IT looks like one in, one out and one don’t know as far Scotland in the Europa League are concerned.
Aberdeen are home and hosed after beating Ventspils 3-0, Hibs up against after losing at home to Brondby and Hearts favourites as they held Birkirkara 0-0 away.
Let’s start with the Jambos who are 4-9 at William Hill to beat the Maltese and it seems a fair price. We know Birkirkara are a low-scoring side but tough to break down so if Robbie Neilson’s men net first they should go through and they’re 3-0 at Paddy Power to do so.
Neilson will be keen to keep it tight and I can see a 1-0 or 2-0 home success. To win to nil Hearts are 5-4 at sportingbet.
Hibs matched Brondby all the way bar the first 16 seconds which saw the Danes take advantage of a goalkeeping howler by Otso Virtanen.
Boss Neil Lennon was sent off for protesting a Jason Cummings effort that shouldn’t have been disallowed and will be in the stands tonight.
Brondby aren’t great Danes but are unbeaten in 11 while Hibs have lost five out if five in the Europa League. Lennon’s men are therefore priced high at 15-2 with 888sport to win and the same price to qualify at Paddy Power.
I wouldn’t write them off completely and like Hearts they have to score first. With Brondby a biggest 2-5 at McBookie to win the value bet could be both teams to score.
Hibs need a goal and will push for one and it pays a tempting 13-10 at Paddy Power.
Aberdeen are through barring a major collapse and while they are 10-11 with William Hill to win again I don’t like backing sides with a 3-0 lead.
Derek McInnes will be happy to keep it tight and the best I like most is under 2.5 goals at 1-1 with William Hill.
Irish and Welsh sides have performed pretty well in Europe this season and last night Dundalk made progress to the next round of the Champions League qualifiers.
Connah’s Quay surprised Stabaek in the last round and held Vojvodina 1-0 away last week despite being battered but this looks an away at 4-9 with Ladbrokes.
Cork did well to hold Hacken 1-1 away and are 17-10 with Skybet to win at home. They’ve got a chance and both to score looks on here.
Another Irish side St Patrick’s shocked Dinamo Minsk by holding them 1-1 away but it will be tough to complete the job against an experienced outfit. Dinamo are 5-6 at Betfred.
Cliftonville threw away a two-goal lead at home to AEK Larnaca to lose 3-2 and with the Cyprus side being just 1-5 at Ladbrokes maybe over 2.5 goals could be the call here.
Bets to Consider
Brondby v Hibs btts (7pm)
Hearts to win to nil (8pm)
Ventspils v Aberdeen under 2.5 goals (4pm)
Cork v Hacken btts
AEK Larnaca v Cliftonville over 2.5 goals
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