MARIN CILIC faces the toughest test of his US Open defence tonight when he battles top seed Novak Djokovic in the semi-finals.
Cilic – who overcome Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in a five-set thriller in the previous round – is unfancied to make it the final with Boylesports currently best price of 13-2 for the Croat to KO the world No.1.
Djokovic, who has won all 13 matches against Cilic and beat him in the Wimbledon quarters this year, is 1-7 at Paddy Power and 15-16 at marathonbet for a straight-sets win while over 3.5 sets pays 19-17 at 10bet.
It's a similar story in the women's last four with Serena Williams huge favourite at 1-12 with Marathonbet to dispose of Roberta Vinci, who is in her first Grand Slam semi-final and available at 12-1 with BetVictor.
Other sporting highlights today include the NFL season opener – New England v Pittsburgh – plus a Castleford v St Helens Super League clash and Tour of Britain cycling stage five. Good luck with your bets and post your tips and chat here.
I would have thought 4/1 for Anderson was a good bet for anyone not already on the big man. Not watching so I could be off here, but surely has a decent chance
Small bet to get the NFL ball rolling.
Tom Brady was the talk of the off season with the deflation scandal but last week had his 4 match suspension LIFTED ;) and will be a man on a mission in the opener against Pittsburgh. Rob Gronkowski is one of the hardest men to cover in the game and probably the best if not second best Tight End behind Jimmy Graham. His speed and size is a match up that nobody can handle and is 4/7 to score a TD on its own. He scored 15 TD’s in 18 games last year and is probably Bradys best target in the red zone but can also break a tackle or 5 and take it to the house for 50 yards. The Steelers will be without two big players. Running back Le’Veon Bell who is easily a top 5 Running Back, and Martavis Bryant who can take the top off any defense, so Antonio Brown is going to have his work cut out. Pittsburgh also lost their veteran safety to retirement in the way of long locked Troy Polumalu and they weren’t the best secondary last season even with him, ranking 27th overall in passing defense.
NFL – Friday – 1:30AM
Rob Gronkowski To Score A Touchdown And New England Patriots To Win @ 11/10 @ WillHill – 2 points
Jordan do Bet 365 do this bet I can’t seem to find it? I’m also with Paddy Power and Skybet
Gary only WillHill as I’m aware. I’d open an account with them. Doesn’t cost anything and they’re the only firm who do the best wincasts in my opinion.
2015-16 NFL Ante Posts
Posted this a few months ago so prices may have varied
Packers
Seahawks
Colts
All to win their division @ 6/5 @ PP – 10 points
_______________________________________________________________
Colts/Packers Super Bowl 50 Finalists @ 25/1 @ Skybet – 1 point – Like the chief I think its either Andrew Lucks time to get a ring, Russell Wilsons 3rd consecutive Super Bowl appearance, or Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers not to botch an onside kick recovery in the NFC Championship and take the Lombardi Trophy back to Title Town again.
Colts/Seahawks Super Bowl 50 Finalists @ 16/1 @ Skybet – 1 point
Super Bowl 50 Outside Shot – Philadelphia Eagles @ 16/1 @ Skybet – 0.5 a point EW 2 places @ 1/2
Outsider Finalists – Colts/Eagles @ 50/1 @ Skybet – 0.5 a point
Seems a brave bet picking the Eagles but Sam Bradford is being picked to be the comeback player of the year. If he can stay healthy then that might be the case. He’ll have ex college team mate DeMarco Murray at his side, with first round WR Nelson Agholor and last years 2nd round WR Jordan Matthews. They have two very dangerous players backing up Murray in Darren Sproles and Kenjon Barner. Quite possibly could have the best return game in the league.
Adrian Peterson Most Rushing Yards @ 5/1 @ Skybet – 1 point EW 3 places @ 1/4 – If AP can stay healthy and play every game then this is in with a chance. His last full 16 game season he won the league MVP with 2,097 yards. He has had 8 years in the league but only played 3 full seasons. Lets say he has a fairly healthy season this year and plays every game. If you were to add up the 6 seasons he’s played 14+ games, he’d average 1,524 yards over 15 games. That would have put him 2nd overall last year behind DeMarco Murray. Peterson has vowed to beat Eric Dickersons regular season record of 2,105 yards (he was only 8 yards away in 2012).
Andrew Luck Most Passing Yards @ 10/3 @ Stan James – 1 point EW 4 places @ 1/4 – Not much needs to be said here with the chiefs Super Bowl write up. Luck probably has the best ammunition around him in the NFL this year and as long as he can cut down on the picks, he should be up there again, finishing 3rd behind Big Ben and Drew Brees last season.
Julio Jones Most Receiving Yards @ 13/2 @ Skybet – 1 point EW 3 places @ 1/4 – Jones looks lonely on the depth chart with two ageing vets Roddy White and Devin Hester the only two other real threats on the receiving side of the ball with Harry Douglas going to Tennessee. He finished 3rd overall last year with 1,593 yards from 103 receptions through 15 games and has the QB Matty Ice to get the job done. Biggest threat in their side and I’m chancing him to be the top receiver with a hope of a place.
JJ Watt Defensive Player Of The Year @ 6/4 @ Ladbrokes – 2 points – Sacks, forced fumbles, fumble recoveries, interceptions, even line him up as a Tight End on the goal line. Is there anything JJ Watt can’t do? Probably not. Decent price for somebody who almost won the regular season MVP last season. Last defensive player to do that was the Giants Linebacker Lawrence Taylor in 1986.
Jarryd Hayne To Score A Rushing TD @ 3/1 @ 888 – 2 points
Jarryd Hayne To Score A Kickoff/Return TD @ 9/4 @ 888 – 2 points
Jarryd Hayne has done the unthinkable of turning down a multi million dollar contract in the Rugby League to follow his dream as an undrafted rookie running back in the NFL. He had a big impact for the Niners in pre season and held a place on the 53 man roster. Very dangerous in the return game and the two prices for the rushing and return TD are well priced for his production based off pre season, although didn’t actually score a TD.
Apologies if this is too much, but over the past couple of months on the football and NBA I can afford to splash out on what I think could be a worth while NFL season.
Posted a couple months ago
Green Bay Packers -4 @ 10/11 @ Bwin – 10 points (Out to -6.5 in places)
Posted last week
Tuesday 15th September – 3:20AM
Minnesota Vikings -2.5 @ 24/25 @ Marathon – 5 points
Do you think the packers -6.5 is still worth it mate?
Nick I wouldn’t advise it mate just in case. What I would suggest is maybe taking alternates spreads as a double @ 365. Packers -2.5 and Vikings +3.5 pays just under EVS. You’ll see a lot of those from me when we start finding out who the big guns are.
Kevin Anderson back to his old boring ways. Yawn.
a tenner each way at 10/3 if he gets placed loses money. and your bet at 5/1 if he gets placed wins £2.50. So surely it would be better to have 1pt on them outright. If they both place you win 83p next year, I guess profit is profit lol
Get in Fed!!!
Correct Max, and if he finishes outside of 4th I lose both stakes. Would rather lose £1.70 than £20 if he doesn’t win…
Obviously I’m placing the bets in thinking they’ll win. Is it that hard to understand? Always questioning, never tipping. Bring on the site changes.
only asking the question bud, a 1pt on the outright is better than 10/3 ew. if he get placed u lose money. U stake 20 on and only get 18.33 back I don’t get that bet. Never mind.
Hollywood Rainham, flip a coin really mate. I never do Over/Under in NFL. Sorry bud.
What happens if Luck gets sacked on his first play and breaks his collarbone? £20 down the drain. When I’m paying you to be my financial adviser I’ll ask you what I should stake. Alright mate?
NFL Antepost
Outright
* Seattle Seahawks @ 5/1 80% stake
* Indianapolis Colts @ 14/1 (now 10/1) 20% stake
Keeping this short but after taking a long time to choose my outright pick I have decided upon my very own Seattle Seahawks. With Jimmy Graham added to the roster Russell Wilson finally has a scoring threat and will give support to offence who heavily rely on play action and the strong yards of marshawn lynch. On defence there is no doubt they are the best in the league and has been the main reason of the Seahawks success the past few years.
Thechief has covered the colts pick and there is not much I need to add to what he has already said although I feel they will come short in the Super Bowl against the Seahawks it definitely has value at that price
I do have a small stake on the packers @ 8/1 wich I bet months ago wich I will now more or less consider a cover bet as im not placing any more money
Super Bowl Finalists
* Indianapolis Colts / Seattle Seahawks @ 16/1
* New England Patriots /Seattle Seahawks@ 14/1
U can never count the pats out the most consistent team in the NFL in my lifetime at least and would not be surprised to see a rematch of last years Super Bowl
Forgot to add Jordan’s division winner bet wich he posted is another I am on, very strong looking bet
NFL Antepost
Highest Scoring Team
* Indianapolis Colts @ 11/2
The colts finishes 5th last season 28 points short of the packers who were top scorers. With Luck mostly depending on TY last season with no one to back him up and a poor run game allowing defences to add extra pass coverage the offensive additions to the colts makes me to believe this in with a high chance. Also taking in fact the colts regular season fixtures are against mostly poor defensive teams
Regular season MVP
* Andrew Luck @ 11/2
One thing I am confident of is the colts having a strong Reguluar season and I am looking forward to see what andre luck can do now he has the weapons around him, he’s going to get MVP someday and this could be his year
The highest scoring team bet is the stronger pick the MVP is a smaller bet. 80% stake on the highest scoring team bet and 20% stake on the MVP
Morning Jordan. First NFL game tonite. I do over & under points. Do you think it will be high scoring?
Cheers for the pennetta and Halep tips Ad. Had 2 singles at 11/5 and 15/8 and s small double. Unfortunately wasted a bit of today’s profit on Anderson. Cheers
Jeez Jordan, relax man! We’re all friends here (well most of us!)
Ad, Max isn’t. All he ever does is question me or tries to determine what my life consists of.
Anderson was a flop last night, but Halep and pennetta winning provided plenty of opportunity for profit. Still, I had some accas that would’ve had me jumping around this if the big man had won, but I guess that’s life!
Great to see Fed cruising, Just hope he does the business again against the Stanimal.
Anderson, useless… Didn’t even try to win… Riddled with unforced errors. Stan was just cruising
Johnb
1 day ago
NFL
Sunday 6pm
Miami Dolphins @ Washington Redskins
MIAMI -3.5 points 20/21 NAP Ladbrokes
MIAMI -10.5 points 5/2 Ladbrokes
Quite simply in my opinion the best bet of week 1
The Redskins could be a contender this season to be winless
Kirk Cousins taking over from Robert Griffin III is a step back and he should expect to be sacked multiple times on Sunday against what could end up one of the best defences this season
The Redskins offensive line of Trent Williams, Shawk Lauvao, Kory Lichtensteiger, Brandon Schreff and Morgan Moses simply won’t handle a defence with Ndamukong Suh, Cameron Wake, Oliver Vernon and Earl Mitchell
Miami in my opinion could win the AFC EAST this season at 9/2 with Bet365
Johnb
21 hrs, 56 mins ago
NFL
Four outsiders that have a decent chance of winning on week 1
Friday 1:30am
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots
PITTSBURGH 5/2 Skybet Betfred Paddy Power
Sunday 9:25pm
Baltimore Ravens @ Denver Broncos
BALTIMORE 19/10 Boylesports
Sunday 9:25pm
Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raiders
OAKLAND 6/4 Bet365 William Hill Paddy Power
Tuesday 12:10am
Philadelphia Eagles @ Atlanta Falcons
ATLANTA 7/5 Boylesports
MIAMI are the main bet this week but these outsiders have a decent chance
Green Bay should be the team to beat this season at 15/2
But a decent outsider could be Miami Dolphins at 28/1
Anderson completely messed me up yesterday, havent been that frustrated watching in a long time.
Going again today
England (cricket)
Djokovic
Federer
Serena
4fold 2/1
Brewers o8.5 @ 1.76 *lost*
Add
Astros o7.5 @ 1.66 *won*
Double @ 2.92 *lost*
Brewers got 4 hits in the first 3 innings (which I watched before going to bed) and then didn’t get another all night.
Tonight’s mlb
Padres o7.5 hits @ 1.74
It’s a limited card on the mlb tonight so I’m going to have a small bet on the nfl.
Patriots to win every quarter @ 12/1
(not a tip by the way)
John hope you’re right about the Packers :) Can’t believe Gruden thinks the best move going forward is with Kirk Cousins. Can see Grimes getting his first pick of the season in that one. A team to go 0-16 is 33/1 @ 365 if you’re interested. I know you like those odds :)
Hollywood Rainham, flip a coin really mate. I never do Over/Under in NFL. Sorry bud.
Ravens would be my outsider pick , strong defence and flaccos playoff record is superb
Beauty of the NFL, you just don’t know who’s going to be in the playoff picture. Hope we’re not using the ‘any given Sunday’ too much haha
Got to agree with John b with his oakland selection Sunday. Don’t know where cincinatti going with Dalton but he must feel like Roberto soldogdo or Falcao when he takes to field no confidence in him and only matter of time before he is benched, oakland showed signs back end of last season of making their home ground a fortress again if they can get the atmosphere to the level it was when they did the 49ers last season then no one will find it easy going to oakland.
No point doing preview of tonight’s game Jordan got it covered
Basketball
Eurobasket 2015
ML Treble
* Spain
Serbia
Greece
Treble @ 9/10
The Spanish have had a mix of performances but have the edge over a German side who have been playing well but don’t seem to have that winning mentality to get over the line wich leaves them with little chance against the Spanish who rarely lose
Serbs will look to keep 100% record going buy edging hosts Italy who are too poor on defence to win this one
Netherlands have been fun to watch this tm having a you score we score attitude but the Greeks are a good team all round and there class should get them an easy win
Jordan not long till we see Michael Bennett put rodgers on his as* buddy too haha
Haha cheers Lee. I think Oakland will surprise a few this season. Cooper looks some player. Needed for Carr. Only worry against the Bengals is Hill on the ground and Green in the air but the QB throwing to them isn’t an issue.
***Posted Yesterday***
MLB Bets For Tonight
Single @ 3/1 (£10) LOST
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays & Over 11.5 Runs (Lost 10-4)
5 Fold @ 30.65/1 (£5) LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates ML (Win 5-4)
San Francisco Giants ML (Lost 2-1)
Tampa Bay Rays & Over 6.5 Runs (Win 8-0)
Texas Rangers & Over 5.5 Runs (Lost 6-0)
Houston Astros & Over 5.5 Runs (Win 11-5)
Any one fancy Cilic to win at least one set tonight?
Tyler we’re gonna have beef if you come out with comments like that during the season ;)
Agreed with hill he is in my fantasy team thus week
Haha Jordan a massive game that is even though it being week 2 home field advantadge is going to be massive in that NFC final
Basketball
Eurobasket 2015
Serbia v Italy
* Serbia HT – FT @ 8/11
Game starting very soon but noticed the big boys are all starting for Serbia when coming out on court. This could get messy for Italy with that poor defence
You better hope Bam Bam the money whore is playing by then mate :)
Lee I’ve done the UK and actual NFL one. Noticed the UK prize is a trip to the pro bowl but wouldn’t be complaining with a week in Hawaii :) Do you know if you can chop and change your team every week in the UK one?
Lol Im sure it will be sorted during the week mate, a good thing that there not thinking about his contract atm and are keeping there concentration on the first game. Don’t think he’s needed against the Rams but he is definetely going to be needed against u cheeseheads
Yeah I think it’ll be sorted sharpish. Better do anyway, could scupper my division treble haha
@picksx
thoughts on:
russia ML
France -6.5
evens
?
Jordan I prefer the UK one as every week you pick a brand new team so it’s simple to do. Normally a score around 130 pts will get you in top 1,000 each week need 180 pts to have chance of weekly winner but a trip to hawaii sounds good
Mlac france will need a win to secure top spot in the group and they should cover but I would be wary of a big lead going into the 4th as they rotate the team a lot so would advise covering it that situation occurs
The Russians have lost all there games and Bosnia picked up a win against Israel in OT they are playing for nothing , bare in mind the Russians have only lost there games by 2 points and have come close to winning all there games and nearly gave the French a scare yesterday it’s tough to call that one but if I had to pick a winner I would probably go with the Russians but wouldn’t be confident of it
@picksix,cheers yeah was a bit wary of the russians, tho they are better than bosnia in nearly every department, though i think i will heed your warning.
not confident enough about spain, and lithuania game will be close, think ill just go for the france spread and cover like you say.
Yeh Lithuania go through too many cold phases for me back to them, Spain have not been as strong this year wich is a good sign as I have france to win it but the Serbs are playing unreal ball at both ends of the court wich is usual what u get from the Spanish . I think spain will contain Schroeder and Nowitzki better than the Italians did in the previous game and edge this one
Afternoon Guys Castleford Tigers v St Helens
The live game on SKY tonight comes from the Jungle, as the Tigers face the reigning champions. It is a must win game for Cas if they are to make the semi finals. Saints go into this match as 2/5 favourites.
Castleford will be without Nathan Massey, Jake Webster through injury and winger Justin Carney for lets say a internal suspension. They will however have captain Michael Shenton and Oliver Holmes back from injury. St Helens have named the same squad that beat Leeds last week.
This is a tough one to call, Cas at home are pretty good winning 9 out of 13 this season, while Saints have lost 6 of their last 10 on the road. It is hard to read much into that win against Leeds last week, they had an extra week to prepare, Leeds were coming off a 6 day turnaround after winning the challenge cup and had 3 key men missing. It was 14-12 at half time, then Saints scored 3 tries in the opening 17 minutes to take the game away from Leeds.
Castleford are normally strong defensively but conceded 30pts or more in 4 of their last 5 games and with the season on the line, I am looking at try scorers in what could be a fairly high scoring contest. The total points is set at 48.5 and If I was to have a bet it would be on the overs.
For Saints Tommy Makinson has missed two months of the season, but still has an impressive strike rate of 15 tries in 19 games, scoring in each of his last 3 games since returning. He is 8/11 at Ladbrokes, however I am doubling him up with Antonio Brown in the NFL, to make a 2/1 double at William Hill.
Adam Quinlan scored a good try last week chiming into the line breaking a tackle and scoring, which ended his mini drought. The Full back is a danger in open space and has scored 5 in 7. He is 5/4 Ladbrokes. For the Tigers I like Denny Solomona, he is replacing the suspended Justin Carney and is a prolific try scorer. He was unlucky to lose his spot when Carney got fit as he scored 13 tries in 6 games whilst deputising. He scored a brilliant try last week and can take advantage of his opportunity tonight he is 1/1 Ladbrokes.
Check team news before betting, especially with the double.
Anytime Scorer Double
MAKINSON & BROWN 2/1
QUINLAN TO SCORE 5/4
SOLOMONA TO SCORE 1/1
Good luck if your having a bet
The return of my favourite sport tonight, and one of my favourite teams, the NFL and the Patriots.
Three recommended bets this evening
TD Scorers: Gronkowski (4/9) and Brown (8/13). Very simple justification. I foresee a high scoring game (see below) due to two of the worst passing defences in the pre season. The Steelers were bottom ranked on DVOA and the Pats 7th from bottom. Both teams are missing their main running back, so both sides will rely heavily on their passing attack. Brown and Gronkowski are the main men for both sides, with both teams missing starting receivers they will be heavily relied on, particularly in the red zone.
Game Totals: O52.5 (10/11) Both teams feature Hall of Fame quarterbacks, A star receiver each as well as complementary weapons. As mentioned, both pass defences are dire and I expect these QB‘s to light up the Boston air.
All prices taken from B365
Basketball
Eurobasket 2015
Serbia v Italy
* Serbia HT – FT @ 8/11 **WON**
Game starting very soon but noticed the big boys are all starting for Serbia when coming out on court. This could get messy for Italy with that poor defence
Super league rugby Saints @ Castleford (that’s for all you Nfl boys)
Fancy a high scoring game tonight saints can jump into third tonight and I think they will win in an open game
Bet saints to win and both to score 20 pts 3/1
For a try scorer I agree with the chief on Adam quinlan
NFL THURSDAY
Was going to take patriots on low spread without Brady but no value in spread now Brady has overturned his suspension so am looking at scorers. As big Ben is going to have to do it himself due to injury to star running back am looking at his main weapon Antonio brown
Bet brown to score anytime 4/5
Brown to score 2 or more 3/1
Lee what bookie has brown 4/5 anytime mate the best price I’ve seen for him scoring , should surely get one i think butler will struggle being matched up against him
Picksix William Hill had brown 4/5 anytime this morning mate
Ye mate I got it 4/5 it’s still that price too, was gonna leave tonight’s game out until I seen that most places have him 4/7
Either wideout for the steelers seems a good bet, butler and ryan will have there work cut out.
Not had chance read too much into game mate thunk spread is about right tho so will ease my way into the new season spent all day studying weekends games and footy coupon and having do bit of work inbetween which always gets in way
@american football heads.
i know nothing about it, but wanna put a fairly ‘safe’ pick in a acca.
cheers.
boxing this weekend:
I like the look of mayweather by KO @ 13/8
it seems unlikely considering he hasnt had a KO in 8 years (ortiz KO was not legit) but berto really is garbage, his attempt at a shoulder roll is laughable, he is extremely hit table and is a c level fighter, look for him to get caught repeatably by floyd’s check left hook.
certainly wont be betting high stakes on this one, the less risky picks this weekend:
Vanes Martirosyan 2/7 to win and 1/2 points. younger, more power and has only lost to the best 2 young undefeated propspects.unlikely he’ll stop smith, as he’s never been stopped.
Roman martinez 4/9 to win. i cant decide whether he’ll win on points or stop salido.
salido’s chin is totally gone, he loses points for low blows practically every fight and is at the end of his career.
anthony joshua rnds 1-3 3/10 KO in round 2 9/4
Gary Cornish is an undefeated 6 foot 9 beast who has won every fight in the amaeteurs and pro’s.
sounds good enough for odds of 15/1.
unfortunately for gary i wont even be putting a quid on it, he has little power to keep AJ off and his chin is very suspect, he also has little to no defense, look for joshua to end it on the ropes in the 1st or 2nd round.
George groves v badou jack: to go the distance 10/11
If this was pre froch groves i would go for a groves KO here, badou was KO’d in the first round agaisnt a journeyman a year ago.
unfortunately for george he has been ‘cobra’d’ as carl put it. he is not the same fighter he was who stopped paul smith in 2 rounds and beat james degale.
i think this will go to the cards, groves fades late and i think jack will win the last 4-5 rounds which makes it tough to call the winner.
when the markets open tommorow ill also be taking Charlo by Points and dillian white by KO.
For interest, went low stake on
DHB to score a TD anytime
and Steelers over 20.5 on a bigger stake.
Excited is an understatement.
Tyler last time I checked if you wanted Brown as a bumper price, Skybet had him and Gronk both to score a TD @ 6/4. Probably 90% chance of that one coming in.
Any1 fancy anything in the tennis tonight? Looks very tough to find any value
@american football heads.
i know nothing about it, but wanna put a fairly ‘safe’ pick in a acca.cheers.
boxing this weekend:
I like the look of mayweather by KO @ 13/8
it seems unlikely considering he hasnt had a KO in 8 years (ortiz KO was not legit) but berto really is garbage, his attempt at a shoulder roll is laughable, he is extremely hit table and is a c level fighter, look for him to get caught repeatably by floyd’s check left hook.
certainly wont be betting high stakes on this one, the less risky picks this weekend:
Vanes Martirosyan 2/7 to win and 1/2 points. younger, more power and has only lost to the best 2 young undefeated propspects.unlikely he’ll stop smith, as he’s never been stopped.
Roman martinez 4/9 to win. i cant decide whether he’ll win on points or stop salido.
salido’s chin is totally gone, he loses points for low blows practically every fight and is at the end of his career.
anthony joshua rnds 1-3 3/10 KO in round 2 9/4
Gary Cornish is an undefeated 6 foot 9 beast who has won every fight in the amaeteurs and pro’s.
sounds good enough for odds of 15/1.
unfortunately for gary i wont even be putting a quid on it, he has little power to keep AJ off and his chin is very suspect, he also has little to no defense, look for joshua to end it on the ropes in the 1st or 2nd round.
George groves v badou jack: to go the distance 10/11
If this was pre froch groves i would go for a groves KO here, badou was KO’d in the first round agaisnt a journeyman a year ago.
unfortunately for george he has been ‘cobra’d’ as carl put it. he is not the same fighter he was who stopped paul smith in 2 rounds and beat james degale.
i think this will go to the cards, groves fades late and i think jack will win the last 4-5 rounds which makes it tough to call the winner.
when the markets open tommorow ill also be taking Charlo by Points and dillian white by KO.
Jordan, you seem to be the man in the know when it comes to NFL betting. Having never bet in this sport before, what do you find tends to be the most assured type of bet? Is it team to win outright, over/under points, players to score a TD, passing yards? Cheers
Merv trust me I’m an amateur when compared to the chief, Lee and Picksix (can’t remember how long BigB had followed the NFL) But I’d say Antonio Brown to score a TD is probably the best bet but I think the Patriots will win and if that’s the case, Gronkowski will have something to so with it, which is why I have taken the Gronk Wincast @ WillHill. Still @ 11/10. I’ve got £20 on it.
Thanks Jordan. I’m going to start with a £1 bet on Antonio Brown to score anytime and if it wins, put the winnings on another any TD scorer in another game. I’ll keep this running to see how far we go with it.
Skybet request a bet has gronk to score anytime and pats to win by 3 or more @ 4/5? Worth a go jordan?
Well there is the quinlan try good call chief
Gronk to score a TD, Patriots to win is 5/4 Coral. Definitely looks value. Only downside is it’s max £20.
What’s the best bets lads?
Late Super single Roberta Vinci and Serena over 17.5 games
Approximately Evens at B.V.Also fancy Vinci to take a set but highly doubt it considering Serena is beginning to acclimatize to the pressure of breaking an unimaginable record.
Thechief
Nice call makinson just got try great shout
Winner 4/7
Jordan gonna stick with just brown buddy , I think gronk will get a TD and I wouldve be on it if I seen it earlier mate but i have superstitions on changing a bet I’ve placed , I don’t wanna jinx you’re bet and anybody else on gronk :)
Mlac the packers seem the safest bet to me the Bears are poor
Was thinking at the mayweather knockout myself mate but don’t think il be backing it, the man has a lot of money and as a gambling man has the oppurtunity to win more money by taking any opennent he fights the distance. I suspect there will be a lot of money being placed on him in Vegas as there usually is for the fight going the distance. i think the bank of mayweather is shared across his entourage for him to win fights on the cards it’s always been a suspicion of mine, not really complaining as he has won me a lot of money doing so. Not going to have a bet on that fight myself as he really should be stoping berto by the 8th round but my susicion is stoping me from backing the KO although I hope I’m proved wrong.
Waiting on the Dillian Whyte total rounds too buddy the fight shouldn’t last long
Basketball
Eurobasket 2015
ML Treble
* Spain
Serbia
Greece
Treble @ 9/10 **WON**
The Spanish have had a mix of performances but have the edge over a German side who have been playing well but don’t seem to have that winning mentality to get over the line wich leaves them with little chance against the Spanish who rarely lose
Serbs will look to keep 100% record going buy edging hosts Italy who are too poor on defence to win this one
Netherlands have been fun to watch this tm having a you score we score attitude but the Greeks are a good team all round and there class should get them an easy win
Phew that was close saints win 42-38 a nice little win on a quiet Thursday let’s hope Antonio Brown makes it a really good Thursday enjoy the game boys too late for me but I’ll enjoy Jordans commentary to give me a play by play when I wake up don’t forget now mate
@ Chief truly outstanding tipping took all your rugby tips and took the overs in the game as I fancied a high scoring game myself, and you mentioned it. I need Brown now for a 2/1 double. Will u have any tips on the rugby world cup mate? cheers
Dave, appreciate it mate, cheers. No Rugby world cup tips as I don’t follow Union closely and you can do all the research in the world, but for me you have to know and understand a sport your betting or tipping on. I only watch England in the six nations and world cup and being at home, we must have a chance but I wont pretend to be an expert on Union. GL seems most of us on Brown tonight for a single or the double :)
Jordan just seen that ladbrokes have it @ 2/1 thats tempted me now so gonna have small go
Awesome tipping chief and lee, your rugby league write ups top class
well done picksix
french and russians also routed their opponents.
agreed, thats why im only putting it in a few low stakes acca’s, berto was picked for a reason though, Mayweather wants to go out with a KO hence the reason he was hand picked.
also extra motivation to make a statement with the cheating allegations that have come out…
Ok lets join the fun
10 points to start into will hill for this NFL season
Jordan – Going to copy your bet
Rob Gronkowski To Score A Touchdown And New England Patriots To Win @ 2.10
20 returns 42
2/1!? Gonna get another point on that. Great spot mate.
Don’t like feeling left out so jumping on the NFL bandwagon. Jordan I trust your judgement so taken your wincast with coral at 5/4 max stake 20 good luck everyon!
Cheers smiler think me and the chief both need Antonio brown to score for a late night win don’t know if 4/5 is still available but he will surely be pittsburgh best hope good luck all Jordan gronkowski wincast looks solid I was really hoping Brady wouldn’t play as spread was -2.5 I can’t touch -7 if anything I think pittsburgh will cover but fingers crossed for you tonight just hope it’s not one of those nights where endelman gets all the yards as was close to having him in fantasy team. Great to have the Nfl back
Lee, Cheers mate and well done with your bets. I am indeed waiting on Brown to score to bring up a 2/1 double. It is just prop bets for me tonight.
One last bet for the Nfl tonight as felt brown was feeling bit lonely being my only bet tonight so have been looking more into the game and the bookies have markus wheaton priced up at under 55 yards at Ladbrokes, if we expect big Ben to throw for around 240-250 yards with 100 yards being Brown’s then wheaton is the number 2 target and could easily pull 80 yards plus in esp if they double cover brown
Final bets brown anytime 4/5, brown 2 or more 3/1 and wheaton over 55.5 rec yards 10/11 at Ladbrokes
Good luck Lee. This is why I love betting on the NFL. Unlike football you’re more than likely to get yards, TD’s because there’s only so many players on the offensive side who will score/get receptions, when in football you’re picking between 20+ outfield players to try and get a goal (which is a lot harder than crossing an n zone with your hands). You could pick 10 props and all of them have a better chance of landing. Love it. I got Brady and Brown in my USA fantasy team.
Looking forward to seeing what Bud Dupree can do.
Cheers Mlac , Ye you could be right there and maybe its the reason behind picking berto, zab Judah fighting tonight for some reason also Austin trout fought the other night too don’t know where this midweek boxing trend has come from
Just heard the bbc have got the rights to show NFL games? Surely must just be the wembley games im guessing or NBCs SNF from channel 4
Good luck with your bets gents
MLB Bet For Tonight
Taking skybet enhanced accumulator due to Yankees/Blue Jays game postponed
Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates, NY Mets & St Louis Cardinals all to win @ 7/1 (£10)
Picksix I think it’s just the Wembley games as I think channel 4 lost the late night games back to sky, prob cos sky lost Champ league games so they secured all NFL games.
Jordan good luck with fantasy team I not taken player tonight as I enjoy the fantasy nfl UK and struggled sometimes with a Thurs game which can ruin your week. Let’s hope we all wake up happy come on brown and gronk for you guys
Decided to take the ladbrokes Rob Gronkowski and Antonio Brown both to score a touchdown offer @2/1. After reading the comments here it sounds like it has a decent chance. 1st ever NFL bet, hoping for beginners luck :)
Ye Lee I can remember seeing an ad on sky earlier in the year for the Sunday night games now you say that , I’m glad they have monday night games too that primetime channel or whatever it was called who had it last season didn’t even have a presenter they just used to show the game and show adverts every few plays
Cheers Lee and yourself mate. My UK one is stacked with Packers players for week 1 :) Enjoy it guys. Conditions won’t be perfect for tonight but will still see a good game.
Evening Guys, NFL Ante-post
I said a few months ago I had three teams who I thought would be dark horses this season. I mentioned Minnesota Vikings and it seems a popular pick these days. I will start with the Vikings
Teddy Bridgewater was a bright spark for the Vikings last year and this year he as two new toys to play with. Mike Wallace was signed in free agency and he has the speed to burn, can defences double cover him? NO because Teddy as another new toy for him anyway, Adrian Peterson is back!
To keep “all day” was a massive deal for the Vikes, they look strong on both sides of the ball. A group of young hungry WRs and if they can get Kyle Rudolph going that would be another bonus. LT Matt Khali went backwards last year, if he gets back to his best then he will be like a new signing. In the secondary they got a the like of Trea Waynes, Harrison Smith and Xavier Rhodes.
Norv Turner is a good OC, and I think they will push Green Bay all the way in the North. I am surprised they are behind the Lions in the division. I think they are worth a punt to make the playoffs this year. They are 3/1 to do so at William Hill.
The other 2 dark horses are Jacksonville and Kansas, but their season win totals are too high, so I have gone with Jaamal Charles to be top rusher.
He finished 13th last season with over a 1,000yds last season playing 15 games. Kansas had no passing WR touchdowns last season, so Charles carried this offence. Kansas have signed Jeremy Macklin will gives the offence at QB Alex Smith a genuine WR to go with TE Travis Kelce. Kansas has a good Defence and could go to the playoffs but I will be on Charles to be top rusher at 10/1 Paddy Power.
DeMarco Murray, Le’veon Bell, Lesean McCoy and Marshawn Lynch only had more rushing yards than Justin Forsett last year. Murray and McCoy are playing on new teams, Bell is suspended for two games and Lynch is getting older and may see his carries eaten into by his old team mate Fred Jackson. Melvin Gordon could be in for a big season but I like Forsett at 33/1 e/w Stan James (4 places)
Baltimore have a brutal schedule playing 5 of their first 7 on the road, but that may work in Forsett favour as they lean on the run game heavily.
MINNESOTA TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS 3/1
CHARLES MOST RUSHING YARDS 10/1
FORSETT MOST RUSHING YARDS 33/1 (EW 1/4 odds 4 PLACES)
Good luck if your having a bet
What times this game gonna start? An hours worth of build up straight over my head haha
I’m sure it’s 1.30am Harry.
If its anything like the MLS it’ll be 2am haha
Morning Guys Steelers v Patriots
The new season is here, I will keep it brief, Tom Brady as been the talk of the offseason and at home in front of a national tv audience I can see him turning it on. Blount is out so there isn’t really a running game to lean on. I expect Belichick and Brady come out firing at this Steelers secondary. Dick Lebeau the long time defensive coach as gone and under Keith Butler they have looked poor in preseason. They drafted 3 secondary players in the draft and none will start and maybe not even see any playing time. Brady has thrown for O350yds in 3 of the last 4 meetings. For that reason I am on Brady O288.5yds 1/1 at Stan James.
I was looking at Brown receiving yards but am waiting on him to score for a double so I am taking Julian Edleman with LaFell to be targeted by Brady. His line is 70.5yds and with him being targeted quite a few times I suspect tonight a combination of a couple of first downs then a deep ball should see him go over this. It is 10/11 Skybet
My final bet is on the Gronk anytime wincast 5/4 Coral
Enjoy the game
PROP BETS
BRADY O288.5yds 1/1
EDELMAN O70.5yds 10/11
GRONK ANYTIME WINCAST 5/4
Good luck if your having a bet
Lol nick it’s the same as the MLS it will not start on time, I don’t think there is any American sport wich does tbh
i like bradys yards chief good luck
Picksix cheers mate, good luck to you too mate.
Like it chief good luck mate.
Here we go!
That crowd is going to go nuts when Brady comes out.
Jordan cheers mate, and good luck with your bets. Not even lying right now I could eat some chicken haha! but that will be on Sunday.
Gotta just say very impressed with all the fans new and old on the NFL thread this season. Good luck everyone lets hope we take some cash of the bookies :D
Enjoy the game!
Those gaps in the line , big vince already being missed for the pats
Just a coffee for me tonight chief haha
Bit of a joke from Sky missing plays left right and center!
No we’re not Nick?
Edelman still playing from the Super Bowl. Looking good chief.
There’s our man!
Yes Gronk haha cheers Jordan and others who pointed it out. Cover available at 8/1 for steelers to win, is it worth doing? What are the chances of pats not winning from here?
I’ll wait for your say so!
Wouldn’t cover yet Harry mate.
Honestly wouldn’t bother covering. Gonna put my neck out and say Steelers will not win this.
I don’t even know what defense they are playing. Their corners are not pressing, safeties are not hovering the field. They don’t have a clue right now.
Even if the Steelers decide they want to put points on the board, they won’t be able to stop Patriots.
BigB I bet you’re p*ssed off with that!
If he had one smaller shoe size, that would have been a TD haha, 4/1 that is. Doubt that will come in now. Rookie error ahaah
Unlucky big b , Jordan looking good so far any idea what Browns yards total was ?
Pats get the ball second half, so if your thinking of covering the Gronk wincast may as well wait see, if they stop Brady at start of second half.
Stats wise not much in it Big Ben leading his team up and down the field, they just cant punch it into the endzone, it should really be 14-9.
Jordan, Edelman playing well and getting targeted a lot. Gronk is the best TE in this league, and this is his house :)
Half time in play betting
Edelman anytime td scorer 11/4
A. Brown 19/10 both at ladbrokes.
Anybody thinking theres value here??
Chief could be weighing in here.
Can’t see the steelers coming back either and wouldn’t reccomend covering any bets the pats don’t get complacent and that steelers secondary is pathetic
95 Tyler. Brady and Brown in my fantasy team
Edelman reminding me a bit of Greg Olsen, runs simulair routes and has a safe pair of hands. Don’t think its just brady making him look good anymore he’s a legit go to guy
Hopefully Jordan and you know what this thread is ;)
I will be digging out all my 2014, 2013 sayings, don’t need any new ones, with all the new faces coming to the site they wont have heard them before :D
C’*** M**! :D
I am taking Julian Edleman with LaFell out to be targeted by Brady. His line is 70.5yds and with him being targeted quite a few times I suspect tonight a combination of a couple of first downs then a deep ball should see him go over this. It is 10/11 Skybet
1st drive of second half 8 catches 80yds
EDELEMAN O70.5yds 10/11 WON :D
Its good to have the NFL back
Great tip Cheif :)
Gem, Cheers mate
Disappointed that I didn’t get on any of the tips tonight as I’m not with any of the bookies that had the bets!
Nick it doesn’t cost anything to open an account mate. You’ll be missing out otherwise. 365 would have had chiefs Edelman and Brady yards.
The issue is splitting my betting bank as it isn’t that big haha
I looked through 365 but couldn’t find anything for players other than first/anytime TDS, might just be my inexperience though!
The season is young Nick, you will have plenty of chances still mate!
Gronk. What a man!
That’s got to be the passing yard up now chief too wells one
Jordan hes unreal can’t believe he’s had so much space , steelers droping off almost every play u would have thought being the 4th quater they would realize they need to press more I have no idea what’s going on with them
PP had a Gronk 2 TD Patriots Win @ 4/1. Only has 3!
Wells one ? Well done lol
PickSix, I don’t think the Steelers DBs know what is going on either. And their linebacks clearly cannot cover for sh!t, if Pats run crosses and slants, they will have a wheelbarrow load of first downs haha.
I have seen better DB plays playing in the BUCs league haha
Gronk is the man alright 5 catches 3 touchdowns. He gets the job done :) Picksix no I am around 16yds shy at the moment, but hopefully he leads them down the field on this drive for a score, the prop will be in and the Gronk wincast.
Loving the were is Rodger chant :D
Weighed in chief. Weighed in. :)
Broooowwwnnn haha
Oh that is sweeeeeeeet! Brown catches one in the n zone to bring up both bets with 7 seconds on the clock :)
Great spot Tyler!
Haha Jordan,chief, lee well done gents winners all round not bad when everyone drops a full house first game :)
Big b you’re right mate that defence needs working on big time it’s probably hard transitioning from a strict dick lebeau defence but there’s no excuses for how poor they were
Cheers guys for all the tips :)
Jordan cheers mate think I’ve spotted a gem for Sunday too just waiting on the lines for the props to be put up
I still think Packers -4 and my Vikings bets are nailed on. Could be a big weekend :)
Definetely mate the packers bet will be worth the wait i knew it would go out to a TD we have the steal of the century there
Love all of this NFL talk, especially from a betting perspective. As you can see by my name I’m a Chargers fans.
I have to agree with a lot of what the top guys have said, the Colts and Andrew Luck seem primed for a big year. The Packers are going to have to lean heavily on Rogers and Lacy with Nelson out. The Seahawks have added a huge weapon in Jimmy Graham but Kam Chancellor continues to hold out (I don’t understand how this holding out rubbish is allowed to go on) The Pats and Brady will be their usual selves though their division looks a lot tougher than previous years. The Dolphins, Vikings and Cardinals are strong underdogs for me. I can see the Bengals, Saints and 49ers dropping off a cliff whilst the Jaguars and Raiders could be better than recent years.
I suppose I should try to give some inside Charger info….we’re gonna be good! We have an offensive line for the first time in about 6/7 years and we all know what my boy can do when he has time in the pocket. We also added a very good receiver in Steve Johnson and Danny Woodhead is back after missing the vast majority of last season.
The running back as a group are very good but it will be by committee and for that reason I wouldn’t go big on betting on Gordon. He was very hesitant in pre-season and his blocking is non-existent. I wouldn’t be surprised if the ever-improving Branden Oliver takes the starting job after the first few weeks. The AFC West looks to be a lot tighter this year with the Broncos coming back to the pack and the and the other three teams getting better. I should also say look out for our D, it is fast, young and much improved.
Keep an eye on future superstar Jason Verrett. Will be the best CB in the league in two years.