temped by that 5-8. England actually beat Sweden last time the sides but that was a Wembley friendly. They’ve won a competitive match against the Swedes and they have met seven times.

  14. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Yeah Alex just stick £800 on it mate. Lol, only joking ;-)

  15. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    The last time England won against Sweden was in 1903 at London Olympics????

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Probably, not counting friendlies.

  16. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Paul do you reckon Gerrard could have a chance of getting man of the match? I think I might just throw £50 on Carroll first goal at 7/1 with paddy power as they will refund if Gerrard scores at anytime

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, problem with MOM like first booking is that it’s quite unpredictable. At the end of the day Gerrard or anyone else could get it.

  17. Alex walker 8 years ago

    What i won last nite chris! No chance. Plus its england we are talking about here!

  18. Dave Black 8 years ago

    It’s not going to be a massive price given it’s covering 4 of 6 possible outcomes and those 4 outcomes are the most likely of the 6.

    It’s totally different sides from the last time they met so not so sure if the past record stands for much. Plus, the bet doesn’t need England to beat them to come in – just need them not to lose.

    Anyway, just thought it was a decent shout for those who shove on bigger stakes.

  19. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Dave i would keep my money till better odds come along! But if you have the money and you fancy the bet go for it mate! Good luck if you do!

  20. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Bets for tonight…

    France/England double

    Benzema 1st goal

    Carroll 1st goal

    Benzema/Carroll double

    England 1-0 France 2-1 correct scores!

    Good luck!

  21. Luke 8 years ago

    Another new account opened, and another £50 double on, England/France. With the free £50 bet likely to go straight on Russia/Poland double tomorrow!

  22. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Of course Dave I think it has a good chance of coming up. Thanks for sharing mate and good luck if you go with it.

  23. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    Will be around during the France game but taking the mrs for dinner later so will record the England game then watch it with a few beers when I return. Won’t be checking the website as I don’t want to know the score lol.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, that’s going to be a nervous 90 minutes.

  24. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    And what do you think about Nasri to score and France to win at 6/1?

  25. david paterson 8 years ago

    MSN front page,

    Roys rumoured to have tinkered with team but will it be enough to top Sweden
    A side who england have never beaten in a competitive match.

  26. David moore 8 years ago

    What’s a good site to match 1st bet Paul?

  27. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Carroll wellbeck up front

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, I’ve seen that. Reckon I’ll have a little wager on Carroll to score first.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, shows you the importance of seeing teams before having a bet. Last night we got on Torres when it was revealed he was starting and tonight Carroll. Two good lifts.

  28. George kelly 8 years ago

    Has anyone opened a 188bet account? They advertise a £50 matched bet offer but then in the small print something about having to email promotions or something,

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George, beware the curse of the small print.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George and everyone else, I have put £25 on Carroll to score first and £25 on Terry to score. If either bet comes up I’ll immediately put up a £25 inrunning prize on tonight’s game so stay tuned.

  29. George kelly 8 years ago

    Im interested! Come on Carroll!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George, there you go. Right, you might be playing on your own. So it’s £25 for the person who names the next player to be booked. If it’s a tie I’ll get an esteemed colleague to pick a winner at random.

  30. George kelly 8 years ago

    Fair play cracking goal, knew of he scored he’d have done it with a header! Great goal good shout people that backed him!

  31. Luke 8 years ago

    Cmon Paul, what’s this comp ;)

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Luke, it’s up.

  32. George kelly 8 years ago

    Mellberg for next card

  33. Luke 8 years ago

    Mellberg next booking

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Luke, can’t believe, it. Two guys playing and they pick the same player.

  34. Matt 8 years ago

    M.Olsson next booking.

  35. Kev 8 years ago

    Jonas olsen

  36. Dan Griffin 8 years ago

    Scott Parker

  37. Louis Kisielowski 8 years ago

    John Terry

  38. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Yes Carroll what a header…waiting on England for my double now

  39. James Coyle 8 years ago

    Cheers for the text tips Paul. I’m having a good night so far. I backed France heavily and have a good bit on England at 13/10. I also bet Carroll to score first upon receiving your text so thanks again.

  40. Luke 8 years ago

    Can I change mine quickly Paul!? If so, elm…

  41. David paterson 8 years ago

    Carroll booked next

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      David, thought u had it there.

  42. James Harvey 8 years ago

    Svensson

  43. lewis 8 years ago

    Paul, any suggestions for the in play market?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Lewis, with it only 1-0 it’s tough. Looks like there will be more goals though.

  44. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Im an idiot i never backed carroll paul!!!! Next player booked milner

  45. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Steven gerrard to be booked first

  46. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Paul im thinkin about the text tips. Whats in it thats not online and in paper?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, it’s simply a single at over evens sent out almost every day. We try to make it something that’s not tipped in the paper or on the site but not always possible. It’s only £1 a week which only covers our costs.

  47. craig alves 8 years ago

    elmander

  48. Chico Lemu 8 years ago

    Mellberg next player booked….

  49. lewis 8 years ago

    I was thinkin 2-0. Sweeden need to go for the win and may be exposed at back.

  50. george kelly 8 years ago

    guys a lot of people have predicteda 1-0 england win, its the bookies favourite too, and next goalscorer is by far ‘no goalscorer’ so if you agree and dont think theres gonna be another goal…. search for different market, like under 1.5 goals, under 0.5 in second half etc because bizarrely bookies have got different prices !

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George, I think there will be another goal. Sweden really have to go for it or they’re out. If they don’t get an equaliser I can see England hitting them on the break.

  51. george kelly 8 years ago

    so maybe under 2.5 or exactly 2 goals in 90 mins?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George, possibly. It’s a tough one to commit to. If Sweden score next and in the first 15 minutes or so I’m sure there will be another one. If they don’t get one quickly I’m wondering whether Hodgson will shut up shop.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      George, that’s why I was cautious. Should be at least one more because a draw suits no one. Looked a Johnson OG to me though.

  52. george kelly 8 years ago

    come on england claw one back!

  53. george kelly 8 years ago

    yeah see what you mean, ddnt take them long! all england now though can get them @ 2/1 might be worth some

  54. Tommo 8 years ago

    Parker

  55. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Sweden seem to have stopped the ball getting out wide so no crosses coming in. England dont seem to have plan b. Did milner just get booked?

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Joe, Milner was booked, need to see if anyone backed him.

  56. David paterson 8 years ago

    Shoulda had it paul haha, chances of mellberg scoring 2 in the 1 game.

  57. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Wow two for mellberg and big zlatan put hart in his place!!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      OK, Joe, You were the only guy to pick Milner so well done. Email your address to mrfixit@dailyrecord.co.uk and I’ll send you £25 at the end of the tournament. Or maybe more!

  58. David paterson 8 years ago

    Need big zlatan to score to be in with a chance at blueSQ comp.

  59. David paterson 8 years ago

    A checked paul dnt think any1 did

  60. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Think ul find a certain joe knotts picked him ;) milner always good for a card. Never mind anything els

  61. george kelly 8 years ago

    patriotic £20 on england to win @10/1

  62. joe knotts 8 years ago

    anything else its a great game to watch

  63. David paterson 8 years ago

    Gd call joe, didnt notice it was a wee sly one in at the end ur comment.

  64. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Sweeeeet :) Thanxalot paul!!

  65. David paterson 8 years ago

    Mellberg MOM

  66. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Cheers david :)

  67. joe knotts 8 years ago

    This is a brilliant game and i couldnt call it either way. And england and hodgson were gettin called boring!!

  68. David paterson 8 years ago

    Considerin zlatan for 5th goal 9/1

  69. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Hey david what price u think u wuda got for mellberg two goals ???

  70. Alex walker 8 years ago

    Best 2nd half of the tourney by far. Dont know wither to go for a 3-3 or a 4-2!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Alex, more likely to be 4-2 now but I think George is right and probably stay at 3-2.

  71. craig alves 8 years ago

    mellberg was 50/1 1st gl on lads coupon but he’s only been given 1, other went down as OG

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Craig, first was defo an own goal in my book but haven’t seen official confirmation of that. Shouldn’t affect any bets because he scored anyway and can’t see anyone having him to score two. Also booked second instead of first!

  72. george kelly 8 years ago

    i think its gonna stay how it is, no more goals

  73. David paterson 8 years ago

    If he got the 2 joe ad say abt 300/1 haha. Av stuck 5 on wilhelmsson next goal.

  74. Dave Black 8 years ago

    Stuck £80 on that double chance double I mentioned earlier. £50 profit. Happy days :-)

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Dave, well done, a profit’s a profit. Not a bad night in the end with England winning.

  75. Dave Black 8 years ago

    Won’t lie, I was keeking it when Sweden went 2-1 up. Never celebrated and England goal in my life until Walcott banged that one home.

    Biggest bet I’ve ever placed. Normally just £5/£10 max so chuffed to have made some money.

  76. joe knotts 8 years ago

    Few good winners again the night. Who got MOM ?

  77. george kelly 8 years ago

    happy days!

    £20 enhanced paddy power double of england and france winning @6/1 = £140 back

    £20 in play england to win when 2-1 down @ 10/1 = £220 back

    get in!

  78. craig alves 8 years ago

    walcott a hink, accordin to skysports ratings, swedish not up yet but walcott got 8, everyone else got 6 & 7’s

  79. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Carroll 1st goal and England/France double as I posted earlier.good wee lift in time for a wedding tomorrow! Lol

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Peter, good night, enjoy your wedding.

  80. Mr Chris Guy 8 years ago

    £385 on and £450 back so still profit. Disappointed with Benzema not scoring though.

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Chris, Benzema set up the first two but never really had a chance. If you’d been watching early on I reckon you’d have gone with Menez to score in-running. Keeper had a great save from Terry too and Mellberg was second booking instead of first. Great game though and hope you had a nice dinner, will get you some brownie points before tackling next week’s ops.

  81. Peter Brown 8 years ago

    Cheers Paul looking forward to tomorrows games more than the wedding lol! Hoping for some more profit!

    • Mr Fixit 8 years ago

      Peter, strongly fancy Russia and probably be on the Poles too.

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