HEATHER WATSON did herself proud in pushing Serena Williams all the way before bowing out of Wimbledon and now it's a Super Saturday with Andy Murray and James Ward carrying the home hopes.
Murray has won six in a row against Andreas Seppi since losing their first meeting at Nottingham although the Italian is in decent form this year, knocking Roger Federer out of the Australian Open.
The Scot should still prove far too strong and is 4-9 at Sportinbet to win in three sets while a 3-1 Murray win pays 4-1 at Paddy Power.
Ward is in the third round for the first time and is 19-10 outsider to beat Vasek Pospisil (9-20, Sportingbet) and over 3.5 sets pays 1-2 at bet365 and Paddy Power.
Grigor Dimitrov let punters including me down yesterday by failing to win a set against Richard Gasquet but the overs are worth another look today. Gilles Simon takes on fellow Frenchman Gael Monfils, the pair having shared five sets in an epic clash at the Aussie Open in January, and Dustin Brown looks to follow up his scalp of Rafa Nadal by defeating Viktor Troiki.
Defending women's champ Petra Kvitova faces Jelena Jankovic and while the fairer sex's singles are a minefield the Czech should get the job done in straight sets.
The likes of Caroline Wozniacki and Agnieszka Radwasnka are also in action hoping to avoid the kind of struggle Serena endured in reaching round four.
The highlight of the cycling season gets under way today with the 21-stage Tour de France tearing off from the starting line in Utrecht.
British ace Chris Froome is favourite for overall victory and a second yellow jersey at 21-10 with Betfair while Tony Martin tops the stage one betting at evens with Ladbrokes.
There's plenty more sport today including the likes of cricket, boxing and qualifying for the British Grand Prix so let's hear all your tips and thoughts.
Scott's tennis treble
Ward v Pospisil over 3.5 sets
Brown v Troicki over 3.5 sets
Monfils v Simon over 3.5 sets
2.6-1, 888sport
Cricket t20 blast
Birmingham bears 4/7 – 7 points NAP
Very confident about this bet. Birmingham won the competition last year and thanks to their form and signing of brendan mccullum have gone clear favourites again this year at 7/2. Mccullum smashed 158* off 64 balls tonight, what a player.
Tennis
Kyrgios 10/11 – 4 points. Great value for this aussie beast.
Ward 7/4 – 1 point
Kerber 3/10
Lisicki 8/11
Double – 2 points. Confident but always limit my stake on the women.
GL all
Last time i posted here it was a win.
hope the same today:
safarova + kerber = 2.10 approx
Tsonga to win
Radwanska to win 2-0
Troicki v Brown over 3.5 sets
2/1
Bet 365
Troicki v Brown over 3.5 sets
Tsonga v Karlovic over 3.5 sets
Ward v Pospisil over 3.5 sets
Monfils v Simon over 3.5 sets
3.8/1
Bet 365
Gone with Scott’s treble and a small go at
Radwanska 2-0
Wokniacki >2.5 sets
2.4/1
Also have Bacsinsky v Lisiki >2.5 sets and Murray / Federer both 3-0’s on my possibles list but will see what others put up first!! GL all
Pliskova to beat Niculescu 2.70, 1pt
Tsonga v Karlovic over 3.5 sets
Federer to beat Groth 3-0 Double 1.91, 1.5pts
Wozniacki to beat Giorgi
Keys to beat Maria Double 1.74, 1.5pts
Berdych to beat Andujar 3-0
Govortsova to beat Rybarikova 3.11, Double 0.5pts
Troicki
Berdych 3-0
2pt double 23/20 betfair
Ad, what’s ur thoughts on Monfils v Simon. I fancy Simon. He leads the head to head 4-1 and is playing some really good stuff just now on the grass. I know Monfils is a danger but just feel that Simons consistency will see him through at Evs?
0.5pt acca
Over 3.5 sets
Basilashvili/Bautista Agut
Ward/Pospisil
Troicki win
3-0
Berdych
Federer
Karlovic +3 games
10/1 bet365
Looking at yesterdays singles wrt. how favourites fared.
MEN
5 Favourites Won
2 Lost (Raionic and Dimitrov)
1 TBC (Cilic)
WOMEN
7 Favourite Won
1 Lost (Petkovic)
(the 7 include Coco Vanderwege who I’m sure I can remember shortening and at 8/11 as the match started).
12, possibly 13 favourites out of 16 is fairly good in tennis terms.
Todays Bread and Butter is a Doubles Double.
Men: Herbert/Mahut to beat Mueller/Qureshi
Women: Hlavackova/Hradecka to beat Knapp/Vinci
Price: 1.09/1
Some MLB thoughts for today – should be able to get them for evens or just below:
Toronto/Detroit – Over 8 runs
Nationals win (ML)
Mets/Dodgers – Under 6 runs
TB/Yankees – Under 7.5 runs
Here is what a system I am trialing has come up with. Do your own research and good luck with whatever you are on.
Last week I tipped Camila Georgi to do well in SW19 and today comes a third round match against Wozniaki. I haven’t been able to see her first two rounds so am not sure what her form is like.
Wozinaki is a very difficult opponent and is firm favourite.
Georgi can be very hit or miss.
In her recent WTA success at ‘S-HERTOGENBOSCH she went a bit stir crazy in her quarter-final against she scrapped through against Shvedova in 3 sets, serving some 18 double-faults IIRC.
However in the Final against the fancied Benic, she was amazingly focused, served only 1 doube-fault and won in straight sets.
If she can show that focus today, she has a decent chance.
However, I’ll wait and see what is happening in-play.
Tried to post tips off my phone earlier but to no avail so I guess I will have to change it up as 2 matches I was looking at have now started.
Main bet: Tsonga, Wozniacki @ 23/20
Acca: Keys, Pospisil, Kvitova @ Evens
Longshot: Simon and both players to win a set, Lisicki @ 3/1
In-play
Don’t like the signs regards the H/H doubles bet and cashed out early losing just under a third of my stake.
Giorgi to beat Wozniaki @ 2/1
A fairly clean Giorgi performance will be a problem for Wozniaki on a grass court. Though decent on the surface, she’s never gone that far at Wimbledon, and Giorgi has the right game
to hurt her on a fast court. Woz had a strange mini collapse at the end of her last match. Enough to suggest there’s still a slight vulnerability lurking there somewhere
Venus d Serena @ 4/1
Doubts about Serena were one of the reasons I picked Venus outright. That and her own game still being good enough to beat about anyone when it clicks on a court like this. Serena picks her game up, this probably won’t happen, but since the start of the French people have been nearly beating her who shouldn’t. Venus, I’m hoping, is someone who can get over the line
***Posted last night***
MLB for tonight
4 Fold @ 4.92/1 (£5) LOST
Baltimore Orioles ML (Lost 1-0)
Arizona Diamondbacks ML (Win 4-3)
St. Louis Cardinals ML (Lost 2-1)
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (Lost 2-1)
1 run again for teams that got beat, no luck going for me at the min.
On a bad run with the baseball of late and it continues.
If Giorgi doesn’t double fault 1000 times, then she’ll definitely cause problems.
Rays @ Yankees
Rays @ 2.0 *lost*
Rays took a 3 run lead into the bottom of the 8th and lost 7-5!
Mets @ Dodgers
Dodgers over 3.5 runs @ 1.9 *lost*
Dodgers score 1 run.
Twins @ Royals
Twins @ 2.25 *lost*
Twins take a 1 run lead into the bottom of the 8th and lost in extra innings!
All I can say is FFS!
Jaseos nice to see you.
Dazid I feel your pain!
Can anyone see issues with Federer Murray and Berdych all winning 3-0? Might make that my main bet today
I’m on this too, so hopefully not! ha.
Troicki really is a quality returner. Doesn’t stand miles off the baseline like Rafa. Makes a huge difference
Get in Brown!! – there’s the set!!
Dies my head in when players like radwanska just feel like playing 3 sets…joke after the 1st
Dellacqua is incredibly lame. Radwanska definitely making a meal of this
I take it all back 6 games in a row ha ha…sorry miss radwanska my bad
In-play
A dabble at Federer to break Groth second game in 4th set.
Federer just blew everyone’s bets
Dabble pays off at 3/1.
Mlb tonight
Tigers
Marines
Ml double @ 3.24
Orioles @ White Sox
Orioles hits over 8.5 @ 1.95
Chief any write ups for sundays rugby league games would be greatly appreciated.Well done on – 4 Leeds last night :)
Wtf has happened in the women’s draw today. Muguruza beating kerber, jankovic beating kvitova, even bacsinszky beating Lisicki so easily here, though that’s not as surprising. Strange results on this surface. The one upset i wanted was Giorgi over Wozniaki and that didn’t come close to happening. Sorry chaps!
Ad, not sure if you’ve looked at Monday not much value in Cilic and Wawrinka but I do like the looks of Wozniacki and Kyrgios!
I would expect Simon to draw enough sloppy play out of monfils to win, but it’s not a match i have any plans to bet on. It’s too hard to know what’s going to happen in terms of the level they can sustain. Especially Gael
Chief do you have any opinions on sundays rugby league ?
Rensen it probably a bit early for Chief to be posting. I would imagine he’ll be on tomorrow’s thread if he has anything.
Rensen, think 3 of the games have big handicaps and I usually take them if I think they can win the game like Castleford against Leeds last week, but I cant see Cas losing tomorrow, weather they can beat the handicap not sure it maybe just a double on total tries or scorers.
Hull lost to Wakefield in midweek, but I think they will win tomorrow, again they may not beat the handicap.
Sorry lads, after two days of great profit, I had a bit of a disaster today with the main bet, acca and longshot all losing.
Apologies and I hope you all did better than I did, I will be back on Monday and it can’t be any worse!
Dazzler/Dazid – Terrible luck last night gents. Baseball can take a huge **** on you at times – Heads up and move on!
Still paper-trialing a system I designed and results are so far so good. Unfortunately I don’t know any way of back-testing so I’m probably going to dry-run it through to the end of the season, putting some up on here when I get chance for anyone who is interested
Unbelievable over 30.5 games lost in the Murray match. You’d think a 4 set match that’s a winner. Nope, 62 62 16 61 = 30. Joke