NO joy on Friday and although my Nap Thistlecrack didn’t win the early vibes from connections were upbeat.
You could see from an early stage he was never going to be asked too much and when Tom Scudamore asked him for a big jump early on and then didn’t let the horse go, it was obvious what the intentions were.
You would still expect Thistlecrack to win but he pulled so hard and wasted so much energy that the tank just emptied late on. I couldn’t see any problems for the future as he moved well and he looked to be enjoying his return to the track.
You could see he really wanted to get on with things and run his rivals into the ground like he does, so that’s all good but sadly he wasn’t allowed to do that atlthough you can see why.
There has been a lot of overreactions on Twitter but I think the future is bright as the previous injury didn’t look the problem.
December 6pts down, well done all winners and good luck Saturday.
Sanibel Island is trained by Gordon Elliott and although I am not the trainer's biggest fan I do like this one. Sanibel Island hasn’t looked too clever on previous attempts at this distance but to me he looks like he wants this step up again.
He was disappointing on his season debut but did improve last time and will again. Leopardstown is a pretty fair track and flat. Although the finish is quite stiff, the fences are difficult but fair and should suit him but the main point is he is value in a very winnable race.
Just Cameron is top weight but looks a great bet for Saturday. He has won some good races and had some very respectable runs in defeat. In 2015 he was second to Un De Sceaux beaten three lengths.
When looking at the form of Just Cameron he doesn’t do much first time out but second time out he improves massively. He really looked to need his last run but again should improve this time.
I honestly thought he would have been challenging for favouritism when the odds were made but double figures on him looks way too big and should have conditions to suit here in a race that isn’t as strong as his last one.
Johnb’s Saturday Tips
- Newbury 3:35 – Just Cameron 11-1 NAP (0.5pt eachway 1/5 odds 1-2-3)
- Fairyhouse 3:05 – Sanibel Island 12-1 NB (0.5pt eachway 1-5 odds 1-2-3-4)
- 0.5pt eachway double 143-1