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I was very confident about a big run by Rock of Star, so seeing him booked for third place before he unseated Jamie Moore was a tad disappointing.
A 50/1 winner shocked the entire race, given a good ride by the apprentice who led from start to finish. The horse was making his chase debut after 700+ days off the track and having some terrible form for a trainer who hadn't had a winner since 2006! congratulations to connections on winning, but I wouldn't have backed him to win if you gave me a week to study the race.
Catterick 3:10
When studying a race the stable form is important, as you don't really want to back a horse who runs for a stable who isn't having any winners. I'm normally the same with that but with MUSE OF FIRE I think it's different.
I am a fan of Gary Hanmer and what he does with his small string of horses in his Wales base is very good. His recent form would normally be a concern but if you look at the odds of the horses he's been running, you'd have to say that they weren't meant to be winning. In the last 14 days he's had horses running off at 33/1, 40/1, 22/1, 28/1 and 16/1, so not getting a winner isn't surprising. The difference with today's horse is that he comes here with a very strong chance, and the odds suggest that as well.
Considering he is 0/7 over fences it was a big switch in form when running at Warwick on stable debut at the back end of December. He travelled with plenty of zest and looked like a big danger to the winner until he probably got a bit tired from his early exertions and the lack of fitness having not run for 365 days. It looked like whatever Gary had done with him in training had worked as he showed very little when trained by John Groucott and I was especially impressed with his jumping. Warwick is a great test of a horse's jumping ability and they have some fairly steep fences, and he jumped them like a stag, even when getting in close to a few.
The form of that race has worked out nicely with the winner going on to win in good fashion again recording an RPR of 118, which was 16 lbs ahead of his handicapping mark.
With how well he travelled into the race last time I'm hoping they go a good gallop, which is likely with Moore Clouds seemingly only knowing one way of racing, and with Snowy Clouds liking to run from the front as well.
In December 2020 we sadly 
Wee Ew play on …
Penn National -R2…Miami Mumbles 10/1 and combo Tricast 1-5-7.
R4….Dixie Cannonball 4/1(***)
R5…San Atone 3/1.
Oops
R2 ⬆️ is NO:7 Crush it for win trixie purposes less you want to brave the 10/1 in a Trixie?
Ffs that combo Tricast was 2-5-7 using 2 as favourite,stupid fat thumbs! 🤦
Crush it wins ant 2/1 on drift and Miami Mumbles 3rd! 🥉
Delta Downs -R5…Valerie Louise 20/1 Ew Skybet
Ran a speed figure matching close to anything here a year ago and better 18 months ago.
Tanked last August and in another so been away/freshened up and zero track work?
Taking a chance she can bounce back at price with 3 places for 8 runners
I haven’t been this excited about Friday since last Friday.
1:50 Lingfield – Chronograph 11/10
3:40 Catterick – Betty Baloo 4/1
5:00 Dundalk – Lauroline 5/2
5:40 Newcastle – Mint Edition 5/4
6:00 Dundalk – Doctor Grace 9/4
6:30 Dundalk – Dancing Tango 11/4
“Let’s rock!” 🤟
Betty Baloo is it you? Yeah, Yeah Yeah! 🏆
Mint Edition 🏆 Doctor Grace 🏆
Ascot Brass 3.45 Meydan @ 66s ew top 4
GL
Fourth
Thanks Pete
👍
👍
Hi All
Hope your all keeping well. Unfortunately I am not as I’ve been fighting Cancer for a while now but am slowly beating it. But the daily visits to the Hospital for treatment really takes it out of you so hence why I’ve only been on occasionally and not really contributing. I just don’t have a chance to look at cards on a daily basis so just look forward to the big meetings as I can look at them over a longer period.
As I said though I AM beating it so enough about me and onto the Dublin Racing Festival which on paper looks to be the best for a very long time if not ever and I can’t wait for it to start.
1.20
There isn’t a single horse in the field that doesn’t have a chance. At 33/1 Cool Survivor’s only defeat was to the current AB fav Hiddenvalley Lake so that just shows you the depth within the race.
It’s great to see NTD (I’ll be using initials quite a bit as it’s so much easier) sending one over from the UK and must have a chance with the horse he beat lto winning last week at Cheltenham.
WM has been bullish about QDP although he fell over the line in his first start and wasn’t very impressive. However from an opening price of 10/1 he is now best priced 5’s and that’s usually significant when it comes to a WM horse.
Current fav Good Land looked impressive when winning lto and is the only horse in the field that is Ballymore bound. Jockey Michael O Sullivan takes 5lbs off (I’ll be mentioning him later too) and is already a grade 1 winning jockey so is value for his 5lbs. That will certainly help his chances.
The likes of AM and GW have it to prove after disappointing runs lto but clearly have the talent and SC for Nolan won as he liked over Christmas and must also come into the mix.
All in all a fascinating race which should give punters some clarity with regards to the ballymore and Bartlett at the festival.
I’ve not backed anything but I HAVE taken 16/1 ew NRNB on QDP with b365. If he wins he probably goes fav for the AB. Loses narrowly he still probably goes a single figure price, and loses badly probably doesn’t run so no harm done.
I’ll be back with the rest of Day 1 shortly
get well soon dc
I will azz cheers
Bro get well soon 🙌🏾👍🏾
DC Just come on to say get well soon and best wishes
Talk about it much as you feel DC,wishing for your health mate!
Cheers guys, many thanks 👍
Get well soon DC
👍
1.55
I can’t see this being much of a problem for Lossiemouth but at 4/11 is also not a betting option.
But this race can be a good pointer to the Boodles and it would be worth having a close eye on how some of the others are ridden as they won’t want to damage their marks for the festival.
2.30 The Irish Arkle
Has to be the best Irish arkle field ever and fair play to WM for throwing them all in against each other. He could have easily done it at home but is allowing the public to see it for themselves.
I think AI is the most likely winner but he could end up in the Turners come March we just don’t know. Patrick Mullins came out yesterday and said Appreciate It is definitely the No1 but we’ve heard things like that before.
DD will have the best front running jockey there is in Danny Mullins but I couldn’t back him as he’s a bit of a nutter and has only had the one chase start. Likewise El Fab and he jumped too slowly for me. Banbridge will have his ground and up to now his jumping has been excellent however I think he’s better over further but is not out of it. Saint Roi will be ridden out the back and could pick up a place if the race breaks up and the rest are up against it.
Get well soon bud 👍👍
Cheers mate 👍
1.50 Barfolomew (e/w)
3.05 The Irish Gold Cup
Disappointing turnout but I’m glad to see Statler in the field and think he will at least make it a test for GDC.
However baring accidents GDC should have too much for this field and win easily enough.
Will probably go 11/10 though or something crazy like that for Cheltenham after the race.
Never known a year like it for AP. The bookies are giving nothing away this year.
3.40
The first of the h’caps and as usual a minefield.
There are 2 horses though that I think are worth chancing at ew prices.
Sam’s Choice 8/1 ew 5 places
Won lto over 20f lto but I think he’s been crying out for this sort of trip and I can’t see him being far away.
Freedom to Dream 20/1 ew 5 places
Bit of a forgotten horse as he’s been campaigned over fences for his first 2 starts which didn’t go to plan but is back over hurdles today off a mark of 126 when you take the jockeys claim into account, and yes that jockey is Michael O Sullivan who I mentioned earlier. This horse was 4th to Banbridge in the MP last year off 134. If he takes to the extra distance 20/1 could be big.
The 2 horses I’ve mentioned previously met over 21f with FTD coming out on top by 1/2L giving 3lbs and is giving the same amount of weight again for this race.
Grozni for Charles Byrnes could be a danger but he’s gone up 12lbs for winning a class 4 in Leicester but Byrnes has an excellent 50% (4-8) strike rate at the track with hurdlers so can’t be discounted.
I’m surprised Maxxum is running. He got a UK mark of 145 and thought he’d have been put away until the festival. If he wins here it will surely make life difficult for him in the Pertemps final as he’ll be raised further.
astroman 1.10 ew
buckhorn rocco 1.30
balinsker 2.00 ew well done all winners yesterday
4.10
A few stats that will help in the Chase h’caps
No horse has ever won a chase h’cap at the DRF after winning LTO
No horse aged 9 or older has ever won a H’cap chase at DRF
No horse rated over 142 has ever won
No topweight has ever won a h’cap chase at the DRF
Having said that I’ve backed A Wave of the Sea to win this race for the 3rd time in a row and his 4th win at the DRF. Yes he’s topweight but technically if you take the jockeys allowance into account he’s not. The main danger could come from Grange Walk who was 2nd last year beaten 1 1/2L but is 3lbs better off. But I think this has been AWOTS’s plan all year.
zestful 2.40 ew
Heezer geezer 2-30 Chepstow 11-8 NAP 🏇
GET WELL SOON DC 🇮🇪👍
Cheers elvis
Lucy lightfoot 2.20l 50-1 ☘️☘️gl all
Afternoon all
Sisterandbrother 3.20l 15-2
Oxygen thief 3.50l 13-2
Armourie 4.30n 16-1
Biplane 5.05n 8-1
Evening verse 5.30d 9-1
Mutabaahy 7.15n 10-1
Elisheva 7.45n 9-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️gl all
Khabesa 7-30 deauville 7-2 bet365 🇫🇷
This is a dreadful race, this isn’t one of Andre fabre’s stars as you can guess but if he can’t win this I doubt if Mr Fabre will be keeping hold of this horse
🇬🇧/ 🇦🇪
Nice day today well done the winners! 👌
🇺🇸
Wee Dettori back at Santa Anita and won in his only ride last night at Aquaduct.
Only one 2 on my tracker at Laurel Park and early Gulfstream that’s a n R4 so I’ve bunged them in a 75p Trixie
Rest are best I see and I’m going with Dettori at Santa Anita for what’s a good nights racing before better ‘Stateside’ tomorrow night 👌
Canadian
Tampa Bay -R6…Katie’s A Lady. EVS
Gulfstream -R6…Tape To Tape EVS
R8…Prideofditinctiom. 6/1
R9 …Beauty Destiny. 9/4
Santa Anita R6..Ballet Dancing 11/8 (Dettori here and go 3-4-8 Trifecta)
75p trixie with first 2 from notes.
Gulfstream -R2..Rain. 5/4
Laurel Park -R2..Musical Cat. 7/2
R3..Red Queens 11/4
GL all
Yikes! I idn’t notice the time.
Bit close to off Gulfstream R2 maybe 10 mins and Rain 5/6 now but okay for Trixie purposes I suppose.
DC great write ups above 👍 🇮🇪
Race 3 laurel park – lady Jean 5/1
Bowerman 6.30 ew well done all winners today
Thx azz ££££😉
no problem getinthere cheers
sir benedict 6.45 ew
7:15 Newcastle- turbo command 12/1 e/w
Go on pj ! Haha
7:30 Dundalk- milly updahilly 20/1 e/w
Betty Baloo 🏆 Mint Edition 🏆 Doctor Grace 🏆
Have a great weekend guys & Get well soon DC 💪
8:26 club hipico – Lou reed 3/1
Typical ! Gets beaten by a 22/1 shot haha 😂