LIKE it was on Wednesday the Super Single was late but in the end Chile did the business against Ecuador in their Copa America opener.
I had 5pts on Chile -1 AH but they covered the handicap with two second-half goals in a 2-0 win they thoroughly deserved.
For the second night in a row I thought I was going to land the Top Treble. I was pleased to tip both to score between Germany and Norway women at over evens but England were a goal short in their Under-21 friendly against Belarus.
It's that time of the week when I've got to focus on my weekend Daily Record column so Friday tips will be up as and when I get a chance.
There are nine Euro 2016 qualifiers with the highlights being Wales v Belgium, Croatia v Italy and Iceland v Czech Republic and I've posted a separate preview.
And in Copa America it's Bolivia against guests Mexico who have sent a weakened side as they'll be concentrating on the Gold Cup but who should still bag the points.
Dundalk have already been well tipped on the site as the leaders visit Sligo Rovers in the League of Ireland. The champions will be out to make amends after losing their unbeaten record to Bohemians last time out.
Sligo have won just one of their last seven home games and seem to be in a bit of disarray after a 5-1 thrashing by Shamrock Rovers last time out. Dundalk are 4-6 with Coral and 15-8 at Paddy Power -1.
Dundalk have won six and drawn one of the last seven meetings and when you consider three of the last four meetings have finished 3-0 Dundalk I'm chancing a couple of points on them -1 as the Super Single.
I'm putting up a Euro 2016 Top Treble that will just about wipe out losses if it comes in but of course is a big price at 7-1. Iyaly can avoid defeat behind closed doors in Croatia, both should score at Iceland-Czech Rep and I like Memphis Depay to score for Holland away to Latvia.
There's a full Irish top-flight card as well as some lower-league games and for a second Super Single I'm on both to score at Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers. Bohs last six apart from a 0-0 with Bray have seen both score while Rovers last three, barring a 0-0 with Cork, have seen both score and over 2.5 goals – 4-1, 5-1 and 3-2 victories.
Super Singles
2pts Dundalk -1 (7.45pm)
(15-8, Paddy Power)
2pts Bohemians v Shamrock Rovers btts (7.35pm)
(5-4, Ladbrokes)
1.5pt Top Treble (all 7.45pm)
Italy +1
Depay to score
Iceland v Czech Rep btts
(7-1, bet365)
June Super Single record
15 bets (8 winners, 7 losers)
Profit/Loss: +4.9pts
June Daily Double/Top Treble record
8 bets (1 winner, 7 losers)
Profit/Loss: -14pts
Remember to check out our friends at We Love Betting for more video tips and chat.
And don't miss their excellent guide to Copa America with contributions from Tim Vickery.
Meanwhile, Raaljaca's goals thread started recently and he's asking for donations to two cancer charities. In June we're supporting another cause in the shape of Projects Abroad who send volunteers to work in poor countries all over the world. All Buy a Beer donations (£3 minimum) will be passed on to Projects Abroad so click the button if you want to help.
Looking at the Australia games in the morning. Looking at the stats I fancy 2 doubles:
Balcutta > 2.5 MGS
Perth SC Win
Croydon Kings > 2.5MGS
Logan Lightning > 2.5MGS
Will hold off placing anything to see if anyone else eg Harry posts a tip!!
**Prices may have varied as I posted Tuesday**
Cork City Over 1.5 Team Goals – Ireland Premier – 7:45PM
Cyprus Over 1.5 Team Goals – Euro 2016 – 7:45PM
9/10 @ 365 – 5 point double
Add St Pats Over 1.5 Team Goals (Ireland Premier – 7:45PM) @ 8/5 @ 365 – 2 point treble
Long punt add – All Euro 2016 – 7:45PM
Czech Republic no clean sheet/Iceland to score
Croatia no clean sheet/Italy to score
Wales no clean sheet/Belgium to score
57/10 @ 365 – 1 point sixfold
_______________________________________________________________
June Totals
Bets 33
Staked 82
Returned 109.3
CC SS
LIMERICK TO SCORE
11/8
WALES. +1 AH
ITALY. +1 AH
EVENS
GL LADS
Over night interest punt posted earlier today.
Alexis Sanchez (Chile) to score from outside the penalty area @ 8.00 @ 888 -1 point (now @ 7.00)
China women playing good look a punt job
Gonna take Sanchez anytime at 13/10 for interest. Hopefully scores outside the box for you Jordan :)
Guys have a look at Beasuejour anytime for Chile, the guy is starting and you can get him at 15/2 anytime on 365. He is playing striker alongside Sanchez, bookies must still think it’s Vargas playing.
Bolivia possibly a good call for a super single @ 5/1 if mexico have brought a weakened squad mr. F ?
mr. boofle, Bolivia are pretty poor and do most of their good stuff at altitude. Bookies are aware of the squad Mexico have brought along but they’re still huge favourites. Will have some decent youngsters I assume.
In play
Ivory Coast women -0.5, -1 AH
20/21 1 point bet365
Darren
Agree taken a punt on China a goal or two ain’t far away hopefully!
Chile should exert a bit of class and pedigree tonight but Ecuador are not too shabby themselves.
Over 3.5 match goals is a huge 3/1…for what its worth that is as big a price for over 3.5 as I have seen in a long time.
Not huge stakes and I know it’ll be unpopular but could be worth a go given the srikers on the field.
Good luck.
Going for BTTS in Chile vs Ecuador(2.1), both have reasonably strong attacks and pretty weak defences! Plus both have conceded to weak teams in their last few fixtures.
Anytime
Calhanoglu
Dzeko
Sigurdsson
Huntelaar
64/1
On behalf of Alves
Chile RT7 & RT9 @ 6/5 & 3/1 @ 365
Now, would that have been outside the box or not? :)
Cannot stand this Geordie commentator. Ray Hudson.
Get in china!!!! :D
Bang big Wang!!!
China v Netherlands in-play BTTS…not quite finished but LOST
China over 1.5 team goals lost
I do not know how 20 odd shots for the Chinese and it took till 90 mins to get one goal lol
The male Eurosport commentator ripping p I ss out of the women’s game
Are the copa America games meant to be in YouTube do you know?
– Andorra v Cyprus / Cyprus -1 AH @ 4/5
– Sligo v Dundalk / Dundalk Draw-no-bet @ 2/9
Double @ 6/5 (PP)
Not that I’m aware Danny. Do you need a stream? http://ifirstrow.eu/watch/350792/2/watch-chile-vs-ecuador.html
Jordan, Chile getting better – just need to turn their clever play into goals. Just read a stat saying their last 8 Copa America goals have been in the second half so here’s hoping.
Cheers Jordan I got it on you tube in the end as I thought it might be less buggy . I normally get streams but I figured that if you tube were doing the tournement games live to whack it on there . Thanks though mate
Let’s hope chile don’t falter under the pressure of being the host and the crowd get on there backs if a goal don’t come soon
canada woman get your tank on them 1/2 bet365 absolute cert .
Mr F they’ve played some nice stuff but Ecuador are being resilient. Can’t see it ending 0-0 though. Wouldn’t be surprised to see a red card either.
No probs Danny no bugs on that stream if you have decent add-ons to stop all the crap popping up.
Gtfi chile your such hot stuff !
Bertie, about bloody time – now give us another.
A wee thunder storm in canada v nz.
nice 1 MrF
winnerallright, cheers – I should have advised Ecuador to score next at about 16-1 but it didn’t seem likely. Chile have looked good but need to stop trying to walk the ball into the net.
Well done Mr F. Can’t see my long shot coming in but never mind.
Sanchez to score outside the box @ 8.00 @ 888 – 1 point **LOSE**
Think Capone said to get on Dundalk as Sligo want rid of their manager so the SS looks a good bet.
There you are mrfixit well done on your selection !
There’s that red card. Rats.
Jordan, a bit soft and too late to affect the result. Chile looked decent but it’s still Argentina for me. Goodnight.
Two small low stakes shouts
Canada to score in both halfs 2/1
Canada over 1.5 team goals evens
Good luck guys
I’m with you on that one mate. Colombia my dark horses though. Night.
Must pop in and say thankyou mrf, was on minus 1 normal handicap there (by mistake) 8/5.
Been dipping in n out of tips over last 3 weeks n I must say I’m pulling in a nice profit, not enough to retire but enough to treat the family at weekends. I will also be donating when this next lump hits my bank. Cheers mrf and all the the guys offering info and advice. J
Copa America being shown in the USA on Bein Sports, you can get a top notch feed on an android phone or kindle fire/android tablet with the free MOBDRO app, just mirror your phone or hook android device up to your tv #simpuls have been using it for years now to watch sky sports/atr/ruk quality app cant go wrong, enjoy!
After landing 2 doubles in last 2 days
here’s hoping for the hat trick.
Kazak v turkey over 2.5 mg
Latvia v Holland over 2.5 mg
3.34 bet 365
Good luck.
Well not the wake up call I was expecting, Chile win but no Sanchez gl :(
Cheers for the chile tip mr f
Kazakhstan v Turkey
Turkey over 1.5 TG
4/6
Bet 365 (NAP) Double stake
BTTS and over 2.5 goals
7/4
Bet 365
Croatia v Italy
BTTS
23/20
William Hill, Betfair, Coral
Had Chile Belgium Iceland in a wee treble so that’ll keep me interested the night
Tjis fiji game at 830am has potential for goals. Last head to head finished 0-0 but was in the cup. Previous league games between the 2 have seen BA being easy winners scoring more than todays goal line. Im just going to go with 1.5 fhgls though.
really not too much taking my fancy today. Looks like most my daily ponts will be on ireland and internationals later
Thanks jordan for talking me out of the over 3:5 goals in the germany womens game saved me there took btts at 11/8 in willam hill on a coupon.i have noticed that the coupon prices have been better than website prices quite a few times this week.
Aussie Double:
Croydon Kings > 2.5MGS
Logan Lightning > 2.5MGS
Previous H2H’s and Goal Lines drew my attention to these games.
Craigboy really like the over 1.5 team goals for Turkey i took them in there last game against bulguria at over 2.5 match goals they won that 4-0 so I think they easily have the power to get 2. I myself will defiantly be on that the other bet that cries out to me today is btts to score in iceland vs Czech Republic it’s even money at the moment online but I’m going to go into will hill as prices have been better on coupon recently good luck all any thoughts on btts in iceland game welcome
Craigyboy like the look of Turkey over 1.5 tg will be on that
That fiji game i think is already playing it just popped up inplay near ht. Think 365 had wrong kick off time. Soccerway said 730am. So forget that one. Onto next
.
couple of russian games that look to point to goals and know from past experience the 2 in mind can score their fair share.
tryer i know writes notes on these games so holding out to see if hes around and they get a mention
EVENS GOALS TREBLE im on today
KAZAKSTAN VS TURKEY OVER 1.5MG
LATVIA VS HOLLAND OVER 1.5MG
SLIGO VS DUNDALK OVER 1.5MG
PAYS SHADE OVER EVENS AT B365
Il have a slice of that interyernan
Restavratsiya krasnoyarsk 10am (rus div3)
Yenisey-m krasnoyarsk 11am (russian matches on 365)
I know these two are very capable of goals but cant really tip them as theres no stats online for anyone to check up on them.
all il do is recommend goals while inplay. Hopefully be able to let them drop a little before get on.
Coma Tigers at 10.20am this morning looks good for goals, they tend to score 3 or so goals a game. Only getting 3.5 goal line just now at 1.7.
Going to hold out for 1.5fhgls if I can get it inplay
Woden weston v cooma tigers 1020 kick off
recent form and head to heads (10 out of the last 13) point to an away win but the odds of 1-2 not too appealing
I will wait for the game to come in running and will be looking for cooma minus 1 and also to be winning at half time possibly
Also like the look of Bosnia vs Israel for goals.
Last time Bosia played Israel it was 3-0 to Israel(h) and bosnia will be eager to make amends… stats look good for goals and I think the bookies are being generous offering evens for over 2.5mg. I will have some of that.
Mr fix it shamrock rovers v bohemians btts 6/5. That seems big rovers are favorites but with bohemians at home they will try there best. Also maybe a red card in this its a derby!!
Not football related but the handicap betting on the world cup of darts has some very good prices.had a bet on last night and it strolled in.have a look tonight guys bookies bring very generous with prices.
Also swedeish league is goals goals goals
Knight Rider give us some recomendations to look at im interested
Morning all been a while since I’ve been on the site, now I don’t normally give tips as I’m a bonkers bet for a laugh type of gambler, but have decided to change up my style a bit lol so here goes, again these are not tips just the bets I’m doing, so follow at your own risk lol
SS – Bohemians. Btts and over 2.5. @3.00
Treble – bohemians. Btts and over 2.5 @3.00
Dundalk @1.65
Austria U21 @1.57
Tot odds @7.77
Bonkers bet – bohemians BTTS and over 2.5 @3.00
St Patrick’s 1st half over 1.5 goals @2.50
Dundalk win and BTTS @3.75
Holland -2 @2.45
Tot odds @68.92
I think Aguero to be the premier leagues top goalscorer in the copa america is a good shout at 2.35 especially when Sanchez has already played a game and not scored and also argentina have jamaica in their group seems a tough bet to pass up
Checked a few games including the Irish ones and settled for the Euro qualification. Cant do a write up today broski’s, but agree with InterYerNan, there should be goals in this and I’d say both of them doing the deed.
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Israel – BTTS 11/10 @Bet Way
21/20 available at Willy Hill.
My personal bet for tonight is northern ireland -2.5 Wales -1.5 Scotland -2.5 and Netherlands -2.5.with sky bet it pays 4.3-1.remember it is the world cup and anything can happen.level stakes just for an interest.would not be surprised if Scotland and Netherlands win 5-0 and 5-0.
World Cup, Women
Australia – Nigeria
Over(3.5) 2.09
Rus in running
Sibir are 2nd bottom 1 0. 5. 6. 15. 3 pts
Rest. 2nd. 4. 0. 0. 21. 1. 12pts
Some stats to help
10.20 Australian game cooma tigers only 9/20 b365 but stil a snip. Ht ft there 6/5 which shld also come in.av studied this home team not won in 6 tigers challenging at top won last 4.gl if havn a bet tday.
Croyden Kings Over 2.5mg
Coomar Tigers Win
5 Point Double
Evs Bet365
Just Kicking Off
Morning Guys was wondering if anyone else is experiencing any problems getting into the Betfair Website?
The Bfair website
Loads up on my PC no bother mate
ok Andy cheers mate
IN PLAY BET
___________
2-0 33mins
Cooma Tigers -0.5,-1.0 @ 1.675
Cooma Tigers -1.0 @ 1.85
3-0 35mins :D
Mr Fixit can you create another daily column, just saying, whereby the daily odds are targetted @ 2/1. No one cares whether u call it the triplet , quartet , quintet or sextet….as long as it a 2/1 odd.
the SS @ odds over even can most times be double singlet
segun, quick answer is no – not at the moment anyway.
Tryer cheers pal. Got on over 2 fh goal line inplay but obviously thats a void. I reckon theyl be a few goals 2nd half so waiting for decent value on 4.5 match goals. If i miss the chance il leave it
Cheeky fiver on Belgium/BTTS, Yilmaz anytime for the Turks & BTTS in Iceland 20/1+ @Coral
Irish football section of the racing post say BACK DUNDALK 5 POINTS WIN v Sligo.
rensen, can’t argue with that but of course I’ve gone with Dundalk -1.
Starting to think i shouldn’t have swapped Croydon for Modbury Jets on my betslip for over 2.5 match goals
Russian games looking slow leaving rest kras game but not touching other game.
Cheers for the coomas game got a couplenof wins in that already
Alves am thinking the same lad.
belgium win btts
iceland wib btts
Liam I’ve got Belgium and Iceland in a treble wi Chile for around £25 so Iceland/BTTS would do me fine.
Hampy no prob bud…looks they picking the tougher games. Keep an eye on the other game
Dussh v Yenisey. away team were 1/5 in running and went 1 down . Not certain unfortunately but looks like it’s the first game in the league for the home team whereas Yenisey
Was hoping to making it to ht level. Basically Yenisey had beaten their opponents very well in a pre season tournament but it’s a bit late now!
Got my posts on tonight coming soon just finalising my picks. But a score & win trixie of Turkey Cyprus Netherlands pays pretty generously and is worth a little punt as all 3 are expected to win but have crap defences away from home
WIN & BTTS
TURKEY
NETHERLANDS
CYPRUS
1pt Trixie (Treble pays 68/1 @ 888)
Howdy Folks
Sorry fo the copy and paste job Mr F, on a busy one today.
ligo Rovers v Dundalk.
It’s bounce back time for Dundalk after they suffered their first defeat of the season last week. Historically a trip across the country to the Sligo Showgrounds is not where you would fancy needing to go to bounce back from a loss but these are different times.
In Sligo the future (or indeed the present) of manager Owen Heary is shrouded in mystery. Is he still in charge? If they lose to Dundalk tonight I think we can take it as written. No, he won’t be.
The simple fact is that Sligo are paying out a lot more dosh than the teams around them in the league. The club can’t settle for sitting third bottom just one point off the play-off place as we head into the mid-season break.
Last weeks’ hammering at the hands of Shamrock Rovers was a sign, if one were needed, that things aren’t being fixed in Sligo. If anything they are getting worse. Heary’s reputation might not come back from a defeat at home to Dundalk but that’s exactly what I expect to happen.
Just two wins all season doesn’t augur well for the home team. What with Dundalk hurting and snarling to restore their own reputation. Dundalk could come down here and do what the did when the sides first met int he league this season. On that day Dundalk bossed the game with ease. It was boys against men stuff.
You can back Dundalk to win with a -1 Asian Handicap at 2.04(26/25) with 888Sport and that offers stakeback insurance if they only win by win. Most observers can’t see Dundalk failing tonight so that is a fair enough price to have a stab at.
Drogheda Utd v Derry City.
Drogheda are a hard team to get right. They pull off some remarkable results at times and then capitulate at times when you think they should be knocking the socks off teams.
They have hot a wee run of form though with three wins on the bounce and three home wins on the trot too. Coral are still offering them at a tasty price of 3.1(21/10) and that is well above what they should be considering the form of both sides in this match.
Derry come into this on the back of a humiliating hammering from Shamrock Rovers earlier in the week. No doubt Peter Hutton would have preferred a home game to enter into the break where their form has been a little better, but not much.
It’s four defeats in five games for The Candystripes with draws at home to Sligo and away to Longford their only positives in seven matches. Their main problem has been getting goals and against an in form Drogheda they could struggle to do so again tonight.
It’s the Jekyll and Hyde nature of Drogheda that stops me backing them outright but I am very happy to take them with Draw No Bet insurance at 2.1(11/10) with Paddy Power.
Cork City, St. Pats, UCD.
This wee treble seems easy to concoct and I guess it was. The most difficult decision was dropping Athlone Town from a possible four-fold. Athlone are another side that a hard to trust and even though they are away to whipping boys Cabinteely it’s best, in my opinion, to leave them aside.
Cork and Pats should have no problems getting the wins they need to keep the pressure on the teams above them. So much so I wouldn’t blame anyone for going with a handicapped double on the Premiership sides and leaving UCD to fight their own battles.
But UCD are arguably the most in-form team in the country right now. A big win over Shelbourne mid-week was proceeded by a mauling of Cabinteely. Away to Waterford Utd won’t be a walkover but despite Roddy Collins’ bright start there, they remain joint bottom on points.
I always think it’s easier for teams in form to sign off for a mid-season break in style while the strugglers are often forlornly looking towards the break in anticipation.
The treble pays best with Boylesports at 2.36(34/25).
Good luck all
Anyone know what happened to the Russian game witb Restravratsiya Krasnoyarsk?? B365 had it in plah at 3-1 then pulled it off at 75mins. Was waiting on it for over 4.5mg….now cant find the result anywhere.
Croydon Kings Over 2.5mg
Coomar Tigers Win
5 Point Double
Evs Bet365
Cover Now Available 5000/1 Wooden Weston Fc Double Chance
Great Start ☺
IN PLAY BET
___________
Brisbane Knights [0-0 26mins]
Ipswich Knights [2-0 22mins]
Double @ evens
I’m surprised these 4 games are all odds against for BTTS, considering it happened in the 4 reverse fixtures when the supposed weaker team was away from home. Now the 4 ‘weaker’ sides are at home they’re surely in with a better chance of scoring
0.5PT BTTS ACCA
Malta/Bulgaria
Iceland/Czech Republic
Kazakhstan/Turkey
Croatia/Italy
25/1 coral
Tryer cheers i have yenessey over 4 goal line with a few other ozzy games over 2.4 mgls 2 of them are in so far.
Typical 365 knocking a game off when need just one more goal. Probably take them 4 days to get the result
Aussie Double:
Croydon Kings > 2.5MGS
Logan Lightning > 2.5MGS
Previous H2H’s and Goal Lines drew my attention to these games.
WON :)
For the first time ever
u3.5 mgls@Evs
Loco v FSM
Just watched the highlights of the ivory Coast Thailand game last night on BBC sport. Actually worth a watch if anyone’s browsing….
5-0 FT
Easy :D
*NAP*
Iceland over 0.5tgs
Cyprus over 1.5tgs
7PTS Double 29/25 888sport
Stupid B365 site keeps going down.. russian game in play had on went off about 5 times
Well done all this morning on the aussie games, never had time to properly check through them all so couldn’t post but looks like goals!
Interyernan – i had same game under 2.5 first half goals an was waiting on confirmed.. bet said lost then back to bet to run.. was 2-0 half time
Thanks Harry!
Dussh game in Russia is 1-4 @75 mins (have it as part of a treble)
Wonnnnnnn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Wooden valley vs tigre o4,5 wonnnnnn
Jamesey i had over 2 fh goal line on that and its come up with won with a goal scored 45+22 haha. And over 4.5 and 5.5 match goals have come back won. Not got a clue whats going on. Bris knights keeps changing from 0-1 to 0-2 also and wouldnt mind a cash out for 100 i wad offered and now vanished. Not happy
Dussh match ended 2-4 …
Cleaned up on these aussie games this morning
Jamesey i have been paid out on over 4.5mg still no explanation as to why they pulled the game at 75mins
After researching your tips lads, and a bit of my own intuition I’ve came up with a tasty 5fold:
Dundalk Win (RPost/Mr F)
Cork over 1.5 goals (Jordan)
Cyprus over 1.5 goals (Jordan)
Aussie/Nigeria ladies O2.5mgs
Iceland to score
£10 returns £231.20 @ coral
Ipswichsean, good luck with those – I think it could be a tricky night and maybe with a few draws in the Euros. Anyway, I’m off to finish my Record pages and looking forward some decent action tonight. Last 2-page spread of the season then I’ll be a bit quieter until it all kicks off again in July.
@Ipswichsean
What bookies is that with mate?
Only getting £60 back from a £10er on 3-6-5
EURO qualification grp. E
18:00 Estonia vs San Marino Prediction 3.0- Best Bets – Estonia -2 to win @4/5
Hardly the pick of the action this weekend, minnows San Marino travel to Estonia and I have picked out a bet that looks almost too good to be true.
San Marino, as we know, are pretty much the worst time in the world, and they have a record that is the envy of, well, absolutely no-one.
In competitive fixtures, ie, any world cup or european Championship event, San Marino’s record is truly apalling but when they go away from home, it is almost comical how poor they are; Played 58, lost 57, drawn 1 – scored 4, conceded 312. Really, conceded 312 goals in 25 years of competitve fixtures on the road. And I thought Scotland fans had it tough…
The bet I’m looking at is of course on the handicaps with Estonia just 1/10 to win but you can get a stand out 4/5 on Estonia -2 and when you look at San Marino’s record, it’s hard to see how this won’t be a winner.
San Marino have lost by 3 or more goals in 56 of those 58 games, with their 2 best results being a 2.0 defeat in Greece in 1994,and an unlikely 1.1 draw in Latvia 7 years later.
Estonia were held to a shock 0.0 draw in the reverse fixture earlier this season, which perhaps explains the price on offer but I just cannot ignore 4/5 on Estonia -2 when you see those stats. 56 out of 58 away defeats have been by more than 2 goals and they have shipped 35 goals in their last 7 competitive away fixtures. They make whipping boys look like an underground dominatrix.
Of course the hosts are hardly the strongest team in Europe, but they were good enough to beat Slovenia at home last September in qualifying, and then away to Finland in their most recent friendly, then surely they can stick a few past the minnows.
I expect a comfortable 3 or 4 goal win for the hosts and I’m making the -2 on Estonia @4/5 my lock of the weekend.
Ispwichsean are those odds correct for your 5fold? I get nowhere near that with b365. 5/1 best
Whoops thought that was too good to be true, returns £67 coral to £10 stake @ coral
That would be the carlsberg bookies AndyD pmsl ;) clicked the tenner into Acc 4 box which is a full cover bet, my bad sorry.
Tricky night indeed Mr F, still think this 5fold is worth a score to bring in just under £135
Anyone going to the Aviva tomorrow look out for the PP truck with Mel Gibson on it ” YOU MAY TAKE OUR POINTS BUT AT LEAST WE HAVE OUR FREEDOM” lol can’t wait for this game!
Malawi versus Zimbabwe tmrw…malawi to win.Zimbabwe travelling by bus no money player revolts the game might not even be played.malawi to win
I need a good tip on croatia vs italy
Just made me laugh..
Tunisia are playing a national side called Djibouti tonight and Tunisia are 1/100000
Don’t remember ever seeing any side that odds on before, you don’t even get anything back in returns apart from your stake?!
Diibouti must be the worst team ever to have played the sport
Job re the croatia vs italy game i have a small stake on btts.
based on stats but looks good and worth a punt 11/10
Locomotive v FSM
U3.5mgls @ Evs. Winner!!!!
Russian Div3. One for the books
James Slater – thanks for the pointer – a bit of quick research shows Djibouti are ranked 3rd bottom in Fifa rankings … 178 places behind Tunisia. They conceded 9 and 8 in recent qualifying campaigns to Kenya and Malawi … Bet365 have a goal line of >4 at 1.725 (<4 at 2.075). It is a qualifier not a friendly – think I will have a small bet on that!!
Djbouti v Tunisia >4 @ 1.725 (small stake)
Croatia v Italy 1-1 CS
Inter I pointed the Croatia game out the other day for BTTS which looks strange to be odds against. No Modric for Croatia but they have plenty of other talent. 1/2 for Italy to score was a good price I thought.
My Cyprus and Cork Team Goals now pays over EVS @ 365 as punters seem to be betting on Andorra, but for the love of Pete I have no idea why. Would you back a team that’s scored twice and conceded 20 in 5 games, and lost 5-0 in the reverse fixture? I know I wouldn’t.
Trollhatten v lydkopings
over 1.5 fhgls
over 3.5 mgls
6pm
Nice tips interYernan…. Thanks alves…
Latvia V Holland
Holland -1 is 17/10 William hill
Looks decent to me
The Borat boys are bound to score against Turkey, right?
Missed your post on it Jordan mate, but if your thinking it has a chance thats good enough for me. Like you say surprised at the price, croatia are pretty decent at home and should find the net, reverse fixture finised 1-1 so more of the same would do us nicely. :)
Havent time for reasoning but this is my bet for tonight.
Double:
Dundalk Win
Holland win/over 1.5 Tg’s
Double pays 6/5 Paddypower
Add Cyprus Win/Over 1.5 Tg’s
Treble Pays 11/5 Paddypower Good Luck.
Got a rolling treble going,nykoppings in,waiting on Sunday tonite and England Sunday. £20 pays £100. If successful.
#dundalk tonite.
nite owl
chile o2.5mgs 11/10 LOST by 1 goal again………..
not picked main bet for tonite yet but having a go on this 6pm ko
ullern o3.5mgs 8/11
Wales to score 2 and Italy to score 2 is just less than 15/1 with paddy power.
Wales to score and Italy to score is 2.27/1 also PP.
Been on this site for a bit now,the best of its kind, thanks to mr f for the tips, Ive also had luck from some of Jordan and Craneguys tips, cheers guys.
Hi Mr f, any idea why my two messages arnt still up that I just sent? Thanks.
jen, no.
O2.5mg treble in Austria. Approach with a little caution as is last game of season and many teams have little to play for. All the stats tell me yes though.
Leobedorf, Villacher and Kottingbrunn games. First two KO at 1730, 3rd at 1830.
Pays around 1.35/1
GL
Job – my tip is don’t bet on the game ,as it’s a no bet game!
Also as I love Austrian league so much have a couple of pound on all Austrian Landesliga games to go O2.5mg as an end of season fling. As with above anything can happen last game of season but is a bit of fun.
Pays 1011
Hello mattr
How r u?
What ur thoughts for nx season mate?
All bout keeping players I’m thinking. Llorris looking doubtful. Pleased they jumped scousers for 5th end of season :)
Steveo just checked your Holland -1 it is -2 thats 17/10 which i think is a cracking price. Im on it so hope they turn it on tonight ☺
Sorry Reilly i was reading it wrong, still a cracking price so fingers crossed! :)
Kazakhstan/Turkey Over 22.5 Booking Points Live (Currently 0) @ EVS @ Skybet – 1 point
0-0 at the break. Turkey could do with the win so could get heated towards the later stages if still level.
Evening Guys, Euro Qualifiers
I will be watching the rugby tonight, but will have an eye on two goal scorers this evening. Mr F as already put Depay in his top treble and I like him to score also. Holland won the reverse fixture 6-0 and while it may not be that score line again I can see three or four. Depay scored 22 in 30 games for PSV and 7/4 at Betfred looks good value.
A big game in Wales and while they did well to draw 0-0 in the reverse fixture they maybe more attacking tonight even though another draw would suit them. I’m taking a small punt on Gareth Bale to score he scored twice against Israel taking him to 4 goals in qualifying and odds of 3/1 Bwin looks tempting for Wales main player.
DEPAY TO SCORE 7/4
BALE TO SCORE 3/1
Good luck if your having a bet
Free fiver off Bet365 again and split in into 3 bets.
3 day treble – Iceland, Ireland & Switzerland. £3 returns £25+
3 day treble adding in Malta v Bulgaria BTTS(FRI), Tom Vayrynen anytime(Finland SAT) & Ibra anytime(SUN). £1 returns £155
Nir Bitton v Bosnia and Scott Brown v Ireland. £1 Anytime double returns £143
Anyone who can remember Bittons gl for Celtic, 5-0 win, will why anytime is worth a go at 12/1. A rocket into top bag
United officially announcing the arrival of Depay today so he’ll be concentrating on his football now. Harry Kane and Roberto Firmino next according to Sky Sports (yeah right).
Turkey RT7/over 0.5 gls 1.02/1
0-0 and Turkey lead 1-4 on corners
Alright Luke mate. I refuse to let myself get carried away by last few results. We were very inconsistent and if we could eradicate that would be very encouraging. Top 4 will improve for sure though. Liverpool and Everton too, especially as Toffees not in Europe. Will we qualify for CL? Probably not. Could we win a cup? Yes?
£50 mill for Sterling or Kane haha what a joke
Been waiting for ullern v steabak 2 to appear all day. Good spot craneguy 3.5 could fly in
Each Alves!?
Boys, as u know it is Friday and i been sat outside having a beer in my mankini. I normally go to the labour club with the boys but toneet were going up west to a lapdancing bar, so looking for some cash to come home to, gonna stick a tenner on the treble for starters
Apparently aye, that’s what Liverpool want for Sterling. Celtic wouldn’t even spend 3 mill on a player the now, just shows you eh
Just about worth £50m for both.
last time i went up west, i was staggering down the street about 3am minding my own business eating a dirty kebab, this attractive bit of fluff came up to me and said, i do anything for 20 quid if your interested?. i Got my wallet out gave her 20 quid and my address, said to her be at my house at 9am you can tile my bathroom ;)
Alright Luke mate. I refuse to let myself get carried away by last few results. We were very inconsistent and if we could eradicate that would be very encouraging. Top 4 will improve for sure though. Liverpool and Everton too, especially as Toffees not in Europe. Will we qualify for CL? Probably not. Could we win a cup? Yes!
Hahahaha entertaining as always dave. Enjoy your night out. Not the chippendales I hope!
Jordan – once I realised the ref was Michael Oliver I have followed your card tip !!!
Jordan if somebody offers 50 million for sterling I will drive him to his destination myself
At Evs Belguim are a great bet too much class for Wales.
Hampy – Top tip on Trollhatten!! FHGS in 12mins!!
Turkey are not playing to well they need to step it up
INPLAY
TURKEY
10/11
No worries wc they are 3-0 up but just got a red card hopefully someone can get one more in 70 mins. Then job done
Hampy – you misposted – think you meant >3.5 FHGs (not MGLs) and a red card / penalty (reckon its the goalie) all in 18 minutes!! Bet tip ever!!!
Trollhatten v lidkopings
over 1.5 fhgls
3.5 match goals
both won within 20mins. Dont get much easier than that
@Mattr.
Think we’ve got long way to go for top 4. All being only one place. Gotta keep hold of r main players. And be able to attract more. Also hope kane is not a one season wonder. Last game I went to was villa. Sherwoods first game visiting the lane. And mate we were embarrassing. Annoys me when we can show Chelsea and arsenal up. Like no other team has managed but we can’t beat the lesser teams.
Haha…posting from the Kingdom of Fife tonight!
Two bets are:
BTTS WALES V BELGIUM AT 11/10
BELGIUM WIN AND HAZARD SCORE…4/1 CORAL SPECIAL
Good luck.
One of the worst football matches I have ever watched turkey vs Kazakhstan
Mat – did you miss the England U21’s last night then??
INPLAY
ROMA V LAZIO YOUTH
OVER 0.5 MG
5/6
Yh didn’t see that Turkey should be destroying these they just can’t score
Apologies if anyone has already tipped as I’ve not had time to read
Austria Landesliga Niederosterreich
Krems vs Ober-Grafendorf
Krems are the top scorers in the division hitting 84 goals in 29 games and 40 in 14 at home
Ober-Grafendorf have the worst defence in the league conceding 91 goals in 29 games
Ober-Grafendorf last 6 away scores have been 3-2,4-2,2-2,4-1,8-1,4-1
Over 1.5 fhg @ 1.85
Over 3.5 ftg @ 1.70
INPLAY
TROLLHATTEN OVER 5.5 MG
AUSTRIA YOUTH OVER 1.5 MG
STABAEK 2 OVER 1.5 TG
1.10/1
Anyone else fancy Lidkopings to come back and win @ 7.50?
Wen 3-0 down early to Trollhattan who are flying in the league but a red card and penalty took it back to 3-1 and it’s just gone 3-2.
Trollhattan haven’t had another shot since losing a player and with only 39 mins played they still face a long slog with 10 men.
Lidkoping are a decent mid-table side with an away record prior to today of P5 W3 D1 L1 F11 A4
Indeed Luke the inconsistency is amazing. At our best we looked the best side in the league. At our worst it was, as you said, really embarrassing.
Malta way overpriced at 19-2 at betvictor and 19-10 for the double chance, Bulgaria ain’t nothing special and Malta got a point away against them as well, Huge price trust me
1 goal finally need 1 more come on
Probably too late for people to get on as it’s gone 3-3 in the Lidkoping game not long after that last posted but looking good now.
Can still get 2.60 on them to win
What price did turkey go out to before they scored, anyone know ? As was too busy cleaning up on that trollhatten game thanks hampy for pointing it out mate
Krems vs Ober-Grafendorf
1-1 after 13 mins
Over 1.5 fhg @ 1.85 WIN
Could be quite a few more in this
tonites bets
cork, Dundalk o1.5tgs 13/10
cabinteely, waterford btts 9/4
GL all with a bet on tonite……………
Kazakhstan/Turkey Over 22.5 Booking Points Live (Currently 0) @ EVS @ Skybet – 1 point **WIN** 3 yellows in the 93rd minute.
evening hull, watch what you’re going in fife strange place everyones called “ken” there for some reason……..
SGT about 13/5
Nice tip Jordan – improved a dullish game!! Thanks
Sound jordan n well done on your bookings !
Krems vs Ober-Grafendorf 3-1 after 22 mins
Over 1.5 fhg @ 1.85 WIN
Over 3.5 ftg @ 1.70 WIN
Well that didn’t take long :)
Cheers WC it worked out as expected but would have preferred it a bit earlier.
Richard nice tips on the Krems game.
Showing no sign of slowing down Jordan 4-2 after 33 mins
INPLAY
TURKEY
10/11
WIN
INPLAY
ROMA V LAZIO YOUTH
OVER 0.5 MG
5/6
LOST
INPLAY
TROLLHATTEN OVER 5.5 MG
AUSTRIA YOUTH OVER 1.5 MG
STABAEK 2 OVER 1.5 TG
1.10/1
WIN
Wales v Belgium – ATGS Benteke @7/4 (same odds for Bale) … but gone with Benteke as I believe he will have more opportunities.
at RICHARD
good call on the Lidkopings, got them inplay at 3-3 at 2/1
2 points on it, would be a nice starter for the 7.45 pm kick offs
thanks mate,
4-3 now, lets hope stays
Jordan – was never in doubt – you with a Man Utd shirt must know all about Michael Oliver and bookings … whatever you do don’t touch his shirt Di Maria!!
@mattr sometimes wish we were just consistently average. Those big game wins get my hopes dashed lol
Cypriot and Sion striker Christofi starts for Cyprus with tied top scorer Apoels Efrem also starting who scored a hat-trick against Andorra in the reverse fixture. Game on. Just hope the Irish sides can pull through.
Lost a few quid on Germany women’s last night but looking to recoup on this one.
Wales v Belgium
Having seen the line ups for this one, Belgium are too big of a price to go against. The only real main threat is Bale from Wales but having said that, Bale has had a rather quiet season. With Benteke, Hazard, De Bruyne and co, I’m all over Belgium at EVS.
Recommended bets:
Belgium to win @ EVENS
Belgium 2+ goals @ 5/4
Croatia v Italy
Although this will be a tight affair, Italy are at a huge price of 2/1 to win this game and that’s a huge price to ignore.
Recommended bets:
Italy to win @ 2/1
Italy not to lose @ 1/2
Double:
Belgium to win
Italy not to lose
2.92/1
Good luck if you’re having a bet
WALES V BELGIUM
BTTS
EVENS
WOULD HAVE BTTS/OVER 2.5 TO IF AVAILABLE
Btw sorry if I’ve duplicated anyone’s tip. Imagine that’s been posted already. Just to lazy to scroll through
Also can anyone tell me wot channel the Wales game is on pls?
ullern 1-2 72 mins just need one more now for a nice wee start to weekend……………….
CROATIA V ITALY
BTTS
6/5
Luke, Sky Sports 5. All games on the red button as far as I’m aware.
Hi Jordan
Hope you backed Mittag as anytime scorer in last nights game
even better if you had taken her as first scorer
After you’d let me know about Mittag had rechecked goalscorers in germany game against ivory coast noted Mittag had hit hattrick as well
As I’d been thinking of Sasic anytime decided to leave it this time , so your post saved me
After watching germany norway Mittag looks better option for future games in wwc
Thanks again Jordan appreciated the info
£10 treble
Belgium
Iceland draw
Ireland draw pays 173.
£10 on Ireland 1 scotland1 @5/1 ifalan Hutton starts he’s got to be a good bet for first card probably about 10/1 I would imagine
Ah Thanx Jordan!!
Copa America
Over 1.5tgs
Uruguay
Argentina
5pts double 11/10 Titanbet
DUNDALK TO SCORE
ST PATS OVER 1.5 MG
CORK OVER 1.5 MG
WALES OVER 1.5 MG
1.15/1
Harry – both you and Jordan seem to agree on that one!! Definitely will be on that!! GL
Bohs vs Shams
0-0 @11/2
1-1 @11/2
Under 2.5 @5/6
Can’t understand Wales v Belgium over 1.5 mg 2/5. Prob shoot me in the @$$ saying that lol
not picked main bet for tonite yet but having a go on this 6pm ko
ullern o3.5mgs 8/11 WON
gallus cannae beat a last min goal………. :)
now onto Ireland……………
Lidkopings win 5-4
got them at odds 2/1
2points win returns 6points just in time for these games
THANK YOU ANDORRA !!!!!!!!!
Turkey RT7/over 0.5 gls 1.02/1
0-0 and Turkey lead 1-4 on corners
WIN must’ve got a late late corner cos i seen it at 94 mins on 6 corners then had to try put weans to bed, ‘babysitting’ nxt 2 wknds cos she’s got hen/wedding, apparently it’s no babysitting when it’s your own sprogs tho :)
ANDORRA V CYPRUS
ANDORRA OVER 0.5 TEAM GOALS 5/4 (Coral)
* WON *
Just wipe that egg off my face from Andorra. Helps the Cyprus goals out though.
Glad someone got on Shortee – made us sweat for while there
Lidkoping to win @ 7.50
Finishes 5-4 to Lidkoping
yea made us sweat richard but was watching it on will hill live commentary and it was all LIKKOPINGS attack attack attack
Quickest ever over 0.5 team goal winner RAAL??
Profit tonight already for myself, having sugar with my tea later now lol
Alves they were awarded the corner but it didn’t even get taken so you were lucky :) well done mate
Must be on of my best betting nights ever so far – up about 50 points
The Krems game has been absolute goldmine coupled with the Lidkopings fightback – if only more days were like this!
Good to see Denayer getting a start in orobably the hardest game in the group for Belgium, could well be a £40 mil player in the making
£40m?
What were the odds on Andorra to score?! And first
craig, just make an erse oot of lookin efter the weans an get oot it in future that wot a did wen the cranegirls were wee toffee……………….. ;)
Richard, some going well done sir……………
Well there’s my answer lol….
Well done raal
No worries craneguy – I’m still on the Krems game and the goals keep coming. Can’t be much value left now but bookies got this so wrong.
I’m just gutted I couldn’t get alternative goal markets anywhere
DUNDALK 1-0 down wow
Sligeach rovers score, wha????
Cork over 1.5 team goals
St Pats over 1.5 team goals
Dundalk to score
21/20 in-play.
40 quid on. Skybet
Haha I’ve been doing that the last 4 & 1/2 yr but she’s still no clicked on, maybe try lose yin of them at tge street fair the mora haha
Don’t worry they’ll win 3-1
Don’t worry they’ll win 3-1
raal, that’s some shout on the Andorra goal………….
raal, that’s some shout on the Andorra goal………….
Not sure how Belgium r no 2 in world rankings. Cracking team granted…but don’t think any of the major stars play as well for there country as they do for club. Think there better on paper than reality
Luke, it’s because the rankings are guff.
I think Morocco look like good value tonight
Over 1.5tg @ 1.72
I don’t know if I’m being dumb but surely the Libyan team must be in turmoil given what’s going on in their country and Morocco seem to have a relatively strong goals record at home.
Great shout out to the silent tipster who tipped Limerick and Sligo to score!
St pats 1-0 down….what’s going on
centre circle
Well done on the SS with limerick to score
Bray will score at this rate!
Belgium doh. Rank no 2 lmao
Limerick gooooaaaaallllll
Nice one….
craig, ma auld faither was a big st Mirren man he used to take me an ma brothers to the games on a sat tae get us oot ma maws feet, he’d leave us outside the wee barrel on love st way a poke of chips after the game while he bevvied way his pals, he got fed of us taggin on tae him on a sat so left us sittin there wan nite an went hame withoot us, polis arrived aboot hof 8 tae pick us up an drive us hame we were mibee 5,6 an 7 at the time and that was the end of watchin st Mirren for us ha ha parents wid get the jail these days for that…………
craneguy, nice one. Parents should get the jail these days for taking their kids to see St Mirren!
Mr fix it lol. They r poor eh. On paper blinding…but they don’t gel for country
aye mibee so mr f, back tae fitba, like the way st Mirren are putting there house in order for next year though tbh
craneguy, only joking. One of my first jobs was covering St Mirren games for the Paisley Gazette. One of the first games I covered was your opening defence of the Scottish Cup – St Mirren 0, Clydebank 3. I struggled that day to control my neutrality in the ramshackle Love Street Press Box.
Btw all credit to Wales so far to. Becoming there bogey team lol. Best British team by a mile
CROATIA V ITALY
BTTS
6/5
WIN
3/4 SO FAR
2PENDING
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Israel – Both to score 11/10 @Bet Way
***BACK OF THE NET***
Oh mr f
I put my shout up literally just after ko on the free bet page. Coz didn’t realise. Will that still count if comes in??
Luke, that’s up to Scott – he’s the judge.
ht now in all games, anyone any thoughts on inplays for 2nd halfs?
UCD in running to win
Dundalk
Double @ 2.4/1
Can see Libya scoring….not a tip mind
Main double can be covered on Cork Under 1,5 Team Goals @ 5/2 @ WillHill but I’ll be leaving it as I got other points on St Pats which doesn’t look too convincing as yet. Could be a small profit for the night. Cork haven’t let me down let (kiss of death).
3-1 ill have some of that though
O2.5mg treble in Austria. Approach with a little caution as is last game of season and many teams have little to play for. All the stats tell me yes though.
Leobedorf, Villacher and Kottingbrunn games. First two KO at 1730, 3rd at 1830.
Pays around 1.35/1
GL
*WIN*
Watch Cork park the bus for 45 minutes now :D
aye nice wan mr f the auld love st was a great old ground at wan time a kin go back tae when it was the big ovals at both ends before the love st end was brought in and terraced, a mind being at a mid week cup semi replay v celtic when sir furious was in charge an saints had some team then they got beat 3-2 on the nite but an crowd was given as 32k in the record the following day, was well more than that the love st end wall collapsed in a crush at turnstiles and aboot 5 thousand jumped in free
INPLAY
CYPRUS OVER 4.5 MG
ST PATS OVER 2.5 TG
CORK OVER 1.5 MG
1.20/1
Anyone watching Holland V Latvia? Holland almost 1/2, wondering if it’s worth lumping on the full 10 points, or have Latvia parked the bus?
St Pats 2-1. Cover on Cork Under 1.5 @ 9/4 @ WillHill – 4 points returns 13
Double 5 points
Treble 2 points
Long shot 1 point
Cover 4 points
12 points total to return 13 if Cork fail to score a second
@mr f….oh ok. Mind u did Wales btts…don’t think that will come in now lol
Is anyone watching the shamrock game got them btts in a treble of Italy,iceland just need 1 goal in that
Great NAP again Harry – thanks!!
Put 10 points on Holland at 4/5. They scored two minutes later. Happy days :)
Praying for a late Malta equaliser
Largely cos I’ve had a good day but am on Malta to score next @ 9.50
Thought Kazakhstan let your acca down Harry?
Btts treble didn’t put it up earlier but had iceland,Italy,shamrock nice return. But did put up the iceland game at 7.30 this morning so a good day for me
Croatia to score
Iceland to score
Turkey to score
Bosnia to score
Winner £5 returned £12,50
Double
Dundalk to win
Holland over 1,5 team goals
£8 gives £ 16,30
Come on Dundalk.
My confidence is building, due to you lot on here. Keep up the great tipping lads!
I will try and put up a few bets now and again.
Benteke ATGS (substituted and showed about as much effort as for Villa in the Cup Final)- LOST .. why did I not go for Bale!!
(IN PLAY)
TUNISIA v DJIBOUTI over 3.5 2nd Half Goals
2/1 William Hill
Jordan I’m on raals tip of Malta to score because I thought it looked good and also got them in a btts acca with Iceland Croatia and Cyprus
I see :)
They don’t look like scoring in 10 hours to be honest haha did we post the same bets for tomorrow?
What a come back on the shamrock game
Lost £20 on Belgium then stuck a longshot RT treble on and stupidly cashed out £20 odds that shouldve won £63+ and stuck it on Bosnia RT9 that looked deed so whacked £40 on Belgium RT9, depressed to fairly chuffed in a minute is an understatement haha, I’m done wi betting lke :)
INPLAY
CYPRUS OVER 4.5 MG
ST PATS OVER 2.5 TG
CORK OVER 1.5 MG
1.20/1
LOST
DUNDALK TO SCORE
ST PATS OVER 1.5 MG
CORK OVER 1.5 MG
WALES OVER 1.5 MG
1.15/1
LOST
KNEW I’D GET KICKED UP THE @$$. THAT’S WHY BOOKIES HAD WALES GAME OVER 1.5 MG 2/5
Well done Wales …. great performance …
Thank you so much guys! Had a nice double of Bosnia match n bohemians match both Btts.
Wasn’t confidant at HT but hey! Bang its lAnded. Thank u very much guys.
WALES V BELGIUM
BTTS
EVENS
WOULD HAVE BTTS/OVER 2.5 TO IF AVAILABLE
LOST
CC SS
LIMERICK TO SCORE
11/8
“””WON”””
WALES. +1 AH
ITALY. +1 AH
EVENS
GL LADS
“””WON”””
JUNE TIPS
11 WON :) EVENS (6) 3/1 4/5 11/10 13/8 8/11
9 LOSS :(
1 VOID
Only on small profit now…Thanks to greed when I’m up. Libya goal could change that
welldone windy…i sure will look up ur tips
God bless Ireland! Free scoring teams! Lovely!!!!
James Slater – thanks for the pointer – a bit of quick research shows Djibouti are ranked 3rd bottom in Fifa rankings … 178 places behind Tunisia. They conceded 9 and 8 in recent qualifying campaigns to Kenya and Malawi … Bet365 have a goal line of >4 at 1.725 (<4 at 2.075). It is a qualifier not a friendly – think I will have a small bet on that!!
WON – 54 mins (although amazed Djibouti scored) !!
not picked main bet for tonite yet but having a go on this 6pm ko
ullern o3.5mgs 8/11 WON
gallus cannae beat a last min goal………. :)
now onto Ireland……………
tonites bets
cork, Dundalk o1.5tgs 13/10 LOST
cabinteely, waterford btts 9/4 LOST
GL all with a bet on tonite……………
rid cairds ruined cork game……… onto nite owl
well done all with winners…………..
No bullsh*t, no 20/20 hindsight, all transparent stakes and covers.
Sanchez to score outside the box @ 8.00 @ 888 – 1 point **LOSE**
Cork City Over 1.5 Team Goals – Ireland Premier – 7:45PM
Cyprus Over 1.5 Team Goals – Euro 2016 – 7:45PM
9/10 @ 365 – 5 point double **LOSE**
Add St Pats Over 1.5 Team Goals (Ireland Premier – 7:45PM) @ 8/5 @ 365 – 2 point treble **LOSE**
Long punt add – All Euro 2016 – 7:45PM
Czech Republic no clean sheet/Iceland to score
Croatia no clean sheet/Italy to score
Wales no clean sheet/Belgium to score
57/10 @ 365 – 1 point sixfold **LOSE**
Kazakhstan/Turkey Over 22.5 Booking Points LIVE @ EVS @ Skybet – 1 point **WIN**
Cork Under 1.5 Team Goals @ 9/4 @ WillHill – 4 points **WIN**
14 points staked, 15 points returned.
_______________________________________________________________
June Totals
Bets 33
Staked 95
Returned 124.3
mexico
uruguay
argentina
columbia
brazil
all to win
10.00 pays 48.00 notes
anybody see why this may not be a winner please and thanks
Bets placed should read 38. My mistake.
Harry I posted that double on Tuesday but at a poorer price haha
REPOST:
Double:
Dundalk Win
Holland win/over 1.5 Tg’s
Double pays 6/5 Paddy Power…WIN @ 6/5
Add Cyprus Win/Over 1.5 Tg’s
Treble Pays 11/5 Paddy Power…WIN @ 11/5
Thankyou ;)
*NAP*
Iceland over 0.5tgs
Cyprus over 1.5tgs
7PTS Double 29/25 888Sport
*WON*
Croatia Italy 1-1, sure someone said that earlier :)
Had that as a draw and Iceland up on Result Rush but Holland and Belgium let me down for £165 fi 50p, 5/1 Iceland tae
Australia v Nigeria >2.5mgs @ 3/5
WOMENS WORLD CUP 2015:
AUSTRAILIA WOMEN v NIGERIA WOMEN
NIGERIA WOMEN over 1.5 team goals
17/20 William Hill
1.2 Points
Probably been one of my most profitable fridays i can remember. Been some quality tips up today.
Got a mad busy day in work tomoz but will try take a quick look through the mornings games and catch up later.
cheers lads :)
By Tuesday I hadn’t even seen Wednesdays fixtures! Only got to study today’s ones this morning. Can’t really see Uruguay or Argentina slipping up yet so hopefully it sails in
Jordan – new to this and a bit thick … how do you cover a bet eg the Cork chaos … red and yellow cards all over the place … Cork 1-0 up …. and on >1.5 Cork TGS when likely they will just want to hold onto the 1-0 … thanks!!
Oh for gods sake, why did i just bet on the Nigeria Womens game?
That guy with the bloody trumpet is back, again.
Trumpet guy’s eyes look as though theyre about to pop out!
WC did you post that before mate or are you asking the question now?
Harry on Tuesday I staked 10 points on it @ 0.86/1 and its now available at just under 11/10. My fault for jumping the gun. Only worry is no Suarez but Cavani has been in fine form and Rolan should play who has been very important for Bordeaux this season.
James I stuck £100 in his hat so he carried on for the rest of the competition ;)
Was clueless….U should change ur name to am clueless. When I saw ur post saying same odds but rather go with benteki over bale
Had a nice win on Aussie games this morning so have tried to research hard based on previous H2H’s and recent performance(only been doing this about 6 weeks so take these tips with caution) …. going with:
Treble all >2.5MGs at 1.07/1
Para Hill Knights
Dandenong
Morton Bay
Treble all > 2.5MGs at 0.98/1
Apia L Tigers
Brisbane Strikers
FNQ FC Heat
Small Treble at 3.1/1
Morton Bay >4.0,4.5
Apia L Tigers >3.0, 3.5
Perth SC Win
Hahahaha Jordan i knew you were behind this! Watch it now at the next game now with that 100 nicker they’ll be a bloody orchestra in the Nigeria end!
Think you are right Luke …. bad choice !! AmClueless
Jordan – asking now thanks so I know how to cover in future if required – thanks!
UCD.
Dundalk
in running double @ 2.4/1 Lost
Whoever put the info on DJ Bootie
big thanks…went a bit mad and had 60 pts@4/6 o6.5mgls.
@was clueless….Na easy said now mate. But did wonder when u posted it….and was very surprised they were same odds…especially with the difference in class. Plus bale taking free kicks
Cork under 1.5 team goals was clueless
That’s the simple way….but different variations. Depends when u cover and so fourth. I’ll try copy and past a quality insight into it from a good source on ere
Right got it thanks Luke .. did think about Bale free kicks … but then envisaged a lot of crosses from Hazard onto Benteke’s head … ohhh well we move on!!
WC. These were my bets for tonight.
Cork/Cyprus Over 1.5 double – 5 points
St Pats Over 1.5 added for a treble – 2 points
The long shot with the Euro teams to score – 1 point
Total 8 points staked.
At HT, St Pats were 1-0 down so I didn’t bother covering which you’ll see I said, but when they had scored two early goals in the second half, Cork were 9/4 not to score a 2nd goal. 4 points staked on that returned 13 if they didn’t, which was what I was waiting on for the double and treble.
Total points 12 staked including cover
Cork didn’t score so the 9/4 cover won thus returning 13 points and 1 point profit.
If St Pats hadn’t score those two goals so early I would have been screwed. A lot of it is down to timing of goals if you have multiple markets but I take this punt business seriously so I always have goal alerts and bookies up on screen ready to cover when necessary.
Apologies if I haven’t made it clear.
Anyway apart from lazy shite Beneteke I had a good day .. my other 2 efforts at betting for myself in Australia and in deepest Africa won!!
nite owl
abc btts&o2.5mgs 8/5
usa w, mexico o2.5mgs double 4/1
God knows why the price has gone up that much. They’ve learned how to play without suarez now and like you say cavani could get a couple. He’s as short as 4/6 atgs which is a good sign. I’m only on 5 points as my others points are going on a Poland bet and a couple aussies in the morning
So …. covering. How does it work? In short there are 4 ways in which you can cover or protect yourself (that I know of). Generally your bet needs to be winning (or ahead) to make covering worthwhile as this makes the odds of the outcomes which cover your bet favorable (ie if you bet on Norwich to win and they are 2-1 up the odds of the draw or other team winning will probably be more than the odds you took for Norwich to win – assuming you took the bet at the start of the match)
1) Using cashout. This is often talked about and generally represents the worst value for punters. Generally speaking you could place bets on the other outcomes to guarantee a greater profit than cashout offers but this is because the bookies want to profit from non savvy punters. The exception to this rule is if you use something like Betfairexchange where the cashout is as good as if you covered the bet for the best profit regardless of outcomes.
2) Manually covering for maximum profit. This is where you bet on the opposite outcomes to try and get the best profit regardless of the final result. This is best illustrated using an example:
I place a Bet of £100 on Norwich to win at 7/5 (they are playing Derby in this example)
At 65 minutes they are 2-0 up – I decide I want to cover as I know they concede late goals. The odds of the double chance (Derby or Draw) are 4/1 which covers the outcomes I haven’t bet on. If I place a £48 bet on the double chance then I am left with the following outcomes:
Norwich Win
I make £140 (£100 at 7/5 odds) less the £48 I placed on my cover = £92 PROFIT
Norwich dont win (ie they lose of draw)
I make £192 (£48 at 4/1) less the initial £100 I bet on Norwich to win = £92 PROFIT
In essence regardless of what happens, once I I have made a profit. I can assure you that if you had gone for a cashout on most of the betting sites your cashout figure would have been at least 10% lower than the £92 you make by this method
3) Cover to ensure you don’t make a loss. THIS IS MY PREFERRED OPTION as generally when you cover a winning bet it wins more often than it loses (after all that’s why you or someone else tipped it)! Here the aim of the game is to ensure that if my bet loses, I have lost nothing. If the bet wins (and I find around 70% of the time it does end up winning) I get a decent cover sum (yes it’s less than what I would have got if I let the bet run but I havent lost my whole stake). An example helps illustrate this too:
I place my same bet of £100 on Norwich to win at 7/5 (they are still playing Derby)
At 65 minutes they are 2-0 up – I decide I want to cover as I know they concede late goals. The odds of the double chance (Derby or Draw) are 4/1 which covers the outcomes I haven’t bet on. If I place a £25 bet on the double chance then I am left with the following outcomes:
Norwich Win
I make £140 (£100 at 7/5 odds) less the £25 I placed on my cover = £115 PROFIT
Norwich dont win (ie they lose of draw)
I make £100 (£25 at 4/1) less the initial £100 I bet on Norwich to win = £0 (no profit, no loss)
In essence in this example I dont lose if Norwich cant hold their lead but, if they do win I make a bigger profit than by cashing out or covering for maximum profit.
I use this option quite frequently (although I use Betfairexchange where I lay the same outcome to ensure a nil loss if my bet doesnt win).
4) Sometimes you can be cute and cover with a win / win outcome. By this I mean you can bet on another market (goals) to give you cover if the odds are decent or you know about patterns with, say late goals. An example of this is
I place a Bet of £100 on Newcastle to win at 8/5 (they are playing Sunderland in this example)
At 80 minutes they are 2-0 up – I decide I want to cover as I dont want a couple of late goals to spoil my bet. The odds of o2.5 in play are 2/1 (plus I know the likelihood of a late goal at St James Park is very high as Mr Browning has spotted this pattern!).
If I place a £50 bet on o2.5 goals at 2/1 then I am left with the following outcomes:
A third goal is scored and Newcastle win
I make £160 (£100 at 8/5 odds on the WDW market) plus the £100 as the game went over 2.5 goals (£50 at 2/1) = £200 PROFIT
Newcastle win 2-0 (ie no more goals)
I make £160 (£100 at 8/5 odds on the WDW market) less £50 cover bet which loses ie £110 PROFIT
Newcastle either lose or draw (ie there was at least 2 more goals scored)
I lose my £100 initial bet but my o2.5 goals bet comes in at £100 so I break even
*** Note if I could have covered with o3.5 goals too at better odds but wouldnt get the double bubble if just one late goal was scored**
So, why cover some people still say well….
In short it means more or your bets wont lose (they just return the stake) and it’s losing bets that kill betting banks and the effect of smaller winnings but less stakes lost will ultimately mean you make more PROFIT. For example someone betting on yesterday’s SS would have lost their 5 point stake after Sheffield Utd held Spurs to a draw. At around 65 mins I covered to make my 19/20 bet using the third method I described above. The outcomes for me were then
Spurs win 5 pts become 3.5pts profit (as opposed to 4.75 points if the SS had won and I hadn’t covered)
Spurs dont win 5pts become a break even bet (as opposed to a 5 point loss if the SS hadnt been covered)
Take this over the course of the month using Mr F’s SS daily which I back religiously with my own 5pt stake and his results for the year so far without covering are approx 8 points loss) however by religiously covering I am showing circa 28 points of profit for the year to date (a swing of almost 26 points).
Of course you can’t cover every type of bet (goalscorer for example) but most of the bets on this site are more than coverable using the opposite outcomes (unders if you back overs, double chance etc).
I know some people will say “when should I cover?”. This is an impossible question to answer. As my bets tend to be for reasonable sums I have a lower tolerance than others might have. Generally if I can cover and the cost is less than 10% of my potential winnings I cover regardless of the time) otherwise I work on the basis of gut feeling however compared to some on here my risk aversion might be considered quite conservative.
I appreciate that this is a bit wordy (is anyone still reading????) but hopefully it helps some people in planning how to ensure the bookies dont get more than they need to of your hard earned cash.
I’m sorry I can’t remember who put that up. I just pasted it
That’s a cracking explanation Luke! ;o) I’m actually quite chuffed someone saved it so it could be re-produced :o)
If anyone still fancies a Copa America group bet but has missed most of the decent prices, I’ve just put another 5 points on as the price was much bigger than everywhere else. The next best price for this is 5/6 which is quite a big difference. I don’t know how long this price will stay there for as it seems very big
Copa America group betting
Dual forecast group B & C
Argentina/Uruguay
Brazil/Colombia
5PTS 13/10 sportingbet
I had a feeling that was yours Pete haha, not sure it needed that much of an explanation though Luke.
Ultimately, timing of goals is key WC. You won’t always be able to cover but when I can for the right price, I will.
Lol Jordan – I started to read it before the penny dropped that I’d written that ages ago.
Anyway – hope all well with you. You pleased with your latest signing at Old Trafford?
Thanks for that Luke … read it and re-read it (and will read it again until it sinks in)!! I currently fit into (1 – non savvy punter categorisation) .. so many bets I cash out on at a small profit or loss eg > 1.5FHGs scored at the odds on favourite 1-0 up at 35 minutes (must be risk adverse!!).. and then see the (2-0 HT) score and think why did I do that!! “It only takes a minute to score a goal”!. Very helpful and appreciate you taking the time to share!
Jordan, likewise on your timing comment really need to be watching in on games to cover correctly inplay
Cheers guys -I am on a steep learning curve!!! Seen Harry might be looking at Australia in the morning – hope some of his tips are in the same games as mine!!
Early aussie picks
Blue Eagles/South Adelaide BTTS
Floreat Athena/Sorrento over 2.5mgs
1PT Double 23/20 ladbrokes
Add
Strikers/Brisbane City over 2.5mgs
Joondalup/Inglewood over 2.5mgs
0.5PT Acca 14/5 ladbrokes
Nothing wrong with asking questions WC. I rarely cover unless it’s something I’m worried about or really really cheap but everyone’s different. I missed your aussie picks for tomorrow but mine are above. Only playing with a small stake as I’ve got enough on tomorrow evening games
Oh yeah….course it was u Pete! !! Again sorry I couldn’t remember. Was clueless….All thanks to Pete! !! I saved it to read every once in a while
CraneGuy – I completely agree -example (for some reason – wife and kids away for weekend!) watching Australia v Nigeria women its 1-0 at HT . I have bet on > 2.5 MGs … can see more goals in this…. cos of the nature of the match would leave to say 80 mins … then if still 1-0 would look at cover of <1.5 MGS ??
Btw lmao Pete. ..that’s comical…..can just imagine u reading through until u realised it’s ur words. Thanks again!! I’ll always keep that!!!
Poland -1.5AH
3.5PT 30/29 betvictor
Very well thank you Pete and I hope everything is well on your end. Delighted with Depay but it won’t make up for the loss of De Gea if he goes, and I won’t be happy if we don’t get a Carrick type player. Plenty of time left for that though.
Crane that’s it mate. I have FlashScores on my phone so I’ll favourite every game that I’m having a punt on next week and I get notification whenever a goal goes in or red card is dished out. I haven’t covered for a while but had a few points spread out tonight. Like I said if it wasn’t for the St Pats quick turn around I would have been gubbed!
WC, if you’re on over 2.5 goals in this game and there’s an early 2nd half goal, you’ll likely have decent cover. But it’s whether you want to cover stake or full return. I will most of the time only cover stake (tonight I was lucky with a point profit) but if I was you I wouldn’t cover with under 1.5 match goals. Like you say it only takes a second to score. You could cover under 1.5 goals and a goal goes in in injury time and you end up losing your first bet on over 2.5 and your under 1.5 cover stake.
Harry … errmm my Aussie picks shall we say differ slightly!!! Still at least we predict some goals in the Brisbane derby !! Good luck (not that you need it – but I will!!!) – still mine are all small stakes as have gone for 95% of tomorrow’s pot on the Harry / Jordan >1.5 TGS Uruguay / Argentina special!!
For reference only:
Treble all >2.5MGs at 1.07/1
Para Hill Knights
Dandenong
Morton Bay
Treble all > 2.5MGs at 0.98/1
Apia L Tigers
Brisbane Strikers
FNQ FC Heat
Small Treble at 3.1/1
Morton Bay >4.0,4.5
Apia L Tigers >3.0, 3.5
Perth SC Win
Prob not Jordan lol. I left the first paragraph out to shorten it to. But it’s such a good insight I didn’t wanna edit it. For those who missed it.
Was clueless….if u did that…say left til 80 mins at 1-0…There prob wouldn’t be no cover available. U need an early goal to cover
Thanks Jordan appreciate your response – helps a fu#kwit like me a lot!!
I had moreton bay, para hills, FNQ heat, and Apia tigers all picked out for goals too but had to whittle down to 4 picks. All look good to me anyway so good luck
Harry I hope me and you don’t have the Wato/Harry curse haha
GL too Harry – and Luke OK thanks will trial in this game if needed at about 70 mins … (to cover my £2.50 bet lol)
I bloody hope so too!! Think we were both on Cyprus tonight though which didn’t fail us
Was just about to put my cover learnings into practice at 70 mins and the Aussie’s score … 2-0 .. think I will stick with my >2.5 MGS and risk my £1.50!!
That is true mate. Bit annoyed I didn’t take the 2.5 as a single to be honest.
btw Harry have searched all over for our Aussie favourites Glenorchy (worst team in the world) … no bookie I can see is listing there hammering tomorrow :(
btw Harry have searched all over for our Aussie favourites Glenorchy (worst team in the world) … no bookie I can see is listing there hammering tomorrow :(
World Cup, Women
Australia – Nigeria
Over(3.5) 2.09
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