Feb 11: Mr Fixit’s Top Tips

MRF_TopTips

IT’S been a week of cup misery – and I wish I’d taken it off.

We all know these games are a minefield but I’ve tried to check as much team news as possible and gone with results based on info gathering.

I’ve said before if you can hold off having a bet until line-ups are revealed that’s the best policy. Last night for example PSG and Bayern had to be backed after seeing teams and having already picked the French I advised the Germans on the handicaps.

And hopefully I put most of you off the Barcelona -1AH Super Single after it was revealed Luis  nrique was playing his reserves despite earlier suggesting he’d field a strong team at Valencia with an unbeaten club record at stake.

My second Super Single was even more disappointing because everything pointed to a St Etienne win at Troyes – and they did but only after extra time.

It was two out of three on my Top Treble thanks to PSG and btts at Peterborough but I was let down by Hearts winning at Ross County. Hearts did well to pull out a good result with all their personnel problems.

So in the space of a week I’ve gone from profit to loss and from now on I won’t tip foreign cup matches until team news is confirmed or line-ups revealed. That always been my advice to punters and I’m going to listen to myself.

Even Greg Browning was caught out on the cups with his Austrian goals tip missing out.

So I won’t make a call on the Spanish Cup semi-final second leg between Celta Vigo and Sevilla with the away side leading 4-0 and nothing yet on the French Cup clash between Trelissac and Marseille even if I’m tempted by the Ligue One side.

Minnows Trelissac stunned Lille in the previous round but this match has been moved from their home venue to Bordeaux and that will give Marseille an edge. They are no bigger than 3-10 at Ladbrokes and Coral.

The Italian game isn’t a cup game – it’s a Serie A clash. Yippee! However, before you get too excited I can’t lump on Lazio who are 8-15 favourites at home to basement boys Verona.

Lazio are expected to win but their form is worse than their visitors with no goals scored in four of their last five – two defeats and two 0-0s. The Romans are missing Stefan de Vrij, Lucas Biglia, Kishna and Stefan Radu while Marco Parolo is banned.

Verona have closed the gap on Frosinone and Carpi to four points thanks to a run of five games unbeaten and were unlucky to just draw 3-3 with Inter at the weekend after beating Atlanta 2-1.

They have in four of their last five in contrast to Lazio and also drawn four of these matches. Verona are written off at 6-1 with the likes of Betfred while the draw is 7-2. Verona also have selection problems and must to without injured Samuel Souprayen, Ante Rebic, Luca Siligardi and Federico Viviani while Luca Marrone is suspended.

There isn’t much else on the go tonight so there may be no tips unless Marseille go full strength and I decide to back them on the handicaps or some other market.

Remember to check We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.

February Super Single Total

12 bets (6 winners)

Loss: 1pt

February Advised Accas Total

17 bets (4 winners)

Loss: 4.33pts

65 Comments
  1. Profile photo of kyle b
    kyle b 10 months ago

    Wednesdays Bet

    PSG WIN
    Ross County Double Chance
    Evens (2.01)
    Ladbrokes

    **LOST**

    February Tipping Record

    Won: 3
    Lost: 2
    Win Percentage: 60%

    —————————————————————————————————————-

    Most probably a miserable night for a lot of punters out there tonight, think ive found a gem
    for Saturday with Everton Over 1.5 goals at 8/11 at Boylesports given West Broms defensive frailties,
    Ive doubled this with Sheff Weds to score at home to Brentford on Saturday afternoon. I decided to take this drastically early as I can only see this shortening over the next few days. No bet day for me Thursday and Friday so good luck to all over the next couple of days.

    Saturdays Bet

    Everton Over 1.5 goals
    Sheff W Over 0.5 goals
    11/10 (2.11)
    Boylesports

  2. Profile photo of hampy
    hampy 10 months ago

    Al kuwait win
    Man utd u21 v man city u21s over 2.5 match goals

    Double pays 4/5

    Last couple head to heads between the manc u21s has resulted in over 3.5 landing. Both sides getting a win each.

    Only bet today. Perfect time to get weekend research in.

  3. Profile photo of radu
    radu 10 months ago

    Deportivo Saprissa – CS Uruguay
    – over 2.5 goals @ 3/4 (NB)
    Won

  4. Profile photo of kelly.d
    kelly.d 10 months ago

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
    Kelly’s top bets of the day

    €20 accum returns 231
    internacional rs and over 2.5 4/5
    coritiba fbc over 1.5 team goals 5/6
    fluminense rj -1 11/10
    paok salonika over 1.5 team goals 4/6
    +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

  5. Profile photo of -wato-
    -wato- 10 months ago

    Friday

    France – Ligue 2 7pm
    Dijon v Sochaux
    Under 3.5 Match Goals

    Spain – Primera Division 7.30pm
    Sporting Gijon v Rayo Vallecano
    Sporting Gijon Over 0.5 Team Goals

    England – League One 7.45pm
    Burton Albion v Chesterfield
    Burton Albion Over 0.5 Team Goals

    4/5 (Betway)

    • Profile photo of warktheline
      warktheline 10 months ago

      @wato,will follow, been enjoying how you put together these bets!😃

    • Profile photo of redboy100
      redboy100 10 months ago

      wato, I’m a follower of yours and must say your record is quite good!
      thanks for your time and hard work researching you must put in,
      leaches like me appreciate this as ive not got the time to do research myself
      good luck to us, thanks again

      • Profile photo of -wato-
        -wato- 10 months ago

        Warktheline, redboy thanks for the messages guys I’m glad you have been on a few of the winners recently hope tomorrow’s is the same. I’m due to be out tomorrow night so hope to get looking at the Saturday games tonight and get something on here. Good luck guys I hope this one wins even more now knowing that you guys are on it with me

    • Profile photo of superjim
      superjim 10 months ago

      Missed your last win as was in the middle of nowhere. So this next tip will be Wato day 1 for me.

      • Profile photo of -wato-
        -wato- 10 months ago

        Jim I was wondering the other night if you were on it and was desperately hoping Eastleigh didn’t score a third late on lol shame you couldn’t get on it but hope we get a winner tomorrow night too mate

        • Profile photo of superjim
          superjim 10 months ago

          It was a good bet all the way. Pity I missed it. Flippin Aberdeenshire countryside.

          For Friday, I might add Hearts to score or Wigan to score to get it up to evens. Any thoughts on that Wato?

  6. Profile photo of ghunt11
    ghunt11 10 months ago

    Feel like ive found some value in a very poor card today so here goes –

    Istanbul BB – Caykur Rizespor BTTS
    Robur Siena – Teramo Calcio BTTS
    @3.15

  7. Profile photo of nazalus
    nazalus 10 months ago

    Cant resist a wee bet today.
    Under 19’s Friendly @ 12 o’clock GMT.
    Slovakia v Norway.
    Over 3.5 Match Goals 21/10 @ Hills.
    3 of last 6 Home games have gone over 3.5.
    Slovakia score more at home,so with Norway getting 1 or 2,this overs should come in.

  8. Profile photo of davisam
    davisam 10 months ago

    Valencia into 8/11, I’d be surprised if they went off at any better than 4/7 on Saturday night.

  9. Profile photo of steve
    steve 10 months ago

    PAOK v Panionios Greek cup
    Paok 5 games without a win,Panionios havnt lost in 5

    SS PANIONIOS DOUBLE CHANCE 6/4 WILL HILL
    Small stake Panionios win 6/1 WILL HILL
    GL ALL

  10. Profile photo of davisam
    davisam 10 months ago

    I’ve somehow managed to come out of this week with a decent profit despite all of my main bets losing, I got my 1st BTTS 1st half treble up which returned £434 off a fiver – worth sticking a treble on every week, big returns for small stakes. And a few other winners.
    Anyway, as mentioned previously I fancy Valencia at home to Espanyol strongly and I’ve picked out a fourfold that I’m going on heavily at the weekend, this is with profit, not my own stakes:
    10 POINTS 4 FOLD PAYS 21.6/1
    VALENCIA v espanyol 3/4
    HEARTS v thistle 9/10
    JUVENTUS v napoli 23/20
    orient v NORTHAMPTON

    HEARTS – have been brilliant this season, Nielson has done an absolutely cracking job and if he keeps it up he has to challenge Mcinnes for manager of the year. I’m a thistle fan and we’ve picked up well after a poor start to the season. We haven’t conceded many away from home recently but we don’t offer much of a threat up front away from Firhill so 1 could be enough for Hearts. Even if we do sit back Hearts have the quality to break us down, they’ve been scoring for fun at Tynecastle recently and despite losing Sow they look to have done some good business in January if last nights performance by Dauda is anything to go by. They’ve beaten us 0-4 and 3-0 this season and I feel they’ll be too strong for us again… 2-0

    JUVENTUS – are flying at the moment winning their last 17 domestic matches in a row, winning their last 7 league games without conceding. Allegri essentially admitted that they were complacent at the start of the season and since they’ve realised they have a title fight on their hands they’ve been unstoppable. Napoli have had a fantastic season so far, they’ve been strong at home for the past few seasons but their away form has improved a lot this season which is why they are top of the league. But Juventus have a self-confidence about them that dominating the league for 4 seasons will give you. In those 4 title winning seasons Juventus have won this fixture each time – 3-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1 and I believe that Juventus will win this game on their way to winning yet another Scudetto….2-1

    NORTHAMPTON – if one team beats me it will be them, it was a toss up between Wigan and Northampton for the last leg but I went with Northampton at 21/10. Bookies consistently overprice Northampton and I don’t know why, they’ve won 13 out of their last 15 league games! Nolan has had a decent impact on Leyton Orient but they’re still patchy at home losing 2 of their last 3 by 3 goals to 1 against lesser teams that this weekends opposition. I fancy Northampton to sneak this… 1-2

    £100 4fold pays £2216 – off to Berlin on Sunday and it would be a nice wee boost to collect this but if not, I’ll enjoy it anyway and go back to lower stakes next week. Playing with profit so for me, it’s worth the risk.

    • Profile photo of bluemooner1894
      bluemooner1894 10 months ago

      Nice write up mate & gd luck, but u cld also consider doing Northampton Dnb which wld still be a nice return & cover the little doubt u have about them?
      But here it’d ur decision & I wish u luck & enjoy ur holiday!

      • Profile photo of davisam
        davisam 10 months ago

        Probably a good shout mate but the deed is done! lol, you’re probably right though! Might see what that would return, coz I could cash out for a few quid loss just now and rebet…

    • Profile photo of superjim
      superjim 10 months ago

      Love the 1st half btts win. Great stuff.

      • Profile photo of davisam
        davisam 10 months ago

        Cheers mate, aye it was a nice little unexpected one – had it in the Stuttgart, Oxford and Bromley games on Tuesday. Had £2 on 3-1 Reus in the Stuttgart game as well which was decent. My main bets were all beat too!!

    • Profile photo of webber
      webber 10 months ago

      Ive done hearts,Valencia,Juventus but have benfica,nottm forest instead of Northampton,all the best

  11. Profile photo of steve
    steve 10 months ago

    MR F
    Why are all my comments awaiting moderation?

  12. Profile photo of big mac
    big mac 10 months ago

    The only game to look at for me today is lazio v Verona

    The WDW market lazio 4/9 Verona 13/2 the draw 7/2

    Lazio are the most likely winners but their current lack of goals is a major concern and even though they have won 6 of the last 7 home games against Verona drawing the other 4/9 is way to short for me

    BTTS is evens

    The stats would make this bet interesting for me only once in the last 9 meetings have both teams failed to score, but lazio have failed to score in their last 3 league games and Verona have only 19 goals all season on current form I will not playing on this market.

    Over 2.5 17/20. Under 2.5 19/20

    This fixture has a history of goals and I would have been playing thei overs market on stats but on current form I’d suggest the under 2.5 is the way to but for me this is a no bet market.

    The market that does interest me is the over 5.5 cards
    And the red card market and here is why

    The fixture has a history of cards, 3 of the last for meetings have seen red cards including two in one game 3 for lazio and 1 for Verona, both teams average 2.6 cards per game
    This season so far
    Verona 64 yellow & 2 red
    Lazio 63 yellow & 5 red

    i can see Verona frustrating lazio in the game and players losing their tempers which will hopefully result in cards.

    Suggested bets

    2 pts over 5.5 cards @ 4/6 bet365 *NAP*
    1 pt red card yes @ 2/1 paddy power *NB*
    0.5 pt lazio red card @ 7/1 paddy power ( long shot)

    Updated totals

    3 bets ( 2 wins)
    Profit 6.56 pts

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 10 months ago

      big mac, good write-up. Lazio are the better side but look too short to back.
      Good to see your alternatives to WDW.

    • Profile photo of gg1a
      gg1a 10 months ago

      well done again big mac , another double if mind serves me right,
      u will be dieting soon .. thats another happy meal :)

  13. Profile photo of kelly.d
    kelly.d 10 months ago

    €20 rubin kazan game over 1.5 fhg 5/4 returns 45

  14. Profile photo of cyrus
    cyrus 10 months ago

    Been following the site for a few years now and thought it was time to start posting!

    Sevilla
    Lazio
    Marseille

    All over 1.5 match goals- 7/10

  15. Profile photo of ghunt11
    ghunt11 10 months ago

    Feel like ive found some value in a very poor card today so here goes –

    Istanbul BB – Caykur Rizespor BTTS
    Robur Siena – Teramo Calcio BTTS
    @3.15

    ** LOST at first hurdle – this is reason why should stick to small stakes on cards like today so luckily not too much damage

  16. Profile photo of capone31
    capone31 10 months ago

    Davisam, I love btts 1st half, Tue was some night for it! Must have been 5/6 together that came in, would be £1000’s

  17. Profile photo of steveyot
    steveyot 10 months ago

    Hello Mr F, an news on these Xmas competition free bets, 2 weeks since I last posted and still not credited, cheers.

  18. Profile photo of capone31
    capone31 10 months ago

    ASA Tel Aviv W

    Over 1.5 fhg @1.825

    Asa will be looking to bounce back after getting hammered last game. These were my breadwinner in the past!

  19. Profile photo of liam_l
    liam_l 10 months ago

    Keeping it simply tonight.

    DROGHEDA vs CORK CITY

    MAN U u21 vs MAN C u21

    OVER 2.5 goals double

    @2.15 bet365

    • Profile photo of mrfurious
      mrfurious 10 months ago

      That bloody Cork game only had 40 minutes for each half! Had only a couple of quid on the goals anyway.

  20. Profile photo of gg1a
    gg1a 10 months ago

    mr f .. watched troyes game , their freekick was a cracker
    do u not fancy valencia @ w\end .. for a s\s
    neville has more to lose than our bet !
    surely they,ll win this one

    • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
      Mr Fixit 10 months ago

      gg1a, the shortlist is from UK games. Valencia should win but they’re too short for a Super Single and maybe even too short to trust.

      • Profile photo of Mr Fixit Author
        Mr Fixit 10 months ago

        Steven Fletcher starts for Marseille in what looks to be a half-strength team.
        Is that enough to put me off backing them? Probably
        Marseille: Mandanda Manquillo, Rolando, Rekik, De Ceglie, Isla, Romao, Alessandrini, Thauvin, Nkoudou, Fletcher. Subs: Pele, Sparagna, Diaby, Silva, Barrada, Batshuyai, Sarr.

  21. Profile photo of capone31
    capone31 10 months ago

    ASA Tel Aviv W

    Over 1.5 fhg @1.825 lost

    Really poor from them lately, will avoid in future!

  22. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    just a wee accy tonite on the poor card for an interest

    Lazio o1.5mgs, Marseille win, carrick rangers o2.5tgs, celta vigo o2.5mgs just over 3/1

  23. Profile photo of gg1a
    gg1a 10 months ago

    inplay friendly … cork match
    ova 1.5 fhg
    11\10

  24. Profile photo of steve
    steve 10 months ago

    PAOK V PANIONIOS

    SS Panionios Double chance 6/4 will hill

    ————WINNER—————-
    Hope some of you were on.

  25. Profile photo of watabanker
    watabanker 10 months ago

    carrick game btts
    lazio game btts

  26. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    covered ma 4 fold trelissac dc 9/1 ye never know…………..

  27. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    philly v fire friendly 1-1 23mins take a wee stab in play o4.5mgs 11/8

  28. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    jeez oh 7 goals in rome a was struggling to see that one going o2.5 tbh…………

  29. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    just a wee accy tonite on the poor card for an interest

    Lazio o1.5mgs, Marseille win, carrick rangers o2.5tgs, celta vigo o2.5mgs just over 3/1 WON

  30. Profile photo of zico06
    zico06 10 months ago

    Thanks crane. Left out Carrick Rangers but still a good return.

  31. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    couple of nite owls worth a wee look see

    Corinthians, santa fe o1.5mgs 7/10
    santa fe o2.5tgs 7/4
    santa fe o1.5fhgs 2/1
    santa fe o3.5mgs 11/4

  32. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    philly v fire friendly 1-1 23mins take a wee stab in play o4.5mgs 11/8 WON 64 mins gallus………..

  33. Profile photo of zico06
    zico06 10 months ago

    Jesus crane your on a roll . 2/2 so far. V Nice.

  34. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    cheers Z it was no more than a wee punt for an interest tbh WD sir…………

  35. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    Z will no doubt will go paps up on the nite owls lol SA’s been kin honkin since the restarts ………… 😀

    jordans’ posted a few good winners in mexico though seems to be most consistent results over there atm……….

  36. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    not a bet am too keen on but watching the guarani game in play take a stab on

    25 mins in under 1.5mgs 13/8

    • Profile photo of harrybaines
      harrybaines 10 months ago

      decided to go for this now @2.00 decimal odds.

      Seems like a good price. I normally see under 1.5 alot shorter. That teams away games have a lot of goals in so hopefully its not a goal fest second half

  37. Profile photo of zico06
    zico06 10 months ago

    Ok cheers, no more bets for me I think.

  38. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    first bet Friday

    Brisbane roar win btts 8/5

  39. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    not a bet am too keen on but watching the guarani game in play take a stab on

    25 mins in under 1.5mgs 13/8 LOST 1-1 now

  40. Profile photo of craneguy
    craneguy 10 months ago

    Corinthians 2-1 atm cover avail on my main nite owl 7/10 double santa fe under 1.5mgs 11/5 al let it run though…………

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