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Mostawaa put in a very game performance to win at Brighton. When they got to her, I thought she would get swamped and go backwards, but she put her head down and battled to the line, winning for us.
Yarmouth 2:35 – At Liberty 7/2 (1pt B365)
I think the way that At Liberty raced last time on soft ground at Nottingham, he is definitely worth a few quid now he's back on a fast surface at Yarmouth.
He has been known to be keen through his races, which is never ideal, but he was more settled last time out, so maybe he is starting to learn how to properly race, and if he repeats that again today then he will be bang there with a great chance of landing his third win. He is on a decent enough mark of 70, given that he won off 68 at this track last October under Ryan Moore. I thought he won with a fair bit in hand that day and he was keen through that race too, so now he is a 4yo he should be able to progress further and defy his highest winning mark.
A combination of fast ground and Yarmouth seems to be his best conditions. He has run well plenty of times at this venue, obviously including his win, he has also racked up two runner-up places. Hector Crouch takes the ride and he continues to be in good form.
Yarmouth 4:10 – Vienna Girl 10/1 (0.5pt EW B365)
The chance I took on the Boughey horse when going up in trip for the first time clearly didn't work, she drifted out to 50/1 and never got involved. This might seem a similar approach for Vienna Girl, but I think the way she has run over 1m 2f in February suggests this trip should be what she wants.
She was outclassed by two horses who have since improved a fair amount but was sticking to her task and running on strongly in the final furlong. She is bred to stay well, being by Golden Horn, as well as enjoy a quick surface. I'd be happy enough to forgive her recent run at Wolverhampton in April over 2m as it was her first run in 62 days and she was racing wide, but there was some market confidence in her that day, which is of note.
Turf shouldn't be a problem for her as she is a bumper winner on good ground, which backs up the point that she should stay. In a race which looks weak on paper, I think she offers decent value.
Yarmouth 5:10 – Waleyfa 10/3 (1pt Whill)
I previously tipped up Waleyfa when she was running in a big pot Class 6 race at Bath, she was well-fancied to run a big race that day but was off the pace and I think she might've not liked the soft ground, so though she is a horse who has done most of her winning on the AW, she is surely worth another chance on turf now the ground is quicker.
Alice Haynes does very well with obtaining horses from other yards and either bringing them back to form or improving them, and this horse is another example of that. She has won 3 out of her 4 races for her new stable, with the only loss coming at Bath on a testing surface. But, on each of her previous wins, she has looked like a horse who is still ahead of the handicapper, even though she doesn't win by big margins. She is smuggled into her races and is delivered late, so doesn't get the chance to win by a lot of lengths, and once again, this race is weak and if she takes to the turf, which she should based on her pedigree she should have too much for her opposition.
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Anyone got any fancies for Ayr today ?
Angels Wrath in the 3.30 ew 20/1 3 places bet 365
3.30 Fav
Pot builder
🤞
Crystal caprice 3-30 Ayr
5-1 win
13-8 top 2 finish
Afternoon all
Start with
2
(5)
Crafter
J: Billy Loughnane
T: Mark Loughnane
11/1 ew
Fancy this Harry Cobden four-timer at Warwick this afternoon! 👀
2:10 – Our Scholar
2:45 – Him Malaya
4:20 – Saint Calvados
5:20 – Presenting Yeats
B’ Lucky 😉
Retirement Beckons ew 5.30. but you probably missed the boat on that one. 10s now from 33s
GL
🇬🇧
Yarmouth -3.15…Kashmin 12/1. Paddy Power.
🇬🇧
4th.! 👎
First loser in Ew terms
ventura rascal 4.00 ew
innse gall 5.00 well done all winners today
Lucky last Warwick 5-20
Ernesto
11-1 ew 2 places
19-10 top 3 finish (Betfred) .. NAP…
All 3 wins and all 6 wins/places have come on today’s good to firm ground.
Bottom weight as has been struggling in unsuitability soft ground recently.
It’s a donk race and anything can win in reality 🤭
🇺🇸
Philadelphia -R1…Petulant Delight 9/2 Skybet /***
Reverse forecast 6 -7
WHY didn’t I put that ( ⬆️ ) at 9/2 in my Acca for a lovely start? 🤷♂️ Probably cause last night was God awful after a good Monday,a nice start at price anyway it ended up 3/1 I think. 👌
Stay with Philly and ‘spreading’ my bets over to Shelbyville, Indianapolis 👍
Philadelphia -R2…Far Heart 13/8
R4..De Santis 2/1 /****
R9…Lord Of Navy 11/8. Skybet boost /****
Horseshoe Indianapolis R2…Mr Nunshi 11/8 ****
R3…Mr Mulberry 5/1.
Left out this from my notes as likely favourite will win THEY say but small single and take forecast on favourite to beat him for a small savour if such a thing.
Philadelphia R3…R Godtime Charlie 10/3.
4 – 1
Well done to winner today 👍
GL and Mon the USA! 🫡
my lady Samantha 6.10 ew
Been given this one
6:10 kempton- willow bank 9/1 💰
E/w
boom time banker 8.50
Philadelphia -R1…Petulant Delight 9/2 ☑️
R3…Goodtime Charlie ❎
Philadelphia -R2…Far Heart 13/8 ❎
R4..De Santis 2/1 /**** ☑️
R9…Lord Of Navy 11/8. Skybet boost /**** ☑️
Horseshoe Inddy – R2…Mr Nunshi 11/8 **** ☑️
R3…Mr Mulberry 5/1. ☑️
180!” 🏌️♂️
It was “Mon the USA” 🇺🇸 🫡
On that note…
2x singles and a double.
Penn National-R1…Hot Fudge Warrior 11/10
R2…Prekao 4/1. Bet365
A that’s all she wrote!”
GL and onwards to tomorrow 👉 🥇 ?
Sorry folk R1 at Penn National has gone while typing typing that and looks a loser anyway
Horseshoe-R8…Agent 10/3 looks decent for 2x singles and a double with other at Penn National Race 2 👍
🛌 🥱