MOST English teams will play their second game in three days on Sunday and that makes picking winners fraught with danger.
No one should go daft with stakes or big accumulators because the only certainty is there will be some surprise results.
Clubs with bigger than average squads should do best so the likes of Man City boss Manuel Pellegrini and Chelsea gaffer Jose Mourinho should cope.
Having been written off a couple of weeks ago City have bounced back into the race with a series of wins and should get it all of their own way against Burnley.
The champions blew away West Brom with no strikers and are a biggest 1-6 with the likes of bet365 and William Hill and that will tempt big hitters only.
Steven Jovetic is set to return up front and a better bet could be City to win to nil at 5-6 with Paddy Power against a side without a goal in five out of seven on the road. Pellegrini’s men have dealt fine without the likes of Sergio Aguero up front and Yaya Toure has netted in his last three home outings as well as at the Hawthorns. He is 1-1 at Paddy Power to score.
Chelsea face a tougher task at Southampton but at least Mourinho has one up on rival boss Ronald Koeman who hasn’t experienced this type of double holiday header.
Saints’ run of defeats is over but I can’t see them troubling a Blues side who impressed with the way they dismissed the challenge of Stoke then West Ham.
Three Premier League games in seven days is a huge test but Mourinho knows the importance of this spell and I’ll be on Chelsea at 5-6 with William Hill. Cesc Fabregas scored the clincher at Stoke and is 7-2 at McBookie to net.
Biggest game tomorrow is Spurs v Man United and it’s one that usually produces goals – with both scoring in four of the last five at White Hart Lane. United’s winning run was ended at Aston Villa and although they bounced back to beat Newcastle with ease the best I can see here is a score draw for Louis van Gaal’s men and that pays 7-2 at McBookie.
West Ham look massive at 13-5 with bet365 to beat Arsenal at home but the derby comes on the back of that defeat at Chelsea. The Hammers have been the team of the season and could rumble up the Gunners as Stoke did.
Arsenal have a fine record at Upton Park but this is the best West Ham have been for years and I’m on them draw no bet at 17-11 with 888sport against a side who will be missing the banned Olivier Giroud.
QPR were unlucky to lose to the Gunners after Giroud saw red but should have better luck at home to Crystal Palace. The Eagles sacked Neil Warnock after Friday’s beating by Southampton and although managerless sides are always a threat I’ll be on Rangers who have still won all 17 of their points at Loftus Road.
They are a best 7-5 at bet365 and BetVictor and what about Charlie Austin at 5-1 with Paddy Power to break the deadlock. Austin hit a hat-trick in his side’s previous home game against West Brom and followed up with a consolation from the spot at the Emirates.
Aston Villa were unlucky not to take something from Swansea while Sunderland were losing at home to Hull.
The sides meet at Villa Park and apart from looking like a low scorer it’s a tough match to call. Villa may just have the edge but if they’re to win it’s a likely a goal will come from Christian Benteke so take the Belgian at 17-10 with BetVictor to score at any time.
I’m struggling to call the other three games – Hull v Leicester, Newcastle v Everton and Stoke v West Brom so will leave them alone for the moment.
In the Championship Norwich look best bets at Reading at 5-4 with McBookie and BetVictor and in League One MK Dons at home to Walsall and Doncaster at Peterborough are two of the teams I want to be on. I also like Swindon at home to a Port Vale side they’ve netted 10 against in the last two playings of this fixture.
The League Two card is tricky but Luton at home to Portsmouth and Hartlepool at home to Morecambe could be worth backing.
(11-10, BetVictor, McBookie)
West Ham draw no bet
(7-5, bet365, BetVictor)
Benteke to score
(17-10, BetVictor, McBookie)
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