EURO 2016 returns tonight with the first quarter-final and I've posted a preview of Poland v Portugal.
It's an incredibly tough one to call and I'm looking at draw in 90 minutes and wouldn't be surprised if it went all the way to penalties.
There are 40-plus
Europa League qualifiers on Thursday including Aberdeen v Fola Esch and Hearts v Infonet. I'm back concentrating on the Euros but it should be straightforward enough for the two Scots sides against weak opposition.
My
Super Single of Dominic Thiem and John Isner finally came in when Isner beat Marcos Baghdatis 3-0 in a rain-delayed match.
I'm ending June with two Super Singles that are both accumulators. The first is Andy Murray to win 3-0 against Yen-Hsun Lu and Stan Wawrinka to see off Juan Martin del Potro who is on the comeback trail after injury problems.
I fancy Hearts and Aberdeen but the double pays just 1-2 so I'm adding Kazakhstan outfit Kairat Almaty at Albanians Teuta Durres. It's risky but Almaty, who are mid-season, are building up Euro experience and beat leaders Astana in the league last week and have won 10 of 11.
The advise accumulators have been on a rollercoaster this month – down 20pts before recovering to -5pts. It's back to -10pts and I'm putting 1pt on a Europa League
accumulator to see if I can wipe it out.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
Murray to win 3-0
Wawrinka
(13-10, Coral)
2pts Super Single
Kairat Almaty (7pm)
Aberdeen (7.45pm)
Hearts (8pm)
(6-5, Coral)
1.9pts Super Single
Isner to bt Baghdatis (3pm) WON
Thiem to bt Mayer (3pm) WON
(11-10, bet365)
1pt Europa League Acca
Differdange (6pm)
Qabala (6pm)
Kairat Almaty (7pm)
Aberdeen to score 2+ (7.45pm)
Hearts to score 2+ (8pm)
Dinamo Minsk (5pm)
Stabaek (7.15pm)
(10-1, Ladbrokes)
June Super Singles Total
Profit: 2.9pts
(21 bets, 8 winners, 1 void)
June Advised Accas Total
Loss: 10pts
(23 bets, 4 winners)
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In December 2020 we sadly 
Linfield v cork looks the tie of the round.
Linfield probably under cooked and cork in middle of season might swing it corks way.
Bookies go 6-4 the pair so a draw looks likely in this 1st leg maybe.
Mrf this article sums up England perfectly and its by a retired player who knows his stuff.
http://www.independent.ie/sport/soccer/euro-2016/john-giles-england-fail-because-of-truly-awful-management-and-clueless-headless-players-34843989.html
Flamengo v Internacional
Over 10.5 corners
5/6
*LOST* (8-0)
Whilst Poland haven’t been great, Portugal has been worse. Given the form and circumstances, Poland double chance @ 8/13 @ Ladbrokes must represent decent value?
Night Owl and just kicking off now…
CHAPECOENSE v CRUZEIRO…BTTS…EVENS
(2 Points)
**WON**
Nice one mate ?
Morning gentlemen,
Already been covered by Mr F in his Euro 2016 blog so won’t go into much detail…
I’m on the draw tonight for the Poland v Portugal game…not often I’ll bet on a draw but it looks to be decent value with Poland not conceding many and Portugal drawing all 4 of their Euro 2016 matches so far in 90 minutes.
Poland ?? v ?? Portugal, Draw @ 39/20 (Sporting Bet)
Correct Score, 0-0 @ 460/100 (Sporting Bet)
Correct Score, 1-1 @ 11/2 (Bet365)
Spread cover, so profit made if either comes in. Good luck today all. ?⚽
*Win*
Poland v Portugal Draw @ 39/20
Correct score 1-1 @ 11/2
July £10 Challenge
Time to go again. One, two at most, bets a day and see how far I can stretch £10. Sometimes will be half stakes.
Bet 1
Hvitti v Lettir O2.5mg (Iceland 4 2100)
£10 pays £13
Also have 2.5pts on Poland v Portugal 2nd half being highest scoring @ 6/5. Mentioned way back that I’d be doing this market every game in Copa and Euros and has worked very nicely mainly thanks to the Euros. Always evens there or thereabouts.
GL
Ok so just realised is not July, header should have given it away, so clearly starting a day early ?
11:00AM – South Korea WK League
Seoul v Hwacheon
Seoul women have scored 14 from 7 at home so far but also conceded 18 in those games. These two generally play high scoring matches with 6 from the last 7 seeing a minimum of 3 goals scored but generally more than that including 16 from the last 3 meetings.
Seoul’s last 9 games in a row have seen 3 goals minimum scored and the average number of goals in those 9 has been 4.7 goals. Based on the above, overs seems the logical choice and is of decent value.
Over 2.5 goals @ 19/20
Where do you get it at 19/20? It’s 1.53 at 365 right now
B365 mate at 8:30am this morning
Guess they wised up :)
Looks like it markus, I did wonder when I saw that price. :)
Wait 5 mins in play hopefully get better price
Poor first half for goals in Korea…just checked stats on futbol24 and 85% of Seoul’s games go over 2.5 goals and most come in 2nd half, so holding out for that.
*Lost, one goal short :(
16:30PM – Finland Ykkonen
TPS v Jaro
Decent start for TPS, especially at home having scored 12 goals in their first 3 matches there. Their problem though is conceding too much as well with 7 going in their own net in those 3 games. They’re on a decent run with 5 straight wins and face a Jaro side who’ve only won 2 in their 9 matches for far this Ykkonen campaign.
These two have played each other plenty of times in the past with a mixture of results – the last 3 being draws and by the looks of it – there’s an even number of overs and unders. What interests me though is both teams matches so far this season…
TPS seen a minimum of 3 goals in 4 of their last 6 matches whilst Jaro have seen the same in 3 of their last 4. I think TPS will most likely bag two here today as they’ve done in those four games and Jaro might possibly nick one too due to TPS conceding so many. The stats generally point to overs and that’s what I’ll take at decent value…
Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1
Also going with a small stake on TPS to win @ 11/10
Will also be putting on TPS to score in 2nd half at HT…they’ve scored 72% of their goals in 2nd half so far this season. Currently @ 8/11 but will hopefully improve in about 25 mins.
*Win*
Over 2.5 goals @ 1/1
Didn’t expect TPS to be losing 3-0 though, but a wins a win. Hopefully they nab a goal before FT
*Win*
TPS to score in 2nd half
Got a 2 x £5 free bets sitting in my PP account so going with monster Europa League acca’s…
Levadia Tallinn
HJK Helsinki
AIK
IFK Goteborg
Midtylland
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Aberdeen
Hearts
Ventspils
All to win @ 6/1
Santa Coloma v Lokomotiva Zagreb
AIK v Bala Town
IFK Goteborg v Llandudno
AEK v SS Folgore
Aberdeen v Fola Esch
Over 2.5 goals 5-fold @ 3/1
Poland DC
Aberdeen -1
Midtjylland -1
20 returns 60 @ paddy
Got a feeling Poland will snatch a 1-0 or 2-0 today…
Nothing been on for a few days so a few bets on this one…
Poland score
£30 pays £50
Poland 2+
£3 pays £13.50
Poland to qualify
£20 pays £47.50
Poland DC
£13 pays £22
Poland 1-0
£3 pays £24
Poland 2-0
£2 pays £36
——————–
Mad acca for today…
Home United
Ventspils
HJK
Videoton
Dinamo Minsk
Midtylland
Qabala
Tel aviv
Stabaek
Aberdeen
Hearts
Brondby
£2.50 pays £108.67
– think home United @1pm could down it, if it does throwing 2.50 on the rest
Remove home united. They are a nightmare.
I know bud, they are already 2-1 down so have to go for it?
Even madder acca**
£5 free bet on…
HJK
Neftchi
Dinamo Minsk
Videoton
Slavia Sofia DNB
Midtylland -1
Qabala
Vaduz
Tel aviv
Kairat Almaty
Stabaek
Debrecen -1
Aberdeen -1
Brondby
Hearts -1
£5 returns £4302.16
Poland vs. Portugal is the trickiest today
NAP for today
Odds BK
Kairat Almaty
Midtjylland -1
As they say in France, “merde!” if you follow
NB:
Dinamo Minsk
Beroe
Gabala
Good luck
Poland – Portugal – Poland or draw & 0-3 goals aggregate @ 1.75
Hi all. The general consensus on the Poland Portugal match is that it’s going to be very tight and very close. Both teams are fully capable of going through to the semis. Why Poland are 6/4 to qualify is beyond me. Why have won 2 matches and drawn 2 whilst Portugal have drawn all 4. The value for me lies with Poland to qualify at 6/4.
I see this being decided in extra time or penalties but really hope Poland do the business to get through to the semis. This will be a huge night for the Poland players and may they make us proud.
Good luck.
Poland vs Portugal Draw
Belgium
Italy vs Germany Draw
France
21/1
Have to agree re the draw between Poland and Portugal:
MOV = EXTRA TIME…6/1
(2 POINTS)
MOV = PENALTIES…4/1
(2 POINTS)
Good luck!
top picking @hullshaker
March: Bets 113 Wins 49 Losses 63 Push 1 +3.05 units
April: Bets 176 Wins 86 Losses 82 Push 8 +16.85 units
May: Bets 145 Wins 73 Losses 71 Push 1 +15.8 units
June: Bets 51 Wins 25 Losses 25 Push 1 +6.10 units
Bet 52 – Over 1.5 MG double: Dila Gori and Admira.
Odds 1.95 3 units
Dilla game reason: 8 out of ten home games for dilla, 8 out of ten aways for shirak all over 1.5.
Admira game reason: 8 out of ten home games, 8 out 10 aways for Myjava all over 1.5.
It is Europa though !
Hearts will probably win tonight but it won’t be easy. Infonet are riding high in the Estonian league. They are mid season and will be ready to go for this tie unlike Hearts.
They score plenty of goals and I like BTTS at 6/4 or play it safer and take 5/4 on Infonet to score with WH.
I will also take a more speculative punt on Infonet to score first at 11/2 with B365.
There is the first goal for Infonet!
Not a bad 11/2 shot and hope some of you got on them to score at 5/4 as well. Huge prices against an out of season Hearts.
all four euro 16 ties to go over 2.5 goals @ 40/1
If a team is to score then surely we will see more open games.
worth a tenner.
Super singles is a double and a treble WTF
THAT IS NOT A SINGLE.
douglas, well spotted – you’re a genius.
why call it a super single then instead of adding it to the accas
punterpounder, if you’ve been following me you will know.
It’s just a tag but I can’t change because it’s searched for.
ok mr f no problem would hate for us to fall out
365 offer again for Wales Belgium tomorrow ???
Afternoon Alves…seen that – can see Belgium ripping Wales apart tomorrow…Belgium -1 looks huge at 2/1.
Draw on 1 and 1sr gl freekick on the other ;)
Anyway, today I’m on Aberdeen Hearts Kairat Goteburg and AIK 6/4ish. Still undecided about the Poland Portugal game, was gonna do £20 on Portugal wi PP promo then cover Poland DC and play for free bets but Polans now 4/9 from 8/11 for the DC. Needing Ronaldo to score from outside the box for a nice 50/1 pre tourmey bet for £255 so may just leave it
fixit, liking this http://test.mrfixitstips.co.uk/blog/2016/06/16/june-15-all-your-betting-challenges/, looks like it could work if notifications are instant
Euro 2016/Europa League eight-fold:
Poland vs Portugal – over 2.0 goal line
Poland vs Portugal – Portugal -2 corner handicap
Valur Reykjavik vs Brondby – Brondby win
Valur Reykjavik vs Brondby – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Odd BK vs IFK Mariehamn – Odd BK win
IFK Goteborg vs Llandudno – IFK Goteborg win
Breidablik vs FK Jelgava – DC Breidablik
Midtjylland vs FK Suduva – Midtjylland win
25/1
Good luck all
4 fold
murray 3-0
wawrinka
hearts
Portugal to qualify
£20 returns £77.38 @willhill
top picking @punterpounder 75% way there, wawrinka will do the damage,
been a good day all round today for punters i believe
thanks shortee yes doesn’t look like too many people have don badly hopefully Stan comes out on top and the money is in the account Portugal were lucky though
3rd bet on two days where team I’ve had have dominated but couldn’t get the goals/win?
Did say I could see them letting my acca so £2.50 on the others it is
MR. F, any reason why MIDTJYLLAND is not on your acca? Do you have some news?
I’ve just noticed it is on almost everyone’s betslip today…so if they feck it up we’re all screwed
tigerman1, they are one of dozens of short-priced bankers. I could have put 20 teams in there but that would be silly.
Well, I took them to win by at least 2 goals (as I stated above)
I agree with all your other selections though. Nevertheless, Europa League is a minefield… let’s tread carefully
Bet 52 lose
Bet 53 double in play 1 min
Videoton win & Trakai win
Odds 2.20 2 units
Poland to Qualify 13/10
< 4.5 Cards, Portugal RT5 1.5/1
Lewo ATGS 15/8
In-play (currently half-time):
TPS Turku v Jaro (0-2 at H/T)
Based on the stat that a massive 61% of Turku’s match goals are scored or conceded between the 60th and 90th minutes of games, will risk 4 points on Over 3.5mgls @ 11/8
Good luck all!
Evening gents
Well this is a first in 5 years – Europa league action And I’m not in travelling Europa watching the famous Perth St Johnstone
Sticking with the two Scottish games today
Aberdeen v CS Fola
Hearts v Infonet
Fancy both teams to take decent leads into the second leg! Aberdeen should be looking to hit 3-4 past Fola! Hearts have a slightly tougher assessment but they too should be winning this comfortably!
Back over 2.5 match goals double 6/4 (Bet365) (NAP)
In-play (currently half-time):
TPS Turku v Jaro (0-2 at H/T)
Based on the stat that a massive 61% of Turku’s match goals are scored or conceded between the 60th and 90th minutes of games, will risk 4 points on Over 3.5mgls @ 11/8
:-):-) WINNER :-):-) Currently 1-4 after 82 mins. :-)
On Gregs double
Also going for this four fold
Aberdeen
Limerick
Hearts
Alianza
All over 2.5mgs returns over 8/1
Good luck all
nite owl LOST
tonite
Aberdeen u4.5mgs, hearts o1.5tgs evens
Poland o1.5mgs, Aberdeen o1.5tgs, linfield btts, hearts o1.5tgs 5/1
GL all with a bet on…………….
€60 poland 1st goal before 80mins €110
€30 poland game over 5 fh corners €66
€30 poland game over 10 match corners €55
Didn’t take long kelly. Was just about to place bet & they scored. Well done gutted I missed it
Lewo ATGS 15/8 :) :) :)
going again
€110 Poland 2nd goal before 80 mins €220
Small interest tonight
Aberdeen over 1.5tgs (in play)
Hearts over 1.5tgs
Poland v Portugal over 1.5mgs
Treble pays 5/2
nice one WC no waiting around……………….
Cracker WC and Kelly.
Lewandowski to score a brace…13/8
(2 Points)
Cheers Crane and Hull !
53 win
Bet 54 double in play
Cuckaricki win / Aberdeen win
Evens 2 units
53 win
Bet 54 double in play
Cuckaricki win / Aberdeen win
Evens 2 units
Poland playing some lovely passes!
I’m so proud. It’s looking good
Bet 55 in play ht
Cork win 2.20 odds 1 unit
Bet 56 in play ht
Over 1.5 mg linfield v cork odds 2.60 1 unit
Finally aberdeen find the net!
What are they doing?
Surely they should take this seriously?
I thought scottish teams needed the extra cash revenue!
dom77, they’re taking it seriously – just keep missing.
It’s a full-strength Aberdeen team and they’ve had loads of shots and corners.
Hopefully they get a second but if not it’s a poor result and the only excuse is it’s the first game of the season and they’ll have to finish it off next week.
Oh great 2 disallowed goals as well.
dom77, just one of those nights – keeper’s had a blinder too.
No there it is – 2-1 Aberdeen. Well done everyone and nice one Greg on your double.
3-1.
It was the LAST leg of an 8 fold i had. I was sweating on that.
In play
Portugal over 1.tgs 9/4
Ronaldo ags 4/1
Damn you Ronaldo
Missed a decent chance
Nice one Greg!
Was about to stick 5 on Aberdeen at 10/1 in extra time and tbwh score damn it! Won some on the corners though over 15 Evens.
So many more after that too have made something on but didn’t go for it.
Bet few on here were sweating
@theboss done them inplay on HILly and 365 and was sweating but young mc ginn stepped up to get me three winners, 2 of my own and @gregbrowning super single double at 6/4
happy man, now an INPLAY double of both brazil games 2 or 3 total goals at 10/11 and 1/1 respectively
5points returns 19.09points
Finally some justice!
Bookies get so much luck with disallowed goals.
Small interest tonight
Aberdeen over 1.5tgs (in play)
Hearts over 1.5tgs
Poland v Portugal over 1.5mgs
Treble pays 5/2
*WON*
Aberdeen making a few sweat tonight!!
Good stuff Scott and Crane ?
tonite
Aberdeen u4.5mgs, hearts o1.5tgs evens WON
Poland o1.5mgs, Aberdeen o1.5tgs, linfield btts, hearts o1.5tgs 5/1 LOST darn it linfield goal short……….
WD all with winners…………..
Nice shooting Craneguy ??
Mr Orange, Mr F – cheers
Couple of good SS’s Mr F
Great stuff Greg?
Excellent stuff Sir Browning ?
No second for Lewo but there’s the extra time (6/1) or penalties (4/1) MOV
The Hulk joins Shanghai for over 45m pound, the most expensive transfer in Asia football history.
Crazy money Notorious…I wonder if one day they’ll make it into a film.
If they do, I really hope Asian film director Ang Lee gets the gig and plays the lead role – then we could have a classic film tag-line…
‘Hulk – you won’t like me when I’m Ang Lee’
☆☆☆☆☆
Lol. Im sure players like Sterling and Lallana would love it out there especially in their bank account. Now im to find odds on Hodgson to be the next manager of Shanghai lol
POLAND v PORTUGAL:
MOV = PENALTIES…4/1
(2 Points)
**WON**
This competition is a joke, how can a team be in the semi-finals without winning a game. Inhave nothing personal against portugal but this format has to change
humble tipper, it’s a bit strange but even in the past teams could draw all their games and get to this stage.
Not sure why they don’t just try to win games. They did beat Croatia but all draws in 90 minutes.
I understand mrf but with this new format the chances of this happening has increase by a huge percentage. It would be criminal if portugal win this tournament
humble tipper, I’m not a big fan of how Portugal have go there but if they’re that bad why has no one beaten them.
I’m pretty sure Wales or Belgium will take them in the semis unless they come out to play and they have the players.
Night Owl…
PALMEIRAS VS. FIGUEIRENSE (2330 KO):
Top side Palmeiras take on a patchy Figueirense side and despite losing their last game by the odd goal in 3, they are on fine form.
That form is most consistent at home and it’s team goals that float my boat tonight…in 10 of their last 12 home games, Palmeiras have scored 2 or more team goals.
Over 1.5 tgs pays a skinny 8/15 but stands a great chance. Corners ought well to figure and I’ll bolster the team goals with Over 10.5 match corners taking the combo bet to 1.81/1
(2 POINTS)
Best of luck ?
Hull over 1.5 ht gls came up in last 4 Palmeiras games, could be worth a shot at 13/8 but safer bet would be over 1.0 ht gls at 1.750. I’ve got a free bet off PP, done Portugal but covered bets where I was only losin £2 if Poland won and break even draw or Portugal, ££ back plus free fiver. Gone for over 1.5 ht gls at Palmeiras, BTTS Ponte Preta and over 0.5 gls at some other game later on. Just random pick really.
Palmeiras RT7 4/5
Ponte Preta RT7 small stakes
Good luck pal.
nite owl
palmeiras o1.5tgs, santa cruz o1.5mgs, ath MG o1.5tgs 9/4
GL all on a late one…………….
I’m with Hull and Alves on corners.
Palmeiras RT7 4/5
Figueirense have conceded 14-9-9-7-5 in their away matches this season
Why do I always miss the Brazilian tips? :(
Any more left Mr. Hull?
just trawling through todays thread some nice winners again from usual suspects great stuff all…………
had a decent evens myself on main bet for the day just wish could pick ’em 5 or 6 out of 7 wid be a millionaire by now an postin on the challenge thread……………..
craig, see use got a 2-2 draw in Slovakia who scored?
hull, yer some man way the patter……. gied me a good wee laff there after a poor couple of days in the faroes…….. its like a scene fae the deliverance or the wicker man up there wont be back……………. :D
Rogic and Cifti, played a fee youngsters with Ajer starting in defence
Treble still has a chance, BTTS should come in in PP match and other pick is Botafago over 0.5 ht gls, ponte Preta RT7 never really got going
a meant who scored for celje craig no interested in who scored for use…………… :D ;) ;p
am jokin mate…….. ciftci back fae turkey an scored eh…………..
Santa Cruz RT9 8/11
Palmeiras get 4 but short on the corner count ?