On Tuesday I posted Wales to qualify as a Super Single but without Aaron Ramsey the semi-final proved a game too much. However, Chris Coleman's side go home with their heads held high while Portugal still flatter to deceive.
The second semi-final between France and Germany on Thursday tonight is tough to call and I'll post a separate preview. I tipped France on the anteposts so have to go for them but whatever happens Portugal will love the fact they have an extra day to prepare.
There are loads of Europa League qualifiers and I've had a good look at the games. So many teams are short-priced and many of them have decent first-leg leads so I'm restricting myself to one treble that involves British teams.
Start with Aberdeen who like Hearts should be better prepared for their second-leg tie. They eventually got the better of Fola Esch with two injury-time goals last week and should increase their advantage in Luxembourg.
Add Cork at home to Linfield in the all-Irish battle. Cork won a tight game 1-0 away with Linfield keeper Roy Carroll playing a blinder. With home advantage Cork should at least double their lead.
Complete the treble with both to score at Cliftonville v Differdange. The Irish side did well to draw away to a Luxembourg outfit who have some good results in Europe in the past few seasons.
The visitors need to score to have a chance to go through so this could lead to chances at both ends.
I've tipped France to win tonight and for the Super Single I'm going France draw no bet at just under evens.
Remember to check out WeLoveBetting for their latest tips and video chat.
2pts Super Single
France draw no bet (8pm)
(8-9, MarathonBet)
2pts Top Treble
Aberdeen (5.30pm)
Cork (7.45pm)
Cliftonville v Differdange btts (7.45pm)
(11-4, William Hill)
Profit: 2.5pts
(3 bets, 2 winners)
Loss: 7.8pts
(5 bets, 1 winner)
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In December 2020 we sadly 
£3.93 mad head 17 fold acca tonight/tomorrow returns £1843.65
New England O1.5mgs
Aberdeen
Germany DNB
BATE Borisov
Kairat Almaty
FK Gabala
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn O1.5mgs
Dinamo Minsk DNB
AC Omonia Nicosia
Brondby
Maccabi Tel Aviv
FK Rabotnicki +1
Stabaek
Midtjylland
FC Vaduz
FK Ventspils
First legs I was a stabaek win and one more goal from Midtylland away from winning £4300 off £5
Will be harder this time round with most teams already leading etc
Harry i know your confident of a Germany win tonight, so am I, but missing Hummells, Khedeira and top scorer Gomez is quite a blow. Thomas Muller is away with the fairys and has shown nothing near his club form so far. As bad a France are defensively, I can still see them getting to ET if needs be.
Germany have bored the pants off me but haven’t yet conceded in open play and doubt if France have the stomach or the defensive stability to stop ze black and white machine.
1 or 2-0 for germany.
France might have some consolation with a horse called Bastille day in the 7-10 at Epsom
France not beaten Germany in a competitive game since 1958 !!
Elvis Parsley, with home advantage now is the time.
Germany hadn’t beaten Italy since at all in finals since they first met in 1970.
They still haven’t beaten in play.
I don’t count penalties as its a lottery.
Beaten Italy that is !
elvis parsley, you have to count it – it put Italy out.
Yes, but for most betting purposes it’s 90 minutes that count unless you bet on team to qualify.
Figueirense RT7 10/3
France to qulify, 2-3 goals…
Combo @ 3.13 – 3u lost :(
TPS – KPV – KPV to score @ 1.43
Portugal – Wales – Nani over 0.5 shots on target @ 1.45
New England – NY City – BTTS @ 1.51
———————————————————————–
Combo @ 2.56 – 3u won :)
– Federer – Cilic – Cilic (+2.5 set) @ 1.49
– Querrey – Raonic – 1st set over 9.5 games @ 1.21
– Berdych – Pouille – over 0.5 tiebreak @ 1.42
——————————————————————————–
July 50u -> 36.17u + 9u BC
=====================================
Germany – France – 2-3 goals @ 2.00 – 3u
Hibernians – Spartak Trnava – Hibernians over 1.5 goals @ 3.55 – 1u
———————————————————–
Bet Challenge
Hibernians – Spartak Trnava – Hibernians to score @ 1.49
1u -> 1.49u
Radu
Is that the Scottish hibs or the Maltese hibs ?
@elvis-parsley – Maltese
Giroud to score a header anytime @ 9/1 (Hills)
Payet to score from outside the box anytime @ 14/1 (Hills)
Boateng to be shown a card @ 13/4 (888sport)
Good luck everyone
Morning gents,
Couple of games in the goal-friendly Phillipines this morning for any early birds.
Loloya (0645) and Cereres (0900) should crucify their respective opponents and double figures may be on the cards.
Couple of decent looking shouts in the Icelandic leagues tonight and will post later.
I’ve enjoyed watching France so far and their attacking prowess from midfield has been good despite concerns at the back already mentioned.
Germany, well…not too pretty on the eye and not at their best but you always get the impression that the engine may just be idling and they can kick in to gear at will.
This one looks set to go to the distance for me and not for the first time I’ll take:
MOV…EXTRA TIME…7/1 (2 Points)
MOV…PENALTIES…7/2 (2 points)
If it does go to et, then I have a nagging suspicion that ze Germans may sneak it in that period so i’ll chance a speculative point on:
GERMANY TO WIN IN ET…16/1
Good luck with all bets?
What score did the 1st one finish Hull? Just waiting on the 9am to ko. Goal line bit high at the minute, hopefully nothing in first 5 ten mins then jump on
0-9 to loyola slim. I got on over 6.5 at ht for this one playing now.
Nice one hampy, the highest goal line I had was 7.5, but was backing them throughout match.
Might try one more if it drops to 8.5
Cheers Hull for spotting the Philippines matches. Was on the 9am one. 8 nil after 73mins all my goal lines met, made 9 points, happy happy days☺
Hull thanks for the message last night mate good sound this morning was goals galore. Don’t worry about the bad run sadly we all get them it just means you are due a good one very soon
New York City fc . To win 1-0. 2-0.2-1
Sky bet 9/2 £100 on it
????
July £10 challenge 2
Bet 5
O2.5mg Double
Lettir v Augnablik (Iceland 4 2100)
SJK2 v KPM (Finland Kolmonen 1700)
£33.03 pays £46.07
Good luck
4fold
serena 2-0
van gerwin
abberdeen
odd +1
£13.13 returns £35.56 @willhill
Europa League treble:
Brondby vs Valur Reykjavik – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
FK Jelgava vs Breidablik – over 2.5 MG’s
Llandudno vs FK Goteberg – FK Goteberg win
10/3 **NAP**
There were 6 first half corners in the first leg of Brondby’s 4-1 thumping of Valur Reykjavik
The first leg of Jelgava against Breidablik produced 5 goals where both teams enjoyed decent phases of play. 4 goals came in the first half alone.
Goteberg were way too strong for Llandudno in their first encounter destroying them 5-0. Another comprehensive victory should follow for the away team today.
===============================================
Germany vs France – team performances France 30 to 40 pts 11/2
Win the match = 25 pts
Draw the match = 10 pts
Each goal scored = 15 pts
Each corner gained and taken = 3 pts
Keep a clean sheet = 10 pts
Score before the 20th minute = 10 pts extra (maximum 10 points per team)
Each yellow or red card received = 5 pts and 15 pts deducted respectively (maximum 20 points per player)
It’s a tough match to call but I’m of the thinking that France will either get defeated or taken into extra time so subsequently the team performance tally may not end up being as high as it usually is and could fall within the range of 30-40 pts. There is also the yellow card ammnesty factor where French players (as well as German) will start the game on a clean slate and will be more likely to commit a foul knowing that baring a red they will not be suspended for the final and this could see points deducted if France do score/win the match.
Prices with Bet365
Good luck all
Quick question Bulls; what’s the difference between “over 4.5 half corners” and “over 4.5 Asian corners”?
That was meant to read “over 4.5 corners” and “over 4.5 Asian corners”?
They’re exactly the same in that 5 corners are needed but probably 70% of the time you’ll get slightly better odds with the Asian market Markus. So for example instead of getting 4/6 you’ll get 8/11 or instead of 4/5 it’ll be 5/6. As a rule I always take the Asian corners because either the odds will be the same or greater than the regular market,
Thanks bulls – I’ve always wondered why they offer the Asian market on .5 as it’s the same as not offering the Asian variant. It’s interesting you say there are often slightly better odds. Why would that be? Bookies are usually not daft
I really dont know why this is. When I worked at the Ladbrokes head office we were told in training that the way they bet on sports in Asia is slightly different to how we bet on sports in Europe with regards to the markets they use, but sometimes when the European and Asian market equate to the same thing the odds can be different. It’s quite weird when you consider at times the price on corners for example will be exactly the same whilst at others the Asian market will offer the betters odds. There’s no consistency but from the punter’s perspective it’s a no brainer to take the best investment for their money.
My first post yesterday was very disappointing but i’m really confident on my nap of the week tonight. I mentioned the Aberdeen game yesterday and i’m very positive on this bet tonight. 23 corners produced in the first match and even though it’s 3-1 Aberdeen and i expect a sharper performance from Aberdeen this week i’m still expecting corners from both teams. The away team got 6 corners themselves which is very good considering they were away in Europe and totally dominated. I’d love to bet over 3.5 or 4.5 goals in this match as i do see it being that type of match but ill stick to corners only.
Aberdeen match over 12 corners 21/10
small stake on Aberdeen match over 14 corners 11/2
For anyone wanting a small stake accumulator ive added a few games i think will also see plenty of corners
Aberdeen
AEK
Qabala
AIK
Gl everyone
Lee Faulds, good luck with that. Off to golf and will check in later.
Thanks Mr F. I have done a L15 with the 4 games i mentioned. AEK big cut today, over 14 corners was 15/2 and now 2/1. Enjoy the golf
Nice one Hullshaker, took a large bet on Ceres -4 at 1/2, probably a tad over-cautious considering they’re now 11-0 up (!)
Can’t look past the Germans.
Think back to two years ago.
The well fancied hosts v Germany.
I remember seeing Brazil well fancied back then and they got took to the cleaners. Game over by HT.
Now onto today.
The well fancied hosts v Germany.
Sounds familiar. France will need to make their approach to be defensively sound before any belief in the form of attack otherwise Germany could grab a hat full.
I’m sure they’ll be keen to do what they did to Brazil on their own turf two years ago and with the people missing it for me puts added pressure on France.
Mr F I know football is all about opinions but I don’t share your opinion that France have been the best side at the tournament. I don’t think being the best side at a tournament wins you the tournament anymore either. Goes to show its the teams that are organised and have the mentality not to panic and take the chances at the important times that normally prevail. Italy, Germany, Wales and also Iceland have prevailed and excelled at this and to a certain extent possibly Portugal (how they have reached the final I’ll never know).
I’ve backed Germany and believe by overcoming Italy in the previous round will have that feeling of invincibility about them. France have had a very very very easy ride to the semi-final and with that stuttered against Romania Ireland and Switzerland, left it late against Albania and conceded two against Iceland when cruising. Massive test for France tonight and one I think will be a step too far. Germany all day for me!
Germany to qualify
Evens
Betfair
Germany to win
2/1
Betfred
Germany over 1.5 TG
11/5
Betfred
Couldn’t have said this better @craigboy, i am on all these bets plus germany to score 3+ and muller ATGS. French team/defence is just a disaster waiting to happen
Europa League accumulator:
Gothenburg
AIK
Brondby
Helsinki
MTK Budapest
Approx 3/1 Stan James
Last competitive match 0-1 Germany fancy a similar scoreline tonite in a tight game
Muller & 1 -0 Germany 20/1
in play
Guangzhou vs schalke 02.5 mgls 11/10
I mistakenly included Cliftonville in yesterday’s treble thinking it was a Wednesday game. The remainder of the bet lost anyway but I am including them again today.
The other 3 games all went BTTS YES in the first leg with a combined match goals total of 13.
Europa BTTS YES Fancy Fourfold
Jelgava v Breidablik (4.30)
Fola Esch v Aberdeen (5.30)
Lusitanos v Domzale (7.30)
Cliftonville v Differdange (7.45)
(going on 9/1 Lads FOBT)
Hi, new to the forum … anyway
Shalke in play to win vs Guangahou 13/10
Think I will be leaving the Germany game tonight as tough too call – bet maybe worth considering would btts at evens but I will be leaving it will probably have a bet on an anytime goal scorer but will post later once see teams so just going with the following for interest
Fiver on Europa League over 2.5mgs fun four fold
Hibernians
Llandudno
Cork
Glenavon
Returns 7/1
Inplay currently ht
Shirak to score 4/5
Won
Europa 8-fold from me today:-
Kairat Almaty v Teuta Durres Over 2.5 – 8/15
Samtredia v Qabala Over 2.5 – 10/11
Spartak Myjava v Admira Wacker BTTS – 8/11
Jelgava v Breidablik Over 2.5 – 5/6
FK Spartaks v Dinamo Minsk BTTS – 4/5
Nomme Kalju v Trakai BTTS – 8/11
RoPS v Shamrock Rovers – Home Win – 4/5
Fola Esch v Aberdeen Over 2.5 – 8/15
Stake 1pt, accumulator pays 78/1
Good luck all today !
April: Bets 176 Wins 86 Losses 82 Push 8 +16.85 units
May: Bets 145 Wins 73 Losses 71 Push 1 +15.8 units
June: Bets 56 Wins 28 Losses 27 Push 1 +7.70 units
July: Bets 3 Wins 0 Losses 3 -7 units
Awful start to the month – second leg of europa means one thing i hope – GOALS.
Bet 4
Spartak Myjava v Admira
Over 2.5 – odds 2.00 1.5 unit
Bet 5
Myjava v Admira btts
odds 1.90 1.5 unit
Inplay kairat ht/ft currently 1.66 hoping for 1.80 myself but should be in control here soon
Nice tip mate. Got on at evens
No probs bud always nice when they sail in
Well done Goalwisher good tip (s)!!
@davros ?
In play 7 mins
Jelgava match over 2.5
Odds 2.25 1 unit
Both score yes odds 2.1 1 unit
Jelgava bets won by ht
In play 3 mins
Over 2.5 Jurmala game
Odds 2.20 1 unit
Over 2.5 Budapest game
Odds 2.20 1 unit
Afternoon chaps, missed most of the day’s games unfortunately but had a chance to study for tonight’s Euro 2016 match. I see there’s been a few winners on here already today – thumbs up to you gents ?
20:00PM – France v Germany
France – highest scoring team in Euro 2016 with 11 goals in their 5 matches so far, largely thanks to that 5-2 thumping of Iceland at the weekend. They’re hitting good form coming into this match with 7 goals in their last 2 matches…having not lost a game yet this tournament, they’ll fancy their chances against a German side without their top scorer Gomez as well as Khedira and Hummels. 3 of France’s 5 matches so far have had at least 3 goals involved and I do think they’ll score at least once tonight, possibly twice.
In my opinion though, what stands in France’s way is the excellent Manuel Neuer…the only keeper to have conceded a solitary goal in Euro 2016 making Germany the lowest conceding team in the tournament. They’re tough to break down but with the influential Hummels missing from the backline tonight, it’ll be tough to keep that record going. Germany have scored in 4 of their 5 matches in the tournament and France have conceded in 3 of their 5 – I can see both teams scoring here tonight and contrary to what the bookies think…I reckon we’ll see another more open game tonight than the trend of the tournament so far of tight, dull matches generally.
So, based on the above, tonight I’ll be on…
Over 2.5 goals @ 11/8
Good luck tonight gentlemen ?
Sorry for posting late but been in work…
Sixfold today thanks to my 17-fold falling at first fence with New England being a 1 goal stinker…
Kairat win (already 4-0 up now)
Brondby win
Stabaek win
Gothenburg win
Aberdeen win
Germany DC
£15 on returns just shy of £70
Hoping Germany do the business for me tonight to land my 2/1 shout,
Good luck all
Germany v France
Germany Over 54.5% Possession @ 4/5 (Unibet)
Going to the possession market again. Really think this game is a tough one to call and could go either way, but Germany tend to have more of the ball regardless of the opposition. France are likely to move the ball a bit quicker and turnover possession more often than Germany are. As such, I think the line set is pretty fair. As long as Khedira’s absence doesn’t effect Germany’s ability to break down French possession, then this has a very solid chance.
For what it’s worth, I’m also on Germany to qualify, but I’m not at all confident enough to ‘tip’ that.
Good luck.
MLB Banker….Clevland Indians RL (2.25)….check out my daily write ups in the “US Sports” section. Good Luck!
Adding videoton game over 2.5
Odds 2.00 1 unit
whats going on with the abberdeen
punterpounder, no McGinn of course and Rooney on bench.
Look weak up front and need to get Rooney on now.
Wouldn’t have backed them knowing that line-up but hopefully get their finger out second half.
yes they ought to another goal for the home team and its level on aggregate
Do away goals count double in Europa qualifiers? If so, and if Fola score another for 2-0, Aberdeen must score or they’re out. I’m not sure.
stagger, absolutely they do. Dons have made two HT changes but no Rooney. Needs to get on.
Thanks MrF for clearing that up for me, really wasn’t sure and Google not exactly straight forward on the subject.
1 shot on target in 65 mins against a team from Luxembourg is inexcusable no matter what team they put out for one of the top teams in Scotland they should be doing better
Glad some caught the Phillipines games…just the 20 goals in the two matches (9-0 and 11-0) ??
Put up my selections for the Euro game already but one worth a mention is in Iceland’s 1 Deild…
KA VS. FJARDABYGGD
KA should be nailed on here and sit top having won the previous (Cup) H2H in February 8-0 and although it’s a good start their win-line of choice appears to be 2-0 which is putting me off goals galore.
KA prices are poor though and I reckon the visitors may grab one at some stage – they’ve failed to score in only 1 of their 8 games so far this season!
Going to side with 2 selections:
BTTS & OVER 2.5 MGS…EVENS
(3 POINTS)
OVER 2.5 2ND HALF GOALS…8/5
(2 POINTS)
Best of luck
Cracovia over 1.5 team goals @ 1.83 about to kick off
Adding over 2.5 match goals cracovia game in play odds 2.00 1.5 units
Europa BTTS YES Fancy Fourfold
Jelgava v Breidablik (4.30)
Fola Esch v Aberdeen (5.30)
Lusitanos v Domzale (7.30)
Cliftonville v Differdange (7.45)
(going on 9/1 Lads FOBT)
– fail. One lousy shot on target for Aberdeen all game to Fola’s 7. Not sure what the game plan was but fortunate for them that Fola didn’t pot a second in the last ’45 else it’s curtains. They scrape through anyway but I’m disappointed they couldn’t manage a single goal.
Ozil ags 15/4
Payet ags 11/4
Good luck all
Hope it’s a good game
Anyone think Cracovia can get a foal or two now?
I’ve put a pony on it Boss ?
??
I’ve done them to score a goal at 2/5 not as big as a pony but more hamster ??
Story of my life Boss ?
Goal ???? foal ffs
Get in! Maybe get another one now
Fancy the Germans so doing these bets.
Griezman to score Germany win 16/1
Germany win 2/1
Draw h/t Germany f/t
Germany win over 1 goal
Gl
nite owls LOST
no long in had no time today to look at anything yet, just a shilling or 2 on
Germany btts&overs 17/10
GL all with a bet on……………….
France vs Germany
HT result DRAW 4/5
Zee French for me tonight with BTTS !
€30 Germany game over 2.5 mgs returns €66
€30 Germany game over 5 fh corners returns €75
€30 Germany game over 10 corners returns €62
€33 Germany game over 4.5 cards returns €63
Italian ref . After germany beating italy . Hhhhmmmmmm . Wait and see . Hahaha .
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Sorry admin pressed report on your post by accident ?? I was checking if it had a confirmation pop up but guess not.
Great addition but it might get abused a bit
TheBoss, hopefully it will not be abused and we’ll keep an eye out as much as possible.
Ridiculous penalty in my opinion but I’m not going to argue with it.
@theboss Once clicked on, it gives a brief message “Thank you for your feedback. We will look into it.”
This ref is totally bias towards france, no way was that a penalty and this is daylight robbery.
conray smith, was soft although the likes of Rio Ferdinand saying it was a definite penalty.
But please guys don’t make accusations against the ref unless you can prove it.
Mr f even before that decision you could see the ref is totally bias
conray smith, he’s made some strange decisions for sure and the pen was harsh but I’ve already said don’t make other claims you can’t prove in court.
archie kelly, if Italy hadn’t been knocked the ref wouldn’t have got this big game.
Anyone on France antepost and who thinks the winner of this match will beat Portugal can have Germany at 9-2 on the outrights.
Portugal are 2-1.
Hampy, France win euro and Greizmann top scorer @16/1 looking very good
£78 on Portugal vs Germany final @2-1
**LOST**
First goal don’t think was a pen and the second I don’t have a clue what kimmich was doing and he didn’t either!
Onto the next – have a NAP ready for tomorrow but will post on that thread and hopefully recoup tonight’s losses for/on Sunday’s final
Well done all winners
Fiver on Europa League over 2.5mgs fun four fold
Hibernians
Llandudno
Cork
Glenavon
Returns 7/1
**LOST** so close but 1 goal short in cork game not all bad tho as managed to get cover at 9/4 when linfield equalised so quick & all other games up therefore no loss
Well done all winners & superb all who tipped France.
£100 on portugal for the final, no way can france be this lucky again to find a referee like this
Portugal are woeful, France have it won, easy!
Tony Caulfield, I hope France win but I bet it won’t be easy.
Portugal aren’t easy on the eye but are tough to beat and have one man who can make a difference.
Hope not @capone31, i hate seeing injustice at this level of football mate. 1st time i have ever seen a penalty given from a corner without a player even appealing for it, the ref was the only person in the world that knew what was going on for about 20 seconds.
I agree, he was dodgy. Breaking up the play 2nd half but still though, Germany had no striker and no answers!
Terrible day for betting…
FC Differdange 03 couldn’t hit the back of the net…all slips lost…better days ahead!
congrats to all winners
€30 Germany game over 2.5 mgs returns €66 LOST
€30 Germany game over 5 fh corners returns €75 WON
€30 Germany game over 10 corners returns €62 WON
€33 Germany game over 4.5 cards returns €63 WON
Well done Kelly…mine were losers but good luck to the French – deserved it tonight even if the dodgy pen was a game-changer on the stroke of halftime.
Europa League treble:
Brondby vs Valur Reykjavik – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
FK Jelgava vs Breidablik – over 2.5 MG’s (won)
Llandudno vs FK Goteberg – FK Goteberg win (won)
10/3 **NAP** LOST
Germany vs France – team performances France 30 to 40 pts 11/2 LOST
Only two first half corners in Brondby’s match killed my NAP. The sooner I get out of this stale run the better. Well done all with winners today.
Germany btts&overs 17/10 LOST
ze germans had plenty chances to………….
WD all with winners……………
Half an hour left in the Isbjornnin v Hviti game…goals still to come here:
Over 6.5…4/6
(3 Points)
About sums up my luck – chose this one over the Lettir v Augunblik game which I’d been tracking alongside…that one finished 5-4 with 8 (?) second half goals.
Lost ?
nite owl, copa libertadores
boca look like got a full team out with tevez up top to boot so wee punt on
boca o1.5tgs 3/1