I PUT all my eggs in one basket – or should that be a Hornets’ nest – on Tuesday but came up trumps thanks to Watford.
For the first time on the top tips I staked a full 10 points on the Super Single and Watford powered to the summit of the Championship with a 2-0 win at Wigan.
I tipped them at 7-5 for a 14-point profit but gave two points back on a partial cover when they led 1-0 – and that’s the right policy when playing with maximum points. Watford even drifted to 31-20 so well done those who profited.
Opinions were divided about the Vicarage Road men though and while Wigan looked to have played well enough they still haven’t won at home since August.
So the Super Single’s potentially one win from returning to profit and the goals single remains slightly up after no points were staked yesterday.
I advised 2.5pts on the Top Treble of Ipswich, Wolves and Atletico Madrid for those not siding with the Super Single and that won at 11-2 – a day after Monday’s 9-1 Top Treble success.
My Champions League calls were also spot on as I tipped Arsenal to win on the night in Monaco at 11-8 but not qualify and Aaron Ramsay to score at 10-3. I also backed Atletico Madrid to win in 90 minutes and to qualify at 11-10 although they needed penalties to see off Bayer Leverkusen.
It’s a much quieter Wednesday with two Champions League games dominating. After failing to beat Burnley at the weekend Man City try to put one over Barcelona.
City should be dead and buried but only trail 2-1 after Lionel Messi’s missed penalty left the contest better balanced than it should be. However, I can’t see anything but a Barca win tonight and they are just 4-9 with Betfred.
City are 15-2 at McBookie to win in Spain and 10-1 with bet365 and BetVictor to qualify.
Best bet could be both to score as Barca have been conceding to most teams in recent matches – the likes of Granada, Rayo and Villarreal. That pays 2-3 at Ladbrokes.
Messi took plenty of stick for his spot-kick cock-up and botched effort from the rebound but I expect him to answer back with a goal. He is 16-5 at BetVictor to score first and just 3-5 with McBookie to net at any time.
Tonight’s other tie also sits at 2-1 but it’s in favour of away side Juventus who head for Borussia Dortmund.
Juve will defend that lead with their lives and it’s possible they’ll shut out the Germans with a 0-0 – that’s been the scoreline in Dortmund’s last two Bundesliga outings against ordinary opponents.
A bet on no scorer pays 10-1 at Coral but I’m taking Juve to sccore at 2-5 (various) while the draw is 5-2 at boylesports. I expect Juve to qualify by avoiding defeat and they are 8-15 at bet365 to do so.
On the domestic scene Celtic and Dundee Utd meet again – this time for a place in the Scottish Cup semi-finals. Celtic should be on a high after their League Cup success and I’m on them at 3-10 with bet365.
I tipped Kris Commons to score first on Sunday (as well as 2-0 Celtic) and I’m on him again at 9-2 with bet365.
In Scottish League Two third-placed Arbroath entertain leaders Albion Rovers and I’m taking over 2.5 goals as my goals single. It should be a hard-fought game and if Arbroath hadn’t won at the weekend for the first time in nine games I’d have backed against them.
However, having stopped the rot there is every possibility the Gayfield side will start looking up and remember a few months ago they were short-priced title favourites. Rovers have won three in a row, scoring eight goals, while three of Arbroath’s last foru have gone over 2.5.
This season it was 1-0 Arbroath in Angus but the previous four meetings went over 2.5 goals including – all home wins – including 6-2 and 6-1.
After studying the card carefully I’m going with Nottingham Forest to beat Rotherham as the Super Single. There’s been a remarkable transformation around the City Ground since Dougie Freedman replaced Stuart Pearce with his men winning four in a row at home and beating the likes of Bournemouth and Middlesbrough.
They netted four v Bolton and three v Wigan and should see off a Rotherham side who have lost four of their last six including at home to Wigan at the weekend. Big recent losses at Wolves (5-0) and Watford (3-0) suggest Forest can score at least two but those are much lower than the straight win.
Forest are unbeaten in 14 meetings with the Millers and their only home defeat came back in 1955.
It would be remiss of me to put up a Top Treble after those 9-1 and 11-2 win and I’m starting with Spanish side Alaves. I don’t follow Liga Adelante too closely but have noticed the ongoings on at Osasuna and the matchfixing scandal regarding their La Liga meeting with Espanyol at the end of last season.
The investigations seem to have affected morale on and off the field and Osasuna head to Alaves, who are pretty strong at home, on a run of just one point in six outings. Alaves look worth risking at 23-20 with BetVictor and William Hill.
Let’s give the Top Treble a real go with Forest to score three or more and Commons to net at any time against Dundee United.
5pts Super Single
1.5pts Goals Single
Arbroath v Albion Rovers over 2.5 goals
(20-21, BetVictor, McBookie)
2.5pts Daily Double
Juventus to score
(1-1, Betfred, BetVictor)
1pt Top Treble
Nottm Forest to score 3+
Commons to score
Perm any 2 and all 3 (4 bets at 0.25pts)
Treble pays 15-1, Betfred
Super Single March record
18 bets (6 winners, 10 losers, 2 void)
March goals record
14 bets (7 winners, 7 losers)
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