PUTTING my neck on the line here and going with some big prices this weekend.

Again most of the games in Scotland are off so check for postponements before you place your bet.

I'm starting in the Premier League with one that will surprise many but there is logic behind my pick.

West Ham are a best 18-5 with Chandler to beat Man City at home and that represents cracking value for two reasons. Firstly, Avram Grant's side are improving and despite their lowly position are still difficult to beat at home. Secondly, City will be without ex-Hammers star Carlos Tevez and are a different side when he's not playing.

Roberto Mancini must find someone to step up to the plate when Tevez is out and so far no one's matched the striker's talent or enthusiasm. West Ham beat Man United 4-0 on their last outing and although it was a Carling Cup clash against a weakened side it was still a super show and one that will have boosted confidence.

Scott Parker really makes the side tick and if he's in the mood I can see the Hammers edging it.

Staying in the EPL I'm going for another big one. West Brom hammered Everton 4-1 and Newcastle 3-1 and can add to Gerard Houllier's misery by beating Aston Villa today.

The Frenchman's side have lost four on the bounce and no improvement looks in sight. Houllier’s men have shipped 11 goals in four games and fans are losing patience. Back the Baggies at 3-1 with totesport.

OK, so I've gone for two long shots – now let's take an on-form side at attractive odds. Bristol City have lost just once in eight and once again look play-off contenders under Keith Millen. They were one of the title favourites at the start of the season but lost their way and booted boss Steve Coppell.

Millen has come in and done a tremendous job and they look decent value at 6-4 with Chandler to down Derby. County have lost three of their last four away games and look too dependent on Scotland winger Kris Commons.

Staying in the Championship I'm looking at Cardiff who should have too much quality for Middlesbrough despite the absence of top scorer Jay Bothroyd. Tony Mowbray's arrival at the Riverside hasn't sparked much of a revival and fortunes are unlikely to change until he makes changes in the transfer window.

Boro were beaten again at Coventry last week and if Cardiff perform the way they can – remember that wonderful display at Leeds – they should take three points back to Wales. Back them at 13-8 with Chandler.

For my final selection it's up to Scotland and with not many games on it's an odds-on shot I've plumped for. They say never back against a side with a new boss but Craig Brown's arrival at Aberdeen – along with No.2 Archie Knox – will have come too late to lift players before their visit to Hearts.

Aberdeen are in a mess and it will take someone like Brown to lift them from their slumber but it won't be a quick fix. He needs new players and others to recover from injury. Hearts is a tough place to go just now and Jim Jefferies' men are gunning for third spot after four consecutive 2-0 wins. Back them at 4-7 with totesport.

Five to Follow

  • West Brom
  • West Ham
  • Bristol City
  • Cardiff
  • Hearts
  • Perm any 4 and all 5 (6 bets)
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