FEB 22: RACING TIPS AND CHAT

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YOU asked for reasoning and here it is in spades.

Our man Milesey’s done his homework and here are his thoughts on Friday’s racing.

Ebel Ali

Back Baransky in the 10:45. The opening thoroughbred handicap is high on numbers but low on interesting horses and a pair of recent maiden winners seem sure to go well with Baransky taken to come out on top.

He took a while to get off the mark but did so at Abu Dhabi in January (race worked out well) and followed that up with a good run at this track last time when third to Periphery. He travelled well for a long way that day and will find this drop to a 0-80 (from a 0-90) very much up his street and he looks the one to beat.

Back Latkhaf in the 12:15. Latching on to progressive horses at this relatively late stage of the Dubai season seems a sensible ploy and Latkhaf should make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick in the 12.15.

He has been a model of consistency this season, runner-up three times before winning his last couple of starts over this course and distance. He may only have won by a head last time but it was a similarly progressive sort he got the better of and pleasingly the pair where nicely clear of the rest. This is a stronger field but Latkhaf has more to offer and is worth sticking with until he’s beaten.

Back Curzon Line in the 12.45. It’s not easy to find potential value elsewhere with small fields the order of the day but Curzon Line looks interesting in the final race at 12.45.

He was trained by Mahmood Al Zarooni last year where he won two of his three starts and has made a reasonable start for this yard despite only finishing eighth behind Innocuous and Discoverer.

The main angle with him is he could be allowed an easy lead in a race that looks devoid of early speed and while this will be his first start on dirt his pedigree firmly suggests he will handle it.

SANDOWN 2.20

Free World was smart in his day with Paul Nicholls and hinted at a revival at Cheltenham in November on last start for Arthur Moore. One to consider if market vibes strong starting out for Tim Vaughan in a hood.

Takeroc is another who was smart at best for Paul Nicholls. Given chance by handicapper but failed to build on more promising effort at Newbury in November when well held at Kempton earlier this month.

Keki Buku was a useful hurdler who has found frame on four of five completed starts over fences. Not seen since November 2011 but has gone well fresh previously and well treated on form over timber. One to consider.

Nozic is a veteran who has proved extremely consistent in handicaps since winning at Plumpton in March, scoring again in seven-runner event at Kempton earlier this month. Likely to continue in good heart.

Sunny Ledgend is a fairly useful two-time winning novice hurdler last season. Made a successful debut over fences at Lingfield (3m) last month and ran to a similar level when third in handicap company at Huntingdon since.

Lord Singer won a 2m handicap chase at Fakenham in January 2011. Placed on all four starts this term, runner-up over C&D last time, and likely to be in the shake-up once more.

Anay Turge was in great heart when landing couple of 2m handicaps in the autumn. Saddle slipped at Chepstow in January but no obvious excuse for poor effort at Uttoxeter since and usual hood dispensed with now.

Christopher Wren is a dual hurdles winner who got a bit closer to that form when third at Warwick (2m) in December and wasn’t given hard time in a heavy-ground C&D event earlier this month. One to keep an eye on.

Olympian Boy scored with something to spare at Newton Abbot (21f) in June and back to that form when second to Shangani (winner again since) over C&D earlier this month. Dangerous to dismiss.

Verdict: The prospect of less-demanding ground than previously seen this campaign may finally spark Christopher Wren into life over fences and he is well treated on his form shown over timber. He can get off the mark in this sphere at the expense of the returning Keki Buku and the consistent Lord Singer.

Lingfield 1.30
AVISO 13.5

Have heard this horse being tipped a lot for this race. Why? I can’t see any reason at all to be honest, it’s a punt, if it runs like it can it will WIN, but it hasn’t been of late, so is today the day? Who knows. It’s a total shot in the dark, it’s not impossible off the handicap and that’s all that is in favour of this runner.

Lingfield 2.30
TITAN TRIUMPH 10.5

No confidence at all in this one either, another total punt, bit of reasoning though, it has come down in the handicap so finds itself in company that it should be beating so will it?

Okay so now time to find some picks I can be more confident about.

Sandown 2.55
SHOTAVODKA 1.84

Based on its last run-out, shouldn’t have any problems in this field at all, but has to defy a penalty for it’s win previous time out.

Sandown 3.25
FAGO 1.28

Should win as long as Ruby can keep his ass in the saddle. Price isn’t for me today, not after the tumble last time out.

Sandown 4.30
BARLOW 7.6

Very solid over fences and has the ability to win this race. Progressive horse who gets better with each race.

Warwick 2.10
BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82
Should have too much for this field, Heronshaw another unbeaten horse under rules but only won by a head in its last run-out. Where as BROADWAY BUFFALO bolted off last time out at Newcastle and if goes about it today the same way will take all the beating.

Warwick 3.15
GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5

For the in-form Venetia Williams team, on level weight with these Novices today.

LUCKY 15

Sandown 2.55
SHOTAVODKA 1.84

Sandown 4.30
BARLOW 7.6

Warwick 2.10
BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82

Warwick 3.15
GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5

Milesey

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47 Comments
  1. Milesey 5 years ago

    JEBEL ALI ! 😉

    FRIDAY 22nd FEBRUARY 2013

    HORSE RACING TIPS

    Jebel Ali on Friday 22nd FEB 2013

    Back Baransky in the 10:45

    The opening thoroughbred handicap at 10:45 is high on numbers but low on interesting horses and a pair of recent maiden winners seem sure to go well with Baransky taken to come out on top. He took a while to get off the mark but did so at Abu Dhabi in January (race worked out well) and followed that up with a good run at this track last time when third to Periphery. He travelled well for a long way that day and will find this drop to a 0-80 (from a 0-90) very much up his street and he looks the one to beat.

    Back Latkhaf in the 12:15

    Latching on to progressive horses at this relatively late stage of the Dubai season seems a sensible ploy and Latkhaf should make a bold bid to complete the hat-trick in the 12:15. He has been a model of consistency this season, runner-up 3 times before winning his last couple of starts over this course and distance. He may only have won by a head last time but it was a similarly progressive sort he got the better of and pleasingly the pair where nicely clear of the rest. This is obviously a stronger field but Latkhaf has more to offer himself and he is worth sticking with until he’s beaten

    Back Curzon Line in the 12:45

    It’s not easy to find potential value elsewhere with small fields very much the order of the day but Curzon Line looks interesting in the final race at 12:45. He was trained by Mahmood Al Zarooni last year where he won 2 of his 3 starts and has made a reasonable start for this yard despite only finishing eighth behind Innocuous and Discoverer. The main angle with him is that he could be allowed an easy lead in a race that looks devoid of early speed, and whilst this will be his first start on dirt his pedigree firmly suggests he will handle it.

    —————————————

    FRIDAY SANDOWN 2.20

    Free World was smart in his day with Paul Nicholls and hinted at a revival at Cheltenham in November on last start for Arthur Moore. One to consider if market vibes strong starting out for Tim Vaughan in a hood.

    Takeroc is another who was smart at best for Paul Nicholls. Given chance by handicapper, but failed to build on more promising effort at Newbury in November when well held at Kempton earlier this month.

    Keki Buku was a useful hurdler who has found frame on 4 of 5 completed starts over fences. Not seen since November 2011, but has gone well fresh previously and well treated on form over timber. One to consider.

    Nozic is a veteran who has proved extremely consistent in handicaps since winning at Plumpton in March, scoring again in 7-runner event at Kempton earlier this month. Likely to continue in good heart.

    Sunny Ledgend is a fairly useful 2-time winning novice hurdler last season. Made a successful debut over fences at Lingfield (3m) last month and ran to a similar level when third in handicap company at Huntingdon since.

    Lord Singer won a 2m handicap chase at Fakenham in January 2011. Placed on all 4 starts this term, runner up over C&D last time, and likely to be in the shake-up once more.

    Anay Turge was in great heart when landing couple of 2m handicaps in the autumn. Saddle slipped at Chepstow in January, but no obvious excuse for poor effort at Uttoxeter since and usual hood dispensed with now.

    Christopher Wren is a dual hurdles winner who got bit closer to that form when third at Warwick (2m) in December and wasn’t given hard time in a heavy-ground C&D event earlier this month. One to keep an eye on.

    Olympian Boy scored with something to spare at Newton Abbot (21f) in June and back to that form when second to Shangani (winner again since) over C&D earlier this month. Dangerous to dismiss.

    verdict : The prospect of less-demanding ground than previously seen this campaign may finally spark Christopher Wren into life over fences and he is well treated on his form shown over timber. He can get off the mark in this sphere at the expense of the returning Keki Buku and the consistent Lord Singer.

    —————————————

    LINGFIELD 1.30
    AVISO 13.5
    Have heard this horse being tipped alot for this race, why ? i can’t see any reason at all to be honest, it’s a punt, if it runs like it can it will WIN, but it hasn’t been of late, so is today the day ?, who knows. It’s a total shot in the dark, it’s not impossible off the handicap that’s all that is in favour of this runner.

    LINGFIELD 2.30
    TITAN TRIUMPH 10.5
    No confidence at all in this one either, another total punt, bit of reasoning though, it has come down in the handicap so finds itself in company that it should be beating, will it ?

    okay so now time to find some picks i can be more confident about

    SANDOWN 2.55
    SHOTAVODKA 1.84
    Based on it’s last run out, shouldn’t have any problems in this field at all, but has to defy a penalty for it’s win last time out.

    SANDOWN 3.25
    FAGO 1.28
    Should win, as long as Ruby can keep his ass in the saddle. price isn’t for me today, not after the tumble last time out.

    SANDOWN 4.30
    BARLOW 7.6
    Very solid over fences, and has the ability to win this race. Very progressive horse who gets better with each race.

    WARWICK 2.10
    BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82
    Should have too much for this field, Heronshaw another unbeaten horse under rules, but only won by a head in it’s last run out. Where as BROADWAY BUFFALO bolted off last time out at Newcastle and if goes about it today the same way will take all the beating.

    WARWICK 3.15
    GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5
    for the in-form Venetia Williams team, On level weight with these Novices today.

    LUCKY 15

    SANDOWN 2.55
    SHOTAVODKA 1.84

    SANDOWN 4.30
    BARLOW 7.6

    WARWICK 2.10
    BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82

    WARWICK 3.15
    GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5

    Milesey

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      WOLVERHAMPTON

      6.00 Party Palace 4-1

      6.30 Rightcar 5-1

      7.00 Conversing 7-4

      7.30 Spanish Plume 10-1

      8.00 One scoop or two 8-1

      8.30 Bailadeira 14-1

      Milesey

  2. Sean Ireland 5 years ago

    I know its a bit soon for tips for cheltenham but a friend of mine was talking to Liam Lennon {he lives in the same town as us }the trainer of a horse called TAMMYS HILL running in the foxunters chase on the 15th march,he told him hes very confident of a big run from the horse and to throw a few quid on it,has decent form and its around 8/1, make of this what you want,just passing it on.

  3. ellis 5 years ago

    Here’s a tough one milesy

    In tomorrow races if you had to pick 4 pretty certain horses at individual odds of EVS and above who would they be?

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      LINGFIELD 3.40
      DUBAWI ISLAND 9-4

      SANDOWN 4.30
      BARLOW 7-1

      WARWICK 3.15
      GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 7-4

      SANDOWN 1.45
      BARENGER 11-4

      Milesey

  4. ellis 5 years ago

    thanks mate!

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      You can’t be certain of anything though, they could all go lame, fall, etc….. etc…… thats gambling at the end of the day though. I am confident in my picks, but thats based on previous runs, form, handicap, weights, etc…. who knows on the day? it’s unpredictable, but that’s where the BUZZ comes from !

      Milesey

  5. ellis 5 years ago

    totally agree mate I had a great day yesterday just could do with a few very handy ones to top the balance up

  6. Milesey 5 years ago

    MILESEY’S RACING FRIDAY NIGHT COMPETITION

    FRIDAY 22ND FEB 2013

    ENTRIES OPEN AT 5PM

    Please post on the competition thread…… many thanks.

    Milesey

  7. rob erskine 5 years ago

    My reasoning today, its payday!

  8. rob erskine 5 years ago

    Lingfield 2.00 king bertie. 4.10 full swing. 4.40 sail home

  9. rob erskine 5 years ago

    Sandown 1.45 barenga. 2.55 shotavodka. 3.25 fago. 4.00 leader of the gang

  10. rob erskine 5 years ago

    Warwick 2.10 Broadway Buffalo. 3.15 georgehous leige. 5.20 taradrewe

  11. Peter Brown 5 years ago

    Milesey am going to do your jebel Ali tips in a treble :)

  12. FATHEAD 5 years ago

    Thanx Milesey ,just about have time to read your post before the racing starts ! I know theres winners in there ,hopefully I can pick out a good lucky 15

  13. Peter Brown 5 years ago

    What would be the best way to bet these 3 horses in? Straight treble or trixie or patent.help please?

  14. rob erskine 5 years ago

    I personally like patents because you get your singles doybles and treble.

  15. Peter Brown 5 years ago

    That’s what I ended up doing rob cheers

  16. Flyboivince 5 years ago

    Am doing a lump on this double to win and e/w
    Broadway buffalo
    Barenger

  17. rob erskine 5 years ago

    I would just like to say my picks and opinions are personal opinions. I have no where near the knowledge of milesey, I just enjoy the racing. I’d only go head to head with milesey when he’s having a bad day, or backing stevenage lol

  18. John Henderson 5 years ago

    My good things today i hope are lord singer 2.20 sandown be all man 4.00 sandown waterloo dock 3.05 lingfield sail home 4.40 lingfield lucky 15.

  19. Craig alves 5 years ago

    only 1 single for me the day in the 7.00 Wolverhampton CONVERSING. Mark Johnston’s only runner today 15/8 BOG wi betvictor. down tae last £15 fi £100 promo cash wi £10 on wknds fitbaw and £55 banked

  20. Milesey 5 years ago

    RESULTS
    ——–

    Jebel Ali

    10.45 Baransky 5TH
    12.15 Latkhaf 6TH
    12.45 Curzon Line 2ND

    Lingfield 1.30
    AVISO 5TH

    Warwick 2.10
    BROADWAY BUFFALO 1ST

    Lingfield 2.30
    TITAN TRIUMPH 5TH

    Milesey

  21. Milesey 5 years ago

    LUCKY 15

    Sandown 2.55
    SHOTAVODKA 1.84 *WIN*

    Sandown 4.30
    BARLOW 7.6

    Warwick 2.10
    BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82 *WIN*

    Warwick 3.15
    GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5

    Milesey

  22. Milesey 5 years ago

    3.50 WARWICK
    NICEONEFRANKIE 14-1 E/W

    Milesey

  23. Milesey 5 years ago

    LINGFIELD DOUBLE
    3.40 DUBAWI ISLAND 9-4

    4.40 SAIL HOME 9-4

    Milesey

  24. Milesey 5 years ago

    GET IN !

    FAGO Lay, had to do it after the stupid horse fell last time at the last fence 😉 😉 FAGO 2nd

    Milesey

  25. Milesey 5 years ago

    Warwick 15:50

    featuring the likes of Little Josh, Niceonefrankie, Problema Tic and Frisco Depot. The last mentioned, a Grade 2 winner as a novice in Ireland, is likely to prove popular but was let down badly by his jumping when last seen in the Hennessy Gold Cup and the Charlie Longsdon yard is in worryingly poor form at present so it may be best to side with Problema Tic. The seven-year-old progressed well over fences last term, hitting the mark on three occasions, and he shaped well on his seasonal debut at Cheltenham in November. He was travelling well when coming to grief in the Becher Chase last time and was all the rage in a valuable Ascot handicap prior to being declared a non-runner, a factor well worth bearing in mind, and he is taken to add to his tally racing off what strikes as being a fair mark.

    NICEONEFRANKIE E/W
    PROBLEMA TIC WIN

    Milesey

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      CASH INJECTION in the 16.20 at Warwick. This gelding finished a decent third to In The Crowd over this course last December. He ran on strongly in the closing stages and was not beaten all that far.

      I think he is running in to form and could run well at a decent price in this interesting event. At present he is trading at 8.0 on the exchange.

      Milesey

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      NICEONEFRANKIE 2nd 😉 😉

      Milesey

  26. Milesey 5 years ago

    Go Ahead Eagles have dropped to seventh in the Dutch Jupiler League after winning just one of their last seven matches. They are actually undefeated in four, but they’ve failed to beat Veendam, Dordrecht and Oss, who are all lower than them in the table.

    Erik ten Hag’s side have turned De Adelaarshorst into a tough ground for away teams, illustrated by the fact that they’ve only lost their once this season, however they do have their fair share of draws, as of their 10 fixtures thus far, five of them have finished level. That includes three of their last four, including a 2-2 draw with the lowly Almere City at the end of December.

    Helmond Sport are pushing for promotion again and although they’re only one point off top spot in third, they have played two games more than Sparta Rotterdam and MVV above them. Nevertheless, it’s good to have the points on the board and they will be highly motivated to keep on winning, especially considering that their two main rivals have had some poor results lately.

    Eric Meijers’ men are unbeaten in six and they’ve only lost three of their 22 fixtures to date. Away from Stadion De Braak they have picked up seven points from a possible nine in 2013 and if we look at the bigger picture, Helmond have only tasted defeat on the road on two occasions in 19 games in this division.

    I can’t be having Go Ahead Eagles at odds-on here as Helmond Sport are a strong side both home and away. That’s why at around the 1.97 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.
    ——————————————————–

    in-form MVV Maastricht travel to Almere City, looking to extend their 10 game unbeaten run on the road.

    Rene Trost’s side sit second in the Eerste Divisie, just one point behind leaders Sparta Rotterdam, and they will be desperate to secure three points here in order to pile more pressure on the top of the table side.

    And seven wins from their last 10 outings away from the De Geusselt Stadium suggests that the Sterrendragers possess enough cutting edge to punish their out of form hosts in this one.

    Fifteen goals scored in their last half a dozen on their travels shows just how clinical the visitors have been of late – and in Voorjans, Borgers, Schreurs and Timmermans, Trost’s squad contains four players who have already hit double figures in the goal charts.

    The home side go into this one in miserable form, and five consecutive losses will have severely knocked confidence down at the Mitsubishi Forklift Stadium.

    Dick de Boer’s side are floundering in 14th place in the table, and 14 goals shipped in their last half a dozen suggests that there are weaknesses in the home defence which could prove key to the outcome of this clash.

    Three consecutive losses on their own patch indicates that the Zwarte Schapen are susceptible to feeling the pressure in front of their own fans, and their guests will be looking to take advantage of that.

    MVV have won eight of their last nine against Almere City, and I expect their momentum to see them to another three points here.

    MVV Maastricht (AWAY) @ 1.88

    Auxerre host Guingamp at the Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps, aiming to pick up their fourth win on the bounce.

    Eleven goals smashed in that time underlines the levels of the confidence running through the home side at the moment, and boss Bernard Casoni will be keen for his side to continue that momentum in order to climb the Ligue 2 table.

    The Burgundy side currently sit 10th in the division, but the table is so tightly packed that a couple of wins could lift them as high as fifth.

    Just one loss from their last four at home suggests that Casoni’s side are finally make their own patch a fortress after a slow start to the campaign, and nine goals scored in that time suggests that they are likely to get on the scoresheet at least once.

    Visitors Guingamp currently sit third in the table, but just one win from their last five on the road indicates that Jocelyn Gourvennec’s side are suffering from some travel sickness away from the Stade du Roudourou of late.

    Five goals shipped in their last two outings away from home points to issues defensively, and their hosts will have noted those rearguard weak points ahead of this encounter.

    And just one clean sheet from their last seven suggests that their leaky defence could be an important factor in this clash.

    Auxerre have lost a single one of their last seven meetings with Guingamp, and I think that their momentum and vigour on their own patch could see them to three points here.

    Auxerre (HOME) @ 2.44

    Milesey

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 5 years ago

      Milesey, that’s some right up. Might have a good at these later. Maybe the Dutch should change their name to Go Backwards Eagles.

      • Milesey 5 years ago

        MILESEY’S RACING FRIDAY NIGHT COMPETITION

        FRIDAY 22ND FEB 2013

        ENTRIES OPEN AT 5PM

        Please post on the competition thread…… many thanks.

        Milesey

  27. Milesey 5 years ago

    LUCKY 15

    Sandown 2.55
    SHOTAVODKA 1.84 *WIN*

    Sandown 4.30
    BARLOW 7.6 *2ND*

    Warwick 2.10
    BROADWAY BUFFALO 1.82 *WIN*

    Warwick 3.15
    GORGEHOUS LLIEGE 2.5 *4TH*

    Milesey

  28. Craig alves 5 years ago

    Milesey, thoughts on the 7.00 at wolves, seen the racing post app had conversion opening at 7/1 and bn baxk right in to 11/8, 11/10 in places. aav got a fiver promo at 15/8

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      Yes Craig Conversing for me, first time out and heard alot about this horse. I saw it open last night and had alittle on it myself 😉

      Milesey

  29. John Henderson 5 years ago

    lord singer 2.20 sandown cooooo be all man 4.00 sandown 5/1 winner waterloo dock 3.05 lingfield coooo sail home 4.40 lingfield 5/2 winner lucky 15. 2 out of 4 small profit so far today.

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      WOLVERHAMPTON

      6.00 Party Palace 4-1

      6.30 Rightcar 5-1

      7.00 Conversing 7-4

      7.30 Spanish Plume 10-1

      8.00 One scoop or two 8-1

      8.30 Bailadeira 14-1

      ——————-

      Milesey

  30. Milesey 5 years ago

    SATURDAY 23RD FEBRUARY 2013
    —————————
    HORSE RACING TIPS
    ——————

    1.00 FAIRYHOUSE
    DOGORA 1.77
    ———–
    Had to work very hard last time out to justify being odds on favourite that day, and the same will apply to day if going to keep the unbeaten record going. Will have certainly come on from last run out when had to grind out the win, and could come under threat today by STOCKTONS WING, taking a big risk on this French raider but fully expect it to again battle to success. Peoples opinions differ and i have heard it talked as a “LAY” as people side with STOCKTONS WING. Short priced favourite, you decide !

    1.35 CHEPSTOW
    PAY THE KING 1.31
    ——————
    This horse has been slipped into this race by the cunning Paul Nicholls as he gives this horse the best oppurtunity to make a winning debut over hurdles. One of the best novices in the Nicholls yard comes up against very modest opposition.

    2.05 KEMPTON
    IRISH SAINT 1.75
    —————–
    Last time out couldn’t hold off rolling star, but it’s still in top class form for a juvenile. Won easily over C&D on his uk debut, and should learn from last time out. Paul Nicholls has a great record in this race and won it in 2011 with Zarkandar.

    2.20 NEWCASTLE
    ROBBIE 2.12
    ————
    Robbie has to defy a 9lb rise after landing a treble at Doncaster last time out, this will of cause make things tougher, but this horse on the up and gets better with every race and i expect it to defy the weight today and go on to win

    2.35 FAIRYHOUSE
    SEABASS 3.35
    ————
    Seabass began his preparation for the National with an eye-catching second behind Rock Critic over hurdles here at the beginning of the month and he’s taken seriously, Katy Walsh on board today, so national jockey is back on the horse for this trip.

    2.40 KEMPTON
    MOLOTOF 2.08
    ————-
    Molotof won with ease 2 weeks ago at Warwick, and there is still alot more to come based on that run, been put upto a mark of 152 after that win.

    3.40 LINGFIELD
    WELSH INLET 8.2
    —————–
    5lb Taken off, back down to a useful mark, could get very competative again in this race today.

    3.50 KEMPTON
    ROLLING ACES 4.7
    —————-
    Paul Nicholls has saddled the favourite in the last five years and Rolling Aces will be popular with punters here. Progressive, he’s on a hat-trick.

    2.55 NEWCASTLE
    TARQUINIUS 10.5 E/W
    ——————
    Tarquinius makes the trip over from Ireland Winner of five chases from 2m 5f to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Beaten a head by Jadanli when second of 18 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Gowran Park over 3m 1f (heavy) last month. Gordon Elliot trained, and Jim Maguire in the saddle.

    Milesey

  31. Milesey 5 years ago

    —————————
    SATURDAY 23RD FEBRUARY 2013
    —————————
    HORSE RACING TIPS
    ——————

    1.00 FAIRYHOUSE
    DOGORA 1.77
    ———–
    Had to work very hard last time out to justify being odds on favourite that day, and the same will apply to day if going to keep the unbeaten record going. Will have certainly come on from last run out when had to grind out the win, and could come under threat today by STOCKTONS WING, taking a big risk on this French raider but fully expect it to again battle to success. Peoples opinions differ and i have heard it talked as a “LAY” as people side with STOCKTONS WING. Short priced favourite, you decide !

    1.35 CHEPSTOW
    PAY THE KING 1.31
    ——————
    This horse has been slipped into this race by the cunning Paul Nicholls as he gives this horse the best oppurtunity to make a winning debut over hurdles. One of the best novices in the Nicholls yard comes up against very modest opposition.

    2.05 KEMPTON
    IRISH SAINT 1.75
    —————–
    Last time out couldn’t hold off rolling star, but it’s still in top class form for a juvenile. Won easily over C&D on his uk debut, and should learn from last time out. Paul Nicholls has a great record in this race and won it in 2011 with Zarkandar.

    2.20 NEWCASTLE
    ROBBIE 2.12
    ————
    Robbie has to defy a 9lb rise after landing a treble at Doncaster last time out, this will of cause make things tougher, but this horse on the up and gets better with every race and i expect it to defy the weight today and go on to win

    2.35 FAIRYHOUSE
    SEABASS 3.35
    ————
    Seabass began his preparation for the National with an eye-catching second behind Rock Critic over hurdles here at the beginning of the month and he’s taken seriously, Katy Walsh on board today, so national jockey is back on the horse for this trip.

    2.40 KEMPTON
    MOLOTOF 2.08
    ————-
    Molotof won with ease 2 weeks ago at Warwick, and there is still alot more to come based on that run, been put upto a mark of 152 after that win.

    3.40 LINGFIELD
    WELSH INLET 8.2
    —————–
    5lb Taken off, back down to a useful mark, could get very competative again in this race today.

    3.50 KEMPTON
    ROLLING ACES 4.7
    —————-
    Paul Nicholls has saddled the favourite in the last five years and Rolling Aces will be popular with punters here. Progressive, he’s on a hat-trick.

    2.55 NEWCASTLE
    TARQUINIUS 10.5 E/W
    ——————
    Tarquinius makes the trip over from Ireland Winner of five chases from 2m 5f to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Beaten a head by Jadanli when second of 18 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Gowran Park over 3m 1f (heavy) last month. Gordon Elliot trained, and Jim Maguire in the saddle.

    Milesey

  32. MUZZA 5 years ago

    Any tips for Wolves Milesey?

    Cheers

  33. Milesey 5 years ago

    8.30 Bailadeira 14-1

    8.00 One scoop or two 8-1

    7.30 Spanish Plume 10-1

    Milesey

  34. Muzza 5 years ago

    On Misere Me in the 6:30

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      7.30 SPANISH PLUME 2nd

      Nice 10-1 e/w shot there, for one minute nearly had it, Kirby kicked it 4 lengths clear off the bend, thats why it got flagged up for jockey change and KIRBY took the ride. 😉 😉

      Milesey

  35. Milesey 5 years ago

    —————————
    SATURDAY 23RD FEBRUARY 2013
    —————————
    HORSE RACING TIPS
    ——————

    1.00 FAIRYHOUSE
    DOGORA 1.77
    ———–
    Had to work very hard last time out to justify being odds on favourite that day, and the same will apply to day if going to keep the unbeaten record going. Will have certainly come on from last run out when had to grind out the win, and could come under threat today by STOCKTONS WING, taking a big risk on this French raider but fully expect it to again battle to success. Peoples opinions differ and i have heard it talked as a “LAY” as people side with STOCKTONS WING. Short priced favourite, you decide !

    1.35 CHEPSTOW
    PAY THE KING 1.31
    ——————
    This horse has been slipped into this race by the cunning Paul Nicholls as he gives this horse the best oppurtunity to make a winning debut over hurdles. One of the best novices in the Nicholls yard comes up against very modest opposition.

    2.05 KEMPTON
    IRISH SAINT 1.75
    —————–
    Last time out couldn’t hold off rolling star, but it’s still in top class form for a juvenile. Won easily over C&D on his uk debut, and should learn from last time out. Paul Nicholls has a great record in this race and won it in 2011 with Zarkandar.

    2.20 NEWCASTLE
    ROBBIE 2.12
    ————
    Robbie has to defy a 9lb rise after landing a treble at Doncaster last time out, this will of cause make things tougher, but this horse on the up and gets better with every race and i expect it to defy the weight today and go on to win

    2.35 FAIRYHOUSE
    SEABASS 3.35
    ————
    Seabass began his preparation for the National with an eye-catching second behind Rock Critic over hurdles here at the beginning of the month and he’s taken seriously, Katy Walsh on board today, so national jockey is back on the horse for this trip.

    2.40 KEMPTON
    MOLOTOF 2.08
    ————-
    Molotof won with ease 2 weeks ago at Warwick, and there is still alot more to come based on that run, been put upto a mark of 152 after that win.

    3.40 LINGFIELD
    WELSH INLET 8.2
    —————–
    5lb Taken off, back down to a useful mark, could get very competative again in this race today.

    3.50 KEMPTON
    ROLLING ACES 4.7
    —————-
    Paul Nicholls has saddled the favourite in the last five years and Rolling Aces will be popular with punters here. Progressive, he’s on a hat-trick.

    2.55 NEWCASTLE
    TARQUINIUS 10.5 E/W
    ——————
    Tarquinius makes the trip over from Ireland Winner of five chases from 2m 5f to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Beaten a head by Jadanli when second of 18 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Gowran Park over 3m 1f (heavy) last month. Gordon Elliot trained, and Jason Maguire in the saddle.

    Race in focus 3.50 Kempton :
    What A Friend has not won since Aintree Bowl success of 2010, again failing to impress with attitude in latest renewal of that race when last seen. Down in grade with blinkers left off on return.

    Nacarat is a Grade 1 winner whose form has been patchy in recent years, though successful in this from 1 lb lower 12 months ago from Hector’s Choice. Folded tamely latest start at Aintree.

    Roberto Goldback was better than ever when landing 3m Ascot handicap on first start for this yard in November and has had excuses since. Been given a chance by the handicapper.

    Rolling Aces is a point/hurdles winner whose Newbury (2¾m) handicap success in December represents really strong form. Went in again at Wincanton on Boxing Day and has a lot more to offer over fences.

    Hector’s Choice is a smart handicap chaser, runner-up to Nacarat in this 12 months ago before scoring at Cheltenham. Should have come on for recent run over hurdles at Ffos Las.

    Quantitativeeasing has struggled since landing valuable 21f Cheltenham handicap in December 2011, but been given big chance in the weights.

    Quinz won this off current mark 2 seasons ago. Seen out only 3 times since, though, pulled up each occasion, but interesting if problems are behind him.

    Wyck Hill has been progressing really well and scored again in 3m Ascot handicap in December from improving Katenko. Bought privately since by leading owner and more big-race success likely forthcoming.

    Duke of Lucca was uccessful 3 times in novice campaign over fences last term and ran well when second to Roberto Goldback on return at Ascot. Ran poorly in Hennessy but been given break since.

    Opening Batsmen was a fairly useful hurdler for Paul Nicholls and has made up into an even better chaser, second to Rolling Aces in between victories at Plumpton and Wincanton (21f, handicap). Not sure to stay 3m.

    Same Difference was a fairly useful hurdler last term and has taken well to fences, getting off mark at Leicester (3m). Good effort behind Unioniste at Newbury last time and could have more to offer.

    Mister Hyde’s chasing form has taken off this time around fitted with visor, winning at Market Rasen and over C&D. Came in for aggressive ride at Sandown last time and worth keeping on side.

    Summery Justice is not the best of jumpers but has good strike-rate when completing, successful in 3m Perth handicap chase last April. Third at Sandown on comeback but wouldn’t be sure to build on it.

    VERDICT: Rolling Aces is progressing well and can become the fourth novice to win this race following Gloria Victis (2000), La Landiere (2003), and Quinz (2011). The last-named has had his problems since his victory but connections have stuck with him and he could be interesting, though a stronger case can obviously be made for the improving Wyck Hill.

    View from trainer GORDON ELLIOTT on his runners today:

    15:10 Fairyhouse – Realt Mor

    This is his first run for us since he came over from the Nicky Richards’ yard at the end of January, after being off the track for over a year prior to that. I think he is quite a nice horse, and he has been doing everything right at home since his arrival, working and jumping well. He had some decent form over hurdles in the UK where he had an OR of 127, and I would expect that he will be very competitive over fences if we can get him back to that level.

    Davy Condon takes the ride and we have the tongue strap on for the first time, so I am expecting a good run from him here with one eye on the future as he looks a nice prospect.

    14:55 Newcastle – Tarquinius

    He’s been in good form since he finished second to Jandanli, beaten a head, in the Thyestes Chase at Gowran Park towards the end of January. This race is over one mile further than that, but to be honest he stays all day and I’m confident he will get the trip. My only worry would be that he doesn’t look too well handicapped now on the face of things, and he has to contend with a 13lbs rise in the weights, running off an OR of 136 now compared to 123 in the Thyestes.

    As per usual, it’s a fiercely competitive handicap in which he is set to carry 11st 1lbs but he is ultra-consistent and as tough as they come. If he can reproduce the form he has been showing of late I am confident he can run well here with Jason Maguire in the plate.

    Milesey

    • Milesey 5 years ago

      ————————————————–
      SATURDAY 23RD FEBRUARY 2013

      ————————————————–

      HORSE RACING TIPS
      ——————

      1.00 FAIRYHOUSE
      DOGORA 1.77
      ———–
      Had to work very hard last time out to justify being odds on favourite that day, and the same will apply to day if going to keep the unbeaten record going. Will have certainly come on from last run out when had to grind out the win, and could come under threat today by STOCKTONS WING, taking a big risk on this French raider but fully expect it to again battle to success. Peoples opinions differ and i have heard it talked as a “LAY” as people side with STOCKTONS WING. Short priced favourite, you decide !

      1.35 CHEPSTOW
      PAY THE KING 1.31
      ——————
      This horse has been slipped into this race by the cunning Paul Nicholls as he gives this horse the best oppurtunity to make a winning debut over hurdles. One of the best novices in the Nicholls yard comes up against very modest opposition.

      2.05 KEMPTON
      IRISH SAINT 1.75
      —————–
      Last time out couldn’t hold off rolling star, but it’s still in top class form for a juvenile. Won easily over C&D on his uk debut, and should learn from last time out. Paul Nicholls has a great record in this race and won it in 2011 with Zarkandar.

      2.20 NEWCASTLE
      ROBBIE 2.12
      ————
      Robbie has to defy a 9lb rise after landing a treble at Doncaster last time out, this will of cause make things tougher, but this horse on the up and gets better with every race and i expect it to defy the weight today and go on to win

      2.35 FAIRYHOUSE
      SEABASS 3.35
      ————
      Seabass began his preparation for the National with an eye-catching second behind Rock Critic over hurdles here at the beginning of the month and he’s taken seriously, Katy Walsh on board today, so national jockey is back on the horse for this trip.

      2.40 KEMPTON
      MOLOTOF 2.08
      ————-
      Molotof won with ease 2 weeks ago at Warwick, and there is still alot more to come based on that run, been put upto a mark of 152 after that win.

      3.40 LINGFIELD
      WELSH INLET 8.2
      —————–
      5lb Taken off, back down to a useful mark, could get very competative again in this race today.

      3.50 KEMPTON
      ROLLING ACES 4.7
      —————-
      Paul Nicholls has saddled the favourite in the last five years and Rolling Aces will be popular with punters here. Progressive, he’s on a hat-trick.

      2.55 NEWCASTLE
      TARQUINIUS 10.5 E/W
      ——————
      Tarquinius makes the trip over from Ireland Winner of five chases from 2m 5f to 3m 3f on ground varying from good to soft to heavy. Beaten a head by Jadanli when second of 18 at 25-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Gowran Park over 3m 1f (heavy) last month. Gordon Elliot trained, and Jason Maguire in the saddle.

      Race in focus 3.50 Kempton :
      What A Friend has not won since Aintree Bowl success of 2010, again failing to impress with attitude in latest renewal of that race when last seen. Down in grade with blinkers left off on return.

      Nacarat is a Grade 1 winner whose form has been patchy in recent years, though successful in this from 1 lb lower 12 months ago from Hector’s Choice. Folded tamely latest start at Aintree.

      Roberto Goldback was better than ever when landing 3m Ascot handicap on first start for this yard in November and has had excuses since. Been given a chance by the handicapper.

      Rolling Aces is a point/hurdles winner whose Newbury (2¾m) handicap success in December represents really strong form. Went in again at Wincanton on Boxing Day and has a lot more to offer over fences.

      Hector’s Choice is a smart handicap chaser, runner-up to Nacarat in this 12 months ago before scoring at Cheltenham. Should have come on for recent run over hurdles at Ffos Las.

      Quantitativeeasing has struggled since landing valuable 21f Cheltenham handicap in December 2011, but been given big chance in the weights.

      Quinz won this off current mark 2 seasons ago. Seen out only 3 times since, though, pulled up each occasion, but interesting if problems are behind him.

      Wyck Hill has been progressing really well and scored again in 3m Ascot handicap in December from improving Katenko. Bought privately since by leading owner and more big-race success likely forthcoming.

      Duke of Lucca was uccessful 3 times in novice campaign over fences last term and ran well when second to Roberto Goldback on return at Ascot. Ran poorly in Hennessy but been given break since.

      Opening Batsmen was a fairly useful hurdler for Paul Nicholls and has made up into an even better chaser, second to Rolling Aces in between victories at Plumpton and Wincanton (21f, handicap). Not sure to stay 3m.

      Same Difference was a fairly useful hurdler last term and has taken well to fences, getting off mark at Leicester (3m). Good effort behind Unioniste at Newbury last time and could have more to offer.

      Mister Hyde’s chasing form has taken off this time around fitted with visor, winning at Market Rasen and over C&D. Came in for aggressive ride at Sandown last time and worth keeping on side.

      Summery Justice is not the best of jumpers but has good strike-rate when completing, successful in 3m Perth handicap chase last April. Third at Sandown on comeback but wouldn’t be sure to build on it.

      VERDICT: Rolling Aces is progressing well and can become the fourth novice to win this race following Gloria Victis (2000), La Landiere (2003), and Quinz (2011). The last-named has had his problems since his victory but connections have stuck with him and he could be interesting, though a stronger case can obviously be made for the improving Wyck Hill.

      View from trainer GORDON ELLIOTT on his runners today:

      15:10 Fairyhouse – Realt Mor

      This is his first run for us since he came over from the Nicky Richards’ yard at the end of January, after being off the track for over a year prior to that. I think he is quite a nice horse, and he has been doing everything right at home since his arrival, working and jumping well. He had some decent form over hurdles in the UK where he had an OR of 127, and I would expect that he will be very competitive over fences if we can get him back to that level.

      Davy Condon takes the ride and we have the tongue strap on for the first time, so I am expecting a good run from him here with one eye on the future as he looks a nice prospect.

      14:55 Newcastle – Tarquinius

      He’s been in good form since he finished second to Jandanli, beaten a head, in the Thyestes Chase at Gowran Park towards the end of January. This race is over one mile further than that, but to be honest he stays all day and I’m confident he will get the trip. My only worry would be that he doesn’t look too well handicapped now on the face of things, and he has to contend with a 13lbs rise in the weights, running off an OR of 136 now compared to 123 in the Thyestes.

      As per usual, it’s a fiercely competitive handicap in which he is set to carry 11st 1lbs but he is ultra-consistent and as tough as they come. If he can reproduce the form he has been showing of late I am confident he can run well here with Jason Maguire in the plate.

      Milesey

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