WE remain in Texas this week for the Shell Houston Open and after local man Jimmy Walker won in the Lone Star State last time out maybe we should use the same criteria.
Apart from last week’s winner we have Jordan Spieth, Patrick Reed and Shawn Stefani all taking part in their home state and any of them are capable of taking the top prize.
Spieth again looks to be hot favourite to win this but my money is going on Reed. He has made 16 consecutive cuts and is second in scrambling from the rough and 13th in adjusted scoring. His driving accuracy isn’t the best but GIR is nearly 67%, he is ranked 11th in strokes gained putting and seventh on overall putting average.
Patrick is having a good season and having one once already is fourth in the FedEx Cup standings. Due to win again soon.
I really don’t know why I’m doing this but I’m picking “The Kooch” again. He has let me down so often but I still come back for more. He lost the play-off here last year and had two T8 finishes in 2010 and 2011 so must like the course. He is T14 in scrambling from the rough and that will probably come in handy on this course.
My next pick is certainly not a local, in fact he’s not even an American but another favourite of mine, Paul Casey. Although he missed the cut at the Arnold Palmer he had a second and a T3 in the Northern Trust and The Honda Classic.
He has only won one tournament on the PGA Tour, that was in 2009, and then he had a few years in the doldrums before fighting back with some good results last year. He is 38th on the FedEx Cup standings this year and I’m backing him for a place.
JB Holmes is 16th in the FedEx Cup standings after a steady start to the season which includes two second places. He is ninth in putting average, ninth strokes gained tee to green and is fifth in birdie average. Well worth a shout.
Patrick Reed 2pts ew (18-1, 888sport, Ladbrokes)
Matt Kuchar 1.5pts ew (18-1, 888sport)
Paul Casey 1pt ew (50-1, bet365)
JB Holmes 1pt ew (28-1, BetVictor)