THERE’S darts action this afternoon in the Unibet European Championships from Belgium and @lockuptipster has previewed the quarter final ties between John Henderson and Peter Wright, and Michael van Gerwen and Dave Chisnall.
@lockuptipster is aiming to maintain his amazing tipping from the Grand Prix last month so get on his bets and tune in to ITV4 when the action kicks-off at 12.45pm.
Henderson Vs Wright
Head to head: Played four times and tie 2-2
Henderson has saved his best darts for the European stage knocking out in form Robert Thornton in round one with a near 97 average and four maximums.
Henderson then faced off against Rowby-John Rodriguez, and made the game a lot easier as the big stage affected the pint-sized Austrian. Goliath beat David in the battle of Big John and little John 10-2. Henderson finished 126 for the opening leg and landed two 180s in the next three as he took a 4-0 lead before double 18 saw Rodriguez win his first leg of the contest.
John was looking good and will be up against it versus Wright who was made to work hard versus Kim Huybrechts in a 10-8 victory, where there were fifteen maximums in the match, with Wright landing a 102.93 average, six maximums and a 120 finish.
Wright is the heavy favourite as you would expect on ranking and is no bigger than 7/20 with 888sport with the Highlander out at 3/1 with some major firms. With the best of 19 format, only Coral have the total legs line set at 15.5 with others in at 16.5 with 8/11 on over and 11/10 under.
Darting firm BetVictor price 16.5 as 8/11 under and 11/10 over with Hills offering 5/6 on the checkout line set at 128.50, which is a BIG line especially at 5/6. The value could well be on the individual checkout line, as both players have demonstrated this weekend. On the maximum line Wright is 11/10 with 32 red to outscore Henderson and I like this, as the highlander has a rocking rhythm.
On the 180 count on my database, Henderson does average a shade more maximums than Wright, although the legs sample on Henderson is considerably less, so not a true sample. On the competition itself Wright has 10 maximums to Henderson’s 7 and with both styles of play, the way to play this could be on the draw no bet market for Wright.
The other play in this and stronger in my opinion is Henderson on a match checkout market. Henderson leaves his best darts for the European Tour and being the finals has now entered the top world 32. Henderson to pocket a 101 or better checkout is reasonable at 5/6 with Betfred and Totesport.
Michael van Gerwen Vs Dave Chisnall
Head to head: Michael leads the head to head 19-8 with one draw at the Premier League.
Dave Chisnall played a fast paced game to beat good friend Stephen Bunting 10-6. Dave Chisnall landing ten maximums and averaging almost 104 in a high-quality contest, which saw Bunting reply with seven 180s of his own.
The tone for the match was set in the opening leg as both players landed maximums, with Chisnall leading only to then fall 3-1 down as Bunting posted an 11-darter in taking control.
Chisnall then replied with a 12-darter and a 117 check out in a run of four straight legs as he moved 5-3 up and into a lead he would never relinquish. Bunting replied with a 14-darter and a 142 checkout as he won three of the next five legs. Bunting left too much work to do and the big turning point was Chisnall going 8-6, which featured two 180s and in a sense was game over.
Michael van Gerwen brushed aside Cristo Reyes in round two with a 10-3 win pocketing five maximums and a 106.81 average. Gerwen was rarely troubled in his win, which saw Cristo put up a credible fight on his eighth appearance on TV with a mid-91 average. With MVG posting a 100.37 average in round one, apart from an early scare from De-Zwann in his opener has not been tested extensively but will have it all to do against Chisnall.
Chisnall has won the last two meetings on the pro tour, but lost at European Tour event the European Matchplay, the European darts Trophy a week before that and the Dutch masters. In fact in front of any TV screen Chisnall last beat Gerwen at the World Grand Prix, which Chisnall went on to be runner up in.
The pair met at this stage of the competition a year ago where Chisnall lost this 10-5 to eventual winner van Gerwen.
MVG is best 1/3 with Coral to beat Chisnall 7/2 with William Hill, so some minor difference of opinion here with Coral attempting to attract money for MVG whereas Hills are looking to attract money for Chisnall.
The most 180’s market is about right with Chisnall 10/11, MVG 11/8 and the tie at 11/2. Now the 11/2 does look BIG with Coral although Chisnall has netted twice the maximums MVG has 16-8 favouring Dave!. Dave is averaging 0.3538 maximums per leg with 0.3489, so the count is very close, hence the pricing from the independent database of TV maximums.
J Henderson – over 100.50 checkout 5/6 Betfred
D Chisnall – over 5.5 180s Vs MVG 4/5 Skybet