IT’S a huge night at Hampden with Scotland’s Euro 2016 future up in the air.
Defeat will see Gordon Strachan’s side eliminated, a draw could keep hopes of a play-off alive and a victory will put them in pole position for third place unless Ireland beat Germany.
There are a lot of permutations but really Scotland have to go for the win in case the Irish shock the world champions in Dublin.
If it wasn’t for one man I’d be confident about Scotland picking up the points. But the build-up to a titanic Euro 2016 qualifier has been dominated by the form of Robert Lewandowski.
Stop the Bayern Munich star and the Scots could be on the way to France via the play-offs. But if the Polish hitman is given the sort of service he gets from his German team-mates we’ll be out before the flight to Faro.
Scotland remain 2-7 with William Hill to finish fourth and 9-4 to take the play-off spot.
Strachan’s side’s defeat in Georgia means they can’t afford to lose and I don’t think we will.
I’m not sure if I can tip the home win at 19-10 with McBookie but Scotland are 8-15 with Coral on the double chance.
Poland will have backers at 17-10 with McBookie and bet365 but that’s almost solely due to Lewandowski who has hit 12 goals in four games for Bayern including that famous five against Wolfsburg in nine minutes.
It’s worth remembering the Poles have won only four of their last 14 away and were held 2-2 by Scotland in Warsaw.
Lewandowski is 5-1 at Coral to score first and 6-4 with McBookie to net and there’s no doubt they’ll be the most popular punts of the night.
McBookie offer the Bayern star at 1-2 not to score but the Tartan Army prefer him to net two or more at 8-1 with McBookie or even 33-1 for a hat-trick.
William Hill offer Lewandowski 4-1 to score more than Scotland (8-11) with the draw 7-4.
Best bet of the night could be both teams to score at 1-1 with Coral from 21-20. Scotland sold a couple against Germany last time out but replied with a double in a 3-2 and of course the sides drew 2-2 in Warsaw.
I read today Scotland have netted in 34 of their last 35 European home qualifiers which is some stat.
Steven Fletcher is favourite to start on his own up front and is 7-1 at bet365 to score first. But Strachan may spring a surprise and thrown in Celtic striker Leigh Griffiths who is also 7-1 at bet365.
Scotland will of course have on eye on Dublin where they want a Germany win and that pays 8-15 at Betfred. Back Lewandowski’s mate Thomas Muller to score first at 17-4 with 888sport.
Scotland v Poland btts
Lewandowski to score
Muller (Germany) to score first