IT was almost a no-bet day and maybe it should have been. I fancied Norway to score in Hungary but 0-0 at Portsmouth beat my recommended double.
Was it worth a point? I suppose so. The two golf bets I put up on the forum are still running after the OCL Classic was suspended due to bad light with Russell Knox and Graeme McDowell tied for the lead two ahead of Jason Bohn.
Monday's another quiet one unless you're Irish or from Boznia-Herzegovina. After Hungary booked their place at France 2016 it's the turn of the Irish to try to make home advantage count.
It's 1-1 after the first leg in Zenica and that was a great result for Martin O'Neill's men who should complete the job in Dublin.
Not that it will be easy though and while a 0-0 will seal the deal just like last night's clash the team who scores first could progress. Bosnia weren't as good as expected last week and the Irish dealt with everything they threw at them until Edin Dzeko's late leveller.
I've posted a separate preview on the big game and may use the recommended bet of first goal time after 32 minutes as the Super Single. It pays evens with Paddy Power.
Elsewhere there is an FA Cup replay between Boreham Wood and Northwich Victoria and one international friendly featuring Albania and Georgia. Albania of course are much the better side having qualified for the Euros for the first time and if they field a strong they should beat a Georgia side whose only significant points came from beating Scotland at home – and yes it still hurts.
Among the Euro U-19 and U-21 qualifiers is England U-21s in action against Switzerland in Brighton. After a 0-0 draw away to Bosnia last week England are tied at the top of the Group 9 with the Swiss on seven points from nine. Gareth Southgate's men have lost a couple of players to the full team but should be strong enough to win this one. England are a best 8-11 with bet365 and William Hill and that price has dropped.
The other three U-21 qualifiers are Moldova v Czech Rep at noon and Albania v Lietchenstein and Hungary v Greece at 5pm in Group 4.
Just for interest I took a look at Liechtenstein's stats and they're worse than you can imagine – played 40, lost 40. In fact they've netted just eight times in those outings and last scored nine games ago in a 5-1 defeat at Switzerland.
Albania U-21s aren't much better. Their only win in 22 was 2-0 away to Liechtenstein in March so they must be thrilled at finding a team worse than themselves. Albania are 1-7 at bet365 to win, 1-2 at Betway to win by two or more and 13-20 at BetVictor to win to nil. All three should come up if you decide you can trust a side with two wins in 35.
Moldova U-21s aren't quite as poor as Liechtenstein and Albania – they've won two in 15 including a victory against Group 1 rivals Montenegro and they came back from 3-1 down to draw 3-3 at home to nine-man Latvia last week.
The Czechs though are unbeaten with two wins and two draws and are unbeaten at this level in six games. They should be backed at 11-20 with William Hill.
In fact as the Czech game is early I'm putting up a 1pt treble on them, Albania -1 and England to win. If the first two come in there is a chance to cover England before kick-off or in play.
One thing I'd point out is I haven't any Czech or Albania team news so please bear that in mind. These are taken from form and stats and team news is the important factor – so if anyone has some please put it up.
I'll consider adding more tips including a Super Single later but need to take my daughter out for a bit. That means she wants me to pay for something!
1pt Top Treble
Czech Rep U-21s (12pm)
Albania U-21s -1 (5pm)
England U-21s (5.45pm)
(3-1, Betway)
November Super Single total
20 bets (5 winners)
Loss: 11.15pts
Advised Accas
28 bets (8 winners)
Profit: 0.35pts
day 1 summary
——————————————————————————————————————-
morocco win 3/4 bet365 *****lost*****
Bosnia Herzegovina U-19 half time result 10/11 bet 365 *****lost*****
40 on nap
30 on nb
30 on the double
starting bank 1000
balance 900
———————————————————————————————————————
Cruzeiro game over 2.5 match goals evs bet365 *****won*****
Osasuna to score over 1.5 goals 5/4 bet365 *****won*****
3 bets
20 on as 2 singles
20 on double
starting bank 1000
balance 1015
———————————————————————————————————————-
Alianza fc over 1.5 team goals 5.6 bet365 *****won*****
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 team goals 10/11 bet365 *****won*****
3 bets
20 on as 2 singles
20 on double
day 1 summary
——————————————————————————————————————-
morocco win 3/4 bet365 *****lost*****
Bosnia Herzegovina U-19 half time result 10/11 bet 365 *****lost*****
40 on nap
30 on nb
30 on the double
starting bank 1000
balance 900
———————————————————————————————————————
Cruzeiro game over 2.5 match goals evs bet365 *****won*****
Osasuna to score over 1.5 goals 5/4 bet365 *****won*****
3 bets
20 on as 2 singles
20 on double
starting bank 1000
balance 1015
———————————————————————————————————————-
Alianza fc over 1.5 team goals 5.6 bet365 *****won*****
Independiente Santa Fe over 1.5 team goals 10/11 bet365 *****won*****
3 bets
20 on as 2 singles
20 on double
starting bank 1000
balance 1104.70
————————————————————————————————————————
Intriguing game with it at 1-1.
I think the Hungary game proved that Ireland cant afford to sit back and have got to presume that Bosnia will score. It could lead to goals. I think BTTS could be the bet for this one.
In-play double:
America de California to score, Monarcas Morelia to score.
Double pays Evens
Should read America Dr Cali!
Bloody predictive text!
monday’s selections
czech republic u21 ht/ft result 11/10 bet365
Hapoel Bnei Lod win 6/4 bet365
2 x €20 singles and €20 double
————————————————————————————
20-500 daily rolling challenge
bet 1.
ac horsens game over 1.5 match goals
poland u19 half time result
double pays 45.45 for 20 stake
starting bank 1000
balance 1024.70
Little update for you folks yet to sign up to Mrfixitstips.co.uk on our betting challenge:
We have about 20 guys now picking up bits and bobs and sticking to the format/rules and we all seem to be making steady progress. Everything I’ve put up for people to make their own informed choice on whether to follow or not this past 3 days has dropped at least 1 goal.
So far we’ve also avoided matches that have left us biting our nails for an injury-time solitary goal which does happen from time to time. Again, if we stick to the rules and don’t try to force our way through to the first £100 and pay ourselves on the mentioned milestones, if you make it to the end of day 3, you should be good to return half your starting stake back to your bank. By the end of day 5, a 2nd payment back to your account will add a 2nd fiver to your acct and thus mean any subsequent money sent back to your acct will be profit. By the end of day 10, you should be in a position to be sending £20 a day back to your acct and still growing your balance.
If you wish to have a bash at this slow bank building challenge, then feel free to join the thread. I will answer whatever questions inside that thread that you ask. you can also subscribe to that thread for regular updates and add me as a friend – that way you can also message me direct.
Mondays card looks so empty and its going to be a struggle to find something worth punting on, we’ll get days like that but with each others help we can keep on track and march onto the next day with our balance slightly bigger than the last.
Everyone contributes to the thread and i’ll flag up a few games from time to time that take my fancy, but remember, they are a guide, still please do your own research and if all the ticks are in the right box’s, put your bet on.
Stay safe guys.
Earlier post:
America da cali to score
Monarcas to score
Evens double
:-) WON :-)
REP IF IRELAND TO QUALIFY
8/13
2.3 RTNS 3.72
GL LADS
Looking at AC Horsens match for corners ,will decide later GL.
treble for me today
England u21
Albania u21
Germany u20
odds of 2.18/1 @bet365
Morning. Not much to bet on today but I’m sure something will catch my attention later or in play.
A quick note on the Belarus game starting now. Goal line was 2.5 yesterday when I checked today it jumped at 3.00
For me was an under game but I not an under backer myself so I skipped. Now at this odds I can consider getting involved.
Lets see how the game develops in play and if I spot something I’ll try to post it as quick as possible.
Have a great day people
All the best
LOL Brest scored.
This game is so dodgy!
Anyone watching it?
Nik. The odds of a brest win are good. What bet would you recommend for the the second half?
Nothing really clear for me.
Value was indeed in plus for Asian Handicap market.
Now if I had a gun at my head and I was forced to place a bet I will take +0.75 praying that Brest won’t collapse all of sudden :)
Was 1.975 at half time now is 1.665 and I dont bet at those odds.
On the goal side if Brest scores again I can consider wait for evens in over 2.5 and go for that.
Anyway all this uncertainty points only to one thing
NO BET
Looks like betting was pulled before KO so hope some managed to get on before then…
GUASTATOYA VS. UNIVERSIDAD SAN CARLOS – 8.30 KO:
In brief, the home side sit 3rd and boast the divisions best goal difference. Tonight they take on 2nd bottom SC who gave just 2 wins in 15 as opposed to Guastatoya’s 1 loss in 13.
Goals are a prominent feature in the majority of both teams outings and it could pay to follow this one in-play if we have an early goal.
I’ll be taking the 9/10 on offer for Over 2.5 goals. Good luck.
Finished 3-2…*WON*
IN-PLAY
Norway U19 vs Russia U19
Noway U19 +1 Evens BET365
SPARTA PRAGUE YOUTH (KO 30 MINS) OVER 2.5 MG
CARLSHALTON OVER 1.5 MG
HUNGERFORD OVER 1.5 MG
BOREHAMWOOD OVER 1.5 MG
2.14/1 betfair
Morning gemts
Couple of bets from me today from the Scottish Development matches
Hearts u20 v Partick Thistle u20 KO 7.30pm
Thistle don’t travel well and have conceded at least two or more goals in 26 of their last 35 SPL u20 away matches! There not much between the sodes but T’s hard to ignore how bad Thistle are away from home! Taking Hearts to grab a couple here
Back over 1.5 Hearts team goals
Markets will appear inplay ( 10 mins before KO)
Morton u20 travel to Queens park -Clyde u20 travel to Dumbarton – both should see goals
Worth small stakes on over 1.5 first half goals and over 3.5 match goals ( again Bith will appear Inplay)
I saw the Scottish youth games in the list and I hoped to see a post from you Greg :)
I most definitely be on one of your picks!
IN PLAY
General Diaz U20 vs Deportivo Satani U20
0.75 Points on 1st Half Goal Line Over 1.5 @ 2.000 on Bet365
Good luck lads!
Keep stake low please or follow suggested points!
There’s a Hib’s u20 game think over 2.5 goals, thinking of doing that with gregs 3 picks
Good call on that Hibs game bro! Spot on!
IN-PLAY
Norway U19 vs Russia U19
Noway U19 +1 Evens BET365 **WON** FT 1-1
KO 13.00, Czech Yth League
V Plzen v Znojmo
Over 1.5 FHG
8/11
Where did you get that price mate ? I wanna do the same bet but I’ll be waiting for evens in play. Hopefully no early goals.
Pitch is fairly small which is a good thing, noticed that this game when played on smaller pitches tends to go over more easily.
On the other hand Paraguay under 20 didn’t go to plan :(
General Diaz U20 vs Deportivo Satani U20
0.75 Points on 1st Half Goal Line Over 1.5 @ 2.000 on Bet365 ***LOST***
—————————————-
Total P/L : +21.1
Daily P/L : -0.75
Been a while since posting.
My main bet on this game is U5 Asian cards @ 2.0.
Both teams aver 3.18 cards with the last H2H producing only 1 card.
I believe the line should be set at 4, so wouldn’t be surprised to see it drop to 4.5 throughout the day. 365 have only just loaded this market on this morning so if you are going to back it, I’d do it quick
I’m also on a lower stake (3* doubles) on this game
Ireland to score
Under 11 corners (Alternative)
Under 5.5 cards (non Asian)
Ireland have scored 4/5 last games whereas Bosina have conceded 4/5. Ireland at home and need to to score
Corners we low at 5 in the last game and from the last 10 games (5 each) it’s inly gone O11 in 3 games, against weaker opposition.
Cards – already covered.
The 3 doubles offers a bit of security in the bet with stake back if 2 bets come in.
Above game was the Ireland game this evening
Al Ain becoming worth a look in-play in the UAE cup. Currently 4/7 for the win, approaching 0-0 at HT. I’ve gone in on the Al Ain over 1.5team goals at 11/10 for those that want a bit more risk…
@simpledxb mate I like the game for over 1.5 Goals I would consider the Goal line is 1.75 now almost Evens.
Before making any move I would wait for that first goal, betting on 0-0 games is not my cup of tea.
Stats are good for over tho, GOOD LUCK :)
BTW I fancy a 6th goal in Mlada u19, price is there already. NOT A TIP this one :)
How can a team miss so many good chances ? Plzen Plzen you are making me swear and I know already that there will be a goal in the first 5 minutes of the second half ……
Czech u21 had 19 Goals in 4 games and I did manage to lose money backing over lines :) Eeer what’s wrong with me :P
I don’t fecking believe the Al Ain game!
@simpledxb if I can say ….. why going for Team Goals when Goal Lines are available at similar price?
In a 0-0 game where you have Goal Line Over 1.75 TOTAL GOALS available at EVENS and you compare it with Team Goal Over 1.5 at similar price you will agree that there is no value what so ever in the second bet.
As an argument to this you can say that you will need 3 goals to cash in a full win on the over 1.75 market but 2 goals will still deliver you a decent Half Win and much higher chances to win the bet.
I see many many people here going for Team Goal Over, sometimes I can understand their point but personally I never do that kind of bets as I can hardly see value.
I don’t want to teach anything to anyone, the game is still running and now you are just one goal away from winning it but I’m just wondering and try to understand why people go for such markets.
Again now at 1-3 you have available Al Ain over 1.5 Team goal at 3.000 while over 4.5 match goals is 2.300.
To do simple maths just divide that over 1.5 price by 2 ( as only 1 goal from the home side will give you profit ) you realise that odds are ZERO value compared to the over.4.5 Total Goals.
@nik – I hadn’t seen the Goal Line as I was literally gambling on the hop – I am based between UAE and Singapore so would never have expected Dibba to turn over Al Ain.. But I agree with your maths and logic – esp. since it’s about playing the odds and ultimately profiting!
Everybody loves a gamble after all :) And please don’t get me wrong, I was just sharing an opinion didn’t mean to be arrogant or disrespectful !
How is life over there? I used to bet a lot on Singapore League but lately something changed and my strategy didn’t fit anymore!
I saw some videos of the games, teams where shocking in the beginning now I can see that they have better defending at least!
A league I love to bet on is Qatar I think is very profitable if you are an Over Backer :)
@nik – I didn’t take it disrespectfully at all.
I am not across the Singapore league at all.. @hampy and a few of the others are better placed for that (possly mrh too)?
The Middle East leagues are notoriously unreliable (like a lot of things in the Middle East) – Overs probably a safer bet than WDW. The Al Ain game today was unbelievable!
1) Ireland – Bosnia – Goal in both halves @ 23/20
2) Albania – Georgia – BTTS @ 1/1
3) England – Switzerland – England to win @ 7/10
CC REP OF IRELAND TO QUALIFY
8/13
2.3 RTNS 3.72
GL LADS
CC NOV TIPS
+ 6.3 profit
KO 13.00, Czech Yth League
V Plzen v Znojmo
Over 1.5 FHG
8/11
***LOST, 1-0, so one-sided with Plzen having at least ten shots first half***
Mate I was shocked, really looked like a fixed game!
IN PLAY
UAE Cup
0.5 points on over 1.5 1st half goal line. Available at 3.00 now on Bet365
Good luck 10 mins to go :)
IN PLAY
UAE Cup
0.5 points on over 1.5 1st half goal line. Available at 3.00 now on Bet365 ***LOST***
Was worth a try sorry guys, small damage only
———————————-
Total P/L: + 19.85 :)
Daily P/L: – 1.25 :(
£5 challenge
Trying to get £5 into £100 tonight
Bet 1
ALBANIA U21 V LIECHTENSTEIN U21
Over 1.5 first half goals
Evens
£5 on
Great start, how on earth Albania haven’t got 3 already I do not know
stedman489, the treble’s still alive and if part 2 comes in anyone on it can look at cover options depending on how England are doing.
Off out for a bit so hoping Albania hold on.
I’ve decided not to go with a Super Single – more options tomorrow.
INPLAY
YOUTH GAMES
HUNGARY OVER 0.5 MG
GERMANY OVER 0.5 MG
POLAND OVER 0.5 MG
ENGLAND TO SCORE
EVENS
LOST
Will be tied up at work ’til late (nothing kinky) so have put up brief thoughts for a potential Night Owl on the related thread (Worldwide football).
Worth having a look at and thoughts appreciated.
bosnia over 4.5 corners 5/6 bet365
Deportivo laferrere half time result 11/10 bet365
2 x 20 singles
20 double
starting bank 1000
balance 964.70
Double just under evens @ bet365
GEORGIA NO CLEAN SHEET
REP OF IRELAND U1.5 tgs
11 points returns 20
Evening Gents,
Nothing really standing out today so just a little wager to keep interest.
Dzeko to score anytime @ 3.3 (Betfair)
2 points on it.
Running Total +10.9
talk about slim pickings tonite………….
considering Hungerford btts&overs and dzeko atgs 21/10 2 singles and a double
no goals odds up yet on the bookies I use though so donno yet……….
czech republic u21 ht/ft result 11/10 bet365 *****lost*****
Hapoel Bnei Lod win 6/4 bet365 *****won*****
2 x €20 singles and €20 double
————————————————————————————
20-500 daily rolling challenge
bet 1.
ac horsens game over 1.5 match goals *****lost*****
poland u19 half time result *****lost*****
double pays 45.45 for 20 stake
starting bank 1000
balance 1014.70
Mrf don’t know why but when I try to click on worldwide football and some others that’s open to everybody that is basic membership it comes up with offside members only is it just a glitch
brooky56, that’s one for admin to look at.
INPLAY
LYNGBY OVER 1.5 MG
ENGLAND OVER 1.5 MG
1.10/1
WIN
Few quid on dzeko first goal in 1-0 win at 20/1 as nowt else takes interest
Ireland Vs. Bosnia
I can see this being a tight game with few goals. unfortuntely the bookies see it this way as well. There is no value in backing the unders for me, I like the look of the draw. I can see this game potentially going to extra time and fancy a repeat of the scoreline in Bosnia 1-1. Also i believe this will be a feisty affair with tackles flying in towards the end of the game as its an all or nothing kind of game and one of the teams may have to get desperate. Haven’t had time to check around for the best price but over 3 cards in the 2nd half @ 2.30 with will hill interests me. Good luck all !!
Selections:
Draw @ 3.10
Over 3 cards in the second half @ 2.30
fully embarrassed as an irishman for that disrespectful minutes silence
didn’t bother with a pre match bet stuck this on in play 8.30 pm
Hungerford o1.5mgs, boreham u3.5mgs, Benevento u2.5mgs, ROI o1.5mgs 3/1
Stephen missed it tbh was it a silence for france on Friday nite and was disrupted ?
Nite Owl Treble
Cincinnati Bengals – ML
Australia
North Korea
Bet365 @1.80 – 2 Points
yeah but not sure which fans ruined it some say irish others say bosnians either way it was total disrespect to the victims
CENTRECIRCLE
CC SS
OXFORD/BRAINTREE
BTTS
EVENS bet365
1.5 rtns 3
CC LONGSHOT
OXFORD/BRAINTREE BTTS
BRACKLEY DNB
4/1
.50 rtns 5
GL LADS
Bosnia race to 5 corners 11/10 .. They have no choice but to attack now so I’m gonna have a little go…
Bosnia RT5 11/10 bet 365
Stephen, a small number of pro-Kurdistan Bosnian fans/dickheads by all accounts…some justice as the second Irish goal goes in.
HullShaker, it was a small section of away fans from what I hear.
Your not singing any more :-D come on d boys n green :-D Olay Olay! B-)
hullshaker yeah just seen a video of the bosnians shouting
Heard it was Bosnia fans! They might quiten now!
Bosnia race to 5 corners 11/10 .. They have no choice but to attack now so I’m gonna have a little go…
Bosnia RT5 11/10 bet 365
WON* 86th minute ?
Hopefully that result shut those Bosnians up!
Laissez le football de faire la conversation…
Nice one all ROI fans…have one for me boys.
HullShaker, well done Ireland – it’s going to be a sore summer for all Scotland fans.
Hope everyone who travels to Euro 2016 stays safe – I for one would have gone for at least a couple of days if Scotland had made it.
SUPERB NIGHT for IRELAND !!!!! Well done
Thanks to luke for the England to score in play. Good shout.
Thanks also to Greg for the hearts goals. Never in doubt.
Threw in raith alloa and the postponed queens park v morton to make 4 trebles.
Also a massive well done to the Republic. Superb stuff and we’ll deserved.
WOOHOO !! IRELAND
A well deserved ticket into the euros! Come on ireland B-)
Being a Scotland and Celtic supporter,no need to ask who i’ll be cheerin g for at the 2016 Euro Finals.Enormous congatulations to Ireland.
lifebhoy, after Friday I think I’ll be cheering for France.
here here mr f likewise they’ve had a shocking time recently what with the Charlie ebdu thing not long ago either…………
Mr Fixit,of course our hearts go oui to all the people of France, i can see where your coming from with that.
Well done to Ireland !
Being an English man got to say love your teams passion for playing for there country…..see you in france
didn’t bother with a pre match bet stuck this on in play 8.30 pm
Hungerford o1.5mgs, boreham u3.5mgs, Benevento u2.5mgs, ROI o1.5mgs 3/1 LOST
fekn Hungerford v Redditch goosed it zip-zip 27 goals between them in their last 5 respective games averaging 5.4 goals per game no such thing as a sure thing fuds……………
aye didnae think it wid of been the irish boys same on bosnia fans if they did terrible form………
well done all in Ireland enjoy the nite great stuff wish it was us gone bridesmaids again afraid……………….
2.7 goals per game not 5.4 ffs big finger small buttons on calculator
bosnia over 4.5 corners 5/6 bet365 *****won*****
Deportivo laferrere half time result 11/10 bet365 *****lost*****
2 x 20 singles
20 double
starting bank 1000
balance 1051.37
Laissez le football de faire la conversation…
hull just love your irish gaelic with the northern twang to it……….. :D
Don’t worryr F, we’ll be there for euro 2028
that’s the spirit greg :-)
Greg, I can’t wait 12 years but you might be right. Was at Euro 96 and France 98 and been waiting ever since.
Was planning a football/golf trip to France in June but will go somewhere else now.
ffs greg a hope no lol al be well in ma 70’s by then if a see it even……………
rite here goes going to be a longish post, but due to poor card spent tonite looking at asia world cup qualifiers tomorrow, bets will need to be placed in play just after ko time as none of the bookies I can see or I use doing goals atm, sadly all seem to have dropped the Bhutan v Qatar game at 12pm possibly due to losses with the wise backing Bhutan getting pumped heavily recently, also good few games in Africa that could see plenty of goals too but not had time to research them all afraid, below are goals bets that for the early risers and those with patience could see a nice bank builder during the day
5.30am guam o4.5mgs
7.00am east timor o3.5mgs
7.00am north korea o3.5mgs
11.00 am Chinese Taipei o3.5mgs
11.30 am Bangladesh o3.5mgs
12.00 pm laos o4.5mgs
12.45 pm Malaysia o5.5mgs
others to consider
14.00 pm krgyzstan o2.5mgs
15.30 pm yemen o2.5mgs
and of course if Bhutan does come on in play at 12.00 pm anything from o5.5 – o10.5mgs is a possibility
I might not be able to post a bet on each game tomorrow at ko as busy working but will be on most if not all if I get the chance……………..
I’ll be on a few of those craneguy, thanks mate. ?
Chile Primera B 11:30pm
Magallanes to win @ 2.05 (Betfair)
5 points staked
Running Total + 8.9 points