JORDAN ended the month with a nice winner and he's got another for the early risers as well as some English tips.
He says: Putting this up now as I doubt many will be able to get on in time for the morning (not that it's a cert by any means).
I feel Shandong Luneng are being underestimated in their AFC Champions League group game at home to Thai champions Buriram who will be without their captain after receiving a red card last week and one of their Brazilian strikers who scored 33 of their 98 goals in their domestic league last season.
Shandong Luneng, despite their league not starting yet, managed to beat Japanese champions Sanfreece Hiroshima 2-1 in their first group game in Japan last week, while Buriram were mauled 6-0 at home by Seoul of the Korea Republic. They are a good side but don’t have any standouts for me other than Montenegro international Dejan Damjanovic who at 34)isn’t the best player in the world.
Luneng on the other hand have current Brazilian striker Diego Tardelli, Aloisio (22 goals in 28 games in the CSL last season) and the top Chinese scorer in the Asian World Cup Qualifiers in Xu Yang. They are also managed by ex Brazil, Corinthians, Flamengo and Cruzeiro manager Mano Menezes so have experience at the coaching level.
Realistically I would like to double up a couple of the Luneng goals up with something but there isn’t much I like the look of in any of the other group games and don’t really want to be waiting for tomorrow evening for a bet to win as it's only a small interest.
Over 2.5 Luneng goals pays 6-4 at various bookmakers but I’m going to try my luck on the handicap.
AFC Champions League (7.30am)
Shandong Luneng -1
(13-10, Paddy Power) – 2pts
Crystal Palace continued their dire form on Saturday evening conceding three first-half goals against West Brom with a second-half brace from Conner Wickham not enough. That is now 10 Premier League fixtures without a win and their early-season form has come to nothing now being only 8 points off the drop.
Sunderland were defeated in London by West Ham in the early game but played well and really should have netted. Big Sam didn’t look happy after the game and I’m sure the Black Cats felt the wrath in the dressing room afterwards.
With Norwich at home to Chelsea and Newcastle not playing until the weekend at home to Bournemouth, Sunderland have a chance to get out of the relegation zone with 3 points tonight and there is more likely no better time to be playing Palace on a short rest on b2b away games.
Jermaine Defoe scored the only goal in the reverse fixture despite Palace dominating the game so Palace could be seeking much needed revenge. Both can win this with a good performance but it would take a brave man to back either side but I like the look of BTTS.
Sunderland's last game at home was a 2-1 win against Manchester United (no comment) and were only beaten 1-0 by City prior to that. They have scored in their last 3 of 4 at home but not kept a clean sheet since November in front of the home crowd.
Palace’s struggles have come while their best player (in my opinion) Yannick Bolasie dealt with an injury but came on in the second half on Saturday which likely spirited their two goals.
Palace have scored in their last three games on the road including their shock FA Cup win against Spurs, but have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10.
Premier League (7.45pm)
Sunderland v Crystal Palace BTTS
(19-20, 10Bet) – 4 points
Las Palmas/Getafe BTTS
10.35-1 at 365 – 0.5pts
Final February Totals
Points Staked 118.81
Points Returned 153.71
Profit Percentage 29.37%