WALES delivered a thrilling triumph over World Cup hosts England last night and today the Scots and Irish both go for their second successive wins.
Wales are now 11-8 favourites at BetVictor to qualify from Pool A with England drifting to 13-8 and Australia – who face Uruguay today – 9-4.
In Pool B this afternoon the Scots are expected to spank the Yanks and are evens at bet365 on the -21 point handicap while in Pool D the even-money Irish handicap is set at 41 points for their meeting with Romania.
In Formula One's Japanese Grand Prix it's a Mercedes one-two with Nico Rosberg starting on pole and 11-8 for victory at William Hill while Lewis Hamilton is evens at Paddy Power.
At the Metz Open tennis there's an all-French final between Gilles Simon and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga while in St Petersburg it's Milos Raonic and Joao Sousa in a title decider.
There's also a big night of NFL action in store so let's hear your sporting tips and chat and good luck with your bets.
Belinda bencic and daria gavrilova to win their respective games both starting at 5 is over evens seems a simple double.
The more I look into it guys, the more I feel the short odds on Bencic are a trick. Only 3 months ago she was $3.40 to beat Radwanska in a final, now she is $1.68. She won that last match yes, in 3 sets. But with Aggie’s form atm + her experience, and with the fact Bencic is only 18 years old, makes me want to side with Randwanska to get some revenge today. I think Bencic will take a set though.
She has beat all the top players in her recent form she is a future grand slam winner and possible number one in my eyes.The match which perplexes me is Tsonga vs Simon later on today I believe Tsonga can beat him but Simon is in great form and higher ranking.
These aren’t tips but the early womens tennis bets I am on today:
SINGLES:
– Radwanska to WIN 2-1 @ $4.50 (1 point)
– Sasnovic to WIN 2-1 @ $5.00 (1 point)
DOUBLE @ $2.10 (2 points)
– Stosur to WIN 2-0 @ $1.50
– Strycova to WIN @ $1.40
Bencic began her Asian hard court swing at the Toray Pan Pacific Open. She began her run with a double bagel win over Xu Yifan. She then beat Samantha Stosur in three sets and Garbiñe Muguruza in straight sets to advance to the semifinals. She beat the top seed, Caroline Wozniacki for the fourth straight time in straight sets to advance to her fourth final of the year. Radwanska hasn’t reached a final in over a year. I am a fan of aggie but Bencic has the juice at the moment.
‘Aye Right’, it is a hard one, 50/50 in my opinion. Im basically taking Aggie because of the awesome odds on her. It definitely looks like a 3 setter, but as i dont like doing over/under betting i’m going the juicy odds on Aggie to take it in a decider.
Good luck with Bencic, she is an awesome young player.
Yeah I agree it is 50/50 bright side at least a fellow betting man wins either way.On another note I have an interest in Strycova think I’ll add that to Tsonga for a double.
Yeah Strycova & Stosur are the only ‘favourites’ i’m confident on today – all the other matches are traps, lol.
Attila if they were both 5/6 to win would you still side with radwanska or would go for bencic at the price.
Posted this earlier in the week
Johnb
5 days, 11 hrs ago
Getting on my nfl NAP early this week as I think the points will rise before Sunday
Nap has won in weeks 1 & 2
Oakland Raiders at Cleveland Browns 6pm Sunday
Oakland Raiders to score over 19.5 points 1/1 NAP Skybet
Skybet now 10/11
@ tomtie, i’d probably stick with Aggie for the revenge factor , plus she’ll really want to get a title to her name for the season. I’ve only got 1 point on her to win 2-1 so not too phased if Bencic gets up.
However, I definitely think Sasnovic is in with a big chance to pull the upset. Begu is another unreliable romanian player who on her day can beat anyone but due to the inconsistency of her, and with how Sasnovic has played lately the underdog is worth a crack.
RUGBY WORLD CUP – AUSTRALIA VS URUGUAY
Due to the rapid turnaround from their last match, the Wallabies coach Michael Cheika has stated an entirely second string squad could be given the chance today, providing rest for his 1st team squad for the big upcoming matches with England & Wales.
Due to this factor, i feel it is worth backing Uruguay to keep within the enormous +62.5 handicap/line. It was a similar line in their previous match against Wales and they were beaten by 45 points so had 20 odd points to spare.
I think the Aussies will be happy enough to cruise through this match and get a confortable win, but with the wholesale changes in the their sqaud Uruguay should be able to keep within 8-9 converted tries :-)
(note: im an Aussie but am betting with my brain today, not my heart, lol)
PICK:
– URUGUAY +62.5 @ $1.92
On bencic for this one, doing a sunday acca.
Bencic
Schwarztman
Hasse
De greef
NFL Week 3
Alternative Spread Double
Patriots -6.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM
Packers -2.5 – Tuesday – 1:30AM
Just over 4/5 @ 365 (0.81/1) – 10 points
Alternative Spread Treble
Patriots -6.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM
Jets +7.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM
Packers -2.5 – Tuesday – 1:30AM
Just over 13/10 @ 365 (1.34/1) – 3 points
Long Shots
Patriots -6.5
Panthers -2.5
Texans ML
Cardinals ML
Broncos +3.5
Packers ML
48/10 @ 365 – 1.5 points
Add;
Bills +10.5
Jets +7.5
Cowboys +10.5
Steelers +10.5
Chargers +10.5
16.41/1 @ 365 – 0.5 a point
Not going to take any props this weekend but Tom Bradys passing yards under 300 is an absolute joke. Ryan Tannehill threw over 350 yards against the Jags last week. Yes they were trying to win late on but still, Tannehill and his receivers compared to Brady and the Pats is like chalk and cheese. You can get 285.5 @ Skybet and Ladbrokes @ 10/11.
Brandon Weeden is a former starter in the NFL for Cleveland and although Bryant is out for the Cowboys, they still have the best offensive line in the NFL. Atlanta only have two sacks on the season against the Eagles and the Giants. He’ll get as much time as he wants to throw to Williams, Beasley and Witten. Over 229.5 is @ 17/20 @ BV
Ben Roethlisberger gets one his weapons back this weekend after slinging it for two weeks on the trot. Le’Veon Bell was one of the most productive backs last season and his rushing yards look low against a Rams defense who gave up 123 yards on the ground to Washingtons rookie Matt Jones last week, and 73 yards to Marshawn Lynch at home in week 1. I’d be inclined to take his rush and receiving yards if you can find it but Over 70.5 rushing yards @ Skybet and Ladbrokes could be worth a look @ 10/11.
Isaiah Crowell had a tough time in New York in week 1 (no surprise) but had 72 yards on 15 carries last week against the Titans at home. Mike Pettine won’t want to lose McCown to another concussion quite so soon so Crowell should get a few carries with rookie Duke Johnson sharing the load. I think Over 55.5 rushing yards is quite a kind total against an Oakland team who have averaged 118 yards on the ground in two games. Think the chief might like this one. 10/11 @ Skybet and Ladbrokes.
If I had to put those in order of confidence I’d go Crowell, Weeden, Brady then Bell. Reasons being you never quite know what game plan Belichick has up his sleeve. Could make Brady throw it 10 times and pound it for 60 carries through Lewis and Blount but Brady has slung it against Jacksonville in previous years. Rams at home so defense will perform better and with it being Bells first game of the season it might take him some time to get into the swing of things (might).
Good luck if you’re on any picks.
Posted on the old thread.
1 point bet on the college football for interest.
Wisconsin -16.5 – 1:00AM (35-0 in the 4th)
UCLA/Arizona Over 55 – 1:00AM (49-23 in the 4th)
Utah/Oregon Over 55 – 1:30AM (41-13 in the 3rd)
0.99/1 @ 365 **Need two points in the Utah game but I’m going to stick my neck out and call it winner. Need two points in 20+ minutes of college football. Should be a given**
Should have stayed away from Stosur. Down 0-4 in the 1st. Absolutely hopeless, not even trying.
^^ **WIN** Utah TD in the 3rd makes it 48-13
Jordan new england over 31 points at evens, any thoughts on this mate?
Anybody want to see some crazy trick plays you need to see the Utah highlights. Halfback pass TD, fake punt for 33 yards and a deceptive punt return for a TD.
Get in there Radwanska! Gets the 1st break. She’s on fire as expected, forcing Bencic to ran back & forth. Good game plan.
Humble Tipper. Possibly mate but I never like to take team points in the NFL as you just don’t know. I prefer taking spreads or alternate spreads as you’re only relying on the win margin rather them getting the points/TD’s. I’d rather take the Pats Over 3.5 TD’s @ 8/11 or to score in every quarter @ 11/8 (bot @ 365) but again, not something I’d take as a single usually. Tipped my bets very early and I’m happy with them mate. Sorry, just a preference. Can’t suggest you take any of those when I’m not on them bud.
Suppose I should add the teams for those props if anyone fancies them. Crowell (Cleveland Browns) Weeden (Cowboys) BRady (Patriots) Bell (Steelers)
Cheers for the advice, i am on the tom brady bet
Radwanska wins 1st set 6-2. Bencic looks shot! Kind of wishing I took Aggie for the straight win now…not sure if Bencic will get a set the way she’s played so far :-?
Picked the right winner, just got the sets wrong. Radwanska wins 6-2, 6-2…destroyed Bencic. I’ll be all over Radwanska to win in straight sets for next while…amazing.
@JohnB, Oakland are now 10/11 for only 17.5 points. Presume there’s no cause for concern and it’s still your nap.
I’ve backed your first two weeks naps so definitely on it again. Thanks.
@jordan, I hope Ryan doesn’t see the length of your write up fella ;)
I’ll be on that Tom Brady bet.
Fair play Attila.
By the way in play Coco to win her serve is making me great bank currently.
(Posted a write up for this earlier but it hasn’t been approved by admin yet so just reposting my actual pick)
RUGBY WORLD CUP – AUSTRALIA VS URUGUAY
PICK:
– URUGUAY +62.5 @ $1.92
Attila, I’ve had a look and can’t see the write-up.
Mr Fix, i’ve just posted it 2 more times and both say awaiting moderation. Not sure whats going on…
Attila, it’s now approved.
Today’s women’s finals were no bets for me and it would have just been betting for the sake of a bet If I’d picked winners.
The women’s matches to bet on tend to jump out at you a little folks.
Wait for them is my advice!
Its all good Ad fortunately Coco won me triple digits.Once again I’m eyeing up Broady to win her final against Krajicek.
RUGBY WORLD CUP – AUSTRALIA VS U.R.U.G.U.A.Y
Due to the rapid turnaround from their last match, the Wallabies coach has stated an entirely second string squad could be given the chance today, providing rest for his 1st team squad for the big upcoming matches with England & Wales.
Due to this factor, i feel it is worth backing U.r.u.g.u.a.y to keep within the enormous +62.5 line. It was a similar line in their previous match against Wales and they were beaten by 45 points so had 20 odd points to spare.
I think the Aussies will be happy enough to cruise through this match and get a comfortable win, but with the wholesale changes in the their squad U.r.u.g.u.a.y should be able to keep within 8-9 converted tries :-)
(note: i’m an Aussie but am betting with my brain today, not my heart)
PICK:
– U.R.U.G.U.A.Y +62.5 @ $1.92
Super Single Dennis Novikov to beat Harrison. Odds 17/10
Dennis Novikov @ 1.7
(Match Betting – Match)
Adrian Ungur @ 0.75
(Match Betting – Match)
Naomi Broady @ 0.7
(Match Betting – Match)
Multiple Type: Trixie Stake: 4.00 Possible Return: 20.32
Why is Ryan Harrison 1.40 favourite. Don’t get it
Love how the whole crowd is behind Uruguay… Will help keep them within the spread :-) That and Australia’s ill-discipline!
Attila going to be close this. Really need a Uruguay try or some pens. If Aus keep all there men on could get 6 try’s in 2nd. Let’s hope they ease off a bit towards the end with the Eng game in mind.
Aus are 28 points ahead at HT, leaves 34 points in the bag for Uruguay for the 2nd half. The +62.5 line will come close. Just need 1 try from the Uruguayans!
Attila going to be close this. Really need a Uruguay try or some pens. If Aus keep all there men on could get 6 try’s in 2nd. Let’s hope they ease off a bit towards the end with the Eng game in mind.
Stop stealing my bets Attila lol :)
Felix, i’ve NO IDEA why Novikov is the $2.70 underdog! He beat Harrison in straight sets only last week and leads the h2h 2-0.
I’m throwing a small stake on the following treble:
– Ungur to WIN
– Raonic to WIN 2-0
– Novikov to WIN
TREBLE pays odds of $7.08 (1 point)
Iddy – Uruguay with a very strong start to the 2nd half. Hope they keep it up
Does seems surprisingly big here novikov. Have they played twice before atilla? I thought last week’s was their first meeting, but either way it’s a big price.
I’m going for a little novikov/ simon double and maybe a small novikov single.
Just the 5/1 double for me.
Both look potentially big prices but equally could see both losing. Maybe I should be doing two singles but meh. Small stake big win :D
AD – yeah mate Novikov also beat Harrison in straight sets at the Maui (Hawaii) Challenger back in January this year. 2 straight set wins in the last 9 months and he’s long price underdog. Another trick by the bookies I feel (like Bencic yesterday!)
Same as me for today mate, small stake, big win. Dont care if it loses…ill be sleeping (in Aus) so can’t cash out so wouldnt want big stake on any of them.
@ Aye Right, sorry mate didn’t even see your post. Just saw Felix’s about Harrison being favourite. Not many tennis matches on today so likely a few of us will eye off the same bets ;-)
***POSTED EARLIER***
***WON***
– URUGUAY +62.5 @ $1.92
Australia won by 62 points. Wow, very lucky there, lol!
I’m not sure why people are taking the Brady bet over Crowell and Weeden. It’s the 3rd choice haha, do think over 285.5 is a joke though. Especially being the jags.
Phew Jeezaz Krist!! Cheers Attila.
Jordan, sorry mate are you suggesting Tom Brady over or under yards? You mention under then then talk about Tannehill throwing over 350 last week.
My bookie has Brady’s yards set at 295.5
What’s Jordan think of the raiders chance at over 19 points they were dogsh** last season not seen anything of them this year however, Jordan what’s your most confident bet the double of patriots -6.5 and Green Bay -2.5 I’d fancy Green Bay at even higher handicap to be honest.
Jordan, I take it u fancy Brady over 285.5 yards? Keep up the good work.
Jordan, I take it u fancy Brady over 285.5 yards? Keep up the good work.
I’m on this seeing as nothing takes my fancy on footy its NFL day & night.
Patriots -6.5
Green Bay win
Broncos +4
Tad riskier with Denver on the slip
Attila, you should know me by know! NEVER do unders! Hahaha Over 285.5 mate but I’d take the Crowell yards if you’re going to be betting on a prop. I’m saying his yards being under 300 is a joke as he should be close to 350 on the day but like I said you never know what Belichicks game plan is like.
AJ most confident bet should be explained by the stake mate but yes the Pats/Packers double is my best bet. Think the Broncos are a very good bet this week. Mentioned in the week that Matt Stafford was hit 8 times in Minnesota last week and suffered bruised ribs (I’ve had bruised ribs before and even breathing can be a strain) now comes up against one of the best pass rush teams in the league. Personally I’d avoid betting on the Raiders whenever I can but I would never back against johnb and would trust his judgement.
Joe, I do fancy it but I fancy two other prop bets before Brady which I’ve explained
I got my handicap on plus 62 in the australia match, does that mean Its a loss?
AJ like that treble mate. Was a toss up between Broncos +3.5 and Jets +7.5 for my 3 point treble.
Attila i was joking bud.Any bets for nfl lads?
Just thought I’d ask mate, cheers. Appreciate the input, topman.
Nfl Sunday
Time to get back to winning week. Few doubles for me and couple of anytime scorer trebles
St Louis +2 colts -3 3/1 ish double
Dallas + 2, cincinatti +2.5 3/1 double
Money line long shot carolina, Cleveland, colts, Houston and St Louis rams 10/1
Late games treble 7/1 arizona -6.5, buffalo +2.5 and denver -3
Couple of anytime scorers early games
Aj green, edelman, d Murray, ant brown, a Peterston pays 12/1
Late games c Hyde, l McCoy, j kearse 10/1
@ Re-invented – If you got handicap of +62.0 then the bet will be void and you’ll get your stake back. If you got it at +62.5 then it will be a winner.
Unless you done it on a 3 way book with the draw
Then 62 is a loss
In play
Ireland v Romania
Simon Zebo any time try scorer
6/5 ladbrokes
Afternoon Guys NFL Sunday Early Games
A botched fumble on the goal line ruined a full house on Thursday, but I will take 2 out of 3 any day. I got 4 prop bets I like with one in the live game between Carolina and New Orleans. I will start with this one.
New Orleans season goes from bad to worse with the injury to Drew Brees who could also miss next week’s game with Dallas. A real chance for Carolina to take control of the South tonight. I like Superman Cam to cover his rushing yards. They will give the Saints front 7 a heavy dose of Jonathan Stewart to wear them down but look for Newton to run some fake plays at bootleg out to his left or right. He rushed for 76yds last week and can cover 42.5yds at 5/6 Paddy Power.
I put up Adrian Peterson last week and I am sticking with him again this week. San Diego are on the road again this week and Gio Bernard burned them for 123yds. I’m sorry but Gio isn’t half the player “all day” is and another 100yd game beckons for Peterson, and his OC Norv Turner who faces his former club. He can cover 87.5yds at 10/13 Bet365.
Steelers and the Rams look like it could be a high scoring affair, Big Ben is playing lights out during the opening 2 weeks and now he has Bell back. It is however the opposing QB I like in this one Nick Foles. The Steelers secondary is dire, Tom Brady destroyed them, and even Colin Kapernick threw over 300yds on them last week. The Rams may be playing catch up but that will assists this bet. Foles can cover 247.5 at 4/5 Bet365.
My final one is my ante-post tip the Colts to finally get their season going. The Colts have won their last 6 against the Titans so should bounce back tonight. There is doubt over CB Jason McCourty and even if he does play their secondary is nothing to write home about. The biggest problem is the Colts O-line keeping Luck upright. I think they do and I think Andrew Luck’s season starts tonight by lighting this secondary up like a Christmas tree. I suspect he throws for O300yds making his line at 278.5yds a decent bet. It is 10/11 Betvictor
Prop Bets
NEWTON O42.5yds 5/6
PETERSON 087.5yds 10/13
FOLES 0247.5yds 4/5
LUCK O278.5yds 10/11
Early/Late Acca
CAROLINA
NEW ENGLAND
INDIANAPOLIS
SEATTLE (9:25)
13/10 Skybet
Good luck if your having a bet
Dennis Novikov, get the hell in.
Chief, very nearly posted Newton this morning mate. Like your thinking. Good luck bud. Get your seat ready :)
Said Gronkowski and Edelman will be licking their lips at who can get the most receiving yards this week for the Pats. Gronk 53 yards on 2 receptions. His total was 80.5…
Drew Brees on the sidelines with the play band on, even clapping the huddle :) What a guy.
Isaiah Crowell. 3 carries for 8 yards. What a waste of money.
Felix- it was one of those that looked so generous a price it half put me off! Put a few bob on in the end and can’t complain, but wish id gone med to big!
Big acca and treble looks busted at HT. Jets have been SHOCKING! Philly could be going up by at least 20 at the half.
Fitzpaterick 10/15 for 33 yards. Nice one mate. Brandon Marshall fumbling in his own half, Eagles recover. 23-0 at HT. Wheeeey! His second fumble of the day.
3 more points needed for Oakland in the second half
Jordan, took Crowel over 55.5 yards. Any idea how it’s looking at ht?
A few wee bets for tomorrow, in order of confidence.
Lucic Baroni d Ka Pliskova @ 2/1
Decent matchup for Baroni If she’s on her game. Her easy win over Stosur suggests she might be. 2-2 head to head with Baroni winning their only meeting this year. Pliskova off form over last month or so with some poor defeats to her name.
Strycova d Sharapova @ 4/1
almost purely because this is Maria playing for the first time since Wimbledon. Strycova capable of capitalising if she’s on it.
Kovinic d Vinci @ 3/1
Could fall flat given Vincis experience and form this hard court swing. But mentally it could be tough for her readjusting to life on tour in a first round match against a little known player after her first ever slam final and defeat. Undeniably a gamble!
Rubbish Joe. He’s on 21 yards at HT. One of his runs was for 17 yards so fortunate to even be on 21. Money lost.
Johnbs Raiders points basically in before HT again. Well done mate.
Joe, 21 at the half. Can follow it here mate. http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2015092708/2015/REG3/raiders@browns#menu=drivechart&tab=track
Thanks Jordan, not looking good mate especially with them having to chase the game now….
Lucky its against the Raiders Joe mate.
‘All day’ 43 yard TD. When done chief.
Evening gents
NFL
* Arizona Cardinals
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
Treble @ 9/10
Oakland get to 20 points
Cheers Jordan
Andrew Luck. 5-10, 90 yards, 1 interception. Titans leading by 10! Wow.
Johnb well done mate.
Just seen Lucks second pick. Idiot springs to mind…
More turnovers than Jay Cutler since the start of last season. Enough said.
Brady is on 294 yards for the guys that took it.
Crowell is on 23 yards with 9 carries.
Had him in a treble with Brady and Weeden. What a let down he is.
Jordan how the tom brady bet looking make
Denis Novikov 2.7 Super single wins.
Broady is on the verge of winning now need Ungur to clinch his atp title and I’m up a pretty penny.
He’s actually a pretty good back if you ask me.
Humble Tipper. It’s won mate providing nobody goes backwards when he passes. 316 now. Was it you I was talking about the Pats? Over 3.5 TD’s won and to score in every quarter @ 11/8 is about to be won.
Sorry just saw your update jordan
Broncos vs Lions any tips lads?
Yeah it was me mate, i took your tom brady tip and double it up with john b nap. Wish i jus been brave and put a ton on it lol
Not had any time to look through the mlb past couple of nights.
Dazid stayed up watching the cards the other night could have cashed out at 3-1 up but let it ride, big mistake.
Small stake on brewers inplay 3.1 just for fun.
But of fun for all the NFL fans, bad lip reading on YouTube. Tony Romo bit is really funny.
https://youtu.be/OTRmyXX6ipU
Dazzler! By far the best bit! ‘Weh weh welly helly, ttthhhrrrrr tttthhhhhrrr! Hahaha
Rugby World Cup Pool A
England not to qualify
6/4 paddypower betfair
This bet is effectively the same as backing Australia to beat England next week. Prices are not yet available for that bet and I feel they will cut pretty quickly when they are up considering England and Australia’s performances this weekend. England are 3rd in the group behind Wales and Australia, and only the top 2 teams will qualify for the next stage. You can rightly assume that England, Australia, and Wales will all easily beat the 2 lesser sides in the 5 team group (Uruguay & Fiji). With Wales beating England yesterday, England need to win their 2 remaining games to have a chance (they still might not) of qualifying in the top 2. Wales are fortunate to be playing Fiji on Thursday in Cardiff, 2 days before England face Australia. When (not if) Wales beat Fiji, this price for England not to qualify will definitely shorten, and the pressure on England Saturday will increase massively. England under Stuart Lancaster have been woeful under pressure, as seen yesterday v Wales and various times during the Six Nations over the last few years. I cannot imagine Australia being 6/4 to beat England in a few days time so think this price of 6/4 is great.
Humble Tipper nice one mate.
Jordan mate, what’s your thoughts on the Bears v Seahawks game happening soon?
I don’t have the foggiest when it comes to the NFL, had a punt on Patriots -14.5 on the handicap at 17/20 and it’s sailing home.
Would it be worth following suit and backing Seahawks on the handicap too?
Had a read on the game and it appears Chicago have many players out injured.
Just have a read of that there Harry mate, great reasoning behind that tip
Not going to take any props this weekend but Tom Bradys passing yards under 300 is an absolute joke. Ryan Tannehill threw over 350 yards against the Jags last week. Yes they were trying to win late on but still, Tannehill and his receivers compared to Brady and the Pats is like chalk and cheese. You can get 285.5 @ Skybet and Ladbrokes @ 10/11.
Brady 358…
Rookie bookie
They do have a lot of players injured mate but Marshawn Lynch is a game time decision. If you can find anything saying Lynch is probable then I don’t see why not.
Edge rushers of the Bears will struggle to get to wilson I can see him having a big night , seahawks are not too reliable when it comes to covering large spreads though wich has put me off it but it’s more than do able
I’m not so sure Tyler mate. Cowboys dominated until they lost Sean Lee.
Whats happened to Rivers?
Evening Guys, Buffalo @ Miami
The second live game is a tough one to call, I do think Buffalo have been the better side of the two and if they were at home I would be all over them. I wouldn’t be surprised if they won in Florida tonight. I think they have a raw QB who will have good games and shockers, I am hoping this is one of his better ones.
In the touchdown scorer market I like the value on TE Charles Clay, going up against his old side. Jacksonville scored 23pts against this Defence last week and the Bills are a better side than them, with options at RB and WR. I can see Clay being targeted in the redzone. He is 23/10 Paddy Power.
My prop bet is LeSean McCoy to cover his line. I think this will be a tight affair and if Alfred Morris can burn this front 7 for 121yds and if TJ Yeldon can take them for 70yds then the Bills should pound shady McCoy and he can cover the 68.5yds at 5/6. I would have thought he get at least 80yds so I was prepared to go late 70yds. This may be a C’*** M** by Midnight.
Anytime Scorer
CLAY TO SCORE 23/10
Prop Bet
McCoy 068.5yds 5/6
Good luck if your having a bet
Falcons was such a sure bet ,why did the spread shift out in their favour? after this win they have a chance of going 9-0 I would say looking at there fixtures
Update on nfl.com mate about an hour ago saying Marshawn Lynch WILL play against the Bears
Fitpaterick has marched into the red zone for the Jets on his last two drives and thrown two interceptions. Sakes…
JETS FIELD GOAL!!! The +7.5 is alive!!! Please kneel Eagles, please!!!!
Jordan if you go in their YouTube channel there’s another one from last year. They crack me up.
Kaepernick having a disaster. Thrown two interceptions for two TDs!
NFL Week 3
Alternative Spread Double
Patriots -6.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM – WON
Packers -2.5 – Tuesday – 1:30AM – TO PLAY
Just over 4/5 @ 365 (0.81/1) – 10 points
Alternative Spread Treble
Patriots -6.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM – WON
Jets +7.5 – Sunday – 6:00PM – WON
Packers -2.5 – Tuesday – 1:30AM – TO PLAY
Just over 13/10 @ 365 (1.34/1) – 3 points
Long Shots
Patriots -6.5 – WON
Panthers -2.5 – WON
Texans ML – WON
Cardinals ML – IN PLAY
Broncos +3.5 – TO PLAY
Packers ML – TO PLAY
48/10 @ 365 – 1.5 points
Add;
Bills +10.5
Jets +7.5 – WON
Cowboys +10.5 – LOST
Steelers +10.5 – WON
Chargers +10.5 – LOST
16.41/1 @ 365 – 0.5 a point **LOSE**
Suggested Props
Brady Over 285.5 Passing – WON
Weeden Over 229.5 Passing – WON
Crowell Over 55.5 Rushing – LOST
Bell Over 70.5 Rushing – LOST – 62 (said if you can get rush and receiving to take those, 70 yards receiving)
Wild ride this evening but still alive for two main bets and the 48/10.
Roethlisberger went down hard for the Steelers. Looked bad. Will be interesting to see the result of that one.
Dazzler seen them before mate but they’re so good. Fair play to who makes them.
Jordan b365 have my jets +7.5 down as a loss….. Is urs the same? waiting in que on live chat.
Dynamo, they need a calculator. 24-17. 17+7.5 = 24.5
Haha! I’ll advise them that!
Chief great call on Clay!
Nice one chief!!
Jordan cardinals 14-0 up so looking good mate
I’m guessing not, but does anywhere do in play prop bets? Been so busy this evening not had a chance to see all your NFL tips, and was wondering if it’s too late to get on Chief’s prop bet for buffalo v miami
Harry not in play I don’t think mate but I could be wrong. If I know the chief he will have some props lined up for the Broncos game at 1:30AM
Danny looking good mate about to go 21-0 up. Big confidence in the Broncos +3.5 too.
Monster play of the day? http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-cant-miss-plays/0ap3000000540113/Can-t-Miss-Play-Green-s-80-yard-explosion
Aw what a play that is
Anybody seen that deception punt return by Sherman!? I don’t understand how teams fall for that? All focus must go to the returner.
Todd Taylor’s yards total was 199.5
Currently on 138 yards and it’s only half way through the 1st quater
Let one slip there
Cheers James it’s a heads up for anyone that fancies Australia to win next sat as the price definitely won’t be that good and it’s the same bet really. I do follow rugby and have been watching keenly but wanted to wait for the first few games to pass by to get a good idea of how everyone is playing.
Also fancy Wales to cover the handicap at home to Fiji on Thursday. They’re being backed already, 1/6 at a point earlier now into 1/8. I would rather take a team points or team tries market, as it is vital they get the bonus point for scoring 4 tries or more. They MUST get that extra point with the way the group is poised which could make it an open and exciting game. Tries and points markets aren’t available yet though so I am going to back Wales to cover the handicap, with the added bonus of playing at home, but only with half a stake. I will use another half stake on a points or tries market when available if there appears to be value. As always, bookies vary when setting the handicap lines. Wales -15.5 is 20/23 at betfair, but Wales -13 is a better price at 10/11 with williamhill, so it pays to shop around.
Wales v Fiji (Thursday)
Wales -13 handicap
10/11 williamhill
Nice one Jordan I’ll wait to see what he posts and maybe take a double of something with one of your remaining picks. In fact, Broncos +3.5 and Packers ML doubled pays 9/10 at PP. Sounds like a good bet?
Tyler I feel foolish for not taking the Brady yards against the Jags. 285.5? No idea what they were thinking.
Harry I’m waiting on the Broncos +3.5 and Packers -2.5 to bring home the bacon. Packers game isn’t until Tuesday morning remember though mate.
They only gave brady 285.5 yards against the jags?
Yea I took them from your picks as they’re the only ones not to play yet. Just taken the double as it sounds like you’re confident on both and will keep an eye for others for the broncos game
Yup. I mentioned it but didn’t take it. 358 he finished on haha
Jordan did u put any MLS tips up today?
Thought Hayne had got me my ante post return TD then!
Martin no mate.
this bears v Seahawks game is an absolute snoozefest
Broncos -3 20/21 @ paddy power seems like a steal just like tom brady.
Harry I don’t think the -14 on Wales is a clever selection. Any welsh rugby fan will tell you that they struggle against Fiji and are more or less our bogey team. Wales never seem to run away with games either and I do think they will win but by 14 I don’t see it happening
I like the Broncos too Humble tipper.
I just need more info so as to make sure I make the right decision.
Just can’t see them slipping up against the lions AYE RIGHT.
Tonights 4fold (nfl/tennis mix)
Broncos +3
Cibulkova
Jankovic
Muguruza/suarez navarro doubles
I’ll take Jelena and the Suarez and Navarro pick humble tipper.
Picksix do you disagree with the almighty Broncos?
A lot of people seem to be confident of the Broncos?
Keep the faith lee.
In play
Brewers @ 3.1 *won*
Put the bet on and had a few beers watching Daredevil. Brewers with 7 runs in the 9th and won 8-4. Unbelievable Jeff! Made up to messing my double up the other day!
Just back in see early bets went down but the vikes won pity we didn’t do what we should have done vs 49ers they been smashed since. Late bets looking goof but I know I’ll wake up to find denver have been done
Right, Lee has just jinxed Denver guys so abuse to be thrown at him if the Broncos lose :)
Two defenses on my fantasy team. Bills and Dolphins. Safe to say I picked the right one :)
Not disagreeing as if I had to pick a winner i with slightly edge it to the Broncos was just suprised to see a lot of people confident in them. That 2-0 record is misleading to me though they edged the Ravens in the opener who have not done anything this season and I didn’t think they deserved to beat the Chiefs. Lions will be playing there first game at home after losing to the Chargers and the vikings wich are tough places to go and they put up a game in both. Too close too call for me
Tyler, you say it like we should be worried!? Haven’t played since last Thursday, Stafford only cleared to play on Thursday with bruised ribs. I can guarantee they’ll be feeling sorer after a dose of Miller and Ware. Hit 8 times in Minnesota last Sunday. EIGHT!!
Kaepernick, 5/10, 33 yards, 0 TD’s, 4 INT’s
LOL
I’d say Kansas is a tough place to go too though. It’s bound to be a close one as the spread is only 3 but I’d side the Broncos. Best defense in the league (currently) not as if they are playing in hard conditions, Stafford not 100% is the biggest factor. Just can’t believe he was hit 8 times by the Vikings. One hit could see him out the game.
Jordan just seen that hayne return , getting closer and closer if he twisted round that safety he was taking that back to the house
Evening Guys, posted bets without reading the thread as I have been playing catch up having recorded the NFL, caught up now.
Thoughts, I said on the eve of week 1 there are normally a few big injuries, there seems more this year. Romo, Dez, Pierre-Paul, Suggs, Nelson etc and now Big Ben, that aint looking good by the way. Colts won (Hooray for my ante post pick) there is problems there though. Luck 9 throws in first half for 90yds then 2td in 56secs to win the game, How about you just let Luck run the game? Oh and give Chuck a new contract or tell him, this is his last year in Indianapolis.
I looked at Julio Jones as a potential prop, he was giving up 104.5yds by one bookie, it wont be long before Adrian Peterson is doing the same. All day is the best RB in the league. The best TE in the league delivered again. The Gronk is a bad man, as a old contributor to this site would say.
Some shocks as usual, this is what makes the NFL a great sport to follow as a fan, hard work for punters but keeping stakes low in the early weeks as I say makes it great entertainment.
Hi Guys
I believe Manning and co can cover the spread of 3pts tonight – i know they have been a little unreliable offensively so far but in big games such as these they generally produce the goods. Factor in they also seem to have it right in defence – lions on the other hand with their rookie defense look there for the taking – my call is an away win – – opinions appreciated
Chief you’re a Colts fan, there’s no doubt in my mind ;)
Just heard four weeks for Big Ben but it looks a lot worse than that. Step up Michael Vick.
Tyler nearly mate. Thought he was going to go through him :)
Lol Jordan I can remember u sayin that thechief keeps his team under wraps , I goota agree with u on the colts cmon chief cough it up haha
Comment in moderation
Brewers @ 3.1 *won*
Bears have passed for 39 yards lol that’s my boys
He won’t tell us mate but I’m adamant haha
Question for the NFL lads. Do we think Arizona are legit Super Bowl contenders or just over achieving?
Tyler, makes Kapernick even worse. So scared of throwing another pick he’s only thrown one pass in the second half hahaha
Ha ha Jordan hopefully no curse from me i need them now to complete my treble so am relying on your commentary during match so when I wake up I can see some coin in my bank.
In terms of arizona being contenders I can see them coming thru to top their division as they look stronger than seattle but teams like pats and buffalo in afc I think are stronger
Haha, IF my team ever makes the Superbowl, I will say, I am not betting on the game :)
Paddy, I cant disagree with you, I am looking for the sack markets, because whatever Stafford is getting paid I wouldn’t wanna be him, with Von Miller, and Demarcus Ware coming after him, Phone in sick Stafford.
The chief do you not reveal the team you support in the NFL after much chat with Jordan and some research and the beautiful tomahawk chop I support Kansas City chiefs . But I won’t officially start supporting them until 8am Tuesday morning as I would rather Jordan’s bet comes in first lol :-)
Just for a bit of betting information. Top week 3 teams bet on.
1. Atlanta – Won and covered
2. Denver – To play
3. Buffalo – Winning and covering
4. Carolina – Won but didn’t cover
5. Seattle – Winning and covering
6. Pittsburgh – Won and covered
Jordan I wouldnt take much from the cards results just yet because they have played weaker oppisition. They will end up with a good record as there schedule is in their favour this year, they rarely slip up against the weaker teams aswell. They will make the playoffs but I can’t see them going further than that
http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2015092711/2015/REG3/bears@seahawks/videos/0ap3000000540496
He’s at it again
Ben Roethlisberger. Minimum of 4 weeks, maximum whole season. Talk about covering bases hahaha
Yeah I just remember them being good before Palmer was injured last season. They’d have to get past the mighty Pack of course ;)
Chief you’ve got the same idea as me for the Detroit game. Could be bad news for Stafford. Like I said I’ve had bruised ribs and it takes weeks to be right again and he’s coming in after 7 days against those two. What bookies do team sacks?
Ye they played well last year mate until palmers injury I think they were 9-1 at one point but again they had an easy run in, im sure it was the Broncos who beat them in that stretch and were the only decent side they came up against.
Just seen a bet that could be worth while on Stan James
Von Miller Over 2.5 Tackles and Assists @ 20/23
365 have his total at 4.5
Surely that counts for sacks too?
NFL
* Arizona Cardinals (WON
Green Bay Packers (To Play)
Seattle Seahawks (WON)
Treble @ 9/10
Jordan im counting on you cheeseheads to bring that bacon home
TheThumb I know the record is not great but I don’t think it’s awful, they played last year in Fiji and Wales won by 4 points. The time before that was at the 2011 world cup and Wales won 66-0! I think the need to land the bonus point will be a big difference as they have to attack and wales’ home advantage will be a huge factor. England done them by 24 points and Wales showed yesterday they are equals, and I know it doesn’t work like that but can see Wales running them ragged in the 2nd half when they tire a bit. England were in cruise control once they got the bonus point and I see it being a similar game with a tight 1st half and Wales to dominate in the 2nd with their superior fitness. Fiji only scored 3 points v England in the 2nd half last week and didn’t really threaten when they looked tired. Like I said earlier I think the bonus point factor will be huge. Can’t see Fiji scoring more than 16 points as they haven’t done in the last 3 h2h meetings and only managed 11 and 13 against England and Australia respectively. Given that Wales know they have to score at least 4 tries, I would expect them to score above 30 points
Oh christ. Detroit are being hammered! Just gone to the next highest team bet on this week behind Detroit. Not sure how legit these figures are as I always think this site tries to make you bet on the underdog by showing public consensus.
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/consensus/
A defensive / special teams TD at 13/8 is tempting me im not sure of the exact number but there’s been a lot of them involving these two early on.
Megatron against Talib is gonna be great to watch , Golden Tates yards are tempting me too Chris Harris has not been as good as he was last year and is slightly overrated in im my opinion anyway he stops TDs in the endzone but usually gives up a few yards
That’s why that Falcons spread went out then I’m guessing. Trying to trick the average person into backing the Cowboys
Bookies tut tut
Denver @ Detroit
The lions are ranked 27th against the pass, that aint good when Peyton is coming to town. He maybe 39 and struggling with his arm strength, the reason they are ranked 27th is they cant rush the passer, Oh give Peyton time in the pocket what can go wrong, well he can clear his line of 260.5yds at 10/11 Ladbrokes.
At least the Lions must be stout against the run, well they rank 28th, mainly because as he always does Adrian Peterson owned them last week. Taking a Broncos RB is always risky as Manning loves to throw, and while Anderson and Hillman have low lines they are high risk, they seem to just run straight into a big LB for hardly no gain.
I think Manning needs to lead on his RB’s and CJ Anderson may well cover his 57.5yd line it is 1/1 Bet365, I am on it but it is risky as he as a toe injury The better bet is if they get a run game going, Manning will hook up with Thomas, and the win cast is 2/1 Coral.
Prop Bet
MANNING O260.5yds 10/11
Anytime Wincast
DEMARYIUS THOMAS 2/1 Coral
Good luck if your having a bet
Jordan, no sack markets unfortunately.
Danny, a true Chief will want to beat the Cheese heads and I expect a big Kansas win, with Rodgers going out for 4-8 weeks ;)
Hahaha get to bed chief! Good luck mate.
There is DeMarcus Ware already, Should have phoned in sick Stafford!
Haha a true chief . I promise big Chiefs fan after the Monday night game :-) I am desperately trying to figure out how you can get tomahawk chop as ringtone on my iPhone but I can’t figure it out
Haha, Obviously I mean no harm to Rodgers, it will just help my ante-post bet of Vikings getting to the playoffs.
Second play. Huge hit on Stafford. Keep em comin Denver.
Fu*k me I didn’t even see ware coming in on that one
If Stafford stays in this game until the end of the 4th quarter I will be extremely surprised.
There’s me thinking over 5.5 turnovers was a bit high haha
I am very new to the sport as you know but this is the strangest game of NFL I have ever seen lol
Whys that Danny?
I don’t know if it is usual but it just seems like both sides aren’t really going for it but that maybe the style of play being different to the teams I have seen so far maybe . Plus only 7 points in the first half I don’t think I have ever seen that either . It may seem strange as I am a newbie :-)
Well I spoke to soon lol
Lions looking terrible , your bets looking boys
*good
Danny, Broncos the best defense so far this season. Think that pass interference shouldn’t have been called mind. Thought Talib played that well.
Manning in the no huddle, another score would be nice here.
Broncos being brave leaving megatron one on one calvin owns that fade route in the endzone
Great touchdown
Peyton you legend!
Also adds a nice 55 yards to your passing total too
WOW! What a throw by Manning, that’s what the old slinger can do
They said on the tv unsporting conduct but I don’t know why then one guy said taunting ?
Fair play to Thomas he high pointed that bad boy. There’s your wincast on the cards chief.
must have been dancing around slay or something he said i couldn’t see anything myself cameraman might have missed it
What was Thomas penalised for exactly?
What because he went into the end zone backwards??? Pathetic!
My favourite was Doug Baldwin laying an ‘egg’ in the Super Bowl :)
Chief I need Denver +3.5 and the Packers to cover -2.5 tomorrow for a very good week 3.]]Didn’t realise it was the London game already next week.
Haha Ye that was class, sherman on Crabtree was another haha
Denver get the ball in the 3rd so got chances, Pity half time come, it has started warming up nicely. Bringing the blitz and leaving DT one on one is asking for trouble, but great throw.
Think a few of us are on Denver to win :)
Only spread out for week 4 is the Ravens -2.5 in Pittsburgh. No thanks…
Was looking forward to that game on Thursday until all the injuries
No t sizzle no Big Ben it’s not got that same feel to it
Maybe not. Most of them are out.
Jets -1.5 @ Miami (Wembley)
Jags @ Colts -8.5
Panthers -3 @ Tampa
Giants @ Bills -5.5
Raiders -2.5 @ Bears
Eagles -3.5 @ Redskins
Texans @ Falcons -6
Browns @ Chargers -7.5
Rams @ Cardinals -6.5
Really don’t like any of those. Falcons and Cardinals at a push.
Sounds pretty cheesy lads but if you can, go take a look at the moon. Once in a generation sight.
Well, next time it will happen in 2033.
and I’ve just came back to that Thomas fumble….Christ
I went and checked mate it’s red . I think it’s a blood moon a lot of people are predicting that this will lead to a financial collapse globally linked to smetah years it’s a Jewish phrase so I am unsure if I spelt that right but it’s quite interesting if you like conspiracy stuff like me
I do like conspiracy stuff mate but I think that’s a load of b*llocks :) Nothing in the universe change the nature of our economy, just our human race which is getting worse by the year. Love space though and anything about it. Have a look at this article after the game. Seriously makes you think. http://www.buzzfeed.com/daves4/the-universe-is-scary#.vjxEJrNLM
I will check it out mate . I read loads of David icke Alex Jones stuff also space is amazing as it holds so many secrets anyway I best keep this thread to sports ;-)
Broncos are starting to capitulate Im thinking of leaving this game.
By leaving I mean covering lol…(
I’ve seen a lot stuff online about games being fixed in the NFL. That false start call was wrong, and it looked like Hillman had crossed the plain before going out of bounds there. Bad feeling about this.
Ok feel better now :)
Well done on Manning yards chief.
This Broncos defence is something else
Cheers mate, punch this in and that’s the wincast done, the late games been more generous than the early ones, with Clay anytime and Seattle bringing up the acca at good odds. I’ve said this before but
The sports thread, the home of the winners
Well done to all those who were waiting on Denver, Hopefully they see it out. Night all :D
Broncos very good . Are they Super Bowl contenders ?
Chief well done mate
Jordan all on the cheeseheads now buddy
You just need the packers now mate for a good week 3
Game over. Manning wins :)
Danny they weren’t being hyped that much but have to be now. Running this pistol offense tonight has been a big help. Very good win on the road.
Tyler, be absolutely gutted if they can’t get it done but at least we have the best QB in the league to rely on ;)
Broncos should be there abouts but I would still take the pats over them in the AFC atm though,
Pistol offense is my playbook on Madden too :)
Hopefully mate as u say the best QB in the league and I don’t think the Chiefs really have it in them to get a win at lambeau
Hopefully Lacy and Adams are good to go but haven’t had much practice this week. Think they’re both probable now though.