IT’S been a week of cup misery – and I wish I’d taken it off.
We all know these games are a minefield but I’ve tried to check as much team news as possible and gone with results based on info gathering.
I’ve said before if you can hold off having a bet until line-ups are revealed that’s the best policy. Last night for example PSG and Bayern had to be backed after seeing teams and having already picked the French I advised the Germans on the handicaps.
And hopefully I put most of you off the Barcelona -1AH Super Single after it was revealed Luis nrique was playing his reserves despite earlier suggesting he’d field a strong team at Valencia with an unbeaten club record at stake.
My second Super Single was even more disappointing because everything pointed to a St Etienne win at Troyes – and they did but only after extra time.
It was two out of three on my Top Treble thanks to PSG and btts at Peterborough but I was let down by Hearts winning at Ross County. Hearts did well to pull out a good result with all their personnel problems.
So in the space of a week I’ve gone from profit to loss and from now on I won’t tip foreign cup matches until team news is confirmed or line-ups revealed. That always been my advice to punters and I’m going to listen to myself.
Even Greg Browning was caught out on the cups with his Austrian goals tip missing out.
So I won’t make a call on the Spanish Cup semi-final second leg between Celta Vigo and Sevilla with the away side leading 4-0 and nothing yet on the French Cup clash between Trelissac and Marseille even if I’m tempted by the Ligue One side.
Minnows Trelissac stunned Lille in the previous round but this match has been moved from their home venue to Bordeaux and that will give Marseille an edge. They are no bigger than 3-10 at Ladbrokes and Coral.
The Italian game isn’t a cup game – it’s a Serie A clash. Yippee! However, before you get too excited I can’t lump on Lazio who are 8-15 favourites at home to basement boys Verona.
Lazio are expected to win but their form is worse than their visitors with no goals scored in four of their last five – two defeats and two 0-0s. The Romans are missing Stefan de Vrij, Lucas Biglia, Kishna and Stefan Radu while Marco Parolo is banned.
Verona have closed the gap on Frosinone and Carpi to four points thanks to a run of five games unbeaten and were unlucky to just draw 3-3 with Inter at the weekend after beating Atlanta 2-1.
They have in four of their last five in contrast to Lazio and also drawn four of these matches. Verona are written off at 6-1 with the likes of Betfred while the draw is 7-2. Verona also have selection problems and must to without injured Samuel Souprayen, Ante Rebic, Luca Siligardi and Federico Viviani while Luca Marrone is suspended.
There isn’t much else on the go tonight so there may be no tips unless Marseille go full strength and I decide to back them on the handicaps or some other market.
Remember to check We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
February Super Single Total
12 bets (6 winners)
February Advised Accas Total
17 bets (4 winners)