The opener was controversial but the French improved after the break to keep my antepost tip on track – and I'll be tipping them to beat Portugal in 90 minutes on Sunday.
I tipped France to win, France to qualify and France to score 2+ and my Super Single was France draw no bet at just under evens so that's three out of four winners this month.
My only other bet was Top Treble that fell at the first hurdle as Aberdeen lost 1-0 to Fola Esch. For a side who say they have serious ambitions of challenge for the Scottish Premiership title this was a shocker.
Okay the Dons edged through 3-2 on aggregate but really should be doing better even this early in the season.
There were plenty of Europa League surprises if anyone needed a reminder to play it for low stakes in the early qualifying rounds.
My focus on Friday will be writing a Euro 2016 final preview for Saturday's Daily Record so there are unlikely to be any more tips from me bar the Super Single. There are loads of friendlies I tend to avoid and a few League of Ireland games among others.
The Super Single is over 3.5 sets in the Wimbledon semi-final between Milos Raonic and Roger Federer as I'd be surprised if either player won in straight sets.
Double that with Shelbourne to score 2+ at an Athlone Town side in complete disarray and having to play kids. They've lost their last seven league games and the latest defeat was a 5-1 shocker at basement boys Cabinteely whose win took them above Town.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
2.3pts Super Single
Raonic v Federer over 3.5 sets (1pm) WON
Shelbourne to score 2+ (7.45pm)
(1-1, boylesports)
Profit: 4.3pts
(4 bets, 3 winners)
Loss: 9.8pts
(6 bets, 1 winner)
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Germany v France
Germany Over 54.5% Possession @ 4/5 (Unibet)
WIN – By all accounts anyway, most media resources seem to be reporting roughly 65% possession for the Germans. Yet to be paid out but can only assume it’s a winner!
Leroy Green, 65 per cent is official.
As a man who backed Germany before the tournament Im naturally disappointed they are out after playing for me their best performance of the tournament tonight. The penalty given was very contentious and for me wasn’t a penalty and its one of them if its not your night its not your night. Does annoy me when well paid pundits such as Alan Shearer come out with comments where apparently France outplayed Germany. Germany did everything right tonight but just lacked that cutting edge and in the end with Muller not turning up lacked a prolific goalscorer. All the best to France though they did a number on Germany and capitalised on that defensive error to kill the game off and I really hope they beat Portugal in the final.
Been 2 bad days out of 3 and a big loss on my double with Germany not making the final, £90 down for past 3 days but profits since start of euros is a minimum of £500, onto today with 3 tips!
** NAP **
} Liepajas O2.5mgs –
16:00 Latvia
} Astana win –
15:00 Kazakhstan
} Seinajoen DNB –
16:30 Finland
} VPS DNB –
17:30 Finland
£25 pays £79.26
(PP)
————————–
** NB **
Liepajas -2
£10 @11-10
(PP)
————————–
** NNB **
VPS win
£10 @5-4
(WH)
Reasoning…..
-VPS last 3 home games have been 2-0 vs 3rd, 3-0 vs 1st, 1-0 vs 5th
LAHTI have taken 2pts from last 5 away games and they were draws against 11th and 5th
– SJK vs PK-35
It’s 9th vs 12/ bottom here but league position shouldn’t be taken towards expectation as 5th – 9th are all joint on 20pts
SJK have 4/5 home wins and the loss came against top of the league, PK-35 have W1 D1 L3 last 5 away with the win coming against team one place above in 11th
– Liepajas vs Dhdjhahsnks (don’t want to spell it takes the mick I’ll refer as ‘D’)
3rd vs bottom with ‘D’ only being on 4 pts after 12 games, D also lost by 3 goals to 1st and 2nd to cover this handicap, Liepajas have won by 3 goals twice in past 5 vs 5th and 7th
– Akzhayik vs Astana
Bottom vs top
11 pts to 47 pts
Home side have won once in past 7 home games and that was vs team one place above in 11th, Astana don’t generally win by large margins – normally one or two but should bring this home
Good luck all!!
NB now best odds 10-11
NNB now best odds 11-10
£5 on the double too returns £20
Over 1.5 Match Goals Treble
Australia – Victoria 11.15am
Bentleigh Greens v South Melbourne
Rep. Of Ireland – First Division 7.45pm
UCD v Cabinteely
Paraguay – Clausura 10pm
Club Guarani v Rubio Nu
17/25 (Skybet)
Good day with Griezmann scoring and France winning for me, £20 on PP enhanced Griezmann anytime at 7/2 plus had fiver on him and Ronaldo at 13/2 from last night. Done £20 on france at 7/4 with them and had 20 on draw and germany so was playing for free bets really at hardly any risk, £5 for 2 free bets. Gonna try no bet until the final now and will be checking for 365 offer, can’t see them not doing it. Got £10 on France wi skybet at 3/1 pre tourney too so a £3 free bet to use. Ideally in the final Ronaldo and Payet to both score freekicks with France winning.
Going for a night owl tonight in the Copa Libertadores where I really fancy the Equadorians to maximise home advantage and take a lead into the second leg. Independiente have took some major scalps at home in this competition including River Plate and Pumas so why not Boca Juniors too at a very decent price.
NDEPENDIENTE DEL VALLE VS. BOCA JUNIORS
Home Win 2 points @ 11/8
July Total B1 W1 L0 +10.2 points
***WON***
Going for a slight variation to fix it’s super single,
federer v raonic over 3.5 sets- should be tight game with fed edging it,
Shelbourne game over 2.5 mgs- Can see shelbourne getting a much needed win, In their last 29 games head 2 head, only 3 were scoreless, averaging almost 3 goals per game, athlone struggling with alot of players leaving, should be a one sided win.
1.16/1 @bet365.
Morning all, visiting Aussie again to start off Friday as usual…
09:15am – Bentleigh Greens U20 v South Melbourne U20
09:15am – Oakleigh Cannons U20 v Melbourne Victory U20
09: 30am – Port Melbourne U20 v Heidelberg U20
09:30am – Richmond U20 v Pascoe Vale U20
Over 2.5 goals 4-fold @ 37/20
*May put this into a yankee rather than straight 4-fold for cover.
Then shortly after in the seniors…
11:15am – Bentleigh Greens v South Melbourne
11:30am – Oakleigh Cannons v Melbourne Victory U21
Over 2.5 goals double @ 11/10
And finally a monster over 2.5 goals 8-fold on all the Aussie Victoria Youth League and Victoria League games @ 13/1. Good luck today gents.
One step away from seeing griezman top scorer and france to win it for the 17/1 winner am sure that was a popular bet will have to get a crate in for the final :)
On to today
Richmond u20s v pascoe vale u20s
Should see plenty of goals the reverse fixture saw richmond win 0-5.
Will be on the over 3.5,4 goalline at 1.85
Hopefully start the day off with a win. While ive been off here ive been keeping a keen eye on transfers.
Mr F a few days before uk leagues kick off would it be possible to open antepost thread for leavje winners/ top scorers etc. Just a thought so doesnt muddle up day to day bets
Postponed richmond u20s
Germany – France – 2-3 goals @ 2.00 – 3u won :)
Hibernians – Spartak Trnava – Hibernians over 1.5 goals @ 3.55 – 1u lost :(
———————————————————–
Bet Challenge
Hibernians – Spartak Trnava – Hibernians to score @ 1.49
1u -> 1.49u lost :(
=========================================
July 50u -> 38.17 + 8u BC
Combo @ 2.23 – 5u
– Athlone – Shelbourne – Shelbourne over 1.5 goals @ 1.22
– Berdych – Murray – Berdych (+7.5) @ 1.41
– Raonic – Federer – Federer (+2.5) @ 1.30
——————————————————–
GL
July £10 challenge 2
Splitting into 2 today.
Bet 6
O2.5mg Double
IF Vestri v Sindri(Iceland U19 2100)
TPT v EuPa (Finland Kolmonen 1700)
£23 pays £31.46
Bet 7
Limerick O1.5tg (Ireland 1 1945)
£23.07 pays £28.19
Good luck
Waddo I have already put a fun couple of pound on your Aussie 8 fold, this despite me not finding one game I was willing to put in the challenge for O2.5mg :-) They all have a chance but couldn’t find any ‘certainties’. Good luck mate :-)
Limerick O1.5 Team Goals
UC Dublin O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 71/100 (Bet365)
Main bet single
Limerick over 4.5mgs 13/8
Treble
Athlone over 2.5mgs
UCD over 1.5tgs
Limerick over 2.5tgs
Treble returns 27/10
Serious lack of goals in Austrialia today!
Hi all not posted since early June had put three up against the field in the euros 3pt France at 16/5 1 point Italy at 18/1 and 1 pt on Portugal at 20/1 .. Sitting pretty no lay required hope some one followed.weird over the years always done better on outright bets .roll on NFL season .?
Afternoon goals double
LIEPĀJA VS. BFC DAUGAVPILS
ÍA VS. VALUR
O2.5MG double 3 points @ a touch over 9/10
July Total B2 W2 L0 +14.95 points
***LOST***
Got to fancy Liverpool -1 I think they have a far too strong team for tranmere. Yes a lot of players are missing but with some quality South American players who are fresh they will beat tranmere handy ! I recommend
Liverpool -1 10-100
Liverpool ht/ft
Over 3.5 match Goals 29/10
Obviously watch out for team news !
From what I’ve read Ings, coutinho, firmino, mane, grujic, Lucas, Moreno, matip, lovren, Flanagan, karius should FEATURE
Kids such as brannagan, randall and chirivella should play too
Those missing are England and Welsh players obviously such as the sturridge Lallana ward Allen etc
no grujic tonight he has left the country for work permit purposes,coutihno doubtful to play also lazar markovic likely to start.
nite owl LOST Boca only scored one………
dc, like the look of your bets and was thinking very much along similar lines tonite also GL………………..
Cheers crane, let’s hope get a few winners tonight. Look forward to seeing your bets mate. Good luck also
EURO FINAL SUPERSINGLE:
France to score over 0.5 tgs
There to be at least 7 match corners
There to be 30 or more match booking points
Pays evens Skybet { may get better elsewhere}
NB: Also on France to win in 90mins @ Evens
GOOD LUCK.
Why can I not see the Limerick game on 365 or have they pulled it
Quick check-in as not back until after this one kicks off…
GUARANÍ VS. RUBIO ÑÚ (2200):
OVER 1.5 1ST HALF GOALS…35/20
(2 POINTS)
OVER 3.5 MGS…7/4
(3 POINTS)
Good luck?
tonite, using wh this week and would of been on athlone game not online and took a walk round for a pint and went into wh shop and not on coupons either………….
Waterford o2.5mgs&btts, UCD o2.5mgs, finn harps o1.5mgs 5/2
punt
finn harps o2.5mgs, Waterford o2.5 2nd hgs, UCD o3.5mgs, fram o2.5mgs&btts 25/1
GL all with a bet on……………..
Anyone know if something happened to the fc Basel friendly match? It was removed from b365 with 15 minutes to go and couldn’t find it on will hill either ??
I had a bet in match too, was waiting over 6 goal line and bet365 don’t have it as beaten bet yet. Flashscore says finished 2-3 but not sure
Inplay: banmber bridge v Preston
Back over 2.5 match goals 4-6
Preston to score the second goal 2-5
Should be goals in second half !
Both winners !
Athlone goal totally against run of play, just Aswell I went for over 2.5, should open up now
Wow, looks like a big shock, athlone were big outsiders, Shelbourne can’t seem to shoot.
keith madden, just back from the office – certainly was a big shock.
They were out of sorts really, think the favouritism affected them, athlones only chance was the goal!
Will be joining you on the Paraguayan game Hull – I think Scunthorpe need a new striker as I’m waiting on one more goal and from 23 shots they’ve managed to miss the target with 20 of them.
Finn harps v Galway in play
Galway 17/10
Under 1.5 goals 1-2
In play: Limerick 4-6 NAP
finn harps look like goosing ma treble………………
Limerick O1.5 Team Goals
UC Dublin O1.5 Team Goals
Double @ 71/100 (Bet365)
WIN! It’s always nice when a stats based bet goes to form in simple fashion. Wish they were all like that!
Homeward bound and hoping to get back for the Paraguayan Ricardo ?
Anyone fancying an in-play…keep your eye on Valur U 19’s game for goals, goals, goals.
Main bet single
Limerick over 4.5mgs 13/8 **WON** did think about over 5.5mgs at 10/3 but happy with ma main bet winning
Treble
Athlone over 2.5mgs
UCD over 1.5tgs
Limerick over 2.5tgs
Treble returns 27/10 **LOST**
Downed by the athlone game expected more goals
Well done all winners
Don’t have time to do a write up on each team today but I have 2 bets, one double and one triple.
Bet 1 –
TOR Blue Jays RL -1.5 (1.95)
Tex Rangers RL -1.5 (2.05)
Bet 2 –
BOS Red Sox ML (1.77)
SF Giants ML (1.6)
CHI White Sox ML (1.3)
I’m putting 50 on each. Goodluck. Will be posting in the US Sports section.
** NAP **
} Liepajas O2.5mgs – LOST
} Astana win – WON
} Seinajoen DNB – WON
} VPS DNB – WON
£25 pays £79.26
(PP)
** LOST **
————————–
** NB **
Liepajas -2
£10 @11-10
(PP)
** LOST **
————————–
** NNB **
VPS win
£10 @5-4
(WH)
** WON**
very disappointed that Liepajas only netted once, against a team that have only accumulated 4 points ALL season
Another rough day hope luck turns around tomorrow!
MLS night owl double
Orlando over 1.5tgs
San Jose btts
Returns 2.5/1
**LOST** seriously lack of goals in US again. Will be staying away from MLS for foreseeable as happening too often. or maybe I’m just picking wrong games lol
fekin stinkin ATM couldn’t box a set of playin’ cards……………. main 5/2 bet lost finn harps mg short…………
WD all with winners………………
dc, nice 13/8 sir fancied it too but chased the odds on the treble………….
Cheers crane. I can be guilty of chains odds too, don’t worry ur luck will turn
Shelbourne shocking after the 1st part of the super single sailed in.
Cheers though and look forward to the weekend betting Mr F.
evening hull, seen yer post re homeward bound where were you tonite then get it told ? hare coursing up the fells, hosing out the ferret cages, or out choosing a new flat cap that matches mrs hulls new frock ………………………….
Arggh jesus Crane – hoping Mrs Hull doesn’t read this otherwise you’ve blown the homeymoon plans ?
Valur U19 game finished 6-0 for anyone who caught that for in-play goals but the Paraguayan selection not looking best with a 0-0 scoreline at ht.
Over 1.5 1st half goals…lost.
Over 3.5 ft goals looking bleak but never a write-off in SA!
Lost.
Cricuima v Luverdense
Over 5.0 ht corners 1.800
Over 11.0 corners 1.975
Luverdense RT7 5/1 small stakes
3 losers :(
nite owls
river plate Ecuador o3.5mgs 3/1
ceara o1.5tgs, orlando o2.5mgs, dallas o1.5tgs 9/1
Where you seeing Ceara @craneguy
RIVER PLATE VS. LDU QUITO
Worth a look at corners here and over 11.5 pays 6/4
(4 Points)
Maybe a bit premature there haha 3-3 now so ht corners in ?
donno what you mean craig?
Looked on the 365 inplay schedule and can’t see Ceara?? Usually good for corners
Forget it haha, checked on livescore and then again on soccer schedule, i must’ve hit the speedway or some shit ???
ffs craig pit the can doon son…………….. :D
nite owl
river plate o3.5mgs 3/1 1-2 ht pretty sure it’ll land………….
last one for tonite
emalec btts&overs 15/8
Well earned few tinnies after the shift av put in haha i see waghorn and tav have rejected new contracts for ‘your mob’ ?
Cricuima v Luverdense
Over 5.0 ht corners 1.800 :)
Over 11.0 corners 1.975 :)
Luverdense RT7 5/1 small stakes :)
Gonna have a look at Ceara game now
whos mob craig………… am a joansin’ burgh man throo n throo……………..
Libertad Ascension RT7 5/4
Same bets in Luverdense game with Ceara game over ht, ft asian corners and Ceara rt7 SS