IT'S the last day of the month and it's been another one full of ups and downs.
The Super Single will finish in profit after my main tip of 1.5pts on Arsenal to score 2+ won at 8-5. I later added a double on PSG and Barca to score 2+ but PSG were a goal short as they lost a domestic game for the first time this season.
Two poor days on the advised accas mean I'll show a small loss but anyone who does accumulators knows the risks and if have the staking power to stick to singles all the better.
I tipped Man City to lift the Capital One Cup but should have advised draw or a penalty bet as my gut feeling was it would go down to the wire.
Tonight there is one game in the UK ahead of a busy week with Brighton expected to beat Leeds in the English Championship.
There are two big games in Serie A with Lazio facing Sassuolo and Fiorentina taking on Napoli. In Portugal it's Benfica v Madeira and Guimaraes v Sporting while Fenerbahce take on Besiktas in Turkey.
For the Super Single I thought about goals at Fiorentina but have simply decided to back Napoli to win. The Naples side are four points behind leaders Juventus and now they're out of the Europa League can fully focus on a title battle.
Fiorentina are also out of Europe and didn't impress as they crashed 4-1 to a Spurs side who made changed in both legs.
Napoli have a superb record in Florence winning four and drawing twice on their last six visits and that stat has played a crucial role in going for the away win.
Two of the wins were by 1-0 and the two draws were 1-1 – despite that it still has the look of an overs rather than unders game with Napoli deadly on the counter against a side who won't sit back. Gonzalo Higuain is the most likely first scorer at 9-2 with Paddy Power.
In the other Serie A game it's a tough one for Lazio against a stuffy Sassuolo side who have scored in their last seven away games. With the stat take Sassuolo to score at a best 7-10 with boylesports to start the Top Treble.
Add Brighton who are back on form after a mid-season blip with five wins in seven. They lost heavily at Cardiff two games but that was with a weakened side and bounce back to win 4-0 at Bristol City.
Leeds have been treading water and despite giving it everything under Steve Evans they've won one league game in 10 which isn't good enough for hard-to-please fans.
Complete the treble with over 2.5 goals at Guimaraes v Sporting. Sporting have netted 13 goals in three away games but have won just twice in six visits to Vitoria.
Guimares matches have totalled 22 in five outings including two 3-3 draws and a 2-2. They were hammered 5-1 away to Sporting earlier in the season and I expect another win for the title chasers but Vitoria are no mugs and both teams could score.
I'm aiming for a win that ends the month in profit but go with the stake you fell comfortable with.
Greg and Jordan have posted goals tips for tonight so have a look and tomorrow make sure you log in for big news for member and non-members as we go Mad in March.
Remember to check We Love Betting for their latest tips and video chat.
1pt Super Single
Napoli (8pm)
(13-10, bet365, Ladbrokes and others)
1.48pts Top Treble
Sassuolo to score (6pm)
Brighton (7.45pm)
Guimaraes v Sporting over 2.5 goals (8pm)
(9-2, Coral, William Hill)
February Super Single Total
30 bets (16 winners)
Profit: 5.92pts
February Advised Accas Total
47 bets (9 winners)
Loss: 5.56pts
Originally I wasn’t going to have a punt today but looking at some fixtures I’ve found a possible game for goals in the conference. Chelmsford host Stortford in what is usually a high scoring affair between the two. Only a 48 minute drive separates the two sides who are only 3 points apart in the league and could both take a drop if results don’t go their way by the end of the season. Chelmsford sit 3 points above the drop zone in 18th with Stortford losing their last four and sitting 14th.
The last 8 contests between these two have seen BTTS with 7 of those going over 2.5 goals. The last 4 h2hs have seen scorelines of 2-1, 4-2, 4-3 and 3-2, with Chelmsford winning 3 of those, and the last four at home scoring two or more in the process. Despite stortford losing their last 4, they haven’t failed to score away from home all season, with their last 7 on the road seeing BTTS. Chelmsford aren’t in great form themselves conceding 11 in their last 4 at home, but have scored 8 goals in their last 3 games, with the same amount of goals in their last 3 at home.
With both sides playing on Saturday and stats pointing to goals, hopefully the trends continue. BTTS & Over 2.5 pays 21/20 @ 365 but I’m going to take the goals on their own which is obviously less of a risk.
English National League South – 7:45PM
Chelmsford/Stortford Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 3/4 @ Various – 4 points
I’m risking 4 points as no matter what I can end February on a relative high. Up to you if you follow and decide what stake to place. Remember to check stats if you’re unsure as I have no team information whatsoever.
___________________________________________________________________________________________
February Totals
Bets 54
Points Staked 113.811
Points Returned 143.81
Profit/Loss +30
Also Mr F I’ve emailed admin today but wasn’t sure if they were working until the morning. I’m sure they’ll reply in good time tomorrow, but it was more of a heads up than anything just in case they ask you. Cheers.
btts & w – FIORENTINA v Napoli
FERNERBAHCE v besiktas
CHELMSFORD CITY v bishops Stortford
always goals in these games
FIORENTINA vs. NAPOLI
Some quick stats:
1. Napoli are undefeated in 23 of their last 25 matches (Serie A).
2. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of Fiorentina’s last 10 home games (Serie A).
3. Napoli have won their last 4 matches against Fiorentina in all competitions.
4. Fiorentina have won 5 of their last 6 home matches (Serie A).
5. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in Napoli’s last 4 games (Serie A).
6. Fiorentina have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches (Serie A).
Napoli has beaten Fiorentina in 5 of their last 6 meet-ups, and have not lost in their last 7 visits to Florence since 2009.
The teams are separated by only 5 points, and this match will be a cracker, with Napoli aiming to close the gap on Juve to 1 point, and Fiorentina hoping to Leapfrog Roma.
Both having been bundled out of the european competition, I expect Napoli to get back into the fight because they were a much better team against Villareal than the display put up by Fiorentina.
Napoli have a full roster to choose from (though Strinic is doubtful), and I expect Gonzalo Higuain and Lorenzo Insigne to run circles around the boys from Florence. However, the hosts will not juct tuck their tails in, so probably BTTS is a good shout here.
BTTS @1.8 (Bet365)
CAGLIARI vs. novara.
Need I say anything else? The stats should speak for themselves.
Out of the last 12 home games, Cagliari are 11-1-0, having failed to score 2 or more goals only in 3 of those.
After the loss to Cesena, I doubt they will lose again (and again, given that Crotone are hot on their heels).
There is also the added incentive of sweet revenge for the 1-0 loss in the reverse fixture.
Top scorer Diego Farias is fit and available for Cagliari, though defender Murru will have to serve a match ban after being sent off against Cesena)
But this is football. anything can happen. Tread carefully.
CC TREBLE
ALL TO SCORE
BRIGHTON
NAPOLI
S.PRAGUE
0.88/1
GL LADS
well done on your super single mr f i was wrong on that one didn’t think arsenal would get two,but they did lose as i thought they would arsenal being arsenal.
macathered, no worries. The beauty of backing a team to score 2+ is they don’t need to win.
I thought against that defence Arsenal would score at least 2 and I did think they’d win – they had to win really against a team of kids.
But fair play to United who played well and have a potential superstar in Rashford.
the reason why i said that yesterday was all down to arsenals lack of goals they have been poor at hitting the target this season and thought two was to many.rashford looks a good player wont be long before he is off to a bigger club.
maccathered, that’s you talking as a Liverpool fan. No reason Rashford should leave – looks like he’s developing just fine.
Young players too often leave clubs too early and end up getting lost.
What he will get now though is a massive pay hike.
Guess u are right as always Mr F, singles win most times over accumlators.. St etiene is now on my list of teams not to back.. 1-2 loss at home vs Caen ruined my accum of 20/1 yesterday.. Shuld hav stuck with mygut (aek greece) who won 1-0.. *shake of the heaad*
st etienne odds are shadows of last year) do not back them at all for the remaining games))
£100 – £5000 Evens challenge
Bet 1 – 4th goal to be a shot @2.05 ( United vs arsenal ) Won – £205
Bet 2 – 18.45 KO – Swiss Challenge – Schaffhausen v Lausanne ( Away win ) @2.30 – stake £205 – returns £471.50
Reason for backing. Lausanne have been great this season, especially away. They’re record is better away rather than at home winning 8 drawing 1 and loosing 1. They are playing bottom of the leauge Schaffhausen, who havent been great at all as the are bottom of the table ( Top vs bottom )
Although they are bottom of the leauge they are 3rd in leauge if going by home games but this doesnt put me off.
The last 3 time these two played
21.11.15 Schaffhausen vs Lausanne 0 : 4
13.08.15 Lausanne vs Schaffhausen 1 : 0
04.05.15 Schaffhausen vs Lausanne 0 : 3
Obviously, Lausanne have bascially nearly won the leauge so they might not be trying as hard, Schaffhausen are in a relegation battle so they should be trying as hard as possible. There is only a 5 points difference at the bottom of the leauge, 10th place to 5th place.
Lausanne DNB would be a safer approach but i dont have the time to be playing with low odds like that. Of course you can change the safer option. If my team is winning 1-0 and the stats look like the home side will score a goal i may cash out.
Italian Serie B – Cagliari v Novara ( Home )
Calagari should win, especially with that fantastic home record. The odds are to low for me so ill be jumping on if it ever gets near evens. Hopefully the dont get a early goal in. I would add it to an accumulator now, if anyone reading this does do accy’s. For a single odds are to short right now but you could also take as a single if you choose too.
Good luck.
Bet 365 odds have gone down from 2.30 to 2.15 in 2 hours. May go down again so get on quick if doing so
Lausanne game is postponed due to heavy snowing
due to hosts homepage
I just saw that, gutted :(
Morning gents,
Saprissa Over 2.5 tgs was the NB choice last night and with 2 goals banked after 35 minutes it looked home and hosed. Great cover was available but I didn’t advise or take it…bugger…6/5…lost.
Better news for the NAP in Chile…final score was 3-0…over 2.5 goals…19/20…*WON*
Onto today and I’ve picked out an Over 2.5 treble from the lower leagues.
Curzon Ashton v Solihull
Chelmsford v Bishop Stortford (great to see Jordan on this one and a cracking write-up)
Hungerford Town v Bideford
If time permits will pop up some reasoning later but no chance to do so – have looked at each and it’s a solid shout.
Longshot…Over 2.5 treble pays 4/1
Good luck with all bets.
Over 3.5 might be worth a point on my game Hull. 19/10 @ 888.
Cheers Jordan – had a look at that but only 7/4 on 365. Good luck pal.
Won a good 10 team ACCA so going for another one here
Brighton
Napoli to score
Cagliari
Sparta Prague
Benfica
Sporting cp
Midtjylland
Hungerford..
Gl
North Korea Women v South Korea Women. Olympic Qualifier.
10:35am today.
North Korea should win this, backed up by stats and previous h2h.
No great goal markets apart from overs/unders in the 2.5s.
North Korea 11/20 for the win…. However are 11/10 to be leading by halftime which I do like as the North Koreans do like a first half goal.
Just a hunch but I’m on it for a bit of morning interest.
Failed lol.
I’ll give up til later
3 point loss for me yesterday and I’m putting the blame squarely at the feet of Raheem sterling who downed the 15/1 over 1.5 team goals accer. How a player who cost £50 million can’t hit the target from 10-12 yards is absolutely ridiculous. No bets from me today so feb shows a small profit
Monthly profit/loss +5.31 points
Yearly profit/loss -19.015 pts
Same here too mate I doubt he can finish his dinner ? lil
Hi all
Newbie – go easy. Great site and wanted to start posting my bets and keeping a record. Not tips by any means so please dont follow – unless i become a betting guru real quick of course .
Lazio v Sassuolo – Like the look of goals in this – Lazio have conceded in 9 out of 10 of their last home games. Sassuolo have scored in 8 out 10 aways. Head to head, although 2104 so barely relevant, were 5 goals in each game 3-2 final scores to Lazio.
Dukla Prague v Sparta Prague – A derby and once again looking at goals here. Dukla, going back a year, have scored in 18 out of 20 home games. And in 6 out of 6 home games v prague. Prague scoring in 16 out of 20 aways, 7-10 to win and surely a good chance to net in that case.
Bet 1
Lazio V Sassuolo – Both Teams to score YES – Odds: Evens Stake: 2 units
Bet 2
Dukla Prague v Sparta Prague – Both teams to score YES – Odds: Evens Stake 2 units
Bet 3
Both teams to score double Lazio and Prague – Odds 3-1 Stake 1 unit
Best of luck to all.
1-2 on in plays and -1 unit (3 above pending)
One more for today.
Bet 4
Napoli draw no bet / Benfica win
Odds 1.92 Stake: 1.3 units (2.5 return)
BENFICA OVER 1.5 TG
CURZON ASHTON OVER 1.5 MG
CHELMSFORD OVER 1.5 MG
FARNBOROUGH OVER 1.5 MG
1.15/1
Monday
Double @ 6/5- 5 points
Benfica -1 asian handicap
Sparta Prague win
Treble @ 3.2/1 – 1 point
Fenerbache vs Beskitas BTTS
Chelmsford city vs Bishops over 2.5 goals
Brigton vs Leeds over 1.5 match goals
Good Luck
————————————————-
February- Loss -10.2 points
2016 total loss- 10.2 pints
Monday’s Bet
Brighton WIN
4/5
Betfred
February Tips
Won: 5
Lost: 3
Win percentage: 62.5%
Best of luck lads!
Low stakes morning interest
HT In play double:
North Korea v South Korea – Both score Yes
Australia v Japan over 3.5 goals
Odds 2.00 Stake 1 unit
€20 Sparta Prague u21 game over 1.5 fhg returns 36.66
In play – 20 mins 0-0
South China Win Odds: 2.30 Stake 1 unit
South china Both score Yes Odds: 2.00 Stake 1 unit
Tried putting your bet on Kelly but think I put the wrong one on.
I ended up betting Sparta Praha game and ovee 0.5 goals before 39.59 in the game.
It came in at 1/2
Morning gents
Totally agree with Mr F on it being a month of uos and downs, first few weeks were extreamly profitable, last few weeks the havw been tough!
One match from me tonight
Belguim u21 league
Mouscron u21 v Sporting Charleroi u21
Back over 1.5 first half gosls
Back iver 3.5 match goals (NAP)
GregBrowning, cheers – good luck with the bet.
Greg – Mr F, anybody who can help, sorry to be a pain but not sure on the Asian market. Would 3.5,4 goal line be over 4 goals and 1.5 over 2 ?
I mean 1.5 over 1 goal – soz
over 3.5, 4 goal line means that half your stake is over 3.5, half is over 4. So if there is 0, 1, 2 or 3 goals your bet loses. If there are 4 goals, half your bet wins, half is a push / void so that half stake would be returned. If there are 5 or more goal both halves of the bet wins.
old al, my advice to people who want to bet AH but don’t understand it is to google “Asian Handicaps explained”.
It can be confusing for some people because in reality the draw is taken out of the equation.
Thanks – I think I’m getting there with it but will have a read up on t’interweb ronight
Jordan
………….
u online i won 75 on my 4 team acca yesterday
then put 5.50 on treble psg let me down
i dont want to loose my money back as
i been of work 2 yrs with bsd astma wat bet u think tonight
chelmsford 2.5 goals.thanks dolky .
dolky, Jordan has tipped that so good luck.
But you can’t bet if you fear losing – you have to be able to afford to lose any bet you do.
Dolky. Exactly what Mr F said. Good luck.
Benfica vs Uniao Madeira – Konstantinos Mitroglou to score 2 or more 9/2 **NAP**
The former Olympiakos hitman is in red hot form right now having found the net in seven successive matches. He totalled ten goals in those seven games, amongst which was a hatrick against Belenenses (the poorest defence in the league). Mitroglou plays much like a traditional number nine in that he doesn’t deviate much from the centre and is nearly always the furthest man up the field so he always has a great chance of scoring goals.
Uniao Madeira do not travel well. Looking at some of their previous six away games it can be seen that they’ve shipped a lot of goals: three against Arouca, three against Guimaraes, three against Academica, SIX against Pacos de Ferreira who are eigth in the league… Based on this and along with the fact that Mitroglou has already demonstrated that against poor defences such as Belenenses’ he can get on the scoresheet multiple times, I think there will definitely be a high volume of goals for Benfica and it’s a realistic outcome that Mitroglou will score two or more on the night.
@bullseye Never boring! Doing a safer variant with him to score anytime based on your tip. Cheers mate
Haha, well the way I see it is if I’m going to risk losing my hard earned to the bookies I may as well get something for it!
tonite will go with
sporting o1.5tgs 3/4
will do a couple of wee accys based on some others comments, like the scorer tip bully………..
Thought I’d try something out for a bit of fun really more than anything. I’ve put some selections together for a mixed 7 fold acca based on some tips from some of the best on here and added a couple of my own. I’ve changed some of the tips though to make them “easier”.
– Mr F – Napoli (I’ve used DNB)
– Jordan – Chelmsford/stortford o2.5 goals.
– Greg – Belgian youth game (done o2.5 goals as the markets aren’t fully up yet)
– JohnB (his tennis tips are legendary) Buyukakcay and Kontaveit to win.
– added 2 of my own for the tennis. Konta and Wozniacky to win.
This makes a 7 fold at over 42/1.
I realise the chances of it all landing will be a hell of a lot of luck and not that likely but I’ve done all these type of bets as singles before and many days they all land.
I’ve only put 0.21 points on it but if it lands it returns over 9 points.
richb20806, interesting experiment.
Anyway off to walk the dug after writing tomorrow’s Record column. Check in later.
Enjoy… Hope it’s dry up there MrF
richb20860, just back – a nice 90-minute round trip to Ladbrokes! Dry but cold.
Guimaraes – Sporting BTTS (1.91) NAP
Sporting’s 4th game in 11 days, and after being dumped out of europa by Leverkusen 3-1, expect tired legs, Guimaraes got 3 in their last outing and scored in the reverse fixture, with their last 5 having both score.
add Napoli to score (1.28), Benfica -1 (1/2) and table toppers Lausanne against bottom Schaffhausen not to lose (1.28) for just over 3/1 odds
5 stake – 23.95 return
Bets: 7
Wins: 3
Staked: 13
Returned: 23.4
+/-: +10.4
treble
hammarby v ljungskile over 1.5 match goals (Sweden)
fener v besiktas under 3.5 match goals
Napoli +1
treble odds 1.1/1 @willhill
Hi everyone,
I am going to start a corner-based bank builder/challenge today.
Bet 1:
Lazio v Sassuolo over 8.5 corners
£11.25 returns £14.63
I know the return is pretty low, but I enjoy betting on this market, and I just want to gradually build my account.
Good luck to anyone who would like to join me.
As a fellow small stake punter and also like the corners market I think I’ll join you
Good luck to us
Cheers mate
As i posted before i have bet of the day and the bookies know it hahahhaha
( Bet 365 ) i got them for 2.30 decimal and now they’re 1.85!!! What a price drop
I can cash out for £35 profit before the game has even kicked off lmao
OMG. Gone down again to 1.72 decimal odds from 2.30!!! I found a good bet there
Could cash out for £48 profit before KO hahaha
harrybaines, are you cashing out then for free money?
See, now I think I’d cash out. I’d be mortified if I’d let £48 free cash slip by and the result didn’t come in….. Too much chance of a surprise… Saying that, I’m too risk averse
I think im going to do what most wont. I think im going to keep it running. i could cash our for that profit but its not worth what the returns are. They know they got the odds wrong and i am 90% sure of an away win. Ill probably cash out if it goes 1-0. They’ll be offering me something great as the odds have droppd hugely now anyway.
Admire your guts dude, good luck
Cheers pal. Hopefully my team turn up and have a comfortable win like lastime
Match postponed because of shite weather
What match ?
Guimares v Sporting BTTS 19/20 (completely agree with Tictactoe’s post)
Lazio v Sassuolo BTTS Evens
Benfica > 1.5 TGS, Chelmesford > 2.5 MGS (second part courtesy of Jordan) Evens
Mouscron u21 > 2.5 MGS, Jonas ATGS 0.9/1
mr f you’re bet of the day came up again with arsenal tondela and st liege to score
well done i was hoping you would follow this up with another bet of the day
Cagliari odds have risen from 1.57 to 1.75. That i must say is a suprise!
10 euro
Lazio btts
Sasuolo over 3,5 corners
Cagliari win
Chelmesford over 2,5 MGS
Odds @9,25
GL
Dolkys bets
………l.l……..ll.l
,,,brighton 2tgs
…,,,,,,solihull 2tgs
….,,,,,napoli 2.5mgs.
Chelmsford2.5mgs
Lazio mgs
calgari , 2tgs
lausanne sports.win
R.mouscron.win
sporting2tgs
hendon. Win
greenock morton.win
greenock morton.win.
R.mouscron. win
Hey guys,
Jong Ajax – Dodrecht = Over 2.5 Goals
Benfica – Madeira = Over 1.5 Goals
Lazio – Sassoulo = BTTS
I’ll share some informations about our league’s derby :) As a Galatasaray fan, i’ll support Besiktas.
——————————————————
Istanbul Derby Fenerbahce – Besiktas
XI Fenerbahçe – Volkan, Gökhan, Alves, Kjaer, Caner, M.Topal, Souza, Diego, Volkan Şen, Alper, Van Persie.
Beşiktaş XI: Tolga, Beck, Alexis, Marcelo, İsmail, Atiba, Oğuzhan, Quaresma, Sosa, Olcay, Gomez.
– Beşiktaş won their derbies against Fenerbahce and Galatasaray. (Last double win at 2002-2003 Season)
– Only one of last 43 league games between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş have drawn 0-0 (19.11.2006).
– Fenerbahce are unbeaten this term with Alper Potuk starting (W5 D2), and failed to win five of their 15 games without him (D3 L2).
– Van Persie has scored 3 goals in his last four league starts; and he has scored 4 in only 269 mins on the pitch in the last 6 MDs.
– There have been six red cards in last seven league games between Fenerbahçe and Beşiktaş (5 to Beşiktaş and 1 to Fenerbahçe).
– Mario Gomez has been scored three goals in his two derbies against Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe. Responsibility.
———————–
Over 2.5 Big Value IMO. Good luck All…
–
My bet for tonight is getting shorter by the hour so hopefully that’s a good sign. While I’m here I’m going to risk a point on Over 3.5 Match Goals @ 19/10 @ 888. Seems a few are on it so cue the 0-0 :)
start a debate here- leap year question time
in terms of making long term money which would you say would generate the most consistent cash flow investment in stocks and shares or strict disciplined betting?
Two completely different money making methods that not just anybody can get into. I can make profit long term in betting as I’ve shown, but wouldn’t know where to start in stock trading.
to me both come with risk and reward but as stock taking comes with its commission charges and the fact that most people have to go through brokers who some take advantage of starters as they see them as naïve I would rather take my chances in the world of sports but I do know a few who have made a bundle in the trade game.
Yeah but lets be honest, if you’re going to dabble in stock trading, really you should be doing it as a profession as you can make thousands/millions. You can do it in punting but you need to have deep pockets to start with. Not a debate for here really, should make a forum if you’re that interested mate.
yeah agree with that the low financial start-up traders get taken for fools and the win loss ratio in sports means your never going to make much more than your initial bankroll I should have made a forum instead of clogging up the thread as its not fair on others but it is interesting how the two compare.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Kelly’s top bets of the day
€30 treble returns 235.75
sporting win and over 2.5 goals 6/4
volta redonda game over 2.5 match goals 21/20
hungerfors town game over 2.5 match goals 8/15
———-
€20 Sparta Prague u21 game over 1.5 fhg returns 36.66 LOST
original bank 800
bank after today 880
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Live Bet Tip : Fenerbahce v. Beşiktaş Red Card Over 0.5
Probably Quaresma(Besiktas)
On what site can you bet red cards?
tempobet
Dolky
……….
€7 ….4.fold.
jong ajax 2 tgs.
benfica.2.5mgs.
ilkeston.win
man utdunder21 .2tgs.
Sassualo pen
Scored
0-1
INPLAY
LAZIO OVER 1.5 MG
HAPOEL OVER 1.5 MG
HAMMERBY OVER 3.5 MG
BESIKTAS OVER 1.5 MG
1.2/1
tonite will go with
sporting o1.5tgs 3/4
benfica o2.5tgs 10/11
double 5/2
brighton o1.5tgs, Napoli o1.5tgs, giumaraes btts over 7/1
GL all with a bet on…………..
Only 6 of chelmsfords last 13 home games have been Btts.
Btts is priced at 8-15, when statistically should be about evens based on the above stat.
Have I got this right ???????
Just had 2 points on this
BRIGHTON v Leeds
CAGLIARI v Novara
2.96 on Bet365
Referee Cuneyt Cakir(worst referee i’ve ever seen) ruined Besiktas game. Red Card coming soon.
If that’s the ref that does the Champions League games and sent Nani off against Madrid a few years ago. I agree.
daily double
brighton to win
sporting to win
around evens…….good luck everyone
OMG! Lazio what’s going on
Series 2 – Bet 1 Review
Probably would have been better if it had stayed in moderation
Azerbaijan – Premier League
AZAL PFC v Ravan KO 11am
Under 2.5 match goals 19/40
Result: 1-0
X
Germany – Regionalliga Nordost
Halberstadt v FSV Bautzen KO 12pm
Bautzen Draw No Bet @ 4/6
Result: 3-0
X
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Freiburg v Kaiserslautern KO 12pm
Over 2.5 @ 21/20
Result: 2-0
Treble loses.
1 bet
1 unit staked
0 returned
– 100%
watching jong ajax will take an in play o6.5mgs at ht 7/4
1-0 Stortford 3 minutes in. Cover for Over 2.5 available @ 3/1 @ 365 (Under 2.5) Letting it run.
Lazio….
@jordan Looking good mate 2 goals in first 9 mins. I took risk and went Over 3.5
1-1 9 minutes. Under 2.5 @ 9/1 and if anyone had a punt on Over 3.5, that can be covered @ 9/2. Again, letting both run.
Ooh, 5/2. My bad.
cracking start! had > 2.5MGS (95% cash out taken) and BTTS and Overs ..
I don’t do cash out mate and even if I did, it would be a nightmare for my totals and anyone following as they would all be different.
I agree 100% with you about cash out. I dont do it as a matter of principle.
If I bet something its because I think it will win therefore I let it ride
That is it mate. If I feel like covering I will, but I bet as if cashout doesn’t exist. Been burnt too many times by it in the past and half the time most bookmakers are suspending it every minute or so.
Belting start Jordan!
Brighton running riot 3-0 already
Santiago Morning vs Cobreloa 0-0 after 26 mins
Santiago are generally good for goals in the first half with 8 in their 3 at home thus farby half-time so even though 0-0 I could have been tempted by over 1.5 @ 7.00
However match looks very tight according to the stats so will just try over 0.5 fhg @ 2.10
cheers Jordan !!!!
WD on the Chelmsford game Jordan cracking spot………….. ;)
And we’re done at before HT. One more for the 19/10 in the second half.
watching jong ajax will take an in play o6.5mgs at ht 7/4 LOST
as so often happens after a high scoring fh goals dry up in 2nd
Brighton to score before 80 mins EVENS @ BET365
Good spot… 6/5 now
Cheers gents. Bit gutted as it was either Chelmsford to score twice at odds against with h2h being in favour, or the match goals. As you can see I went safer as I thought both could score. Hopefully one more in the next 45.
Also the BTTS & Over 2.5 that I mentioned @ 21/20 would have landed but again, more risk involved.
€30 fiorentina over 1.5 tgs returns 60
an there ye go cracking spot on the o3.5 great stuff…………
English National League South – 7:45PM
Chelmsford/Stortford Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 3/4 @ Various – 4 points **WIN**
Over 3.5 Match Goals @ 19/10 @ 888 – 1 point **WIN**
Absolutely cracking spot Jordan old (ish) bean ??
Ish ? Cheers Hull ?
Tomorrow everyone beat toothless villa add with northamton dnb.
UNIÓN LA CALERA VS. SANTIAGO WANDERERS…
The Night Owl sees me over in Chile and it’s probably been the most consistent SA league for goal this last few months.
I’m going to back goals hereand tes, the words baskets and eggs may spring to mind but I’m fairly confident and Santiago certainly aren’t shy in front of goal.
La Calera are hardly in a rich vein of scoring form but key here is the fact Santiago score freely but more often than not concede.
Not a massive follower of H2H’s beyond an historic season but over the last 2-3 years there have been 7 – 5 of those have gone over 2.5 goals and 4 have seen Santiago bag 3 in a single game.
Two bets then:
OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS…4/5…NAP (365)
OVER 2.5 SANTIAGO TG’S…27/10…NB (Coral)
Good luck to anyone over there in Chile with me!
One more needed in the Hungerford game for the treble – crap start but kicking on now!
BENFICA OVER 1.5 TG
CURZON ASHTON OVER 1.5 MG
CHELMSFORD OVER 1.5 MG
FARNBOROUGH OVER 1.5 MG
1.15/1
?? WIN ??
INPLAY
LAZIO OVER 1.5 MG
HAPOEL OVER 1.5 MG
HAMMERBY OVER 3.5 MG
BESIKTAS OVER 1.5 MG
1.2/1
?? WIN ??
in play to save the nite hopefully
benfica u2.5mgs, giumaraes u1.5mgs, brighton u4.5mgs 11/4
Benfica vs Uniao Madeira – Konstantinos Mitroglou to score 2 or more 9/2 **NAP** LOST
He had three shots saved and his goalbound strike was diverted in by Jonas but Uniao Madeira were very compact and defended with ten behind the ball for large chunks :( onwards.
Really need a goal for Napoli and a goal for sporting for a good night. Without its been a very bad night ?
Bet 1:
Lazio v Sassuolo over 8.5 corners
*WON* (6-3)
Onto today and I’ve picked out an Over 2.5 treble from the lower leagues.
Curzon Ashton v Solihull
Chelmsford v Bishop Stortford (great to see Jordan on this one and a cracking write-up)
Hungerford Town v Bideford
Pays 4/1…lost…1 goal shy in the Hungerford game.
Well done all winners.
tonite will go with
sporting o1.5tgs 3/4 LOST
benfica o2.5tgs 10/11 LOST
double 5/2 LOST
brighton o1.5tgs, Napoli o1.5tgs, giumaraes btts over 7/1 LOST
in play to save the nite hopefully
benfica u2.5mgs, giumaraes u1.5mgs, brighton u4.5mgs 11/4 WON
cant hit a coo’s erse way the blunt end of a banjo atm……..
WD all with winners…………….
nite owl
u. calera u3.5mgs, emelec o1.5tgs 13/10
February…..253 bets…42 wins…mostly accas….
winnings/losses-€155
Total 2016 winnings/losses-€370
Biggest bet €56.50 but a LasTorresWomenRedCard cost me dear
Smallest bet 13c
Was doing great up to the 20th of the month but then the discipline went out the window and I started betting €50’s and then chasing my losses.
€50 top up tomorrow and hopefully stay patient for the month and stick with the fun small bets. And of course cut down on the amount of bets. Got addicted there for a while lol
Putting this up now as I doubt many will be able to get on in time for the morning (not that its a cert by any means). I feel Shandong Luneng are being underestimated here in tomorrow mornings AFC Champions League group game at home to Thai champions Buriram who will be without their captain after receiving a red card last week, and one of their Brazilian strikers who scored 33 of their 98 goals in their domestic league last season. Shandong Luneng, despite their league not starting yet, managed to beat Japanese champions Sanfreece Hiroshima 2-1 in their first group game in Japan last week, while Buriram were mauled 6-0 at home by FC Seoul of the Korea Republic. They are a good side but they don’t have any standouts for me other than Montenegro international Dejan Damjanovic (who at 34) isn’t the best player in the world.
Luneng on the other hand have current Brazlian striker Diego Tardelli, Aloisio (22 goals in 28 games in the CSL last season) and the current top Chinese scorer in the Asian World Cup Qualifiers in Xu Yang. They are also managed by ex Brazil, Corinthians, Flamengo and Cruzeiro manager Mano Menezes so they have experience at the coaching level.
Realistically I would like to double up a couple of the Luneng goals up with something but there isn’t much I like the look of in any of the other group games, and don’t really want to be waiting for tomorrow evening for a bet to win as its only a small interest. Over 2.5 Luneng goals pays 6/4 @ various bookmakers but I’m going to try my luck on the handicap.
AFC Champions League – 7:30AM
Shandong Luneng -1 @ 13/10 @ Paddy Power – 1 point
Jordan, cheers. Nice tip tonight.
Cheers Mr F. Amazing what you can find in those league sometimes. Wouldn’t usually consider looking there on a Saturday. Unlucky with Napoli but another month in SS profit ?
Jordan, I knew Napoli was a risk but if they want to win the league that’s game they must do better.
More disappointed with the treble as the Sporting game looked full of goals.
Must admit I wouldn’t have gone for a 0-0 there! Unlucky. I’ve added my main tip for tonight on my thread so that’s me. Still no reply from admin either Mr F on that email. Goodnight.
I’m on this, looks good to me and I’ve made it my ‘I’ll be asleep and see what happens when I wake up’ bet for the morning! Cheers
Get in…..just one more needed. Watching it on the train, have to admit it hadn’t been coming but no reason a second can’t follow now.
Final February Totals
Bets 56
Points Staked 118.81
Points Returned 153.71
Profit/Loss +34.9
Profit Percentage 29.37%
I’ll be hitting the road for work in a couple of hours and will be incomunicado ’til late tomorrow so will post now…
Yeovil v Accrington – cannot see this ending a low-scorer…over 2.5 goals…43/40…NAP – too big a price IMO.
For the Longshot, I’ve picked out four (including the one above):
Yeovil (as above)
Ramsbottom ( bleeding goals and take on Colywn Bay who’ve been great to follow for goals for/against)
Bury (’nuff said ?)
Oxford (strong side taking on a poor York outfit).
4-fold pays a touch over 9/1 and shouldn’t be to far off the mark.
Good luck lads
Fancy btts in 1St half in the union LA calera game 1-0 to home sure after 31 mins – btts 1St half @ 3.50
Penalty to Santiago must’ve been awarded while I was typing – good for me though :) 1-1 after 32 mins
Risky bet but I fancy another before half- time at 3.40 – nothing to back it up but gut feeling
Anyone over in Chile…1-1 at 35 minutes and the NAP can be covered at 9/2 ?
Scratch the cover – Over 2.5 goals…4/5…NAP *WON*
Haha if only it was always that easy 2-1 now to union over 2.5fhg @ 3.40 WIN
Risking some odds on HT draw @ 6.00
I was on over 1.5mgs for the VELEZ SARSFIELD v GIMNASIA LA PLATA game which just came in with a daft goal that was a cross :) Shame Napoli couldn’t nick it earlier but Fiorentina didn’t deserve to lose.
Looks like the River v Independiente game might have goals. Over 1.5mgs is around 2/5 which might be a bit short at this time of night but over 2.5mgs is around 5/4. Rivers last 5 at home and Independiente 4 of last 5 have been over 1.5mgs with all of those 5 homes being over 2.5mgs. Last few meetings have produced goals too, last time there was less than 2.5mgs was 6 games ago back in 2013.
Im going for over 2.5mgs @ 5/4 for 1.5 points as it’s daft o’clock and got a winner of the Velez Sarsfield game.
UNIÓN LA CALERA VS. SANTIAGO WANDERERS
Two bets then:
OVER 2.5 MATCH GOALS…4/5…NAP (365)…*WON*
OVER 2.5 SANTIAGO TG’S…27/10…NB (Coral)…*WON*
After a disappointing weekend hoping to bounce back with these tonight
Germany – 2. Bundesliga 4.30pm
Karlsruher SC v SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 Under 1.5 Team Goals
England – National League South 7.45pm
Truro City v Weston Super Mare
Over 2.5 Match Goals
19/20 (Bet365, Betway)
Italy – Serie B 7.30pm
Ascoli v Modena
Modena Under 1.5 Team Goals
England – League One 7.45pm
Swindon Town v Doncaster
Over 1.5 Match Goals
England – League Two 7.45pm
Notts County v Dagenham and Red.
Over 1.5 Match Goals
11/10 (Coral)
Monday
Double @ 6/5- 5 points
Benfica -1 asian handicap- won
Sparta Prague win- void
Treble @ 3.2/1 – 1 point- lost
Fenerbache vs Beskitas BTTS
Chelmsford city vs Bishops over 2.5 goals
Brigton vs Leeds over 1.5 match goals
Good Luck
————————————————-
February- Loss -8.2 points
2016 total loss- 8.2 pints
treble
hammarby v ljungskile over 1.5 match goals (Sweden)
fener v besiktas under 3.5 match goals
Napoli +1
treble odds 1.1/1 @willhill
*WON*