BOTH British No.1s are in Australian Open semi-final action and Johanna Konta kicks things off against German seventh seed Angelique Kerber.
Konta's fairytale run to the last four has seen her play some excellent tennis and she can have high hopes of defying her underdog odds of 9-4 at Betfred.
Kerber shocked Victoria Azarenka in the previous round but the Pole wasted six set points that would have levelled the match at 1-1 and Konta looks good to at least win a set – which pays 10-11 at Paddy Power – against Coral's 2-5 favourite.
Then it's Andy Murray against big-serving Canadian 13th seeds Milos Raonic who has raised his game and already taken the scalp of Stan Wawrinka.
Murray and Raonic's head-to-head stands at three wins apiece, although the Scot has won the last two and should triumph again at 2-5 (BetVictor) providing his excellent return of serve doesn't let him down.
Raonic is chalked up at 23-10 by Unibet and this match should go over 3.5 sets which pays 8-15 at bet365.
Elsewhere there's ODI cricket and the usual nightly batch of NBA action worth a punt so post your sporting tips and chat here and on the forums.
As I have been saying, the Australian Open is getting harder to find value as the tournament nears the finish, it’s semi final time and the interesting match in the Ladies Singles is Johanna Konta against Angelique Kerber
One interesting stat for this match is Kerber has broken her opponents serve at least five times in every match, this becomes even more impressive when you hear she has only been taken to three sets once
The main reason for this is because she can punish the second serve.
For Konta to win this match she has to serve well, she has a lot of double faults because she doesn’t hold back with her second serve,
I looked into the double faults for both players and it’s pretty even which shocked me but Kerberos has had most of hers in the last two games, I think this can be put down to the player tightening up
Konta’s percentage of first serve points won is better than Kerber at 74%’to 67% but the impressive part of that stat is that in Konta’s last game it was up to 79%
Kerber has been getting worse in her last two games for first serve percentage at 56% & 58%
I think Angelique Kerberos has been getting too much praise for beating Azarenka,
Yes it was a good result against a player who was tipped by many to win the title, but as Azarenka has said herself, she put herself in to winning positions but she didn’t put enough in and said everything was a bit flat
Nerves will get to both players and it’s just who handles it better, but I do think Konta is priced too high
After a full house this morning with 3 out of 3 here are two for later
Australian Open
Angelique Kerber v Johanna Konta 4am
JOHANNA KONTA to win a set 10/11 NAP/NB paddy power (double stake)
JOHANNA KONTA to win 5/2 bet365 paddy power william hill
Cricket
New Zealand v Pakistan 1am
PAKISTAN to win 2/1 NAP/NB ladbrokes bet365 coral sky bet (double stake)
Top New Zealand batsman
KANE WILLIAMSON 11/4 sky bet paddy power
Hey Scott, Kerber beat Azarenka not Radwaska
l1. this time you are correct and I will edit Scott’s post.
@jordan thanks for the Karl Anthony towns P&R prop mate..got the magic 27 points with a And-1! ???
Karl Anthony Towns (Timberwolves) Over 26.5 Points and Rebounds @ 4/5 @ PP – 2.5 points **WIN**
Robert Covington (Sixers) Over 14.5 Points @ 5/6 @ PP – 1.2 points **LOSE**
Trevor Ariza (Rockets) Over 13.5 Points @ 19/20 @ Betfair – 1 point **LOSE**
Should have stuck with Noel in hindsight. Didn’t realise Howard was back for Houston either so would have left Ariza alone if that was the case. Literally missed all the NBA tonight as I have my little one. Posted Parsons Over 16.5 @ 4/5 @ PP but won’t can’t it towards totals if it wins. Needs two points after just checking. Well done to any winners.
Minnesota Timberwolves +8 @ 1.90 – 1.2 Points. – *WON*
Utah Jazz Money Line
Clippers @ Hawks Under 212
Double @ Evens – 1 Point. – *WON*
Another full house this week ?
@jordan thanks for the Towns prop too, legend!
Congrats to the winners.
Week Totals 6-1
love 2 play bingo where you do , thats not even a line !!!!
ONLY MESSING MATE , NICE ONE `DUKE` , TAKE 6 AND 1 ALL WEEK LONG
Hahahaaa full house might be pushing it! :P
Well done Mr.
Great full house mate!???
Huggys 7.5 point single
Nuggets +9.5 103 – 111
Nice 7.5 point WINNER !!! ( TOO CLOSE FOR COMFORT THOUGH )
1 or 2 bets from me for a while…
GOLDEN STATE ARE HOT !!!!! AGAIN…
Nice win Huggy.
Spurs hot last night too!.. -10.. phhh, could have taken them at -30 haha.
Suprised nobody on the thread were on them.
Well done huggy!!!??
djokovich vs Federer
Federer win @ 5/2- 2 points
Handicap +4.5 Federer- @ 4/5 – 2.5 points
Fedeer to win 3-0 @ 8/1 -0 .5 points
Good Luck
2 long shots for me tonight
Spurs, Celtics, Pistons and Thunder all half time full time 5/1 ***lost***
Clippers +7.5, GSW over 116.5, Pistons -8.5, Spurs, 5.5, Jazz -4.5
10/1 ***WINNER***
REPLY

shotty 7 hours ago
Also Spurs -15.5 2/1 single small stakes ***WINNER***
Wow what a night, 10/1 and 2/1 winners! Well done everyone
Long shot shotty is back!
Nice work bro ???
Thanks mate you too! Lots of winners on the thread
Spot on longshot shotty!!another banger from you???
Haha thanks mate! Good to land another one after being close a few times
Weld done all winners
Houston over 97.5 team points Won
Philadelphia over 95.5 team points Wo
Utah over 191.5 overall Lost
Atlanta over 205.5 overall Lost
Boston under 210 overall Lost
Minnesota(+8.5) Won
Nole – Fedex – over 40.5 @ 81/100
Saturday 30/01/2016
Take your pick out of these gents
Williams vs kerber
Under 19.5 games 4/5
Williams under 12.5 games 8/13
Williams 2-0 4/9
Nice treble for me yesterday which cleared up my losses on the football so thanks to raoul duke for the nuggets got +10.5 by the time i put my bet on also was on spurs -10 and gsw -17.5 few hairy noments near the ended but came in for a nice profit ?
My apolagise i believe it was huggy i should be thanking for the nuggets game up well done to everyone
Real Madrid – Olympiakos
—————————————————————–
Real Madrid :
– Real Madrid lost to limit the derby against Barcelona, scoring 86-87, in the last round of Euroleague;
– after this defeat, Real fell in 6th place in Group F standings with 2 wins and 2 losses;
– Real Madrid has the worst defense in the Euroleague, receiving no less than 86.7 points per game;
– Rudy Fernandez is still injured and will not play in this game;
—————————————————————-
Olympiakos :
– Olympiakos suffered a hard defeat, 55-75 against Zalgiris;
– after this defeat,Oly fell in 7th place in the ranking, the penultimate position;
– after a good start with two wins, Olympiakos lost surprising against Brose and Zalgiris;
– Olympiakos has the best defense in the Euroleague with just 70.1 points received;
—————————————————————–
H2H :
– the two teams have met 21 times so far in Europe, Real 11 wins, while Greeks were imposed in other 10 games;
– Olympiakos lost 59-78 in the last game played this arena;
– Felipe Reyes needs 5 points to get into the history of the Euroleague top 10 scorers;
—————————————————————–
– The two teams undergoing a very good form being shown last season;
– Olympiakos is an unpredictable team that can defeat strong teams like Barcelona or Laboral, or to succumb miserably against Zalgiris, as happened last week;
– Given that Real Madrid is not in the best shape, I expect a good match from the Greeks, and I think the difference between the two teams will not be more than 6 points.
—————————————————————–
Bet : Real Madrid – Olympiakos – Oly(+7.5) @ 39/50 Unibet
GL
I’m on this. Good luck
A good night for the thread! Excellent stuff all around. Should have included Jordan’s Town’s prop in the acca too, the man is a beast (watch his basket between Westbrook / Durant and celebration after that, a true wolf!). Also congrats to longshot Shotty and others!
Posted yesterday:
– Denver +16.5
– Warriors -11.5
– Jazz ML
– Hawks/Clippers under 212.5
– Wolves +13.5
– Cavs/Suns under 219.5
@ 5/1 – 1 point ** WIN **
Also adding:
– Djokovic to win
– Konta to win a set (Johnb)
@ 13/1 – 0.5 points ** LOSE **
Well done mate, nice 5/1 winner there!
Nice win Oriaz! ?
Lovely win oraiz!!
Nice win !!!
It’s the thread’s win tbh. A pat on the back to everyone. Let’s keep it up!
oriaz , brill mate and humble as ever , great Nba knowledge…
Djokovic is not human, this is unbelievable
Novak is on fire. Poor Fed being blown away so far!
This is the greatest tennis i have ever seen, the whole crowd is in shock
He’s unplayable …
Yeh scary stuff! He’s just on a different level/planet
As I stated earlier Novak – 4.5 O.85 flies in quicker than Super Novak.
The double with Sassari thanks to Hunter yesterday also sticks and that is a double and single win.
Well done – nice catch
Thanks brother, you on anything today?
still searching ;)
Illawarra Hawks – Adelaide 36ers
– over 180.5 @ 4/5 bet365
Won ;)
Nole – Fedex – over 40.5 @ 81/100 Lost :(
Sisu – Randers – under 176.5 @ 4/5
BIPA – Volynbasket – under 153.5 @ 17/20
MBA Moscow – BC Irkut – over 146 @ 17/20
Unibet
Clippers to beat hawks 15/8.Won
Memphis Grizzlies to win & Avai vs Gremio over 1.5 goals in the game 5/4.
@ayeright, nice call on the Clippers, just wondering what was your thought behind it? Hawks to win was on mosts minds yesterday (at home and clippers still without blake).
Memphis Grizzlies to win & Avai vs Gremio over 1.5 goals in the game 5/4.
Add Murray – 3.5 to win.
Clippers and Paul have been on fire since losing Blake and they are currently a top 5 offence in the Nba.
They beat Pacers on the road the game before.
Clippers are a better side with a very good record since Griffin left.
Gut instinct.
.
Cheers for the answer :D
snooker double
walden to beat woolaston
Robertson to beat mark Williams
£6 returns £14.86 @willhill
Good stuff winners thread :)
Parsons brought in his total but like I said won’t add it to the totals as it wasn’t essentially a tip.
Atlanta Hawks are in talks with the Knicks for Jeff Teague! Hawks on b2b and Pacers on rest so the -3 looks a fairly good bet. Could be trouble in the ranks with talk of Teague being traded. George Hill could be good for his Over 16.5 Points and Rebounds again but not as confident as the other day as it only scraped in.
For the first time in what seemed like a lifetime, DeMarcus Cousins had a poor game the other night only totaling 23 points and rebounds in Portland and now travel to New Orleans who will like be without Anthony Davis. Although that bodes well for Cousins, I’m inclined to take Ryan Andersons points who will take more load on with Davis out. Anderson is second in PPG for New Orleans despite his bench role.
Knicks might have Melo back for their game in Toronto so I’d wait on team news before taking any props in that one as he will effect workload for everyone if he plays or not.
Lou Williams and Kobe Bryant are both questionable for the Lakers. If they can’t go then D’Angelo Russell and Jordan Clarkson would see more minutes. Russell was playing well before being benched the other night late in the fourth quarter. His coach is quite tough on him where as Jordan Clarkson has more of a green light to do what he wants. Clarksons 23.5 PR&A would be a good play if Lou and Kobe sit.
Ryan Anderson (Pelicans) Over 17.5 Points @ 10/11 @ Betfair – 2.2 points
Stupid question but where are the player props on oddschecker?
They aren’t any mate. Have to check manually which is a pain but if you want early props. Paddys, Betfair and Skybet will have them up fairly early.
Thought so. That is a pain, oh well at least I know I haven’t been looking manually and wasting my time when there was a faster way. I guess they don’t show it on oddschecker as there are far too many possible combinations of players, P, R and A etc
It is mate but if you keep note of those bookies then check William Hill or 365 later you’ll have a better idea of where to look. Only Paddys, 365, Betway and Bet Victor do the mixed markets though.
@Jordan are you siding with the panthers on Sunday??
Super Bowl isn’t till the 7th mate and yes I posted Carolina -3.5 @ 10/11 straight away after their game against the Cards but you’ll be lucky to get that spread and price now as they are now -5.5 at most places.
My only other bet right now would be Cam Newton to score a TD @ 11/10 @ William Hill. Cam Newton Super Bowl MVP @ 3/4 @ Bwin is a good price too as if the Panthers win it it’ll be him that gets the plaudits. Putting 2 points on each now.
@jordan I got on -3.5 but was going to put some more points down, it’s drifted to -5.5 now what do you think? Panthers over 24.5 is an other option at 4/5?
It could be a blowout but I can’t tell you to bet on the -5.5 mate because that’s a whole 2 point difference which is huge in the NFL. I think -5.5 would be my limit, if it goes to 6 I’d leave it as that’s a full TD.
Euroleague Double
Brose Baskets (+18)
Fenerbahce / Cedevita (Over 152)
Double @ 12/10 – 4pts staked.
Good luck!
I’m surprised paddy haven’t put Hilario’s points up to 8.5 or 9.0 at least. He hasn’t been smashing it but he’s either voided it or won since they’ve added him as a prop.
HAHA the night shift has come :) GL friends
snooker double
walden to beat woolaston
Robertson to beat mark Williams
£6 returns £14.86 @willhill
*WON*
Cheers Jordan ? ill be on them
micheal van gewrin 7/4 to win the masters darts tournament looks a great price if hes on game no one will stop him and you will have your money on sunday night if he does so worth a punt
Carmelo Anthony will not play for the Knicks. Aaron Aflallo had a shocker the other night Shooting 6-21 from the field but still ended up with 17 points. Probably won’t get a total anywhere else unless 365 bring one out but I’ll be on Afflallo Over 14.5 Points @ 10/11 @ Betfair – 1.1 point.
huggy`s nba calls
Pelicans over 106 , ( small bet on nuggets ml at 14/5 ) , surely bulls gotta get back on track and cover 8.5 but lost all confidence in backing them , raptors well capable of covering 10`s , like lou williams at 16.5 or butler 33.5 pra , pacers -3 looks inviting too.
Definitely on Jordans Afallo when 365 put it up. 2.5 points
Gonna take pacers as a 5 point single
pelicans over 106 £12.50
lou w £12.50
CLASS 2 DRIVING TEST TOMORROW ,SO EARLY NIGHT FOR ME.
GOOD LUCK WITH THE BETS GUYS !!!
Take Pacers add Gasol 2.5/1
By add I mean over 16 points in the Grizzlies game.
Where is Gasol 16 mate?
is gasol worth a go at O16.5? @ SkyBet btw
@Jordan, Marc Gasol (Grizzlies) is at 16.5 @ Unibet.
Indiana – Atlanta – Atlanta over 100.5 @ 10/11
Washington – Denver – Denver(+7.5) @ 87/100
Memphis – Milwaukee – Milwaukee over 95.5 @ 23/25
NO – Sacramento – NO over 106.5 @ 17/20
Toronto – NY – over 199.5 @ 81/100
LA Lakers – Chicago – LA (+8.5) @ 10/11
——————————————————————-
Rugby
Biarritz – Bayonne
– Biarritz(-1.5) 1st half @ 17/20
———————————————————————
GL night shift !!!
Sisu – Randers – under 176.5 @ 4/5 Lost
BIPA – Volynbasket – under 153.5 @ 17/20 Won
MBA Moscow – BC Irkut – over 146 @ 17/20 Won
Lou Williams doubtful for the Lakers with Kobe questionable. Going to go ahead and take Clarkson Over 23.5 PR&A @ 5/6 @ PP – 2.4 points. I think the Lakers actually play better without Kobe, certainly the case for Clarkson. Russell will see an uptick in minutes but I can’t trust the coach to keep him on. The only way he’ll be more productive is when they are being blown out, but could keep it fairly close against the Bulls after a good game against Dallas the other night.
Will go with Clarkson and leave Williams and take the void if he doesn’t take to the court…
I’ll say it again. Warriors to repeat ;) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xuYsIjeXE5c&list=PLqge1Em4vBvl6xkXk4EtEdGhhhFVpjXfr&index=3&ab_channel=ESPNFirstTake
Mate taken at 5’s and 7/2
I’ve never felt so sure of an outcome ever b4.
Who will beat them over 7 ?
Spurs ? Cavs ? 2 blow out wins I think not.
Which is why we have pushed guys into Gsw all year.
Good link mate
Same mate. Its not often I’ll stake so much on odds against. Last big bet on odds against in the NBA was on these boys @ 9/2 and I’m even more confident of it this season. I reckon my 15 at the moment could be close to 30 by the playoffs. As soon as they go odds on I’ll stop.
@jordan sat 6th feb at home to OKC is the next big cash in then?
For sure mate!
hopefully they will set a lowish line, they should blow OKC away. annoyed because i looked at klays total last night 18 and thought he was due a big game, also aldridge’s with him only getting 5 against GS, both flew in i took hayward 20 and wiggins 21, wiggings let me down by 2points. always the way :o
Sacramento Kings -3 @ 1.90 (PP) – 1.2 Points.
Pel’s banged up.
Good luck.
Nba before 10 if you can @radu appreciated
NBA double
Raptors -7
Bulls-7 double returns 1.7/1 1.7 points staked ,
Tempted to put the Kings but twit last performance didn’t fill me with much faith, Bulls due a performance and the Knicks have been on a good run, Carmelo out and can see an easy win for raptors
Kings last performance holds no weight on tonight… they were on a back to back after a real tough game against the Hornets that went to double OT, and Cousins was tired.
@huggybear518
Who will beat the GSW?
Stephen Curry getting injured in the play off series for a period of 5 games is the only way they get beat, I think teams even like raptors Bulls and clippers would all beat a GSW side without curry , so that’s the only risk,
The GSW winning by 27 v the nuggets , curry of injured and it went to OT, the players looked lost without him, would make it interesting if it happened otherwise superman will take them to the title easily
Personally I don’t think anyone in the East would beat the Warriors even without Curry. But that’s my opinion.
Well put @raoul-duke was tempted hope I don’t regret it
It’s my only bet tonight, tough card imo!
Good luck.
@hunter
Unlucky on the double, like the strategy think you should stick with it v unlucky today, lost in the last second literally
Anyone that doesn’t have a Betfair account, Ryan Anderson is 18.5 @ 5/6 @ PP. That is one point higher than my total I posted for a worse price so small stakes if you do.
Aaron Afflalo is also down from 10/11 to 4/6 @ Betfair.
Picks for tonight:
– Grizzlies -4.5
– Raptors -4.5 & Kings +4.5 (double)
Thread acca:
– Pacers ML (Huggy)
– Kings ML (Raoul)
– Bulls -3.5 (Captain)
– Grizzlies ML (OriaZ)
– Afflalo over 14.5 (Jordan)
5-fold @ around 10/1
GL gents!
It’s actually around 9/1 or 10.00 decimal odds.
Oh and ayeright also mentionned the Grizzlies for the thread acca.
Grizzlies +2.5
Nuggets + 12
Pacers +2.5
Raptors -7
Kings ML
Bucks v Grizz Over 184.5
Hawks v Pacers Over 196
Nicks v Raptors Over 192
Pays a ball hair over 20/1 Bet365
GL tonight dudes ??
0.4 of a point ?.
Also 0.15 of a pint on w crazy 10 fold but ill not bore you with that paying 70/1 ?
Looks good Oriaz although ive never done props.
GL
There’s only one prop there mate.
Still never had a bet on one especially in an Acca mate
Hmm I’ve quite a strong lean towards Hawks +3…..
Atlanta Hawks +3 @ 1.90 – 1.2 Points.
No more, I’m out.
Good luck.
May as well stick another 10/1 long shot on after last night!
Pacers -2.5
Grizzlies -3.5
Raptors -7.5
Kings -2.5
Also main double is Grizzlies win and Raptors half time full time just over evens
Australian Open
Milos Raonic v Andy Murray 8:30am
First set handicap
ANDY MURRAY -1 game 5/4 NB paddy power
No tiebreak in match 4/1 NAP bet365
Cricket
Australia v India 8:30am
INDIA to win 11/8 Stan james
Anthony Davis and Tyreke Evans out for the Pelicans. Fingers crossed a big night from Anderson.
I’m all over your Anderson prop mate!..⛹??? got the over 18.5 on PP..
Torn between 5 props and I only want to cover 2 :(
Nene o8.0
Middleton o20.5
Wall o10.0 Assists
Korver o2.0 3’s
Monroe o16.5
Porzingis out for the Knicks too now. They should get crushed. Lowry starting.
Washington playing in their pajamas
Just a crazy £10 free bet on the following before I hit the sack….
Grizzles -3
Bulls -9
Kings -2.5
Raptors -15
9/1….bet 365….
Goodnight all and good luck…????
Middleton’s overs just went down to 20.0, he’s hit 20+ in his last 7. Seems strange.
Anderson 10 points in the first 5 minutes :)
Haha first quarter done and dusted! 18 points, timeout Kings!
Jordan u the man!!?? what a player he is!!you defo the Steph curry of prop betting!hahaha..thanks in advance I’m sure he will get one more point..lol..or else I will eat my pillow..?
Paha if he doesn’t that would be extremely unlucky! To be fair it was probably the easiest one of the night. To be second in points per game off the bench with his replacement not starting was a stand out imo.
If he doesn’t I will change my name to the “unlucky Filipino” ??..never heard or seen the guy before this game and your post. Youtubed him after placing the bet and seen him constantly hitting 3s..then i see this 1st quarter performance from him..lol what a player!what a pick..u surely know your sports mate..?..
Haha there the 19 points I need mate..thanks again man another top class tipping from mr consistent, ,good luck with your other props mate……. .defo gonna hit the sack now..??..
As I always say mate its 50/50 so doesn’t take a lot of skill but you have to know your match ups.
10 minutes in fact, still 2 minutes left in the first.
Pelicans by 18 wow bed time for me
Gonna need a huge come back from the Kings here… Not looking good.
George Hill 15 points, 3 assists. Winner.
Your affalo prop looking good too 4 more points..?…haha..thanks for the wise words mate..15wins from the 19 tips I followed from you this month mate .im sure there’s many more ppl on here appreciate the work and input you have given to this great site . Keep up the great tipping and write up mate..gonna take advantage of it now cos your tips might not be free in the future ?..Haha..laters mate..
Haha no worries mate.
Kings slowly clawing back… Hopefully reduce the lead further and go for the jugular in the 4th
Korver was 3/6, 3/5 and 4/4 from the 3 point line his last 3, I bet on him to hit o2.0 and he shoots 1/7 :D
Sometimes its about more than just numbers mate but 1/7 is w*nk. For instance I’m slightly worried about Clarkson now with Kobe playing because he’ll hog the ball and cause them to get blown out so I bet Russells totals land instead haha
He had so many open looks too and all the stuff coming out about him changing his shooting form back to how it was before and its been working. Gutted. If Middleton doesn’t get his overs my paddy account is empty
Ouch!
Yep, I’m done with NBA for awhile.
Don’t mean to sound like a d*ck but you used to follow me mate and I’ve been burning it up over the last few days so why stop?
I was following all the tips with even stakes so usually I was just breaking even/slightly losing, I knew today when I stopped you’d smash it :D
I see. Well if it makes sense just follow the ones I put the bigger/biggest stake on.
Afflalo 17 points, winner.
Saying that just seen Lou Williams is out so Clarkson should be good. Both could land in fact, not sure what Russells are though. 17?
Tempted to transfer my remains from 365 to Paddy for Clarkson but I’m so unlucky at the moment!