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After a poor run it was nice to finally get a winner, with Beakstown winning nicely at Ayr at odds of 9/4 when tipped up at 4/1. Today's racing looks quality on both codes, so whatever you're into there is something for everyone. 

Ayr 1:15

I tipped up SEBASTOPOL when he was a faller at Kempton three runs ago, where he had the race at his mercy. He was then pulled up on his next start, over a trip which probably isn't ideal, and then won on his most recent start, winning in taking fashion, and producing a decent level of form at the same time.

There is a lot of talent with this horse, it's unfortunate that hasn't always gone to plan. He has bumped into a Class 1 level horse in Third Time Lucki, then fell, and now it looks like he is finally finding his feet. He has been raised 8lbs for his recent win, but that shouldn't be enough to stop his progress. This is a tougher race than what he competed in last time, but I think he has more to give, and is probably a horse who could reach the low 150s in the near future.

The runner-up of his most recent win has won since, and won in good fashion, winning a nice little race at Ascot, so the fact that the selection beat him by 6.5L and carrying 5lbs more than him proves he is a very good horse. The heavy weight he has to carry isn't ideal, but he proved lto that he can do that.

Ayr 2:25

The quick turnaround for WEST CORK isn't incredibly inspiring, but sometimes you've got to believe what the trainer says, and Dan Skelton seems to think he has him spot on for this. He gave a quote to The Racing Post: “He ran well at Cheltenham since when I've been surprised how happy I've been with him as I thought he might be a bit flat. I was only going to run him here if he was 100 per cent. It's hard to win two big handicaps in a year but I'm happy with him”. That is enough for me to think he is going to be fine for this, despite running at Cheltenham, and if he is anywhere near that form of that run, he is going to be right there at the finish.

Milkwood won this race last year, but is 8lbs higher this time around, which frankly makes him very easy to oppose in my opinion. He will be primed for this, but off top weight, giving a lot of weight away on the back of a 181 day absence, it's a tough ask. However, when he did win this race last year, he came straight from the County Hurdle, where he finished 3rd, which is the same route that West Cork is taking, apart from the fact he finished 4th. I think the form of that race at Cheltenham is up there for the best form line, and on the weights, he beats a lot of these on collateral form.

I think the main danger is Anna Bunina who finished 2nd in this race last year, and gets into this off a very low weight for a shrewd outfit of John McConnell. I might even play a forecast.

Ayr 3:00

This is a race where the official ratings don't really seem to matter, as a lot of them seem higher than what they probably should be. Do Your Job is the favourite, but I'm not convinced by his form, despite the fact his trainer seems very bullish. I tipped him up on chase debut at Warwick earlier in the season where he was fortunate to get the win, with Edwardstone being brought down by For Pleasure, and even then he struggled to brush aside a now 126 rated chaser. Since then he has been runner-up to Edwardstone and Third Time Lucki, beaten easily on both occasions, before winning at Newcastle last time out, which in fairness was a good effort, but that was a handicap and this is off level weights.

I'm giving a chance to Il Ridoto, who will appreciate the return to a sounder surface. He was getting the 4yo allowances when he won in November at Newbury, but the form has worked out well since. The 2nd and 3rd have both won since, and the fourth was in the midst of running a big race before nearly falling at the last. Since then, this horse has been racing on soft ground, where he ran well to finish 4.25L behind War Lord, who finished 4th in the Arkle, and has already beaten Minella Drama who races in this today. This step up in trip looks like it could suit based on his Newbury run where he ran on strongly.

For the rest of the field, Minella Drama is the class horse in the race on form. He is a Graded horse, but has been found wanting on a couple of occasions when he's raced against some decent opposition. He carries a penalty, and his jumping can be sketchy. Kiltealy Briggs doesn't look good enough to win this in my opinion (knowing my luck, he'll hose up now I've said that), and Jacamar is a dark horse for this. I'm a big fan of his, but his jumping can also let him down, he has ability, but everything has to click for him to win.

Ayr 3:35

This race has 23 runners, so I won't be delving too deep into it, other than my selections in the race.

KITTY'S LIGHT is the favorite for this, which I'm surprised, but not surprised at the same time. I thought I'd get a little bigger odds than the 6/1 floating around, but it doesn't surprise me that punters have latched onto the same thought process as me. I think he ran an absolute blinder to finish 2nd to Cap Du Nord at Kempton in the Coral Trophy. He was giving away 16lbs that day to the winner, but stuck on very strongly, after being finessed into the race by Brian Hughes. He doesn't really have the gears to win a race like that over 3m at a speed track like Kempton, and has always looked like a true stayer, who would relish today's kind of trip. She would've won at Sandown last year over 3m 5f in the bet365 Gold Cup, if it wasn't for Enrilo, who hung violently and bumped Kitty's Light all over the place, which lost all of her momentum. He powered up the Sandown hill that day, and with an extra 3f to run over today, I can't see how he won't stay, and on ground which he really enjoys.

I'll also being a small EW bet on COOL MIX, who ran a blinder to finish 5th in this race last year. He is now a 10yo, but has still been running well this year, and it's quite apparent he needs a true test of stamina, which he hasn't had so far. He finished runner-up at Musselburgh last time out over 2m 6f, which would have been a stepping stone for this race. Alan Doyle takes off a very handy 7lbs, and for one of the horses at the bottom of the weights, he needs to be respected.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ayr
12:00 Yarmouth - Race: 1
Distance: 7f 3y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Commandment
321-

9
Mumcat
282-413

1
Euraquilo
3317-6

3
Meydan Rose
6133-

8
Fourshadesofsilver
80492-

4
Op It
6825

5
Warhol
583-95

6
Atomise
461-65

7
Rocket Yogi
60-5

10
Ideal Guest
550-765

11
Lelabad
8600-

12:10 Haydock - Race: 1
Distance: 1m 2f 42y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Commandment
321-

9
Mumcat
282-413

1
Euraquilo
3317-6

3
Meydan Rose
6133-

8
Fourshadesofsilver
80492-

4
Op It
6825

5
Warhol
583-95

6
Atomise
461-65

7
Rocket Yogi
60-5

10
Ideal Guest
550-765

11
Lelabad
8600-

12:20 Ripon - Race: 1
Distance: 6f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Foretell

1
Lady Bullet
1

2
The Twilight Lady
510

4
Family Ties
54

7
Lady Lavina

8
Mazyuna

9
Pedro And The Bear

6
Fortuitous Star

10
Tollerton Forest

11
Varden Kite
6

3
Ey Up Lets Go
9

30 Comments
  1. edgeman 2 months ago

    Better getalong 14/1 EW 4.45 Ayr.
    Not a a strong fancy by any stretch, but with pp offering 4 places, I will have a small EW. Gl 👍

    • edgeman 2 months ago

      This came 3rd at 16/1 so I logged on to my pp account expecting nice juicy profit, only to find there a 45p to the pound deduction for a rule 4. FFS! 😠

  2. recoba 2 months ago

    Mung ‘Stateside’ but got Mo Connelly at 6/4 and Beverley Park available at 4/5 Paddy Power?

    All in in on my little pony rest of the weekends pi$$ ;)

  3. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Scottish champion hurdle
    2-25 ayr
    Socialist agenda 12-1 ew 4 places SKYBET.

    1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Scottish grand national
      3-35 Ayr
      Ask a honey bee
      33-1 ew 7 places bet365
      16-1 bet365 ew extra 10 places

      1
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Hunters call 4-10 Ayr 6-1 ew BETFRED paying 3 places in this 6 runner race.

      2 of these ran yesterday so not backing yet in case they are withdrawn.

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      LONGSHOT
      Pammi 4-45 Ayr
      33-1 ew extra 5 places
      18-1 ew extra 7 places.
      Best form is at Perth, 3 wins there last year
      Cant drop any further in the weights, all wins have come on soft or better ground.
      Still only 7 so maybe not quite time for the knackers yard yet 😂

      Floating rock was last year’s winner off 11-8 and runs off similar mark with the claimer and at 6-1 should be thereabouts as he seems a consistent sort

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Just 4 in hunters call race now but still some ew to be had.
      Hunters call 4-20 Ayr
      7-5 top 2 finish BETFRED.
      5-1 win bet365.

  4. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    2:25 Ayr- Anna Bunina – 5/1

    3:45 Leopardstown- duke de sessa 5/1

    4:20 Leopardstown – enthralment 4/1

    3:27 Chepstow- ballinsker – 2/1

    4:02 Chepstow- balkardy 10/3

    Best of luck ! Prob another Saturday wash out 😂

    3
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Also 3:35 Ayr – history of fashion 20/1 e/w many places available

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Not to bad as far as Saturdays usually go ! 2 winners 2 placings and the rest down the pan 😂

  5. Deb2000 2 months ago

    Excellent day at Ayr yesterday bookies took a hammering with 7 Favs out of 7 winning 💰💰💰.
    Not sure am looking forward to today so much it’s just usually far to busy but quality racing.
    1 thing am pretty sure about if Gordon Elliott runs Platinumcard again he will win a hands and heels race will be perfect for this horse as he was nursed round yesterday with plenty left in the tank.
    GL fokes have a great Saturday 👍

    3
    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Favourites went through the card earlier in the week too.
      Must be the better ground ??

  6. danTHEman 2 months ago

    I got no place along you felles with tips of any nature but I did a ew lucky 15 today
    Voix du reve 14.25 Ayr
    Win my wings 15.35 Ayr
    Rainyday woman 13.35 newbury
    Bremeo 14.10 newbury
    Good luck boys

    6
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Nice couple of winners there 👍

      1
    • danTHEman 2 months ago

      Thanks big dazz , means alot 👍 if I csn contribute to peoples Banks just some I’d be happy

      1
  7. lossie jim 2 months ago

    I have a sneaky feeling about Il Ridito in the 3.00 at Ayr, was quietly fancied at Cheltenham and then the monsoon arrived and scuppered any chance the horse had.

  8. lossie jim 2 months ago

    Also T Scudamore at Ayr for one ride, Via Dolorosa in the Scottish national for D Pipe.

  9. gaz1105 2 months ago

    Scottish national

    The ferry master each way at 12/1

    Good luck all

    1
  10. recoba 2 months ago

    Sebastopol…1.15. 9/4 (money back if 2nd or 3rd Skybet)
    Dusart..1.50. 2/1
    Exsistent…3.40. 11/10

    Was looking to back The Revenant in France 3.25 but wasn’t sure at 11/10.
    ATRs French tipster,Láurent suggests a double with Agave in the 1.33 and Skybet have it boosted to 11/4 so few francs on that.

    I’ll have a few pounds sterling on The Wolf for Scottish National at 16/1.

    GL all today

    1
  11. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Wally 3-25 San cloud 🇫🇷
    10-1 ew extra 3 places
    13-2 ew extra 4 places

    Drifting like a barge 12-1 so right now.
    Not sure why, won this last year beating 2 of these in duhail and the revenant.
    The revenant is 7 pound better off this year and has had a run and will most likely win.

    Wally ran poorly at odds on when last seen bit maybe that was one race too many last season.
    Has won 1st time out last 2 seasons.

  12. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Anna Bunina 💰

    6
  13. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    History of fashin03.35

  14. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Wolverhampton

    Surely northern at Lingfield next ? 3/1

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Or not haha 😂

  15. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    One for tomorrow

    2:37 cork – mercurial- 12/1 e/w

  16. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    Cashel 6.30 ew

  17. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    7:00 Wolverhampton- red how 33/1 e/w 😀

  18. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    On a serious note

    Race 9 Tampa bay downs – dougie d ‘oro 10/3

    Going to slap all today’s winnings on that bad boy 💰

    1
    • danTHEman 2 months ago

      Il follow u on that one 🤞

      1

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